BE 616: 你在押注吗？如何做出自信的预测

这里是商务英语播客第616集。

This is the Business English Podcast episode six sixteen.

你是在打赌吗？

Are you betting on it?

如何用英语自信地做出预测。

How to make confident predictions in English.

欢迎收听来自All Ears English的商务英语播客。

Welcome to the Business English Podcast from All Ears English.

获取你在全球商务中实现梦想所需的英语技能。

Get the English skills you need to achieve your dreams in global business.

无论是做演示、开会还是参加办公室聚会，这都是真正的商务英语，由你最喜欢的美国主持人Lindsay和Michelle带来，她们分别来自美国纽约市和科罗拉多州。

For a presentation, a meeting, or your office party, this is real business English with your favorite American hosts, Lindsay and Michelle, coming to you from New York City and Colorado, USA.

你有没有在英语对话结束后想，为什么我没多说几句？

Do you ever leave a conversation in English thinking, why didn't I say more?

你认识那些单词，但就是找不到合适的时机插话、展现个性或者真正建立联系。

You knew the words, but you couldn't find the right moment to jump in, show your personality, or really connect.

这正是我们推出全新课程《社交英语》的原因。

That's exactly why we created Socializing in English, our brand new course.

我们迫不及待想让你去看看。

We can't wait for you to check it out.

你会学到大多数英语课程从不教的那些不成文的社交技巧。

You'll learn the unwritten social skills that most English courses never teach.

这样你就不再感到尴尬或被人忽视，而是能在英语中做回自己。

So you can stop feeling awkward or invisible and start feeling like yourself in English.

现在报名已经开放了。

Enrollment is open now.

访问 allearsenglish.com/social。

Go to allearsenglish.com/social.

仅限本周，你可以享受最高100美元的折扣。

This week only, you can save up to $100 off the normal price.

再说一次，访问 allearsenglish.com/social。

One more time, go to allearsenglish.comsocial.

斜杠

Slash

你好，米歇尔。

Hello, Michelle.

最近怎么样？

How's it going?

挺好的，林赛。

Good, Lindsay.

你呢？

How are you?

不错。

Good.

米歇尔，有个问题想问你。

Michelle, got a question for you.

准备好了吗？

You ready?

好的。

Alrighty.

是的。

Yes.

嗯，我知道你和Dan现在有了自己的公司。

Well, when it I know that you and Dan have your own company now.

所以我们现在都是企业领导者了，你和我。

So we are both business leaders now, you and I.

对于你来说，在做商业决策时，你怎么知道某件事会成功？

When it comes to business decisions for you, how do you know that something will succeed?

你会怎么说？

What would you say?

嗯，你并不总是知道。

Well, you don't always.

是的。

Yes.

很多时候就是在赌你的想法。

A lot of it is betting on your ideas.

但我的意思是，有时候你可以根据过去发生的事情来判断。

But, I mean, there are times where you know based on things that have happened in the past.

比如说，如果你搞了个活动，几个月前效果不错，反响很好。

If you like, for example, if you run some sort of campaign and it did well when you did it a few months ago, you know, like, you had a positive response.

那下次再做，很可能也会顺利。

It'll probably go well the next time you do it.

但很多时候，对吧。

But a lot of times right.

没错。

Exactly.

但很多时候你得赌一把。

But a lot of times you have to bet on it.

你觉得呢？

What do you think?

我觉得，哪怕只是开一家公司，从某种程度上来说也是一种赌博。

I mean, even just owning a business is is a bet in a way.

这就是一场赌局。

It's a gamble.

差不多吧。

Kind of.

希望是一场有准备的赌局。

Hopefully it's an educated gamble.

我们真的很难知道结果，因为生意中有太多因素会影响你的成败，而这些因素是你无法控制的。

We never really can know because there are so many factors in business that can affect your success that are out of your control.

比如全球经济，你知道的，市场变化，这些都不好说。

I mean, world economics, you know, don't know, shifts in the market.

影响因素太多了。

There's so much.

还有你所在行业的突破性进展，你控制不了，可能会让你变得过时。

Breakthroughs in in in your industry that you couldn't control that could make you go irrelevant.

这些事情确实可能发生。

These things can happen.

对。

Yep.

对。

Yep.

没错。

Exactly.

这真的很重要。

Really important there.

所以，是的，我们今天要讨论的是商业中的赌注。

So, yeah, we are going to be talking about bet on in business situations today.

所以这真的很重要。

So this is real really important.

我们马上就会讲到这个。

So we're gonna get to this in just a second.

但是，各位，我们想请你们为《商务英语播客》留下评论。

But guys, we wanted to ask you to leave a review for the Business English Podcast.

去留个评论吧，各位。

Go ahead and leave a review, guys.

我们很想知道你们对这个节目的看法，如果我们看到你们的评论，我们也会尽力在节目中念出你们的名字。

We love to see what you think of the show, and we will do our best to read your name out loud on the show as well if we see your review.

所以，请为《商务英语播客》留下评论。

So leave us a review for the Business English Podcast.

对。

Yes.

对。

Yes.

没错。

Exactly.

好的。

So alright.

那么Lindsay，to bet on到底是什么意思？

So Lindsay, what exactly does to bet on mean?

我们只是在说去赌场之类的吗？

Are we just talking about going to the casino or what?

希望不是。

Hopefully not.

不是。

No.

不是。

No.

我们得把钱投到生意上。

We gotta put that money into the business.

我是说，对。

I mean Yep.

所以基本上就是相信某件事会成功或者进展顺利。

So it basically means to believe something will succeed or work out well.

所以这是对未来的预测。

So it's a prediction about the future.

这确实显示出信心。

It does show confidence.

它用在随意的口语英语中。

It's used in casual spoken English.

所以我看好这个。

So I'm betting on this.

没错。

Exactly.

而且在商务会议、演示甚至面试中都很常见。

And it is common in business meetings or presentations and even interviews.

那我们来看几个例子。

So let's do a few examples.

我更倾向于投资长期项目，而不是那些快速致富的套路。

So I prefer to bet on long term investments over get rich quick schemes.

啊。

Ah.

或者我们押注这次活动会有很多人来。

Or we're betting on a huge turnout for the event.

所以这意思是说我们以一种积极的方式期待。

So this means kind of we're expecting in a positive way.

我们相信会有很多人来，也就是说会有很多人来，是的。

We believe there'll be a big turnout, meaning a lot of people will Yeah.

来。

Show

有意思。

Interesting.

所以，或者团队押注这个营销策略。

So, or the team is betting on this marketing strategy.

所以我们认为这会成功。

So we are thinking that this will succeed.

这就是我们的计划。

That's what we're going with.

我们正在努力。

We're working on it.

而且它也能表示你觉得某件事有点风险或者不太确定，对吧？

And it can also show that you think something is a little risky or you're unsure about it, right?

某些市场，我是说，初创公司本质上风险就很大。

Certain markets, I mean, startups are inherently incredibly risky.

很多初创公司倒闭、亏钱或者永远无法盈利。

A huge number of startups go under or lose money or never become profitable.

这就是初创公司的定义，对吧？

That is the definition of a startup, right?

在寻找商业模式。

Searching for a business model.

比如，这家初创公司押注在一种未经测试的新技术上。

So for example, the startup is betting on a new technology that hasn't been tested.

他们承担了巨大的风险。

They take a ton of risk.

天哪。

Oh my gosh.

确实。

Definitely.

那么，Lindsay，我们什么时候会听到下注的消息？

So, but Lindsay, so when do we hear bet on?

比如，有些情况吗？

Like, are some situations?

我觉得，人工智能立刻浮现在我脑海里。

I mean, AI sticks out in my mind right away.

现在人们对人工智能下了很大的赌注。

People are making huge bets on AI right now.

我们拭目以待。

We're gonna see what happens.

是不是被夸大了？

Is it overblown?

还是被低估了？

Is it underblown?

我不确定这个词存不存在。

I'm not sure if that's a term.

我们不知道，但公司正押注AI来改善客户服务。

We don't know, but the company is betting on AI to improve customer service.

那会是一个

That would be an

例子。

example.

嗯，Lindsay，我只是好奇。

Well, Lindsay, I mean, I'm just curious.

当你打电话给医生办公室或其他地方，发现对方不是真人时，你是什么感觉？

How do you feel when you call a doctor's office or somewhere and you realize that you are not talking to a real person?

哦，我一般直接要求跟真人说话。

Oh, I always just ask for the person.

我就直接按了0000。

I just clicked 0000.

对。

Yes.

我当时就想，快点吧。

I was just like, come on.

或者就说昨天，我就在用我们自己的一个软件产品。

Or even yesterday I was on, just an online, just one of our software products.

他们总是先让机器人来应付你，我就一直说，我要跟真人说话，真人，真人，真人。

They always try to give you the bot first, and I just say like, I wanna talk to a person, person, person, person.

谢天谢地，他们还是有真人可以对接。

And thank God they still have the person available.

但我就，首先，我想发个视频给他们看我的问题，但我知道AI是看不了视频的。

But I just don't I don't first of all, like, I wanna send them a video to show them my problem, and I know that the AI can't consume the video.

所以对我来说，这从一开始就行不通。

So that's a nonstarter right away for me.

你知道吗？

You know?

有时候我们就是需要那个人。

Sometimes we just need that person.

情况更复杂一些。

It's more nuanced.

有些事情你必须经历。

It's there's things you have to go through.

你必须解释清楚。

You have to explain things.

不能只是FAQ列表里的一项。

You can't just like it's not just one of the things on the FAQ list.

你知道吗？

You know?

哦，昨天。

Oh, yesterday.

我得说，昨天我有个关于我们另一个软件产品的问题，AI在三十秒内就给了我答案，而且它把我问的每个问题都按我提问的顺序列出来了。

I will say yesterday, I had a question for another one of our software products, and I got the answer within thirty seconds because the AI sent it to me, and it had every question in the exact order that I asked for it.

太完美了。

It was perfect.

确实很棒。

Didn't it was great.

所以那挺神奇的，但那个问题其实没什么复杂的。

So that was kind of amazing, but that was a very un nuanced question.

就是

It was

比如，我需要这个数字、这个数字、这个数字。

like, I need this number, this number, this number.

我怎么找到这些东西？

How do I find all these things?

所以你在谈论即将到来的活动或宣传活动时，也可能听到这个词。

So you also might hear it when talking about upcoming events or campaigns.

就像我之前提到的，比如那个宣传活动。

So like I mentioned that earlier, like the campaign.

所以我们押注新广告宣传活动会得到很大的反响。

So we're betting on a big response to the new ad campaign.

或者雇佣某人。

Or hiring someone.

我的意思是，每次你雇佣新人，你都是在押注一个人。

I mean, anytime you hire someone new, you are making a bet on someone.

投资者押注新任CEO能改善公司状况。

Investors are betting on the new CEO to improve the company.

你知道，有时候你可能会替换创始人，比如最初担任CEO的创始成员，然后他们引入一位职业CEO，这就是在押注。

You know, sometimes you might replace a founder, like a founding member who was originally CEO, and then they bring in like a career CEO and that's making a bet.

大赌注。

Big bet.

因为这可能会出问题，你永远不知道结果会怎样。

Because it could things, you never know how that's gonna go.

没错。

Exactly.

或者信任某人去领导一个项目。

Or then trusting someone to lead a project.

所以我们指望莎拉来领导这个项目。

So we're betting on Sarah to lead the project.

你知道，也许她以前没做过类似的事情。

So, you know, maybe she hasn't done something like that before.

我们想看看她表现如何，但我们对她有信心。

And so we wanna see how how she's gonna do, but we think we're confident in her.

因为她已经表现出一些迹象，表明她可能能胜任。

Because she's shown she she has shown signals that she probably could handle it.

所以我们把宝押在她身上。

So we're betting on her to do that.

产品发布时，公司押注新款手机能提升销量。

Product launches, the company is betting on its new phone to increase sales.

或者营销策略上，我们指望明年国际扩张。

Or marketing strategy, we're betting on international expansion next year.

我们指望它，这是另一种说法。

We're counting on it, would be another way to say that.

我们是在尝试，但必须得成功。

We're count we're like, we are we're trying it, but we need it to work.

对。

Yep.

没错。

Exactly.

你会说英语，但在社交场合中是否仍觉得慢人一步？

You speak English, but do you still feel one step behind in social situations?

也许你错过了笑话，难以加入对话，或者不确定自己分享得太多还是太少。

Maybe you missed the joke, struggle to enter a conversation, or wonder whether you're sharing too much or not enough.

问题可能不在你的英语。

The problem may not be your English.

而在于那些没人教过你的不成文社交规则。

It may be the unwritten social rules that no one ever taught you.

我们的新课程《用英语社交》会教你如何读懂现场气氛，知道接下来该怎么做。

Our new course, Socializing in English, teaches you how to read the moment and know what to do next.

课程还提供每周两到三次的开口说英语的机会，让你现场练习。

It comes with speaking opportunities up to two to three times per week to practice your English live.

现在就加入我们，访问 allearsenglish.com/social。

Join us now at allearsenglish.com/social.

在本周活动结束前报名，最高可省100美元。

Save up to $100 before this offer ends later this week.

访问 allearsenglish.com/social。

Go to allearsenglish.com/social.

好的，米歇尔。

Okay, Michelle.

那语法呢？

What about grammar?

这里语法方面我们需要知道什么？

What do we need to know for grammar here?

在商务对话中，我们通常使用现在进行时。

So in business conversations, we usually use the present continuous.

比如，押注于。

So betting on.

我们主要用它来谈论当前的策略以及我们对这些策略的看法。

We mostly use it to talk about current strategies and how we feel about them.

所以，你会注意到，我们正在押注这个。

So, like, you'll notice, you know, we're betting on this.

我们正在押注那个。

We're betting on that.

我的意思是，不是一直这样，但用得挺频繁的。

I mean, not all the time, but it's used kind of frequently.

不过当然，在合适的时候你也可以用其他时态。

So but you can use other verb tenses, of course, when it makes sense.

对。

So Mhmm.

比如，过去时也是用bet on。

For example, the past is also bet on.

那里，那里。

There for there.

我们很早就押注了这家初创公司，结果真的回报很大。

We bet on the startup early and it really paid off.

这个有点难，因为bet不太能变成过去式。

That's a tricky one because bet doesn't really get doesn't get the past tense.

我们不会说betted。

We don't say betted.

我们从来不说那个。

We never say that.

即使在现在完成时里，我们过去也多次下注于此。

And even in the present perfect, we have bet on this many times in the past.

它不变。

It doesn't change.

Bet, bet, bet。

Bet, bet, bet.

对。

Exactly.

对。

Exactly.

所以，但是，是的，下注于，然后你会用一个名词。

So, but, yeah, bet on, and then you would use a noun.

比如，公司押注于创新。

So, like, the company is betting on innovation.

或者，嗯。

Or Mhmm.

你还可以说得更具体一点，比如把赌注押在一个人或一个团队上。

You can also do, like, just a little bit more specifically, bet on and a person or a team.

所以我们押注在新任CEO身上，希望他能提高我们的收入。

So we're betting on the new CEO to increase our revenue.

我们指望他们。

We're counting on them.

我们期待他们能做到。

We're expecting them to be able to do that.

对。

Yep.

或者用bet on加动名词，也就是ing形式。

Or bet on plus gerund, which is the I n g.

所以看起来是这样的。

So this looks like this.

我们当时指望扩张。

We were betting on expanding.

所以我们用的是expand的动名词形式。

So we're using the gerund form of expand.

我们原本押注于进军亚洲，但市场已经变了。

We were betting on expanding into Asia, but the market has changed.

明白吗？

Okay?

是的。

Yes.

这有点像我们原本希望，我们以为会那样。

It's kind of like we were we were hoping to, we thought we would.

但确实。

But yeah.

或者bet on后面接某件事发生。

Or bet on and then something happening.

所以我们押注于下个季度市场复苏。

So we're betting on the market recovering next quarter.

这里有很多内容。

There's a lot here.

很多上下文。

Lot of context.

不同的上下文，这种情况下用这个很合适。

Different context where this makes sense to use.

但我觉得关键点是，商业中有很多不确定性。

But I think the key piece is there's a lot of unsureness in business.

所以这就是为什么我们最终会用到这个。

And so that's why we end up using this.

有很多我们不确定的事情。

There's a lot that we're not sure about.

我们无法预测市场、行业和成功的未来。

We can't predict the future of markets, industries, success.

是的。

Yep.

对。

Exactly.

那我们来说说一些类似的表达。

So let's talk about some similar expressions.

我觉得我们可能已经用过其中一些了。

You know, I think we may have even used some of these.

第一个是“count on”，意思是依靠某物或某人。

So, I mean, first one is to count on, So that's to depend on something or someone.

我们今年指望假期销售能强劲。

We're counting on strong holiday sales this year.

或者团队指望你的演示能给客户留下好印象。

Or the team is counting on your presentation to impress the client.

我喜欢这个。

I like this one.

“Bank on”。

Bank on.

我也是。

Me too.

我确实喜欢这个。

I do like this.

一样。

Same thing.

我们非常依赖某件事或某个人。

We're relying on something, someone strongly.

公司指望新产品上市来增加收入。

Company is banking on the new product launch to increase revenue.

我们是在说去银行吗，米歇尔？

Are we talking about going to the bank here, Michelle?

不是。

No.

不是。

No.

就是，就是，就是一样的，对。

It's it's it's the same it's yeah.

就是依靠的意思。

It's to rely.

我们指望客户推荐来扩大业务。

We're banking on customer referrals to grow the business.

是的。

Yep.

我喜欢它，因为它感觉更随意一些。

I like it because it just feels a little bit more casual.

你在说一件严肃的事情。

You're talking about a serious thing.

可能吧。

Potentially.

但你有点把它轻松化了，这就是我喜欢“Yeah”的原因。

But you're kinda lightening it up a little bit, which is why I like Yeah.

最后，还有一个更基础的。

And then finally, there's just more basic.

就是要有信心。

It's be confident about.

所以这个很直白，就是要有信心。

So this is pretty literal just to feel confident.

我对这个团队的结果有信心。

I'm confident about the results of this team.

对。

Yes.

是活动，不是团队。

Campaign, not team.

可能两者都有。

Maybe both.

或者说，这个领导团队对下个季度的增长有信心。

Or this leadership team is confident about next quarter's growth.

所以那个，是的，就是更直白一点，我同意。

So that one's, yeah, just a little more literal, I would agree.

好的，米歇尔。

Okay, Michelle.

在这个角色扮演的情境中，我们是同事。

We are work colleagues in this role play situation.

我们正在计划一个即将到来的会议，你在问我关于这个活动的事情。

We're planning an upcoming conference and you are asking me about the event.

好吗？

Okay?

好的。

Okay.

我们开始吧。

Here we go.

是的。

Yes.

好的。

Alright.

我们预计会议会有很多人参加吗？

Are we expecting a big turnout for the conference?

我们今年预计出席率会很高。

We're betting on strong attendance this year.

哦，那很好。

Oh, good.

我还指望主讲嘉宾能吸引更多人。

I'm also counting on the keynote speaker to attract more people.

当然。

Absolutely.

我们真的指望她的演讲能成为活动的亮点。

We're really banking on her talk being a highlight of the event.

太好了。

Great.

那你觉得我们整体上对这次活动有信心吗？

So would you say we're confident about the event overall?

哦，当然有。

Oh, definitely.

我觉得会办得很顺利。

I think it will go really well.

不错。

Nice.

好的。

Okay.

会议可是大事。

So conferences are a big deal.

我的意思是，即使是第一次办会议，举办它也有很大风险，因为你不知道会不会有人来。

I mean, even like first time conferences, you take a lot of risk in holding one because you don't know if you're gonna get the turnout.

你得支付各种开销。

You need to pay your expenses.

如果你要办一场会议的话。

If you hold a conference.

没错。

Exactly.

所以，你知道，确实有很多事情需要赌一把。

So, you know, a lot that you have to bet on there for sure.

你问，我们预计会议会有很多人参加吗？

You said, are we expecting a big turnout for the conference?

我说，是的。

I said, yes.

我们今年指望会有很多人来。

We're betting on strong attendance this year.

然后我说，好。

And then I said, good.

我也指望主讲嘉宾能吸引更多人。

I'm also counting on the keynote speaker to attract more people.

我说，当然。

And I said, absolutely.

我们真的指望她的演讲能成为活动的亮点。

We're really banking on her being her talk being the highlight of the event.

所以我们不只是期待，我们简直是情感上需要这件事成功。

So we're we're we're not just expecting it, but we we're, like, emotionally needing this to happen.

对。

Yep.

然后我说，太好了。

And then I said, great.

那你觉得我们对整个活动有信心吗？

So would you say that we're confident about the event overall?

这稍微更直白、更基础一些。

So that's a little bit more just literal, basic.

也很有用。

Very useful too.

当然。

For sure.

这里的内容真的很棒，米歇尔。

Really good stuff here, Michelle.

各位，去看看吧，商务英语603，如何在工作场合谈论竞争。

Guys, go over and check out Business English six zero three, How to Talk About Competition at Work.

你的公司总会有竞争对手，所以这在会议上肯定会提到。

There's always gonna be a competitor to your company, so this is gonna come up in meetings.

那你会怎么说呢？

So what do you say about it?

是的。

Yes.

好的。

Okay.

这真的很重要。

Really important there.

所以，是的，这就是要点。

So, yeah, takeaway.

你知道，商业中很多事情都是在押注。

You know, so much in business is making a bet on something.

我知道。

I know.

而且，你知道，我希望我们都能有水晶球，但现实并非如此。所以有时候我们只是，嗯，利用我们掌握的所有信息，然后，嗯，希望最好或者预期某件事会发生。

And, you know, there's there's I wish we could all have a crystal ball, but it's not how it So sometimes we're just kind of, you know, taking all the information we know and, you know, kinda hoping for the best or expecting that something will happen.

能够谈论这些是件好事。

And it's good to be able to talk about this.

没错。

Exactly.

你说得对。

You got it.

好了，米歇尔。

Alright, Michelle.

祝你今天剩下的时间过得愉快。

You have a good rest of your day.

我们很快再聊。

I'll talk to you soon.

好吗？

Okay?

好的。

Alright.

再见，Lindsay。

Bye, Lindsay.

再见，各位。

Bye, guys.

再见。

Bye.

感谢收听《商务英语》播客，这个节目专为你们这些追求卓越的全球职场人士打造。

Thank you for listening to Business English, a podcast just for you, the high achieving global professional.

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Remember, we believe in connection, not perfection when it comes to learning English.

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