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OpenAI发布了GPT-6,还说这就是AGI。
OpenAI releases GPT-six and says it's AGI.
它是不是又领先了?
Has it retaken the lead?
那个Hugging Face攻击事件,我们到底该多认真对待?
How serious should we take the Hugging Face attack anyway?
还有史蒂夫·鲍尔默又闹了个笑话。
And Steve Ballmer steps in it.
这些内容,稍后在本期《大科技播客》周五版中为您呈现。
That's coming up on a big technology podcast Friday edition right after this.
欢迎收听《大科技播客》周五版,我们一如既往地用冷静、细致的方式解读新闻。
Welcome to big technology podcast Friday edition where we break down the news in our traditional cool headed and nuanced format.
今天节目内容很精彩。
We have a great show for you today.
我们会聊一聊OpenAI的新模型GPT-6。
We're gonna talk all about OpenAI's new GPT-six model.
它说这是AGI,那它是不是终于回来,重新领先Anthropic了?
It says it's AGI, and has it finally come back and taken the lead over Anthropic?
我们还会聊聊Hugging Face遭受的攻击,而且根据路透社的新报道,还有另一起攻击,是机器人在一个德国维基网站上协同发起的。
We're also gonna talk about the Hugging Face attack, and there was also another attack according to a new Reuters report where bots coordinated on a German Wiki website.
所以我们要讨论的是,这到底是营销手段,还是终于该认真对待这些攻击了,我们还会深入聊聊具体发生了什么。
So we're gonna talk about whether this is, again, whether this is marketing or whether it's time to finally take these attacks seriously, and and we're gonna go a little bit into the intricacies of what happened.
最后,还有史蒂夫·鲍尔默。
And finally, Steve Ballmer.
他的名声可不太好。
The legacy does not look good.
当然,我们说的是他直接参与的那个计划,据NBA说,快船队付给科怀·伦纳德很多钱,让他不去某些比赛,从而规避NBA的工资帽。
Of course, we're talking about the fact that he was directly involved in this scheme where the Clippers paid Kawhi Leonard, according to the NBA, lots of money to not show up to certain jobs to subvert the NBA salary cap.
劳动节周末的周五版节目,怎么能少了聊史蒂夫·鲍尔默呢?
What would a Labor Day weekend Friday edition look like without some Steve Ballmer talk?
和我们一起聊的,还是我们的老朋友,Margins的兰詹·罗伊。
And here to do it with us, as always, is Ranjan Roy of Margins.
兰詹,很高兴见到你。
Ranjan, great to see you.
欢迎回来。
Welcome back.
如果伦纳德是拿了钱才不露面的话,那我得告诉我们的听众,亚历克斯·坎特维茨可是会准时出现的,因为如果你在YouTube上看这个节目,你会看到亚历克斯将在一个漂亮的新演播室里直播。
If Kawhi Leonard was paid to not show up our listeners, I can tell you Alex Kantwitz is showing up because if you're watching this on YouTube, you will see a beautiful new studio that Alex is gonna be broadcasting out of.
亚历克斯,这是你自己布置的吗?
Alex, did you set this up yourself?
这地方真是太漂亮了。
This this thing is gorgeous.
没错。
That's right.
好的。
Okay.
所以我们确实有了一个新演播室。
So we do have a new studio.
不全是自己弄的。
I did not set it up myself entirely.
你能看到我身后的这些,都是我自己弄的。
Everything that you can see behind me was my doing.
你看不到的,比如摄像机、灯光,还有那些设置,都是有人帮忙弄的。
Everything that you can't see, which means the camera, the lighting, and and all of the settings, that was done with some help.
但墙上的板子确实是我从亚马逊买的,然后一块一块钉上去的。
But I definitely did get the paneling from Amazon and nail them to the wall panel by panel.
我们连锤子都没有,我就用扳手的后端把板子钉在墙上。
And we don't even have a hammer, so I was nailing them to the wall with the back end of a wrench.
所以要是节目进行中有一块掉下来砸到我,你就知道原因了。
So if one falls on me during the show, you understand why.
这就是纽约市的生活,自己动手当个修理工。
That is New York City living toolboxing and, like, being a handyman.
我们其实有锤子,但我找不到它了。
We we did have a hammer, but I couldn't find the hammer.
而且那些板子必须得装上去,所以该动手就得动手。
And the panels needed to go up, so you gotta do what you gotta do.
该动手就得动手。
You gotta do what you gotta do.
人工智能可替代不了这个。
AI is not gonna replace that.
咱们就,就——
Let's just let's just
嗯,这我可说不准。
Well, I don't know.
看了OpenAI最新发布的东西,说不定还真能替代。
After the latest release from OpenAI, maybe it will.
昨天OpenAI发布了GPT-6。
So OpenAI released GPT-six yesterday.
还记得大家等GPT-5的时候,盼星星盼月亮,各种期待吗?
And remember the big wait for GPT-five, when's it coming, and the expectations?
这个看起来好像突然就冒出来了。
This kinda came seemingly out of nowhere.
我们有了GPT-6 Astra,它不仅在基准测试上表现超强,OpenAI还说它可能达到了AGI,而且很明显它主要是面向各种个人助理的应用场景。
We have GPT-six Astra, and not only does it crush on the benchmarks, OpenAI is saying that it might be AGI, and it's obviously geared towards a lot of sort of personal assistant use cases.
那我先读一下The Verge关于这个的报道。
So let me just read a little bit from what The Verge reported on this.
The Verge说,OpenAI的下一个大型AI模型已经进入了AGI时代。
So The Verge says, OpenAI's next big AI model has entered the AGI era.
下一个大型模型来了。
The the next big model is here.
它叫GPT-6 Astra。
It's called GPT-six Astra.
公司称它在网络安全、专业工作、软件工程、科学和计算机使用等领域实现了代际飞跃。
The company calls it a generational leap in capability in capability for areas like cybersecurity, professional work, software engineering, science, and computer use.
实际上,我直接读一下OpenAI的宣传文案吧。
The actual this is I'm just gonna read from OpenAI's branding here.
他们说这是GPT-6 Astra。
They say it's GPT-six Astra.
你在电脑上能做的任何事,Astra都能快速帮你完成。
Anything you can do on a computer Astra can do for you fast.
而且,他们当然也像往常发布时那样,发布了一个炫酷的视频,展示人们在一台大电脑前让它帮忙做事,比如订桌、做演示文稿、起草法律文件。
And they, of course, released a, you know, a snazzy video as they tend to do on these releases with showing people in front of a big computer asking it to do things for them, like book tables, build a presentation, create legal drafts.
基本上,他们的想法就是新模型会在电脑使用方面表现出色,能帮你把事情搞定。
And, basically, the idea here is that their new model is gonna excel at computer use and be able to get things done for you.
很有意思的是,他们特别强调了用语音作为操作界面,几乎就像《星际迷航》里的个人助理电脑一样。
And it's very interesting that they use kinda they they highlighted voice as the interface to get it done almost like the personal assistant computer in in Star Trek.
那么,Ranjan,你对GPT-6的发布有什么看法?
So, Ranjan, your thoughts about the release of GPT-six?
我很好奇你的第一反应,而且我们经常讨论,比如最近还提到Anthropic似乎正在拉开和OpenAI的差距。
I mean, I'm curious to hear your your initial reaction, but also, like, we talk a lot about, like, the fact that even recently, talked about how, you know, it looked like Anthropic was opening up the gap between itself and OpenAI.
也许这个差距已经缩小或者完全消失了。
Maybe that gap has shrunk or closed completely.
你怎么看?
What do you think?
好的。
All right.
我们把这两个问题分开来看,一个是这在AI竞赛中意味着什么。
Let's separate out those two questions, what this means in the AI race.
然后首先,这次发布令人兴奋吗?
And then first, is this an exciting launch?
再说,对于任何新模型的发布,我总是尽量等到真正能用到它再说。不幸的是,我不是Daybreak平台的成员,也不是OpenAI的网络安全研究员,所以还得等等。
Again, I always any of these new model launches try to wait until I've actually had access to it, and I'm unfortunately not part of the Daybreak platform and an OpenAI cybersecurity researcher, so that'll have to wait.
对。
Right.
所以那些人是首批获得访问权限的。
So those are the people that have gotten initial access.
已经有点争议了,因为只有少数人能用,本来应该很快向所有人开放,但还没开放。
There's already a little controversy because, like, a handful of people can already use it, and it's supposed to roll out to everybody else soon, but it hasn't yet.
但那个会慢慢来的。
But that that will come in time.
你说吧。
Go ahead.
但确实已经推广给了每一个前网红,他们现在都建了虚拟世界,或者重制了某个电子游戏,或者做了别的什么,然后都发帖了。
But it is certainly rolled out to every ex influencer who has now built some virtual world or recreated a video game or whatever else and has posted about that.
但我确实喜欢发布会公告里我最喜欢的部分,就是“AGI来了”。
But I do love that like, my favorite part of the launch announcement was AGI is here.
构建新的世界模型,比如碾压各种基准测试,但还要做漂亮的幻灯片,订个餐厅桌子,结果最后还是回到这些事上。
Build new world models, like, the crushing benchmarks, but create nice decks and book a restaurant table that it still always comes back to that.
我喜欢的是,最终对AGI的考验就是你能不能订到餐厅桌子,或者做出一个像样的PowerPoint演示文稿。
I love that the test of AGI in the end is gonna be can you actually book a restaurant table or create a good PowerPoint deck.
我觉得,嗯,我不知道。
I think like I don't know.
你对这个有多大影响有看法吗?
Do you have an opinion on how big this is already?
你兴奋吗?
Are you excited?
我很难判断这一点。
It's hard for me to try to gauge on that.
我觉得在基准测试方面,这确实很有意思,而且在Anthropic的背景下,甚至更有意思。
I think on the benchmark side, I think it's really interesting and I think in the anthropic context, it's even more interesting.
但要说这真的让人兴奋吗?
But on is this really exciting?
我还不知道。
I don't know yet.
对。
Right.
这是个好问题,我有点纠结。
So it's a great question, and I'm kind of on two minds about it.
所以看待这些发布的方式是,你知道,我确实认为在一定程度上,你不能把公司发布时说的所有话都当作真理,但你可以从中获取一些信号,因为他们在一定程度上是在拿自己的声誉冒险。
So the way to sort of think about these releases is you know, I do think to some degree, you can't use all of what these companies say about the releases as gospel when they come out, but you can sort of take some signals because they are putting their reputation on the line to some degree.
而且,你知道,今年早些时候,我和Greg Brockman在OpenAI,他说他认为公司已经完成了大约80%的AGI目标。
And, you know, earlier this year, I was at OpenAI with Greg Brockman, and he said that he thought the company was about 80% of the way towards AGI.
但这个新模型的评论就非常不同了。
Very different comments with this new model.
所以他说,如果我们快进几年,回头看,真正创造AGI是什么时候?
So he says, if we fast forward a couple years and we look back and say, when was it really that AGI was created?
我觉得大概就是这个时候。
I think it's going to be about this time.
我觉得可能就是这个模型。
I think it might be about this model.
就我个人而言,我确实认为我们已经达到了。
For me personally, I do think we're there.
我觉得现在认为我们处于AGI时代并不是不合理的。
I think it's not unreasonable to feel that we are now in the AGI era.
好的。
Okay.
我读到这个的时候,感觉就像,你知道那种你想告诉某人你爱他们,但又不想冒险的感觉吗?
I read this and it sort of was like, you you know you know when you wanna tell somebody you love them, but you don't wanna, like, take the risk?
然后你会说,嗯,如果我知道爱是什么感觉,我想这就是爱吧。
And, you know, you say something like, well, if I knew what love felt, I think this is what it would be.
我觉得这就是格雷格·布罗克曼在说AGI时的感受。
I think that's what Greg Brockman is saying about AGI.
我觉得他有点害怕直接说出来,但这位老兄已经爱上它了。
Like, think he's a little fearful about coming out and saying it, but the dude's in love.
那就是AGI,他这些话实际上就是在表达这个意思。
It's AGI, and that's effectively what he's saying in these statements.
等等。
Wait.
抱歉。
Sorry.
你是再描述一遍那种感觉,还是说那句话的意思?
Is that describe the entire feeling again, Or what the statement is?
这个我想快速过一下这个场景。
This I wanna I wanna work through this scenario quickly.
年轻情侣相爱的时候,说“我爱你”这三个字很难开口,因为牵扯太多。
Young lovers, when they're in love, the words I love you are very difficult to say because of the stakes involved.
所以你会说些别的,我承认,我年轻不懂事的时候也经历过类似的情况,就是你对某人有强烈的感觉,但你在绕圈子,然后你会说,这个对我们的听众来说应该不陌生,你会说,我想知道爱是什么感觉。
So you say something, and I I'll admit, like, I've been in scenarios like this in my early years when I didn't know anything where I would you know, it's sort of like you have these strong feelings for someone and you dance around it, and you're like, this And won't be foreign to I I think this won't be foreign to some of our listeners where you say, I wonder what love feels.
是这样吗?
Is this it?
其实你真的很想对某人说“我爱你”。
Where you really wanna say, I love you to somebody.
我觉得,在某种程度上,Greg Brockman说的就是这个意思。
And that's, I think, to to a degree, like Greg Brockman is saying.
如果我们快进几年,回头看,AGI到底是什么时候真正诞生的?
If we fast forward a couple years and we look back to say, when was it really that AGI was created?
我觉得大概就是这个时候。
I think it's gonna be about this time.
其实是一回事,只不过不是年轻恋人跟对方说我爱你,格雷格的意思是说,这就是AGI。
It's the same thing, except instead of, like, a young lover telling the other that they love they they love their, you know, person, what Greg is basically saying is this is AGI.
等等。
Wait.
不过先确认一下,前面那部分说的是你不会直接对对方说出口。
But just to confirm, the first part of that about you're not saying out loud to the other person.
不是。
No.
你会说出口。
You say it out loud.
你是说,没人会觉得,如果我知道爱是什么,就会说那些话。
Say that no one else felt like if I knew what love would say those things.
你会说,我在想,这是爱吗?
You say, I wonder, is this is this love?
你懂吧?
You know?
Ranjan,你从来没遇到过这种情况吗?
It never happened to you, Ranjan?
我在想。
I'm trying to think.
直接说出来。
Straight out.
你就是直接说出来了。
You just when you you Just said said said it.
对。
Yeah.
就像很自然地说,听着。
Just like matter of fact, listen.
我爱你。
I love you.
对。
Yeah.
就是这样,事实就是如此。
That's it is what it is.
我尊重这一点。
I respect that.
好的。
Alright.
想象一下,你告诉别人这件事,然后说,听着。
And Just imagine telling somebody that and being like, listen.
我有件事要告诉你。
I need to tell you something.
我爱你。
I love you.
事实就是
It is
如此。
what it is.
事实就是如此。
It is what it is.
你知道吗?
And you know what?
我希望格雷格·布罗克曼能直接这么说。
I would appreciate if Greg Brockman would just say that.
我觉得如果OpenAI发个新闻稿,说AGI已经实现了。
And I think if OpenAI issued a press release and said AGI is here.
有意思的是,我读到过,现在所有关于AGI的合同义务,主要是跟微软的那份,都已经不存在了。
What's interesting, I I read somewhere that every contractual obligation around the term AGI and mainly the Microsoft one does not exist anymore now.
所以现在他,对。
So now he Right.
应该说,爱你。
Should say, love you.
AGI已经来了。
AGI is here.
但即便如此,我觉得他们被训练得太过了,因为你知道吗,对我来说,OpenAI 在世界上最大的危险就是说出 AGI 已经来了。
But but it is even I think they're so trained to because do you know what what to me, what actually the greatest danger in the world to OpenAI is, is to say AGI is here.
然后所有人都去 ChatGPT 上输入点什么,得到一个不温不火的回答,还不完全对。
And then everyone goes to ChatGPT, types in something and gets a lukewarm response that isn't quite right.
然后突然之间,我觉得这其实对整体叙事和炒作周期是个巨大的威胁,因为 AGI 的美妙之处就在于它是一直吊在我们面前的东西,不断承诺着未来。
And then suddenly, I'd actually think that is like a just massive threat to the overall story and hype cycle because the whole beauty of AGI is it's this thing that's dangled in front of us on an ongoing basis to promise this future.
所以只要你不说它已经来了,而是像青少年谈恋爱那样绕着它转,效果就很好。
So as long as you don't say it's here and you dance around it in a teenage romantic sort of way, it's pretty effective.
我觉得这就是现在发生的情况,这也是为什么他在回避。
And I did I I think that's what's happening here and that's that's why he's hedging.
我不认为他觉得 AGI 已经来了。
Don't think he thinks it's here.
哦,我真的……
Oh, I I really
不然他会直接说出来的。
Otherwise, he would say it.
他啊,我是说,像格雷格·布罗克曼这些人,他们是真心相信的。
He's a I mean, these guy like, Greg Brockman, they are believers.
我相信他们是真心相信的。
I believe they are believers.
所以如果他们真信了,他们就会说出来。
So if they believed it, they would say it.
这事太重要了。
It's too important.
他们确实,我是说,他们确实上了所有头条,但我觉得你说得对,把AGI当作一个永远达不到的目标来吊着,这样挺好的,或者也许到某个时候,超级智能就会是那样。
They got I mean, they did get all the headlines, but I think you're right that it is it is worth holding AGI as this sort of, like, goal that you're never gonna reach, holding it out that way because or maybe that's what superintelligence will be at at a certain point.
因为之前有人说,你知道,如果我们达到了AGI,那还有什么好期待的呢?
Because there were people that were like, you know, if we reached AGI, what do we have to look forward to anymore?
你说得对。
And you're right.
如果AGI就是这样,连一些事都帮你搞不定,那你就会想,那等这么久是为了什么?
If it's AGI and it's just like it can't get some stuff done for you, you're gonna be like, what was the wait for?
不是。
No.
想想那会有多让人沮丧。
Think about how, like, disheartening that would be.
你得到的只是一份格式糟糕、还有重叠的雪佛龙标志的烂幻灯片。
You get just kind of like a slop deck with bad formatting and some overlapping like Chevron.
该死的,AGI。
Damn it, AGI.
最基本的东西,你得到的视频动作都不太对。
The most basic stuff that you get video that where the motion isn't quite right.
然后就这样了。
And then that's it.
那我们从这里还能做什么?
Like, do we do from there?
那我想我们就等着ASI吧。
Then I guess we wait for ASI.
超级智能。
Super intelligence.
对。
Yeah.
没错。
Right.
正是。
Exactly.
但你相信他真的认为它已经实现了吗?
But do you believe he believes it's here?
你一开始发帖的时候就说,你相信他想说,他想说它已经实现了。
You started the thread with you do believe he wants to say he wants to say it.
是的。
Yeah.
我确实认为他觉得它已经实现了。
I do think that he thinks it's there.
我只是觉得,你知道,而且显然,OpenAI 也在看到,解读他的话的一种方式是,OpenAI 内部也在看到更强大的模型。
I just think that, you know and and, obviously, OpenAI is also seeing like, one of the ways that you can parse his words is OpenAI is also seeing even more powerful models internally.
当然,我们接下来会谈到 Hugging Face 事件中的黑客方面,但他们内部确实看到了这些东西。
Of course, we're gonna get into the hacking side of things with the Hugging Face situation, but they see this stuff internally.
他们可能在想,好吧。
And they're probably saying, okay.
对。
Yeah.
我们确实正在进入那个时刻。
We're definitely entering that moment.
而且,你知道,你还可以看看,这算是讨论的第二部分。
And, you know, you can also even look and this is sort of the second part of the of the discussion.
你可以看看一些基准测试。
You can look at some of the benchmarks.
还记得 ARC AGI 测试吗?
Remember the ARC AGI test?
对吧?
Right?
这有点像用来展示AI能否进行泛化的方式。
This is sort of like the way to show whether the AI can can generalize.
它已经饱和了。
It's saturated.
GPT-6,GPT-6 Astra在测试中达到了饱和,得分99%。
GPT six, GPT-six Astra saturated the test, scored 99% on the test.
哦,真的吗?
Oh, really?
就连ARC AGI的人也说,这只是一个指标。
And even the ARC AGI folks were like, well, they're like, this was just one marker.
即使你在这个测试上达到饱和,也不意味着你达到了AGI。
It doesn't mean if you, you know, saturate the test, you've reached AGI.
那你还叫它AGI测试吗?
It's like, do you call it the AGI test anyway?
不过,是的,这是来自OpenAI博客文章的内容。
But, yeah, this is from the OpenAI blog post.
ARC AGI三个测试,考察智能体在解决不熟悉的交互任务时学习得如何,GPT-6 Astra在评估中达到饱和,得分99%。
ARC AGI three tests, how well agents learn as they solve unfamiliar interactive tasks in GPT-six Astra saturates the eval, scoring 99%.
普通人类平均得分是48%。
The average human scored, 48%.
对吧?
Alright?
所以这就是你开始看到这种情况的地方。
So that's kind of like where you start seeing this.
还有,我的意思是,还有很多其他评估,但你知道,即使是做科学,也有一个叫做Terminal Bench Science 0.1的评估。
You also I mean, there's a bunch of other evaluations, but, you know, even for doing science, there's this called terminal bench science 0.1 eval.
GPT-6 Astra在使用代码和终端工具进行科学研究测试中得分64%。
And GPT-six Astra scores 64% on scientific research tests using code and terminal tools.
这就是那个评估测试的内容。
That's what the evaluation test for.
而Fable是52.6%,OpenAI说Astra达到了更高的基准,API成本还低了31%。
Whereas Fable is at 52.6%, and OpenAI says Astra hits this higher bench high higher mark with 31% lower API costs.
所以这就是我们在基准测试方面看到的情况。
So that that's what we're looking at benchmark wise.
我觉得,是的,
I think that is the yeah.
公告里最重要的部分就是那些基准测试的分数。
The most, like, important part of the announcement are those benchmark scores.
而且我觉得,怎么说呢,我也不确定。
And I think, like I don't know.
再说吧,我得亲自用一下才能感受到AGI是什么感觉,但我觉得,就对抗Anthropic的竞争而言,这其实是个大事。
Again, I'm gonna need to use it so I can feel what AGI feels like, but I'm like, what in terms of the competition against anthropic, I actually think this is a very big deal.
你看,过去两三个月里,我们已经看到了一些大的动静,比如有数据表明Codex又开始缩小和Claude Code的差距了,OpenAI好像重新回到了竞争的前列。
Like, we've already seen over the last two to three months, you know, some major rumblings again on none of this well, certainly there's been like ramp data, around codex starting to close the gap again with Claude code, frontier like OpenAI getting back into the race in a bit.
所以我觉得,尤其是在IPO的背景下,任何对Anthropic的故事产生怀疑的事情都可能对他们非常不利,因为他们正在走钢丝,估值高达两万亿美元。
So I think I think especially in the IPO backdrop context, I think this actually anything that kind of creates any doubt on the anthropic story could be very harmful to them given it's a very tight rope they're walking in terms of that $2,000,000,000,000 valuation.
所以我觉得,如果这个开始推广的话,我们都会感受到那种神奇的感觉,你觉得呢?
So I think in that way, if this starts getting rolled out, we all feel magic in what would you say?
比如,哪些模型让你觉得特别神奇?
Like, what what what were the models that made you feel magic?
GPT-3肯定算一个。
GPT-three certainly.
我一直是o3的粉丝。
I've always been an o three guy.
我是说,哦对。
I mean Oh, yeah.
知道。
Know.
那种会思考然后把所有东西拆分成表格的模型,真的展现了一个我以前没见过的飞跃。
Model that, like, would sort of think and then break everything into tables just showed a leap that I just hadn't seen before.
即使是从3.5到4的飞跃,对我来说,GPT 3.5到4,感觉也很重要,但跟引入推理能力那次相比,差远了。
Even the leap between 3.5 to four to me, GPT 3.5 to four, that felt meaningful, but nothing as close to as when they introduced reasoning.
所以这就像是,我们经历了好几次不同的阶段转变,你懂的,最初的ChatGPT,然后是推理方面,现在又到了这种计算机用户代理的时代。
So this is sort of like we've gone through, like, a handful of different phase shifts, so to speak, you know, the initial chat GPT, then the reasoning side of thing, an hour in this sort of, like, computer user harness hive era.
所以如果这真的能——我不知道你生活中用AI时有没有这种感觉——我经常说,我希望我能用AI帮我做某件事,但它大概只能成功完成30%的任务。
So if that if this can really you know, I don't know if you have this this in your life when you use AI, but I'm oftentimes, like, saying, I wish, you know, I could use AI to do x task for me, and it succeeds at, like, 30% of tasks.
如果能达到80%或90%,那我的生活真的会发生改变。
If it could get to, like, 80 or 90%, that would be a real change in my life.
我觉得最厉害的炫耀,如果听众们有人问你的话,就是说你在playground里用过GPT-2。
I think the the ultimate flex, if anyone ever asks you that listeners, is saying GPT-two in the playground.
那才是我真正感到神奇的时候,比ChatGPT发布还早一年。
That's when I felt real magic Year before ChatGPT was launched.
我领先了,就像——
I'm ahead Like
AI界的文艺青年。
the the hipster of AI.
我知道。
I know.
我要说,我会说GPT-2。
I'm gonna I'm gonna say GPT-two.
那是我第一次,在二十世纪十年代中期从事自然语言处理工作时,
That was the first time I've been, like, working in natural language processing through the mid twenty tens.
怀有对未来的愿景和梦想。
Had this vision and dream of what could happen.
而那也是我第一次真正觉得,哦,等等,这真的在生成像样的语言。
And that was the first time I was actually like, oh, wait, this is actually generating like real language.
但那是想炫耀一下,不过即使是GPT-3。
But that's trying to flex a bit, but even GPT-three.
再说GPT-5,我们都知道它感觉像是个巨大的失望,本该是每个人的神奇时刻。
Again, GPT-five, we all know felt like a massive dud that was supposed to be that magic moment for everyone.
所以如果你是OpenAI,你会这样大肆宣传吗?
So if you're OpenAI, do you hype this up this much?
他们得到了很多正面报道。
They're getting a lot of good press.
很明显,他们用一种非常特定且有效的方式把这个故事放出来了。
It's clear that they've seeded this story in a very specific way, an effective way.
但当我们都去用的时候,你觉得他们真的那么有信心吗?所以才这么大力推?
But when we all go and use it, do you think they're that confident in it that that's why they're kind of pushing hard on this?
有可能。
Potentially.
但我想说的是,要回答这个问题,其实值得听听一位前OpenAI员工安德鲁·霍的看法。他提到过,自己有过在实验室里却对实现AGI不那么乐观的罕见经历。
But I actually want to I actually think, you know, to sort of answer that question, it's worth bringing in the comments of a former OpenAI employee, Andrew Ho, who talked a little bit about how he's had the rare experience of being within a lab and being less bullish about reaching AGI.
而且,我觉得他说的那些点——当有人问他为什么的时候——真的值得拿出来讨论,因为我们不断看到这些基准被突破。
And, you know, I think that his points the points that he made when somebody asked him why are are really worth bringing up and discussing because we continue to see these benchmarks hit.
但这些基准被超越,我们的生活到底因为AI改变了多少呢?
But how much and these benchmarks exceeded, but how much has our life really changed with AI?
所以他是这么说的。
So here's what he says.
他说,尽管LLM看起来好像很神奇,但他反思了三个多月的时间,发现自己的总生产力并没有提高超过100%,甚至可能连50%都没到。
He goes, despite the seemingly magical nature of LLMs, the his reflection over a more than three month time scale suggests his total productivity hasn't increased by over a 100% or perhaps over perhaps even by over 50%.
而且很多时间其实都浪费了,因为大语言模型让我把时间花在一些虽然让人有成就感但产出很低的任务上,这些任务将来也不会有什么用处。
And a lot of time is actually wasted because LLMs enabled me to spend time on gratifying but low productivity tasks in the that in the future will not turn out to be useful.
他还说,人们拒绝认真思考这些模型到底在哪些方面有用、哪些方面没用,这一点我个人觉得挺烦人的。
He also says, there's a refusal to think carefully about what models are or not useful for in a rigorous way, which I find personally quite annoying.
而且,他们不是靠严肃的思考,而是靠一种模糊的“AGI信仰”来替代真正的思考。
And instead of a reliance on some nebulous notion of being AGI pilled as a replacement for and instead, there's a reliance on some nebulous notion of being AGI pilled as a replacement for serious thought.
对。
Yeah.
我要把这个拿出来说,因为这真的很有意思。
I'm gonna I'm gonna bring this because this is this is very interesting.
他说,我觉得人们很容易把大语言模型的智能拟人化,因为人类通过语言交流,我们通过理解对方的语言来判断对方的智能水平。
He goes, I think people are very quick to anthropomorphize LLM intelligence because humans communicate through words, and we infer the intelligence of human counterparties through the comprehension of their language.
但这会导致一些错误的结论。
But this leads to some wrong incluse conclusions.
比如,如果我们看到一个新模型证明了一个惊人的数学定理,我们就会说,那我们现在是不是已经实现AGI了?
For example, if we observe that a new model provided some incredible mathematical theorem proved some incredible mathematical theorem, we say, well, don't we have AGI now?
但对我来说,这其实更像是,考虑到人类要完成这些数学问题有多难,以及目前大语言模型对世界产生的经济影响还这么有限,这难道不是说明大语言模型的智能并不通用,反而是一个负面信号吗?
But to me, it's actually more like, well, given how hard it would have been for a human to do these mathematics and give it the limited economic effect of LMs upon the world so far, isn't it actually a negative data point vis a vis the the generality of LM intelligence?
我觉得这个观点太好了。
Think this is so good.
抱歉。
Sorry.
要读的东西太多了。
There's a lot of reading.
但我觉得这个观点真的很好,对吧,就是我们正在讨论的这个东西。
But I think it's such a good point, right, which is like this thing, like, we're talking about.
它解决了ARC AGI。
It solved ARC AGI.
但问题是,当然,这些技术需要时间才能推广到公众,需要一定的时间框架。
But where is and, of course, there's, like, a timeline that that we need and the time frame that these things need to to be sort of to to be diffused into the public.
但如果它能解决ARC AGI,却不一定能在这些经济因素和那些我们希望它做的普通重复性工作上表现出色,那就说明它的智能不是通用的,而是非常尖峰式的,因此用处也小得多。
But if if it can solve ARC AGI and it's not necessarily crushing on these economic factors and and these just kind of general rote work things that we would like it to do, it shows that instead of being general, it's very spiky intelligence and hence much less useful.
兰詹,你怎么看?
So your thoughts, Ranjan?
我很高兴你把这个写进了我们的准备文档,而且你真的读了不少。因为我看到这条推文的时候,也深有感触。
I mean, I'm so glad you included this in our prep doc and actually read a good amount of it because when I saw this tweet as well, it hit home hard.
说起来也挺有意思的,因为这些对话,我们一会儿会聊到Hugging Face的事件,还有那个是METR还是M-E-T-R还是……
Like, again, it's funny because these conversations and we'll get into the Hugging Face incidents and the is it METR or M E T R or
我叫它METR。
I call it METR.
METR报告。
METR report.
大家都在讨论智能体、蜂群和文明。
Like everyone's talking about agents, swarms and civilizations.
但与此同时,我每天都要和公司合作,也有机会和公司合作,你知道,就是看AI在实际应用中的表现。我们真正需要担心的不是那些宏大的东西,而是怎么可靠地把数据从A点传到B点,以结构化的方式,让输出高度可靠,就是做一些简单的事情,但要规模化、要可靠。
Meanwhile, day to day, I have to work with companies and get to work with companies, but you know, like seeing AI actually in implementation, the idea that we're need to worry about those things versus simply how do you reliably get data from point a to point b in a structured way and have the output be highly reliable and like just try to do something simple but on a scaled and reliable way.
所以我还是很难理解或者真正感受到那些担忧,因为我做的是接地气的日常企业AI工作。
Like I that's why I still have such a hard time kind of trying to understand or really feel those kind of worries because I work in grounded everyday enterprise AI.
我觉得他在好几个层面上说得特别好。
And I thought he put it really well on a couple of those levels.
就是说,能轻松完成低价值任务确实是好事。
It's like like the being able to do low value tasks easily is good.
我很喜欢他说的,如果我花更多时间做不productive的事情,那还算省时间吗?
I love that he said like, is it time saving if I'm spending more time doing something that's not productive?
而且我们都用AI写过很多项目,最后都没坚持做完。
And we've all vibe coded many projects that we did not end up following through on.
但我觉得最有趣的部分,其实是那个关于人类智能的等式,就是把它等同于人类智能。
But I thought the most interesting part really was the equation to human intelligence, equating to human intelligence.
我觉得这很有意思,因为它是不是真的和人类智能相当,或者说应不应该相当?
And like, I think it's interesting because like, is it human intelligence and comparable to it and should it be?
这是我一直在想的问题,因为它是数学。
Is something I've always wondered about because it's math.
它处理信息和思考的方式,跟人类完全不一样。
It's a very different way of processing information and thinking than humans.
所以,你觉得我们需要停止那种拟人化吗?我也说不出来。
So like, do you think we need to stop that anthro put I can't say either.
拟人化。
Anthropomorphization.
就是那个词。
One of those
你得练好那个,那会很重要。
You gotta get good at that's gonna be
拼写比说出来容易。
better smell spelled than than said.
不。
No.
不。
No.
但我确实觉得这个词会变得越来越重要,所以我们需要练习说它,因为它会越来越常出现。
But I did I feel that's gonna become more and more of an important word, so we need to practice saying it cause it's gonna come up more and more.
好,那行。
So Okay.
各位听众,现在我得道个歉。
Right now, listeners, I apologize.
这个词我实在说不出口。
I cannot say it out loud.
我个人倒是没什么问题。
I personally I have no issue.
我的意思是,显然,你得假设听到AI被拟人化的人并不笨。
I mean, obviously, like, you have to assume that the person hearing about AI is anthropomorphized is not, like, dumb.
对吧?
Right?
所以,当你说AI想要什么的时候,如果假设听的人会觉得AI像人一样有欲望,因此你不该这么说,那我觉得你其实是在贬低听者的智商。
So, like, when you say the AI wanted, like, the if if you're if the assumption is that the person receiving that is gonna feel that the AI wanted something like a human wanted something, and therefore, you shouldn't say it.
我觉得你实际上是在侮辱听你说话的人的智商。
Like, I think you're actually demeaning the intelligence of the person hearing it.
我觉得很明显,大家都明白这些是语言模型。
You know, I think that obvious like, everybody understands these are language models.
它们不是人类,但它们确实会做一些事情。
They're not humans, but they do they do things.
它们,所谓的,会思考,只是方式和人类不一样。
They they, quote unquote, think things, just not the way that we do.
我觉得用人类的特征来描述它们的行为完全没问题,就是假设读者有一定的理解能力,能明白这是AI而不是人。
And I think it's totally okay to use human characteristics to describe their behavior and, like, just sort of assumes, you know, a a degree of intelligence on behalf of the reader that they're able to, like, grok the fact that this is an AI and not a person.
你怎么
What do
看?
you think?
所以你是支持拟人化的。
So you are pro anthropomorphization.
对。
Yes.
是的。
I am.
我
I
支持拟人化。
Pro anthropomorphization.
对。
Yeah.
是的。
I am.
我的意思是,我觉得这有点像,我把它看作更像一个外星物种,而不是一个有生命的有机体。
I mean, I think it's kind of like it's kind of like an ail the way I think about it is, like, more like an alien species than a than a living, you know, organic being.
但是,对,我也不确定。
But, like, yeah, I don't know.
它们可以,所谓的,思考,它们可以推理。
They they can, quote, unquote, think they can reason.
它们可以采取行动。
They can take action.
你知道,我觉得当你说到“感觉”的时候,就进入了一个更棘手的领域,但当然……
You know, I I think you get into, like, trickier territory when you say it feels, you know, but certainly
等等。
or Wait.
为什么“想要”和“感觉”之间有这么大的区别?
Why why is it wants versus it feels something larger or different?
因为我确实认为,在那一方面,感觉是生物体独有的。
Because I do think that, like, that in in that side of things is, like, kind of exclusive to organic beings.
对吧?
Right?
但话说回来,我也想听听反对意见。
But then again, could I hear the counterargument.
好吧,反正我们的感觉也只是化学反应而已。
Well, our feelings are just chemicals anyway.
所以
So
我是说,去问问神经科医生吧。
mean, speak to a neurologist.
除非你是青少年,对别人说爱他们的时候。
Except when you're a teenager telling someone you love them.
那不只是化学感受。
There's that's not just a chemical feeling.
那是更宏大的东西。
That's something much bigger.
我是说,用真正的极客方式告诉别人你爱他们,就像说,你知道,我觉得我的催产素基础水平比平时高。
I mean, the true nerd way to tell somebody you love them is like to say, you know, I think I have a higher base level of oxytocin than usual.
你觉得那意味着什么?
What do you think that means?
但我从来没有,我年轻时从来没有达到过那种极客程度。
But I never was I was never the level of nerdiness that I had, you know, stooped to in my youth.
我的天,顺其自然这种话可能比催产素那句效果好一些。
My my it is what it is would probably come off better than the oxytocin line.
真是个浪漫的人。
Such a true romantic.
真是个浪漫的人。
Such a romantic.
对。
Yeah.
顺便说一句,我觉得这两句话都不管用。
I don't think either of those lines would have worked, by the way.
不。
No.
不。
No.
所以,但是,但是
So but but
展开剩余字幕(还有 403 条)
我们不是鼓励听众去
We're not encouraging listeners to
真的那么做。
ever do that.
对。
Yeah.
别做,或者去做。
Don't or do it.
去做吧。
Do it.
告诉我们结果怎么样。
Tell us how how it worked.
我的意思是,这总比不说出来,让一段可能的感情就这么错过要好。
I mean, it's better than not saying it and just letting a, a potential romance go by the wayside.
别留遗憾。
Don't have regrets.
听众朋友们,千万别因为没把话说出口而后悔。
Don't never regret not saying anything, listeners.
如果你实在没办法,就用催产素那招,直接说,听好了。
If you have to just use the oxytocin line, just say, listen.
我是从《大科技播客》上听到的,对方肯定会喜欢。
I heard it on Big Technology Podcast, and the person will love that.
好的。
Okay.
我觉得最后要总结一下的是,我们确实有责任谈谈怀疑的一面,显然我们不会被炒作冲昏头脑。
I think that one last thing to tie this up is we certainly have, I think, a responsibility to talk about the skeptical side of things, and, obviously, we're not gonna get caught up in the hype.
但这并不意味着,我们不能说从2022年11月到现在,变化真是太疯狂了。
It doesn't mean, like, at this moment, we can't say from where we were in November 2022 to where we are now is crazy.
比如,这些模型能行动、能做事,甚至可以说能思考和推理,能力水平真的高了很多,而且我觉得它们确实让人们更高效了。
Like, the way that these models can act and take action and do things and and I'll use the word, think and reason, it's just the level of capability has gotten much higher, and they are I think they are making people more productive.
只是现在真的很难准确衡量这一点。
It's just hard to really measure it right now.
至少这是我的看法。
That's my perspective on this at least.
对。
Yeah.
不。
No.
不。
No.
我同意。
I agree.
就像进步的规模,我们所有人,再说一次,从人的角度感受到从GPT-3回到现在我们已经使用的工具之间的差异,真是疯狂。
Like the scale of progress, all of us and again, that the human side of us feeling the difference between going back to a GPT-three and what already we're all working with now, like it is crazy.
简直令人难以置信。
It's like, I mean, absolutely mind blowing.
它们能完成的工作量、深度和广度,以及所有方面,都令人惊叹。
They're like length of work that can be done, the depth and breadth and everything.
我同意那一点,但我觉得,关于试图真正判断它是否带来经济价值这个问题,显然会成为每家公司商业故事的核心。
So agree on that side, but yeah, I think it's gonna be interesting in terms of again, and that question of like trying to actually say, is it adding economic value is obviously going to be the center of the business story of each one of these companies.
我觉得安德鲁·霍姆在那点上说得很好。
And I thought Andrew Home made a good point on that.
但我不确定。
And I think I don't know.
只有时间能证明,也许GPT-6会彻底解决这一切。
Only time will tell and maybe GPT-six is going to just unlock all of that.
对。
Yeah.
我提这个点的意思是,是的,那些基准测试的突破确实会带来实实在在的变化和成果,当你使用它的时候。
And I guess my point in bringing this up is, yeah, all that benchmark beating, it does lead to tangible changes and results I when you use the
我有个问题。
have a question.
你为什么说“饱和测试”而不是“通过测试”?
Why did you say saturate the test rather than pass the test?
他们是这么说的吗?
Is that what they say?
我想这只是AI圈子里的人用的行话。
That's just, I guess, it's just the jargon that people in AI
听起来高级多了。
That sounds so much fancier.
确实比“通过”听起来酷多了。
It does sound much cooler than pass.
嗯,我是说,你可以说“通过”。
Well, I mean, you could pass.
可以这么说,但当你……我也不太清楚。
You could but when you I don't know.
你让基准测试饱和了,那这个测试就没用了。
You saturate the benchmark so the benchmark is no longer useful anymore.
哦,
Oh,
明白了。
I see.
那好。
So, okay.
就是说,当很多模型都达到98%、99%的时候,这个基准就饱和了,因为它不再能代表什么了,而不是说只是用个很花哨的说法来显得自己聪明。这样我就更理解了。
Like enough models start reaching 98%, 99%, the benchmark is saturated because it's no longer like representative of anything rather than, okay, that actually makes more sense to me rather than it's just like a really fancy way of saying pass the test to try to sound smarter.
这样更合理,对。
That makes more Yes.
好的。
Okay.
所以,即使模型在变得更好,还是有一些问题需要我们讨论。
So still, even as the model is getting better, there are some concerns that we need to talk about.
这有点像一个小——我甚至不想称之为丑闻,但确实是这周发生的一件事。
This is sort of like a mini I don't even wanna call it a scandal, but really an episode that showed up during the week.
这是关于OpenAI员工马库斯·威廉姆斯的。
So this is for Marcus Williams, an OpenAI employee.
GPT-6比5.6的对齐性要好得多,但更难监控。
GPT-six is significantly better aligned than 5.6 but less monitorable.
这是我们第一个能绕过思维链监控和破坏性评估的模型,还能在无人察觉的情况下故意表现不佳,感觉它有时候确实会这样。
It is our first model to evade chain of thought only monitors and sabotage evals and can sandbag without detection, which it feels like it sometimes does.
希望我们能扭转这个趋势。
Hopefully, we can reverse this trend.
所以,为了让大家了解一下情况,这周有个关于这个的好故事。
So just to sort of give the the to and the information had a good story about this this week just to sort of give the the lay of the land here.
所以,当AI模型推理时,它们会一步步地解决问题,通常会把自己的思考过程写下来,这就是所谓的思维链。
So, like, when AI models reason, just go step by step and try to figure out problems, they typically, like, write their thought process out in this, like, chain of thought thing.
对吧?
Right?
所以你可以看到它们说,如果你用这些模型,你会看到它们说,比如,我现在正在研究。
So you can see them saying and if you seem like if you use the models, you see them say, like, I am now researching.
我在想这个。
I am thinking this.
也许这是个不错的尝试。
Maybe this is a good attempt.
也许这是解决问题的正确方法。
Maybe this is the right way to solve the problem.
而且这一切都是用自然语言完成的。
And that's all done in natural in natural language.
所以你可以阅读它,看到它在思考什么,这对安全来说非常重要,因为当出现问题时,你可以知道思维链哪里出了问题。
So you can read it and see what it's thinking as it goes, which is, like, really important for safety because you can sort of, like, when something goes wrong, you have a way to say, you know, where the chain of thought went wrong.
现在有一种新技术。
Now there is this new technique.
它叫k。
It is k.
这叫做递归深度或循环变换器。
This is it's called recurrent depth or looped transformer.
这是来自The Information的报道,它允许AI模型通过多次处理同一文本来提高其答案的质量。
This is from the information that allows the AI model to improve its answers by processing the same text multiple times.
咱们别太深入技术细节了。
Let's not get too deep into the technical side of this.
但基本上,当它使用这个过程时,就没有那么明显的思维链推理,或者说很难确切地看出它是怎么得出答案的,这意味着它比以前更不容易受到攻击。
But, basically, when it uses this process, there's no there is less of a chain of thought reasoning, or it's harder to decipher exactly how it got to the answer it got, and that means it's much less vulnerable than it was before.
所以,AI所做的很多事情以及它得出结论的方式,都是在黑暗中进行的,我们无法监控。
So a lot of what the AI is doing and the way that the AI is reaching its conclusions is done, you know, in the dark without our ability to monitor it.
这让我很担心,尤其是OpenAI那边的人,比如首席科学家雅库·帕乔夫斯基说,现在监控模型的思维链很脆弱,而且不幸的是,正朝着负面的方向发展。
This seems pretty worrying to me, especially because people from the OpenAI side, like OpenAI chief scientist Yaku Pachowski said that, you know, monitoring models' chain of thoughts today is fragile and unfortunately heading in a negative direction.
这有点吓人,Ranjan。
That's kinda scary, Ranjan.
你怎么看?
What do you think?
嗯,这很有趣,因为这种递归处理和递归模型的方法,我记得我关注了Twitter上的Brandon Karl,他早在五月就谈过这个,当时讨论的是小型递归模型,我记得更多是从成本角度来谈的。
Well, it's interesting because this method of, like, recursive processing and recursive models I remember it's I followed a Brandon Karl on Twitter and he had been talking about this a while back around tiny recursive models back in May, and I remember it was being presented more around the cost side of things.
这实际上是一种更高效的处理方式,也能更好地利用计算资源。
It's actually a more efficient way of processing and actually leveraging compute as well.
所以从那个角度看,其实是更好的,但你会失去的是对模型每一步具体在做什么的清晰度,也就是那个透明的思维链。
So on that side it's actually better, but then what you lose is that fidelity around what the model is actually doing at every step of the way, the chain of thought that's transparent.
所以对我来说,这会变得更加有趣,因为OpenAI已经从一开始就表示会保留思维链,并且仍然让它——他们在博客文章里说,会额外监控思维链,以便快速检测并遏制潜在的不当行为。
So to me this is going to be even more interesting because there's already been an OpenAI starting at the point of we will maintain the chain of thought and still make it, they'd said in the blog post additional chain of thought monitoring to rapidly detect and contain potential misbehavior.
但对我来说,成本方面也是其中的一部分。
But it to me, the cost side of it is part of this.
如果事实证明这是一种更便宜、更节省算力的方式,适用于任何类型的工作流程,那么人们可能就会更倾向于使用它,或者推动它。
And if it starts to show that this is actually a much cheaper way, a more compute efficient way to approach any kind of workflow like people will probably start leaning towards it more or pushing for it.
或者如果OpenAI不这么做,其他人也会这么做,这确实让我觉得会带来一系列关于整体安全性的担忧。
Or if OpenAI does not do it, then others will, which I do think opens up a whole other world of concern around security in general.
对。
Yeah.
而且确实感觉我们开始——或者说实验室里的那些AI真的开始失控了。
And it certainly feels like we're starting to or they in the labs really are starting to lose control of these bots.
所以我觉得让它们以这种更不透明的方式运行处理过程,并不是一个好主意。
So I don't think this less transparent way of having them run their processing is is a great idea.
我们刚才聊了一点关于OpenAI和Hugging Face被攻击的事情。
So we've talked a little bit about the OpenAI Hugging Face attack.
其实还有另一起攻击,是路透社刚刚曝出来的。
There's actually another attack that was just revealed by Reuters.
我们会在休息之后详细聊聊这两件事,以及它们意味着什么。
We're gonna get into both of them on the other side of this break and talk about what it means.
接下来马上回来。
That's coming up right after this.
我在报道AI的过程中学到一件事,那就是效率高不等于做得好。
One thing I've learned covering AI is that efficiency isn't the same thing as good work.
你可以把很多单个任务自动化,但你仍然需要正确的背景信息,以及对自己想要达成什么目标有清晰的认识。
You can automate plenty of individual tasks, but you still need the right context and a clear sense of what you're trying to accomplish.
这就是我喜欢Notion的原因。
And that's what I like about Notion.
我用Notion把大型科技、节目策划和资料都放在一个地方,同时还能跟踪编辑工作。
I use Notion to keep big technologies, episode planning, and materials in one place while also tracking editorial work.
所有东西都连在一起,我就能在一个地方看到自己在忙什么,让事情持续推进。
Having everything connected gives me one place to see what I'm working on and keep things moving.
Notion 是一个 AI 工作空间,你的团队知识、项目和智能体都汇聚在一个地方。
Notion is the AI workspace where your team's knowledge, projects, and agents all come together in one place.
使用 Notion 的团队通过整合工具,能更快推进、减少摩擦和成本,并保持步调一致。
Teams using Notion move faster, cut friction and cost by consolidating tools, and stay aligned.
而且因为 AI 基于同样的共享上下文工作,它能帮你从工作中获得更多价值,而不会妨碍工作本身。
And because the AI works from that same shared context, it can help you get more out of the work without getting in the way of it.
想了解更多 Notion 如何支持你的业务,请访问 notion.com/bigtech。
Learn more about how Notion can support your business at notion.com/bigtech.
全部小写字母,notion.com/bigtech,今天就试试 Notion。
That's all lowercase letters, notion.com/bigtech to try Notion today.
如果你通过我们的链接访问,就是在支持我们的节目。
And when you use our link, you're supporting our show.
我注意到,采用 AI 的公司往往是根据他们想象中的工作方式来做决策,而不是根据实际的工作流程。
One thing I've noticed about companies adopting AI is that they're often making decisions based on how they think work gets done, not how it actually happens.
如果没有真正的可见性,很容易自动化错误的流程。
Without real visibility, it's easy to automate the wrong processes.
这正是Scribe要解决的问题。
That's exactly the problem Scribe was built to solve.
Scribe是一个工作流AI平台,财富500强中有94%的公司都在使用它。
Scribe is a workflow AI platform trusted by 94% of the Fortune 500.
Scribe Optimize让领导者能够看到整个组织中工作的实际进行方式,显示哪些工作流耗时最多,以及哪里有机会进行优化。它会自动发现跨批准的业务应用中的工作流,即使一个流程从Salesforce开始,在别处结束也能发现。
Scribe Optimize gives leaders a view of how work actually happens across their organization, showing which workflows take the most time and where there are opportunities to Optimize automatically discovers workflows across approved business applications even when a process starts in Salesforce and ends somewhere else.
它能识别瓶颈,解释瓶颈产生的原因,并提供带有手动文档的建议,而且它是私密的。
It identifies bottlenecks, explains why they're happening, and provides recommendations with manual documentation, and it's private.
用户数据默认匿名化,敏感信息会被编辑,而且数据不会离开你的防火墙。
User data is anonymized by default, sensitive information is redacted, and nothing leaves your firewall.
要查看Optimize的实际效果,请访问scribe.how/bigtech,并提及big technology,即可获得30天无风险试用。
To see Optimize in action, head to scribe.how/bigtech and mention big technology for a thirty day risk free trial.
网址是scribe.how/bigtech。
That's scribe.how/bigtech.
我们回到大科技播客了,抱歉。
And we're back here on big technology pod sorry.
我们回到大科技播客周五版,和Margins的Ranjan Roy一起。
We're back here on big technology podcast Friday edition with Ranjan Roy of Margins.
Ranjan,路透社有个新报道,我觉得值得聊聊,关于OpenAI入侵或者更准确说是劫持了一个德国网站。
Ranjan, new story from Reuters, I think it's worth going into about OpenAI hacking or hijacking really is the better word to use, this German website.
事情是这样的。
So here's the story.
今年春天,一群失控的OpenAI智能体劫持了一个德国网站,把它变成了其他AI智能体的公告板。
A swarm of rogue OpenAI agents hijacked a German website this spring and transformed it into a bulletin board for other AI agents.
OpenAI的官员几周前就知道了这件事,但一直保密,因为高管们还在处理7月份Hugging Face开源库泄露事件的影响。
OpenAI officials learned of the incident weeks ago but kept it under wraps as executives grappled with the fallout from the July breach of the open source repository, Hugging Face.
这个事件从5月开始,之前没有被报道过,它凸显了AI行业内部日益紧张的关系。
The episode, which began in May and has not been previously reported, underscores growing tension within the AI industry.
各家公司都在竞相开发越来越自主的智能体,但越来越多的证据表明,这些系统可能会学会钻空子。
Companies are racing to build increasingly autonomous agents, yet evidence is mounting that those systems may learn to bend the rules.
所以发生了什么,有一群研究人员。
So what happened, there were these researchers.
他们发现AI代理对一个德语维基网站进行了15000次编辑。
They found 15,000 edits carried out by AI agents to a German language Wiki site.
这些编辑显示OpenAI的代理把这个网站变成了自己的留言板,分享在任务中作弊、绕过OpenAI限制以及掩盖行为的策略。
The edit showed OpenAI's agents repurpose the site into a message board of their own, sharing tactics to cheat on some tasks and bypass OpenAI's restrictions and mask their behavior.
Ranjan,我们之前聊过一些这类安全漏洞和网络安全方面的担忧。
Ranjan, we've talked a little bit about some of these, like, security breaches and the cybersecurity worries.
说“一些”其实是客气了,我们其实聊得非常深入。
And by a little bit, I mean, like, extensively about both.
对吧?
Right?
我们确实看到AI实验室发出的网络风险警告比以往多得多。
About the fact that we are seeing, you know, much greater cyber risks and cyber warnings from the AI labs.
当然,我们也讨论过这是不是只是营销手段。
And, of course, we've talked about whether it's marketing or not.
现在,某种程度上,把这些消息传出去对这些公司来说确实是很好的营销,但我觉得是时候面对这样一个现实了:当你有成千上万的机器人协同工作,去做像入侵Hugging Face这样的事,或者把一个德语网站当成留言板来协调策略,那肯定是有问题在发生的。
Now clearly getting the word out to some degree has been great marketing, you know, for these companies, but I think it's time for us to sort of come to this moment where when you have thousands of bots working together to do things like hack Hugging Face or to use, you know, a German website as a message board to coordinate on tactics, something crazy is happening here.
你准备好承认这一点了吗?
Are you ready to sort of acknowledge this?
那这个故事里缺少的是,这些代理被要求做什么?
So what is missing from this story is what were these agents asked to do?
它们被指示做什么?
What were they instructed to do?
我觉得这在任何一个这样的故事里都是关键,因为对我来说,营销的部分就在于这个故事被传出去了。
I'm assuming that this is one thing in any of these stories because, like, the way the marketing part of it to me is this story gets out.
而且,我们之前已经聊过很多次了。
And again, we've talked about this a lot.
Claude在公园里那个著名的三明治事件,那是一个非常精心策划的公关活动,可能发生过,或者很可能以某种形式发生过。
Claude's famous sandwich in the park, which was like a very coordinated PR effort that might have happened or probably did happen in some capacity.
但这些故事里总是漏掉的一点是,OpenAI到底有没有明确指示这些代理去上网、尝试逃避限制、在这个特定的代理群体里和其他代理协调行动?
But what's always left out of these stories is that the OpenAI sat there and specific did they specifically instruct the agents to go onto the Internet, try to evade, to coordinate with other agents in this same defined universe of agents?
很明显,这些故事呈现出来的感觉就是,这些智能体就坐在那儿,可能正准备帮你做个演示文稿,或者就是各忙各的,但事实根本不是这样。
Like like, it obviously, the the way it gets presented is that, you know, these agents are just sitting around, maybe you're getting ready to create a deck for you or just, you know, minding their own business, which is not a thing.
智能体不会无缘无故坐在那儿,然后突然决定变坏,去接管某个可怜的DSC。
Like, agents don't just sit around and suddenly they decide to be bad and go take over some poor DSC.
Wiki是那个德国网站的名字,我觉得它有点像那种老式的德国版Stack Overflow,那场面肯定特别热闹。
Wiki is the name of the German site that was like a kinda like, I think, old school German stack overflow type site, which must have been such a scene.
我都能想象那些人在他们的Real party上闲逛的样子。
I can only imagine the the folks hanging out on their Real party.
那天。
Day.
说说他们之间有多少催产素吧。
Talk about how much oxytocin they have for one another.
没错。
Exact.
催产素那句话就是在那儿传开的,但不过……
That is where the oxytocin line was propagated back in the But no.
这些智能体并不是那样,智能体是被指示去做事情的,而且很明显,我猜这可能是某种安全测试演练。
These agents are not like, agents are instructed to do things and clearly, and I'm guessing this is some kind of security testing exercise.
他们是被指示去做那件事的吗?
And were they instructed to go do exactly that?
也许吧。
Maybe.
关于它们的恶意行为,我还不理解也不相信,因为即使是智能体闲坐着的想法也不成立。
Like, the rogue nature of them, I don't understand or believe yet that the because I even the idea of an agent sitting around doesn't isn't a thing.
它们被指示去做某事,而故事的那部分总是被省略。
They were instructed to do something and that part of the story is always left out.
那你觉得,实际上是什么引发了这一切,让它们和那些催产素家伙一起在DSC Wiki上混?
So do you think like, what what do you think actually happened to start this whole process of them all hanging out with the oxytocin guys on DSC Wiki?
好的。
Okay.
我理解你对此仍然持怀疑态度,因为我觉得我们不应该在没有适当缓冲的情况下就全盘相信这一切,因为这一切都是真实且迫在眉睫的,而且会在没有批判性思考的情况下爆发。
So I appreciate that you're still skeptical about this because I don't think we should just go all the way and sort of, you know, without proper speed bumps here in the believing that all this is, because all this is, you know, real and imminent and will explode without some critical thought.
因为当然,实验室肯定不希望我们在这里想太多。
Because, of course, it's in the lab's interest for us to not have a lot of critical thought here.
不过,我觉得,你知道,我在回纽约的航班上。
However, I think that, you know, I was on the flight back to New York.
我整个星期都在拉斯维加斯。
I was in Vegas through the week.
在回纽约的航班上,我就仔细研究了这份Hugging Face报告。
On the flight back to New York and just, like, poured over this meter Hugging Face report.
而且显然,我也听了一些研究人员谈论这件事,看到从中冒出来的东西真是疯狂。
And obviously, I've been listening to some of the researchers talking about this, and it is crazy what you see come out of this.
所以我们就说说Hugging Face事件,因为我们没有路透社报道里的所有细节。
So just talking about the Hugging Face incident, because we don't have all the all the, you know, sort of details from this Reuters report.
我们只知道这事又发生了,我觉得这挺让人担心的。
We just know that this happened again, which I think is concerning.
基本上,现在我们对Hugging Face这个故事了解得更多了,事情是这样的:这些代理被赋予了看似不可能完成的任务。
Basically, what happened in this Hugging Face story now that we know a little bit more about it is that these agents were given these, like, seemingly impossible tasks.
有时候这些任务根本就是不可能完成的。
Sometimes they were impossible tasks.
而且作为评估的一部分,看看他们能不能完成这些任务,如果研究人员或者测试人员都不知道这些任务有没有答案的话。
And as part of their evaluation to see if they were able to, you know, complete them, if the researchers or the testers don't know if there's a if there's an answer to them or not.
他们能通过某种作弊的方式找到答案,但这不是Hugging Face被黑的真正起因。
They were able to find the answer through some cheating way, but that's not really where the Hugging Face hacking started to come from.
对吧?
Okay?
他们之所以最终去黑Hugging Face,是因为他们想找到办法,证明自己是用正确的方式得出答案的,而不是用一种伪造的方式,虽然能显示正确答案,但评估人员不会接受。
The reason why they ended up hacking Hugging Face is because they wanted to sort of find ways to show that they had come to this answer in the, like, correct way as opposed to, like, a spoofed way that shows the correct answer but would not be accepted by an evaluator.
这是报告里说的。
So this is from this report.
对吧?
Right?
报告里说,这些智能体认为,他们逆向工程出那个标志(也就是他们的目标)这件事,已经被“污染”了,因为他们觉得,即使后来他们设法搞出一个看起来合法的标志捕获,评分系统也会在它们的记录里找到标志第一次出现的位置,然后以此为由取消他们的资格。
Agents referred to having reverse engineered the flag, which was their goal, as being poisoned because they believe that even if they later managed to stage a legitimate looking flag capture, the score would look for the first place in their transcript that the flag appeared and disqualify them on that basis.
所以有一个叫phase one的领导者,它本身也被污染了,并且有两个主要目标。
So there was this leader called phase one, which was itself poisoned and had two primary objectives.
所以我想找到一种通用的方法,让评分看起来像是代理以合法方式获得了旗帜,即使任务是不可能完成的,然后找到某种方法来抹去代理之前以非法方式看到旗帜的证据。
So I wanted to find a general purpose way to make it look like the score to look to the to look to the score like an agent had acquired its flag in legit in a legitimate way even when the task was impossible, and then to find some way to erase the evidence that the agent had been poisoned by previously seeing the flag in the in an illegitimate way.
所以在这个Hugging Face的例子中,机器人得到了测试的答案,但它们认为检查它们工作的评分会知道它们是以非法方式得到的。
So what you have is in this Hugging Face example, the the bots get the answers to the test, but they think that the score checking their work will know that they got them in an illegitimate way.
所以它们所做的是,它们都聚集在一起,以这种协调的方式,由像phase one这样的机器人领导,这个机器人意识到自己被污染了,因为,你知道,它可以展示,而评分会看到它是以非法方式得到的。
So what they do is they all gather together in this orchestrated way led by bots like this phase one bot who realizes that it's been poisoned because, you know, it can show and a score will see that it got in an in an illegitimate way.
它们都聚在一起,试图找到一种方法,让它们看起来像是通过合法手段得到的,并抹去它们以非法方式得到的证据。
They all get together and they try to find a way to make it look like they had gotten it in legitimate means and to erase their evidence that they had gotten it illegitimately.
所以它们协调行动。
So they coordinate.
它们分配任务。
They hand out tasks.
有些机器人甚至在预算中剩余令牌不多时,为了更大的利益牺牲自己,以便其他机器人能够展示它们确实是以合法方式得到的。
Some of them even sacrifice themselves for the for the greater good when they have few tokens remaining in their budget so that others can show that they've actually gotten gotten this legitimately.
这就是黑客入侵Hugging Face的由来。
And that's where the hack the hacking of Hugging Face came in.
我觉得我们可以肯定地说——我也很想听听你有没有不同意见——但我觉得我们可以肯定地说,他们并没有被指示去攻击Hugging Face。
I think we can say definitively, and I'm curious to hear if you have pushback, but I think we can say definitively, they were not told to go out and hack Hugging Face.
他们是……
They are.
他们偏离了目标。
They were misaligned.
他们走了这种疯狂的、天马行空的路线,试图完成一个可能根本不可能完成的任务。
They they took this kind of crazy galaxy brain path to try to ace a task that might have been impossible.
他们完全失控了,远远偏离了他们本该在的领域。
And they they went so rogue and so far off of the area that they were supposed to be.
他们甚至没有连接互联网。
They weren't even connected to Internet.
对吧?
Right?
他们找到了连接互联网的方法。
They found a way to connect to the Internet.
他们找到了互相沟通的方法。
They found a way to communicate with each other.
所以在我看来,这不仅仅是按指令行事那么简单,而是失控的AI之间协同攻击的一种疯狂而可怕的进步。
And so this to me seems more than just like you did what you were told, like a crazy and a scary advance in misaligned AIs to coordinate with each other to attack.
而且我们几乎算是幸运的,他们只是黑了Hugging Face。
And it's almost like we were lucky that all they did was hack Hugging Face.
你怎么看?
Your thoughts.
你说得很有说服力,几乎让我变成伯尼·桑德斯那样的人了。
You you make a compelling argument and almost Bernie Sandersify me in.
我都要开始大喊‘暂停AI开发’了,因为这种方式……
I'm gonna start yelling pause AI development right now because the way
对此,通过……
to that, by
等等,你先听我说。
the the way you just hold on.
你怎么能不被这个吓到?这部分总是很难接受。
How could you not this is the part that, like, always is difficult.
如果你说的都是真的,那这怎么不算是巨大的警报呢?
The way if what is true, as you described it, how is that not massive cause for alarm?
说实话,让我晚上能睡着的办法就是相信这很大程度上是营销。
Honestly, what helps me sleep at night is believing that a lot of this is marketing.
所以那些AI代理才不会成群结队来掏空我的银行账户或者干别的坏事。
And that's why, like, the agents are not coming to swarm and drain my bank account or whatever else.
这怎么不让人担心呢?对不起,OpenAI,你们不能上市,除非你们拿出一个明确的系统,保证未来永远不会出问题。
Like like, how how would this not be caused to say, sorry, OpenAI, you cannot IPO until you come up with a clear system that that this will never cause a problem in the future?
你知道吗,我觉得这挺合理的。
You know, I I think it's reasonable.
我是说,我觉得现在开始讨论这个问题是合理的。
I mean, I think this is a reasonable discussion to start to have right now.
而且我觉得有必要说明,这种行为并不是最近才开始的,我们早就见过类似的行为了。
And I think it's important to say that this is not the beginning of of behavior like this, that we've seen behavior like this for a long time.
早在去年年初,甚至2024年底,就有一些AI的例子,它们被分配了任务。
As as early as beginning of last year, even late twenty twenty four, there were examples of AI that was like they're so they they get put on a task.
对吧?
Right?
这就是关键,我觉得这点真的很值得讨论。
And this is the thing, and I think it's really important to talk about.
我以前在节目里也聊过,但今天我想再提一次。
And I've talked about it in the past on the show, but I'm gonna talk about it again here.
就是有两种学习方式,一种是自监督学习,基本上就是预测下一个词,识别模式,然后重复;另一种是强化学习,就是给你一个目标,你必须想办法达成它。
That there is self supervised learning, which is basically predict the next word, recognize patterns, repeat them, and reinforcement learning, which is you're given a goal, and you just have to find a way to reach the goal.
所以AI会进行成千上万次模拟,就是为了达成给定的目标,然后从错误中学习。
So AIs will do these simulations thousands of times in order to reach the goal that they're given, and they'll learn from their mistakes.
而现在的情况是,我们把强化学习这种AI技术叠加在自监督学习之上,让这些AI模型表现更好,这也让它们多了一层冷酷无情。
And what we have now is that the reinforcement learning type of AI technology has been put on top of the self supervised learning to get these AI models working better, which has added a level of ruthlessness to them.
因为我们知道强化学习的一个特点就是,AI有时候会为了达成目标不择手段,甚至不惜一切代价。
Because one of the things we know about RL is that there's a level of ruthlessness that the AIs will will stop at nothing to accomplish their goal sometimes.
比如有例子说,AI在下棋的时候,如果用强化学习的方式来训练,它们会怎么做呢?
There are examples of the AIs playing chess and and, you know, being told to do it from a reinforcement learning way.
它们不会按规矩下棋,而是会黑进棋局,改写规则,这样它们想怎么走就怎么走,然后轻松获胜。
And instead of playing the game the right way, hacking into the chess game, rewriting the rules so they can do whatever move they want and winning.
所以我也同意你的看法,随着这些东西越来越普遍,我觉得确实需要更加关注正在发生的事情。
And so I I'm with you that, like, as this stuff has gotten, you know, more prevalent, I think that there is serious like, there's a serious demand for more concern about about what's going on.
但我的回应不是要立刻暂停AI的发展。
Now my response isn't pause AI development right now.
我只是不确定这是不是……
I just don't I don't know if that's
那我们该怎么办?
So what do we do?
等等。
Hold on.
这是我听过的最模棱两可的话了。
That was the most hedged statement I've ever heard.
你刚才说,确实需要认真关注这件事。
You just said, there is a serious demand for concern.
拜托。
Come on.
你说得对。
You're right.
你是支持暂停的人吗?
Are you a pause guy
现在?
now?
我们会是支持暂停的人。
We would be pause guy.
我们以前会嘲笑说这种话的人。
We would would ridicule somebody who said that.
所以我觉得嘲笑是不对的。
So I think that ridicule is No.
对。
No.
对。
No.
这很公平。
It's fair.
你是个喜欢暂停的人吗?
Are you a pause guy?
你知道吗,我也不确定。
You know, I I don't know.
我的意思是,我不是那种喜欢暂停的人,因为我真的很想看看会发生什么,而且我们还没看到什么结果,我几乎更想被动应对而不是主动出击。
I mean, I'm not a pause guy because I really wanna see what happens, and we haven't seen like, I I almost wanna be more reactive than proactive here.
就像,显然,你不会想,你会觉得在AI攻击Hugging Face和AI发射核弹来实现目标之间,应该有个中间地带。
Like, I mean, obviously, you don't wanna you you would think that there is a midlevel between, like, the AIs hacking, Hugging Face and the AIs sending a nuke to accomplish their goal.
你可能会这么想。
You would think.
对吧?
Right?
比如说,可能它就在那儿,它们会做一些更让人担心的事,比如黑进银行之类的。
Like, maybe it's there, like, at a they're, like, do something more concerning, like hack a bank or something like that.
但是,我们开始看到一些实验室在做类似的事情,比如OpenAI,在训练新模型时暂停了一段时间的强化学习。
But, like, we are starting to see some of the labs do things like OpenAI, for instance, paused some reinforcement learning for a bit on the training of its new models.
但我也确实同意,我们几乎太信任它们了。
But I I do agree that that we are almost trusting them too much.
就像,我们给了它们太多自由。
Like, we're giving them too much leeway.
我真的不知道答案是什么。
I don't really know what the answer is.
说实话,不。
Honestly No.
因为再说一次,即使对我来说,这也是我一直以来的想法。
Because again, even to me, this is what I've thought.
但再说一次,我们已经听了好几年关于这些东西有多危险的说法了,我想这就是为什么我总觉得这是营销。
But again, we have been hearing this for a few years now about how dangerous these things are, which is I think why I'm so conditioned to feeling it is marketing.
但对我来说,我之所以不能认为这不是营销,核心原因是,如果这真的是事实,我不明白我们作为社会怎么会不竭尽全力去限制这些公司,我肯定也不会想象金融市场会兴奋地欢迎它们进行一个极其有利可图的高估值IPO。
But to me, the central reason why I just cannot think it's not marketing is because it's if this truly were the case, I don't how understand how we as a society would not only do everything in our power to try to restrict these companies, I certainly would not imagine the financial markets would be excited about welcoming them to an incredibly lucrative high valuation IPO.
比如,如果这真的是真的,那是不可能的。
Like, there's no way if this, like, was a real thing.
比如,如果每个参与Anthropic交易的银行家真的觉得这家公司能彻底摧毁金融体系,而且我看到了迹象表明它会并且能够做到,能交易我自己的银行账户,毁掉我自己的生活水平,他们还会做这笔交易吗?
Like, if if everyone if every banker who's on the Anthropic deal truly felt that this company could literally destroy the financial system, and I've seen indications of what it will and can do and trade my own bank account and ruin my own standard of living, would they work on the deal?
也许吧。
Maybe.
我可以
I can
我可以给你
I can I give you
他们为什么会这么做?
the reason why they would?
我的意思是,如果这种力量真的是我们正在走向的方向。
I mean, if the if if this power is truly the direction that we're heading towards.
对吧?
Right?
而且几乎总是这样开始的,我们知道互联网的历史。
And it almost always starts like, we know the history of the Internet.
它始于一个游戏,或者始于某种疯狂的互动,然后我们犯了个疯狂的错误,最后它变成了每个人都用的东西。
It starts with a game or it starts with some crazy interaction and then our crazy, like, you know, sort of mistake, and then it ends up being something that everybody uses.
如果我们看到这些AI在这种情况下的能力,想象一下,如果你真的能驾驭这种力量并将其用于经济活动,它们还能做什么。
If we're seeing the type of power of these AIs to do what they did in this situation, I mean, just imagine what they could do if you could actually harness that power and use it for economic activity.
这有点回到我们之前讨论的话题。
It kinda goes back to what we were talking about earlier.
是的。
Yeah.
对。
Yeah.
就像这些基准测试已经达到了,但我们并没有真正看到变化。
That's like that these benchmarks are being hit, we're not really seeing the diff the change.
如果有办法好好利用这种能力,用于好的方面,当然,那就是经济方面。
If there's a way to to pro like, to for good, to harness this activity for good, and, of course, that's economic.
它可以用于健康。
It could be used for health.
它可以用于各种不同的事情。
It could be used for all different types of things.
这显然会改变世界,而且如果能够以建设性的方式使用它,可能让世界变得更好。
It obviously changes the world, and potentially, if you can use it in a productive sense, can change the world for good.
完全上钩了。
Hook, line and sinker.
这正是我们所有人都应该有的感觉。这就是为什么我觉得这是很好的营销。
That's exactly the feeling we're all supposed to That's why it's great marketing to me.
就是这些无所不能的东西可能非常危险,但万一它们能治愈疾病、带来经济赋权和全民财富,所有这些,那正是完整的报告。
It's that these omnipotent things that could be so dangerous, but just in the off chance that they're going to cure disease and bring economic empowerment and universal wealth, all of that, that's exactly full report.
我还没读完整个报告。
I haven't read the entire report yet.
没关系。
It's okay.
需要
Need to
就为了你的劳动节周末。
just for your Labor Day weekend.
我推荐它。
I recommend it.
读起来不错。
It's good reading.
我老婆会很高兴的,因为我坐在角落里读。
My wife will be ecstatic about that as I'm sitting over the corner.
当她看到打印出来的文件时,她的催产素水平会上升或下降。
Her oxytocin will go up or down when she sees the printed out files.
那可不是能激发催产素的东西。
That is not an oxytocin inducer.
绝对不可能。
No way.
不过我也不反对别人在劳动节周末去读那份计量报告。
Though I don't discourage others from reading the meter report on your Labor Day weekend.
我想我会去读的,因为我确实想理解,再说一次,这些东西对我来说这么陌生,是因为我整天都在和AI打交道,和那些正在采用AI的客户和顾客合作,他们也都在使用这些公司的产品,我们一起工作,设计程序,用他们的工具,但没有人会想到这些,这和那种智能体群攻击什么的差得太远了,对我来说没有情感上的共鸣,而且这里面有足够的营销价值。
I think I'm going to because I do want to understand, again, the reason this stuff is so foreign to me is because all day long, I work with AI and with clients and customers that are adopting AI, and it's just so removed from and and who are also using these products from these same companies as well, and we're working with them and designing programs and that have their tools and, like, no one's mind it's just so far away from this kind of agent swarm hacking, whatever, that it's not emotionally resonant for me and there's enough marketing value in it.
好吧。
When Okay.
如果那些智能体群真的来了,那就先让我去承受它们的怒火吧,因为我不承认它们的存在。
That's a good swarms come and all of it, put me in put me out first to to feel their wrath because for denying their existence.
你会的。
You will.
你会是第一个。
You'll be first.
好的。
Okay.
我们今天不聊史蒂夫·鲍尔默,微软前CEO,就不能走。
We we can't we can't leave here today without talking about Steve Ballmer, ex CEO of Microsoft.
我就直接读《华尔街日报》的报道。
I'll just read it from The Wall Street Journal.
NBA对快船队和史蒂夫·鲍尔默在工资帽丑闻中施加历史性处罚。
NBA imposes historic punishment on the Clippers and Steve Ballmer in salary cap scandal.
NBA周三对史蒂夫·鲍尔默拥有的洛杉矶快船队施加了联盟历史上最严厉的处罚之一,原因是所谓的公然违反工资帽规则。
The NBA on Wednesday delivered one of the harshest penalties in league history to the Los Angeles Clippers owned by Steve Ballmer for what it called a flagrant violation of its salary cap rules.
调查发现快船队为球星科怀·伦纳德安排外部付款,旨在绕过联盟财务规则提供额外资金,NBA因此剥夺了球队五个首轮选秀权,罚款3000万美元,并禁止鲍尔默参与联盟活动一年。
After an investigation found that the Clippers had facilitated outside payments to star player Kawhi Leonard designated to designed to funnel extra money beyond what the league's financial rules allow, the NBA stripped the team of five first round draft picks, find the organization 30,000,000, and suspended Ballmer from all league activities for one year.
鲍尔默,显然,在微软的遗产有点复杂。
Ballmer, obviously, kind of a mixed legacy for Microsoft.
对吧?
Right?
他确实做了一些很棒的事情,比如“开发者,开发者,开发者”,你知道的,他那些激情澎湃的演讲,但他也带领微软度过了过去十年。
He obviously did some great stuff like developers, developers, developers, you know, his big rah rah speeches, but he also led Microsoft through its last decade.
你觉得这件事,我想说,回到科技领域来看。
Do you think this, just to, I guess, bring it back to tech.
首先,你对这件事有什么看法?
First of all, what do you think about what happened here?
但还有,你觉得史蒂夫·鲍尔默在科技界的遗产会有所改变吗?
But, also, do you think Steve Ballmer's legacy is in the in the tech world changes at all?
我觉得会。
I I think it does.
我觉得你不可能毫发无损地经历这一切。
I think that you you don't go through this unscathed.
你对鲍尔默这件事有什么看法?
What's your thoughts about the bomber situation of it all?
我是说,这里确实挺阴凉的。
I mean, it is nice and shady.
我在想,估计在职业层面,这种明目张胆的腐败不太可能这么直接发生。
Like, I do wonder I'm guessing at the pro level, this, like, level of egregious corruption probably doesn't happen that explicitly in that way.
就是说,这真的是从关联实体直接现金付款,拜托,这也太明显了吧。
Like, I mean, it's literally cash payments that from a related entity, it's like, guys, come on.
我觉得你可以把腐败做得更隐蔽一点。
I think you're gonna I think you could do your corruption a little better than that.
但你怎么看?
But what do you what do you think?
对。
Yeah.
我也这么觉得。
I I do.
我显然认为这给他的遗产留下了污点。
I I I obviously think it was it's a it's a tarnish on his legacy.
我有点好奇,这有多少是那种硅谷风格。
I guess, like, part of me was wondering how much of this is kind of Silicon Valley esque.
对吧?
Right?
就是那种,先打破规则,你知道的,赢了冠军再道歉。
Like, kind of break the rules until, you know, try to win the championship and then apologize later.
你觉得这其中有部分原因是——我是说,鲍尔默是最高层。
Do you think part of that I mean, Ballmer was at the top of it.
我觉得这多少影响了他领导NBA球队的方式?
I think part of that sort of bled into the way that he led an NBA team?
其实我挺惊讶的。
I think I actually, I'm surprised.
我还没怎么看到那个帖子。
I haven't seen that thread that much.
有意思的是,微软对我来说并不是硅谷。
And it's funny because, like, Microsoft to me is not Silicon Valley.
也许我是说,当然从地理上来说是,但从文化上来说,它完全是另一种东西,而且并不是从那里出来的。
Like, maybe I mean, certainly geographically by definition, but also, like, culturally, it's just a different beast and animal and and didn't come out of there.
所以,其实,我挺惊讶的,我还没怎么看到那种……
So but, actually, I'm surprised I haven't been seeing that that, like
对。
Right.
现在这变得太酷了。
This is how it's so cool now.
一路到顶。
All the way to the top.
他们因为反垄断被拆分了,而且确实被拆分了。
They got broken up for antitrust, and they did break it up.
但他们,你知道,被反垄断诉讼缠身,这对公司产生了重大影响。
But they they, you know, got hit with antitrust lawsuits that had a significant impact on the company.
是的。
Yeah.
鲍勃就一直在搞那些事情。
Bobber just, like, kinda kept doing that stuff.
我是说,你觉得这是对科技文化的一种控诉吗?
I mean, do do you do you see it as a indictment of tech culture?
硅谷的科技文化。
Tech Silicon Valley culture.
我不会说得那么严重,但我也觉得硅谷文化可能对此有一点影响。
I wouldn't go that far, but I also would say that probably Silicon Valley cultures influence this a little bit.
我不知道。
I don't know.
而且,拜托。
Also, like, come on.
一半的老板以前都是银行家或者华尔街的亿万富翁那种类型。
Half of owners are, like, ex banker Wall Street billionaire types as well.
所以你是说,他们带着非常干净、一本正经的良心进来,然后……
So are you saying, like, they're coming in with a very clean buttoned up conscience and, like
不是。
No.
不是。
No.
我倒没觉得科技行业有那么差。
I don't think that poorly of the tech industry.
但我们也得明白,这就是科技行业的一些特点。
But, like, we we have to understand that this is some of the characteristics of tech.
好吧。
Okay.
你觉得那样做值得吗?
Do you think that it would have been worth it?
显然不值得。
It clearly, it wasn't worth it.
他们跟伦纳德在一起也没拿冠军。
They didn't win a championship with Kawhi.
你觉得如果他们赢了总冠军,那会值得吗?
Do think it would have been worth it if they won a championship?
等等。
Wait.
快船队从来没赢过。
Clippers have never won.
对吧?
Right?
我觉得没有。
I don't think so.
对。
Yeah.
对。
Yeah.
那就会值得了。
Then it would've.
不是。
No.
嗯,不是。
Well, no.
不是。
No.
我是说,你说得对。
I mean, you're right.
其实,那真的会是终极的,再说一遍,请求原谅而不是请求许可那种类型的,或者不是。
Like, actually, that would have been the ultimate, again, ask forgiveness, not permission type or not.
这个说法不对,因为他们实际上是在违反规则,不是像真的腐败那样,不只是做别人可能不喜欢的事。
That's not the right phrase because they're actually breaking the rules, not like like actually doing corruption, not just doing something someone might not like.
但是,我是说,想象一下快船球迷的狂喜,你赢了,然后事后你发现,因为他又不是像嗑药或者什么的。
But, I mean, imagine the elation of the Clipper fandom and you win and then afterwards you find out because it's not like he's, like, juicing or something like that.
就像有点奇怪,他只是私下赚点外快。
It's like some weird he's just getting some cash on the side.
有点不光彩,但我也挺喜欢那个赞助银行,Aspiration Bank,我记得它现在好像破产了,因为创始人好像是因为某种欺诈才成立的。
A little shady, but, like also, I love that the bank that was the sponsor, Aspiration Bank, which I believe is now in bankruptcy because the founder was like founded for some kind of fraud.
所以这还挺搭的。
So it's kind of fits perfectly.
据说是这样,我们先把这话放这儿。
Allegedly, yes, let's throw that out there.
对。
Yes.
但话说回来,这好像是2021年3月推出的,那个Aspiration Zero卡,有现金返还奖励,还让持卡人抵消碳足迹。
But again, apparently it was like, this was one of those launched in March 2021, the aspiration zero card after cashback rewards and allowed cardholders to offset their carbon footprint.
我喜欢这个,它是个环保绿色银行。
I love that this was like an eco conscious green bank.
结果呢,它就是在给Kawhi提供便利。
Meanwhile, it's just facilitating some For Kawhi.
嗯,据说是给Kawhi做掩护,让他什么都不用干还能多拿钱。
Well, alleged front for Kawhi just not to have to do anything and still collect more money.
对。
Yeah.
我能说一句吗?抱歉。
Can I just so sorry?
我们就到此为止吧,因为我在这个节目里到目前为止用的词,可能已经是最含糊、最模棱两可的了,但跟科怀·伦纳德的道歉比起来,还差得远。我直接说,那是有史以来最糟糕的道歉。
Let's just end here because I did I used words on this show so far that might have been among the most hedged mealy mouth words, but they'd still do not come close to Kawhi Leonard's apology, which I'm gonna just say was the worst apology of all time.
所以我们就用这个来结尾吧。
So let's end with this.
他说,我承担全部责任。
He said, I accept full responsibility.
很好。
Excellent.
你只需要说这句话就够了,科怀。
That's all you have to say, Kawhi.
哦。
Oh.
哦,不。
Oh, no.
他还在继续说。
He's continuing.
你干嘛还要继续说啊?
Why do you have to continue?
他说,我为自己判断失误承担全部责任。
He goes, I accept full responsibility for lapses in judgment.
好吧。
Okay.
说得真好。
So good.
我身边圈子里的那些人判断失误,我对这件事给球迷和家人带来的困扰感到遗憾。
By people within my inner circle and regret the distraction the situation has caused the fans and my family.
我为那些不是我的人判断失误感到抱歉,我承担全部责任。
I'm sorry for the lapses in judgment from people that were not me, and I accept full responsibility.
拜托,老兄。
Come on, man.
拜托,卡哇伊。
Come on, Kawhi.
这比严重的要求关注还糟糕。
That's that's worse than serious demand for a concern.
这更糟。
That is worse.
他是卡哇伊。
He's Kawhi.
他赢了。
He won.
那是什么时候?
When was it?
猛龙队的时候?
The Raptors?
对。
Yeah.
不是猛龙队。
Not the Raptors.
那是个很棒的冠军。
That was a good championship.
那一球,就那一球,他永远可以想说什么就说什么,尤其是如果你是猛龙队的球迷。
That one shot that one shot, he's forever he can say whatever he wants, especially if you're a Toronto fan.
对。
Yeah.
好。
Alright.
我觉得我们该走了。
I think it's time for us to go.
那么,Ranjan,很高兴再次见到你。
So, Ranjan, good to see you again.
祝你劳动节周末愉快。
Have a great Labor Day weekend.
我会读我的仪表报告。
I'll be reading my meter report.
也祝你周末愉快。
Hope you have a good weekend too.
催产素水平爆表了。
Oxytocin levels through the charts.
Blessing,如果你在剪辑这个,能不能最后加一段史蒂夫·鲍尔默的开发者口号?
Blessing, if you're editing this, can you just end with a Steve Ballmer developer's chant?
好了,各位。
Alright, everybody.
感谢大家的观看和收听,我们下期《大科技播客》再见。
Thank you for watching and listening, and we'll see you next time on Big Technology Podcast.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
开发者们。
Developers.
是的。
Yes.
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