本集简介
双语字幕
仅展示文本字幕,不包含中文音频;想边听边看,请使用 Bayt 播客 App。
你最近可能看到新闻了,美国FDA刚批准了两种新型血液检测,能在早期就发现阿尔茨海默病的迹象。
You may have seen the news recently about two new FDA approved blood tests that may detect Alzheimer's disease in the early stages.
任何疾病早发现都重要,但阿尔茨海默病尤其关键,因为它在出现症状前,可能已经在大脑里悄悄发展二十年了。
Early detection is important for any disease, but especially for Alzheimer's, which can take root for twenty years before symptoms develop.
这些症状,你应该也听说过,比如健忘,还有认知、生理和行为上的各种问题。
These symptoms, as you probably know, include memory loss and other cognitive, physiological, and behavioral issues.
我猜你了解这些,是因为美国现在有七百多万人患阿尔茨海默病,绝大多数都超过65岁了。
The reason I say that you probably know these symptoms is because Alzheimer's affects more than seven million people in The US, most of them 65.
年龄导致的记忆衰退自古就有,但直到1906年,德国医生阿洛伊斯·阿尔茨海默才首次正式记录下这种病。
Age related memory loss has been seen throughout human history, but the disease was not formally documented until nineteen o six by the German physician, Alois Alzheimer.
阿尔茨海默在解剖一位有健忘和幻觉的女性大脑时,发现她的脑组织明显萎缩,里面布满缠结和他称之为‘异常沉积物’的东西。
When Alzheimer autopsied the brain of a woman who had had memory loss and hallucinations, he found that her brain had shrunk and withered with numerous tangles and what he called peculiar deposits.
从那以后,科学家们就一直在琢磨这些沉积物和缠结到底是什么。
Scientists have been trying to figure out those deposits and tangles ever since.
美国国立卫生研究院每年在阿尔茨海默病和痴呆症研究上,投入大约40亿美元。
The National Institutes of Health spends around $4,000,000,000 a year on Alzheimer's and dementia research.
这比十年前的十亿美元高出不少,现在仅次于癌症研究的投入,这也合理,毕竟美国的老年人口庞大而且还在不断增加。
That's up from around $1,000,000,000 a decade ago, and that puts it second only to cancer spending, which makes sense because the elderly population in The US is big and getting bigger.
目前大部分阿尔茨海默病的研究都围绕着一个主流理论展开。
Much of this Alzheimer's research is centered around one dominant theory of the disease.
但如果这个理论根本就是错的呢?
But what if that theory is flawed?
这些药根本没让任何人好转。
No one's getting better with these drugs.
所有做这行的科学家、临床医生都会这么说。
Every scientist who works with them, every clinician will say the same.
要是他们不说,那就是在撒谎。
If they don't, they're lying.
所以‘错误’这个词还够准确吗?还是说,这根本就是欺诈?
So is flawed even the right word, or should it be fraud?
骗子嘛,总是会继续骗下去的。
Cheaters tend to cheat.
一旦我们发现某篇论文,或者一组论文里有明显的问题,这些问题往往会蔓延到这个人整个研究工作中。
When we find clear, overt problems in a paper, in a group of papers, often it propagates through somebody's entire work.
今天在《魔鬼经济学》播客中,我们追踪了一项调查,揭露了数十年来阿尔茨海默病研究中存在的诸多问题,同时带着一份经过验证的希望,探讨一下这种病的治疗未来该往哪儿走。
Today on Freakonomics Radio, we follow an investigation that found decades of problematic Alzheimer's research, and we ask with some sense of earned optimism, where does Alzheimer's treatment go from here?
欢迎收听《魔鬼经济学》播客,本节目由史蒂芬·都伯纳主持,带你探索一切事物背后不为人知的一面。
This is Freakonomics Radio, the podcast that explores the hidden side of everything with your host, Stephen Dubner.
这
The
我们今天讲的这个故事,既沉重又重要。
story we are telling today is a sobering one and an important one.
我们会采访两个人。
We'll hear from two people.
我们本来希望还能采访更多人,但最后其他人都不愿意开口。
We had hoped there would be more, but in the end, the others did not want to talk.
随着故事展开,你就明白为什么了。
You'll understand why as we go.
我们从这儿开始吧。
Let's start here.
我叫查尔斯·皮勒。
My name is Charles Piller.
我是《科学》杂志的调查记者,也是《被篡改》这本书的作者。
I am an investigative journalist with Science Magazine and author of the book Doctored.
皮勒这本书的全名叫《被篡改:阿尔茨海默病治愈之路上的欺诈、傲慢与悲剧》。
The full title of Piller's book is Doctored, Fraud, Arrogance, and Tragedy in the Quest to Cure Alzheimer's.
查尔斯·皮勒几乎整个成年生涯都在做记者。
Charles Piller has been a journalist pretty much his entire adult life.
我是在芝加哥地区长大的。
I grew up in the Chicago area.
我走上新闻这条路,跟我们这一代的很多‘婴儿潮’一代人一样,是受水门事件报道的启发。
I became interested in reporting kinda the way that so many people, boomers like me, did, being inspired by the Watergate investigations.
那时候我还太小,当不了记者,但已经足够懂事,会去思考这些问题,尤其是在越战时期,还有当时社会上那些种种动荡。
I was too young to be a journalist then, but not too young to be inspired and thinking about things, particularly during the Vietnam War period and all of the societal challenges there.
皮勒今年71岁。
Piller is 71 years old.
在加入《科学》杂志之前,他给《洛杉矶时报》《萨克拉门托蜜蜂报》还有生命科学新闻网站STAT写过稿。
Before coming to Science Magazine, he wrote for the LA Times, the Sacramento Bee, and the life sciences news outlet STAT.
过去几年里,他的报道一直聚焦在阿尔茨海默病的研究上。
For the past several years, his reporting has been focused on Alzheimer's research.
我问他为什么选这个方向。
I asked him why.
说白了,答案再清楚不过:跟癌症、糖尿病、心脏病这些常见病不一样,阿尔茨海默病这几十年来,全球砸了上千亿美元进去,可到现在,连一个能阻止或逆转认知衰退的疗法都没有。
Well, the answer is to me pretty clear, and that is that unlike cancer, diabetes, heart disease, and myriad other ailments that afflict us, Alzheimer's disease is something that the nation and the world has spent tens of billions of dollars on in recent decades, and yet we have no remedy that arrests or reverses the terrible cognitive decline of the disease.
虽然癌症或心脏病研究里也可能有腐败,但这些领域已经取得了巨大突破,甚至有些病已经真能治好了,给社会带来了实实在在的改变。
And so even though there may be corruption in cancer research or in heart disease research, we've seen enormous advances in those diseases and sometimes even real cures for specific ailments that have benefited society dramatically.
但阿尔茨海默病没有,这不仅更让人痛心,对那些可能正出现相关症状的人来说,也格外可怕。
We have not seen that in Alzheimer's disease, and that makes it not just more tragic, but also terrifying for people who are facing those possible symptoms.
那关于阿尔茨海默病的环境诱因,现在主流怎么看?
What is the thinking on potential environmental drivers of Alzheimer's disease?
是的。
Yeah.
这是个很好的问题,我觉得社会应该越来越重视护理和预防。
It's a great question, and I would say that care and prevention is one of the key things that I think our society should be increasingly concerned about.
众所周知,长期生活在高污染环境中的人,患阿尔茨海默病的比例更高,而且发病年龄也更早。
It's well known that people who are subject to highly polluted environments are experiencing Alzheimer's at a higher rate and also at a more severe age of onset earlier age of onset.
其次,就像我们社会里的很多疾病一样,阿尔茨海默病某种程度上也是一种不平等的疾病。
Secondly, I would say that like so many ailments in our society, Alzheimer's is in part a disease of inequality.
当然,任何阶层的人都可能得这病,但低收入人群的发病率确实更高。
Now, of course, anyone from any economic level can get the disease, but it's more prevalent among people who do not have the same level of economic opportunities.
这在多大程度上是因为医疗条件差或得不到及时治疗?
To what degree would that be caused by less or worse medical care itself?
换句话说,早期持续监测和治疗能带来多大优势?还是说,低收入人群的生活环境本身就会增加患病风险?
In other words, how much advantage is there to early or constant monitoring and then whatever kind of treatment there may be, or are you saying that low income people may have in their lives drivers that are responsible for Alzheimer's?
我觉得两方面都有。
I think it's both things.
很明显,肥胖这类问题对阿尔茨海默病也很重要。
Clearly, problems like obesity are important in Alzheimer's disease.
另外,研究一再发现,受教育程度越高的人,患阿尔茨海默病的严重程度会更低,发病年龄也会更晚。
The other thing is that they found over and over that the higher educational attainment that people have, it has a benefit that can reduce the severity or the age of onset for the disease.
明白了。
Okay.
刚才那是查尔斯·皮勒谈了几个阿尔茨海默病的潜在诱因。
So that was Charles Piller on a few potential drivers of Alzheimer's.
那这病本身到底是怎么运作的呢?
So how does the disease itself work?
这得请一位神经科学家来解释。
For that, we need a neuroscientist.
我叫马修·施拉格。
My name is Matthew Schrag.
我是范德堡大学医学中心的神经学副教授。
I'm an associate professor of neurology at Vanderbilt University Medical Center.
我负责治疗中风和记忆力问题的患者,同时经营一个实验室,研究血管疾病如何导致像阿尔茨海默病这样的记忆障碍。
I take care of patients who have strokes and memory problems, and I run a laboratory trying to understand how blood vessel diseases contribute to memory problems like Alzheimer's disease.
你能不能给我讲讲,你做的工作里,有多少是像我这样的外行会认为跟阿尔茨海默病直接相关的?
Describe for me how much of your work is what a layperson like me might consider Alzheimer's related.
大部分都是。
Most of it.
我们的观点是,血管疾病会加剧阿尔茨海默病的发展。
Our perspective is that blood vessel diseases contribute to Alzheimer's disease.
我们不把阿尔茨海默病看作一种血管病,但这些年我们一直在研究,这些过去被严重忽视的因素,到底在多大程度上影响着这种病的发病机制。
We don't think of Alzheimer's disease as a blood vessel disease, but that's one of the issues that we've been working on is trying to understand the degree to which these other factors that have been largely overlooked may play a key role in how this disease works.
那你简单说说,你都上过哪些学校,拿了哪些学位?
So just walk me through quickly all the schools you attended and all the degrees you got.
好的。
Yeah.
我本科是在北达科他大学读的。
I was at the University of North Dakota for my undergraduate work.
之后我去了罗玛琳达大学,拿了医学博士和哲学博士两个学位。
And then I went to Loma Linda University, and I got an MD and PhD there.
再后来我去耶鲁做住院医师培训。
And then I went to Yale for my residency work.
你从小就想当这样的科学家吗?
Were you wanting to be this kind of scientist since the time you were a kid?
是家人、学校或者成长环境鼓励你走这条路的吗?
Did your family or school or background encourage you?
倒也不是。
Not really.
其实吧,我后来走上这条路,是因为刚开始认真准备申请医学院的时候,找人聊了聊,问人家:我该做点啥才能提高录取几率?
You know, this happened partly because I sat down with somebody when I started getting serious about trying to get into medical school and said, what are the things I should do to improve my odds of getting in?
人家就建议我说:你最好去搞点科研。
And one of the things they said is, well, you should do some research.
我就直接去敲教授的门,问他:我能跟你做研究吗?
I went and knocked on my professor's office and said, can I do some research?
他跟我说:‘孩子,他们说的可不是植物学。’
And he said to me, son, they didn't mean botany.
他很体贴,没让我走弯路,直接把我引荐到了更合适的实验室。
And so he very graciously didn't take advantage of me and shuttled me to a more appropriate laboratory.
施拉格被安排去的实验室,是由一位研究阿尔茨海默病的神经药理学家负责的。
The lab that Schrag got shuttled to was run by a neuropharmacologist named who studied Alzheimer's.
我在实验室里特别喜欢那种氛围。
I really enjoyed the atmosphere in the laboratory.
我特别着迷于那种研究肉眼看不见的东西的方式,通过蛛丝马迹去推断复杂系统是怎么运作的。
I really loved the ways that you could try to study things that were too small to see and try to infer how complicated systems worked.
施拉格和格里维合作的研究,探讨了饮食对阿尔茨海默病发病和进展的潜在影响。
The research that Schrag worked on with Greevy looked at the potential impact that diet could have on the onset and progression of Alzheimer's.
2006年,他们和几位合作者在《神经化学杂志》上发表了一篇论文,题目是《长期高胆固醇饮食导致兔子大脑皮层细胞损伤,与铁和β-淀粉样蛋白斑块沉积有关》。
In 2006, they and a few other coauthors published a paper in the Journal of Neurochemistry called deposition of iron and beta amyloid plaques is associated with cortical cellular damage in rabbits fed with long term cholesterol enriched diets.
那篇论文的核心观点到底是什么?
So what was the idea of this paper?
这篇论文的核心观点是,胆固醇会在大脑里堆积。
The idea of this paper was that cholesterol accumulates in the brain.
我们养了一群兔子,给它们喂高胆固醇饮食,这种饮食在某种程度上被认为能模拟阿尔茨海默病。
We had raised a group of rabbits and fed them a high cholesterol diet, which was thought in some ways to mimic Alzheimer's disease.
论文的假设是,胆固醇会积聚在神经元内部,从而对神经元产生毒性作用。
And the thought with this paper was that cholesterol levels would accumulate within the neurons themselves and that that could have a toxic effect on the neurons.
你就当我是完全不懂神经科学的吧——其实我也确实不懂。
Pretend that I know nothing about the neuroscience here, which, you know, would be close to accurate.
你能给我简单说说,现在阿尔茨海默病的研究是个什么情况吗?
Can you just summarize the state of Alzheimer's research?
哪些是已知的?哪些还不清楚?哪些还有争议?
What's known, what's not known, what's disputed?
阿尔茨海默病挺复杂的,但目前主流的看法是,大脑里会堆积一些会抱团的蛋白质。
Alzheimer's disease is a complicated disease, but our current formulation of what happens in the brain is that there is an accumulation of these proteins that clump together.
其中有两个特别关键,一个是β-淀粉样蛋白,简称淀粉样蛋白,它会在脑细胞外面、细胞之间的空隙里聚集。
And two in particular, one is called beta amyloid or just amyloid, clumps together outside of the cells of the brain, sort of in between the cells.
另一种叫tau的蛋白会在神经细胞内部聚集,导致神经元逐渐失去正常功能,最终死亡。
And another protein called tau clumps inside of the cells of the brain, and that leads to the neurons eventually not functioning properly and eventually dying.
大脑会萎缩,人就开始记不住事了。
And the brain shrinks, and people begin to lose their memory.
在你刚才说的这个过程中,tau蛋白是怎么介入的?
Where did the tau cells come in in that scenario?
tau蛋白是在神经元里面的。
Tau is inside the neurons.
它是一种参与神经元结构的蛋白。
It's a protein that is involved in the structure of a neuron.
你要是回想一下高中生物课,就知道神经元是个特别复杂的细胞,长着一条超长的尾巴。
And if you think back to high school biology, you know, the neuron is this big complicated cell that has a very long tail on it.
它是人体里最大的细胞之一,而且得陪你活一辈子。
It's one of the biggest cells in the body, and they have to live for your entire life.
tau蛋白就是帮助细胞形成这种独特结构的关键,让神经元能像电线一样传导电信号。
And the tau protein is part of how the cell gets that unusual structure with the long tail that allows it to function like an electrical wire.
所以如果tau蛋白聚在一起,不再参与维持细胞骨架,细胞就没法正常工作了。
So if you have tau clumped together and no longer participate in maintaining the skeleton of the cell, the cell doesn't function properly.
这就是阿尔茨海默病的第二个关键问题——神经元的结构开始瓦解。
So that's the second key piece of what's going on in Alzheimer's disease, that the neurons are structurally destabilized.
大概从1990年左右开始,这个领域主流的观点一直认为,那些堆积在细胞外的β-淀粉样蛋白斑块,才是致病的主因。
So for at least since, I would say, about nineteen ninety in round numbers, the main thought in this field is that the plaques, this little beta amyloid protein that clumps outside of the cells, is the primary driver of the disease.
因此,大量药物研发的精力都花在阻止它堆积,或者把它打散、从大脑里清除掉上。
And a huge amount of the effort related to drug development has been dedicated to preventing it from accumulating or breaking it up and clearing it from the brain.
大家普遍觉得,斑块是第一块多米诺骨牌,后面才引发一连串复杂反应,最终导致神经元死亡。
The general idea is that plaque is the first domino, and then there's a complicated series of events leading up to the neurons dying.
但斑块仍然是阿尔茨海默病的罪魁祸首。
But the plaque is the primary driver of Alzheimer's disease.
这种多米诺效应叫作‘淀粉样蛋白级联假说’,几十年来,数十亿美金的研究经费都砸在这上面了。
This domino effect is known as the amyloid cascade hypothesis, and that is the hypothesis toward which many billions of research dollars have been directed.
那问题出在哪呢?
So what's the problem with that?
问题是,第一,这个想法可能根本不对,第二,背后的生物学机制很可能复杂得多。
The problem is, one, the idea may not be correct, and two, the biology of this is likely much more complicated.
我觉得核心问题不在于β-淀粉样蛋白跟阿尔茨海默病毫无关系,而在于人到晚年得的病,没几个是简单的。
And I think that this is the primary issue, is not that beta amyloid has nothing to do with what's going on, but most diseases at the end of your life are not simple.
我实在想不出还有哪种病,是靠一个单一的‘第一块多米诺骨牌’就引发整个连锁反应的。
I can't think of another disease where there is one single first domino that falls that causes the rest of the cascade.
我们只盯着这么一个特定因素下手,对疾病的干预效果实在有限。
By targeting just one very specific factor, I think we're not having a big enough impact on the disease.
施拉格自己的研究,关注阿尔茨海默病与血管疾病之间的关联,就是在挑战淀粉样蛋白级联假说,而且他还以举报人的身份发声。
Schrag's own research, which looks at the connections between Alzheimer's and blood vessel diseases, is a pushback against the amyloid cascade hypothesis, and Schrag has also been pushing back as a whistleblower.
我知道,除了你在范德堡大学的研究,以及你在学术圈的日常工作之外,你还兼职做独立的科研诚信顾问。
I understand that outside of your work at Vanderbilt and your work within the academic community generally, that you also work as an independent research integrity consultant.
这四个词——‘独立’、‘科研’、‘诚信’、‘顾问’——用得对吗?顺序没错吧?
Are all four of those words correct and in the right order?
这话说得挺准的,就是我平时干的活儿。
That's a good description of what I do.
你刚踏入学术研究这一行的时候,能想到现在会是这样吗?
When you first started pursuing a career in academic research, is this how you envisioned it was gonna work out?
完全没想到。
Not in the slightest.
对啊。
No.
那现在你对这一切感觉怎么样?
So how do you feel about it at this moment?
如果能重来一次,你还会选择走揭发这条路吗?
If you could start again, would you pursue the whistleblower detour or no?
我觉得我大概还是会,毕竟我这人就是这样的性格。
I think I probably would simply because of how I'm wired.
但说实话,当初走上这条路时,我就知道这很可能是个极其愚蠢的决定。
But I think that initially, when I started down this road, I did it knowing it might have been a pretty colossal lapse in judgment.
对你自己的事业来说。
For yourself, for your own career.
没错。
That's right.
但我觉得,这个领域该换个方向了。
But my viewpoint is that it's time for a direction change in this field.
有时候,你得做个决定,然后就放手去做。
And I just think that sometimes you need to make a decision and just go with it.
马修·施拉格第一次验证科研成果,其实是个非正式的尝试。
Matthew Schrag's first exercise in validating scientific research was unofficial.
那是在他读博士期间,他试着复现一篇论文的结果,那篇论文和他本科时参与过的兔子研究有相似之处。
It came during his PhD training when he tried to reproduce the findings of a paper that had parallels to the rabbit paper that he had worked on as an undergrad with.
他发现,这项研究根本无法复现。
He found that the work was not reproducible.
到了2021年,这件事的规模一下子扩大了。
In 2021, this work took on a new scale.
一位律师找到我,希望我帮忙协助一群举报人,调查一种叫simulphurum的药物的数据真实性问题——这种药是由一家得克萨斯的小型生物技术公司Cassava Sciences开发的。
I was approached by an attorney and asked to help a group of whistleblowers investigate their concerns about the integrity of the data underlying this drug simulphurum, which was being developed by a little biotech company out of Texas called Cassava Sciences.
卡萨瓦科学公司以前叫止痛疗法公司。
Cassava Sciences had been known earlier as pain therapeutics.
他们花了好几年想打进阿片类药物市场,后来转而专注一种治疗阿尔茨海默病的实验性药物——simulphurum。
They spent years trying to break into the opioid market, and then they switched their focus to simulphilim, an experimental drug for Alzheimer's.
这家公司的研究合作者是纽约市立大学医学院的一位教授,叫王浩岩。
The company's research collaborator was a medical school professor at City University of New York named Hao Yan Wang.
他的研究发现,simulfolam能逆转淀粉样蛋白纤维的错误折叠,而这种错误折叠被认为是阿尔茨海默病的诱因。
His research had found that simulfolam could reverse the misfolding of the protein filament a, which was hypothesized as a cause of Alzheimer's.
符合淀粉样蛋白假说,simufulin还能通过靶向大脑中tau蛋白和β淀粉样蛋白的堆积,来减轻炎症。
Consistent with the amyloid hypothesis, simufulin also promised to reduce inflammation by targeting the buildup of tau and beta amyloid in the brain.
他们公布的二期临床数据让这些举报人感到非常不安。
They had produced some data from their phase two trials that raised alarm bells for these whistleblowers.
这些举报人是谁?
Who were the whistleblowers?
他们是两位科学家,一位心脏病专家和一位神经科学家,对这个领域有经验,直接说这药的药理机制说不通,基础研究里有些问题根本没法合理解释。
They were a pair of scientists, a cardiologist and a neuroscientist, who had some experience in this space and basically said they didn't think the pharmacology of this drug made sense, that there were some problems in the basic science that were just hard to interpret.
后来他们看了图像数据,发现很多照片明显被修过。
And then when they looked at the image data, a lot of those photographs looked like they had been retouched.
所以我被雇来帮他们做研究,整理一份记录他们疑虑的报告,同时也为负责此案的律师提供尽职调查支持。
So I was paid a fee to help them research this and produce a document cataloging their concerns, but also to provide due diligence to the attorneys that were pursuing this.
这个案子是因为这些科学家举报,认为这种药无效,而且数据是造假的,所以想阻止它上市吗?
Was the case about these scientists whistleblowers trying to prevent this drug from going forward because they thought it would be ineffective and was based on misrepresented data?
那你卷入这件事,最初就是因为这个吗?
Was that the genesis of your involvement in this?
这确实是促使我冒着风险公开谈论这个问题的主要原因。
It was certainly the driver for me to take the risk of speaking publicly on an issue like this.
你敢跟一家几十亿美元的大公司对着干,风险可不小。
You take a substantial risk to engage on a topic like this against a multibillion dollar company.
那时候你职业生涯到什么阶段了?
And where were you in your career at this point?
哦,我当时还是个新人。
Oh, I was very junior.
我当时是个助理教授,还没拿到终身教职,刚起步不久。
I was an assistant professor, pretenure, just getting started.
那你是怎么被代表这些举报科学家的律师选中的呢?
How did you then get on the list of people to be called by an attorney representing these whistleblower scientists?
我之前接受过一些全国性媒体的采访,我想他们可能是想找一个敢说话、同时又有一定公信力的人。
I had given some interviews in the national media, and I think they were looking for somebody who was a bit outspoken perhaps, but also who had some credibility.
到那时候,你的公信力是从哪儿来的?
Where did your credibility come from to that point?
那时候我已经当了挺长时间的阿尔茨海默病研究员了。
I had worked as an Alzheimer's researcher for quite a period of time at this point.
当时有个叫阿杜卡努单抗的药,特别火。
And at the time, one particular drug, aducanumab, was getting a lot of oxygen.
我之前就公开讨论过这种治疗阿尔茨海默病的方法存在不少问题。
And I had been talking publicly about some of the weaknesses of this approach to treating Alzheimer's disease.
明白了。
Okay.
我们再回过头说说卡萨瓦科学公司的事,那些代表举报人的律师联系了你,你说那些图片看起来像是被修过图的。
Getting back to the Cassava Sciences case, the attorneys for the whistleblowers reached out, and you said the images looked like they had been retouched.
你具体说说看,是怎么回事?
Give me some detail there.
那些图完全不符合科学实验该有的样子。
The images just didn't fit what a scientific expectation would be.
看起来像是被人为处理过的吗?
Did they look visually manipulated?
确实是被处理过的。
It looked visually manipulated.
有些结果明显是复制粘贴的痕迹,比如东西被挪来挪去、重复使用,或者图像某部分的亮度被调过。
Some of these results had copy and paste type changes where it looked like things had been moved around or duplicated or where the intensity of one part of the image had been adjusted.
说到底,我们分析数据时,靠的就是照片上那些深色斑块的深浅程度。
And, ultimately, a lot of these results, how dark a splotch on the photograph is is what we ultimately measure to turn it into data.
所以一旦改了亮度,底层的数据也就被篡改了。
So changing the intensity of those values changes the underlying data.
对普通人来说,这听起来就像个儿戏般的造假。
To a layperson, that sounds like a sort of Mickey Mouse misrepresentation.
我不是说 Mickey Mouse 有什么不好,但科学论文里的图片,肉眼就能看出被改过,这确实太业余了。
And I don't mean to insult Mickey Mouse, but it seems kind of amateurish that to the naked eye, the images in a scientific paper could be seen to be manipulated.
你有没有过这种经历:别人给你看个东西,问你看到了什么?
I don't know if you've had the experience of somebody showing you something and saying, what do you see?
你盯着看了半天,啥也没看出来,结果别人一指点,你才恍然大悟。
And you don't see anything, and then somebody explains to you what you're supposed to see.
可一旦你明白了,就再也回不去那种‘看不见’的状态了。
And now all of a sudden, you couldn't possibly turn the clock back and not see that.
我觉得这里头就有这种效应。
And I think there's some of that.
一旦你发现了那些模式,确实会觉得它们太明显了。
I think once you've seen the patterns, you're right that they seem quite obvious.
不过我也得说,觉得可疑是一回事,能拿出确凿证据又是另一回事。
But I'll also say there's a difference between seeing something suspicious and being able to prove it.
我们当时做的,就是想用一种非常系统、严谨的方式来处理这件事。
And that's part of what we were working on was trying to do this in a very systematic and thorough way.
同时也要证明,这些不是随机的错误,也不是疏忽大意,而是有明确模式的,这种模式彻底改变了数据的解读方式。
And then also show that these are not random things, that these are not accidents or slips, but that there is a coherent pattern to it that changes the interpretation of the data.
你跟我讲讲,你当时跟谁一起做的?看这些数据的时候是什么情况?最后得出了什么结论?
Tell me about who you worked with and what that work was like to look at these data and what your conclusions were.
我是独立完成的。
I worked independently.
一旦我确信这些投诉确实有道理,下一步就是对相关材料、支持这种药物研发的科学论文做更深入的调查和分析,看看还有没有其他问题。
And once I settled in my mind that there was some legitimacy to these complaints, the next step was then to do some additional research and forensics on the material, on the scientific publications that were supportive of developing this drug and see if there were additional problems.
于是我帮他们整理了一份材料,最终提交给了FDA,反对这个药物继续研发。
And so I helped them build a dossier that was eventually sent to the FDA to contest the continued development of this drug.
现在这事就交给FDA了。
And now it's in the FDA's hands.
你可能觉得,既然你这么有信心,FDA肯定照你说的办吧。
Maybe you're thinking that, of course, the FDA will follow your prescription because you had a lot of confidence in your data.
对。
Right.
但我也不确定。
But I don't know.
你有没有怀疑过,FDA会就此叫停?
Did you have any skepticism that the FDA would wind it down?
我真没想到FDA没采取更多行动。
I was shocked that the FDA didn't take more action than they did.
我本来以为几天内这事儿就该板上钉钉、必须叫停了,结果进展和最终决定都让我大吃一惊。
I expected within days for this to be a no brainer that this could not continue, and I was really surprised by the pace and the ultimate decisions.
但后来我们发现一个模式:作弊的人,总会一而再、再而三地作弊。
But one of the things that happened was we've noticed this pattern where cheaters cheat.
这听起来可能不稀奇,但当我开始调查这位科学家时,发现他的问题远不止在这家公司做的这项工作里。
That shouldn't maybe shock people, but when I started investigating this scientist, what we found is that the problems extended well beyond the work that he had done for this company.
所以我们得决定怎么处理这些事。
And so we had to decide what we were going to do with that.
律师们当然对这家公司很感兴趣,但我总觉得,我们还有个更广的科学目标——那就是纠正整个科学界的错误记录。
Obviously, the attorneys were very interested in this company, but I felt like there was an additional scientific objective here to correct the scientific record more broadly.
所以我们达成一致,允许我继续追查这个人的其他研究问题。
So we agreed that I would be permitted to continue to pursue the problems in the rest of this individual's work.
原来如此。
I see.
这是来自纽约城市大学的王浩岩。
This is Hao Yan Wang at City University of New York.
是这样吗?
Is that right?
没错。
That's right.
王浩岩是卡萨瓦科学公司主要的科研人员。
Hao Yan Wang was the primary scientist working for cassava sciences.
最后,我把一整套材料发给了美国国立卫生研究院,详细说明了他在和他合作者的研究中暴露出的那些系统性问题。
And so I ultimately sent a set of dossiers to the National Institute of Health describing more broadly the patterns that we saw in his work and in the work of his collaborators.
那 NIH 给你回了什么消息?
And what did you hear back from the NIH?
这个过程啊,特别不透明。
Well, that's a very opaque process.
他们只会谢谢你提供的意见,之后就没什么下文了。
So they thank you for your input, and then you hear very little.
在卡萨瓦科学公司案中,有一位举报人联系了《科学》杂志的一名记者,这位记者把马修·施拉格介绍给了他们的同事、调查记者查尔斯·皮勒。
One of the whistleblowers in the Cassata Sciences case reached out to a reporter at the prestigious journal Science who connected Matthew Schrag with a colleague of theirs, the investigative journalist, Charles Piller.
我后来发现,他想挖的深度,远超我之前接触过的那些记者。
And it became clear to me he was looking to go a lot deeper than most of the reporters that I had talked to.
到那时为止,我接受媒体采访基本都是匿名的,身份也只是那位律师和他所支持的举报人的顾问。
Up to that point, my comments in the media had been mostly on background, and my role had been as a consultant for this attorney and the whistleblowers he was working for.
但很明显,那时候这个故事的规模已经大不一样了。
But, obviously, the story was bigger at that point.
这已经不只是卡萨瓦科学公司的事了。
It was more than just cassava sciences.
这牵扯到很多科学家。
It involved a lot of scientists.
你知道,问题越扩越大了。
You know, the problem was expanding.
广告后,我们会听到这个问题是怎么越闹越大的。
Coming up after the break, we will hear how the problem expands.
我是斯蒂芬·杜布纳,欢迎收听《魔鬼经济学》广播。
I'm Stephen Dubner, and this is Freakonomics Radio.
在广告前,范德堡大学的神经科学家马修·施拉格讲述了他发现的生物科技公司卡萨瓦科学的造假研究。
Before the break, the Vanderbilt neuroscientist Matthew Schrag described what he considered doctored research coming out of the biotech firm, Cassava Sciences.
调查记者查尔斯·皮勒听说了施拉格的工作,提议他们合作。
The investigative journalist Charles Piller heard about Schrag's work and suggested that they collaborate.
这是马修·施拉格的讲述。
Here's Matthew Schrag.
我同意给查尔斯看我准备并提交给NIH的那些材料。
I agreed to show Charles the dossiers that I had prepared and had sent to the NIH.
我还另外给NIH提交了一份关于明尼苏达大学问题的材料,那些问题其实跟我研究卡萨瓦科学公司的事儿没啥直接关系。
And I had sent an additional dossier to the NIH about the issues at the University of Minnesota, which were incidental to the work that I was doing on cassava sciences.
但我早就注意到了这个问题,自己试着用了一些图像分析技术,干脆就把在明尼苏达大学发现的这些有问题的论文当成了测试案例,看看这招管不管用。
But I had become aware of this problem and had been dabbling with some image analysis techniques and basically used this set of problem papers that I had found at the University of Minnesota as a test case to see how this technique would perform.
其中有一篇论文特别有影响力,2006年发表在《自然》期刊上。
One of these papers was a hugely influential study that had been published in the journal Nature in 2006.
论文标题叫《大脑中一种特定的β淀粉样蛋白聚集体损害记忆》。
It was called a specific beta amyloid protein assembly in the brain impairs memory.
这篇论文的合作者里有两个明尼苏达大学的研究人员,叫西尔万·莱斯奈和凯伦·阿什。
Among the coauthors were two University of Minnesota researchers, Sylvain Lesnay and Karen Ash.
这项研究用的是基因改造的小鼠,它们的大脑会产生过量的淀粉样蛋白。
The research used genetically engineered mice whose brains produced excess amounts of amyloid protein.
研究人员从这些小鼠身上提取蛋白,注射到大鼠脑里,结果大鼠很快就出现了认知能力下降的迹象。
The researchers extracted that protein from the mice and injected it into the brains of rats, who soon after showed signs of cognitive decline.
这篇论文出现的时候,正好是淀粉样蛋白假说遭遇重大挫折的时刻。
This paper came along at a moment where the amyloid hypothesis had a big stumble.
当时有个临床试验,想用疫苗把大脑里的β淀粉样蛋白清除掉,这想法其实挺巧妙的,但试验失败了。
Clinical trial looking to remove beta amyloid from the brain with a vaccine, which frankly is a really clever approach, but the trial failed.
有时候,再好再聪明的想法也不管用,这个就是个例子。
And sometimes really good, really clever ideas don't work, and this was one of them.
于是大家开始怀疑,这个假说是不是根本就错了。
And people started questioning whether this was the right hypothesis.
后来有人提出新的说法,也许真正致病的不是那些大块的淀粉样蛋白斑块。
So this reformulation came along that perhaps it wasn't the big clumps, the plaques of beta amyloid that was the primary driver of the disease.
而是在单个分子和成千上万分子聚成的大团块之间,某种中间状态的东西。
Perhaps somewhere in between a single molecule of beta amyloid floating around and where it was millions of these molecules in a giant clump.
可能是一些能溶于水的小型淀粉样蛋白聚集体才是有毒的,他们管这叫‘寡聚体’,其实就是希腊语里‘小团块’的意思。
Perhaps there's some soluble small clump of beta amyloid that was the toxic component, And they call those oligomers, which is just Greek for small clump, I guess.
Sylvain Lesney声称他找到了那个‘银弹’——某种特定数量的β淀粉样蛋白链组成的聚集体,才是真正的元凶。
Sylvain Lesney proposed that he had found that silver bullet, that a clump of a certain number of strands of beta amyloid was the primary cause.
他的论文被大量引用,一直被引用到我们开始质疑它为止。
And his paper was cited and continued to be cited right up until we challenged it.
这项实验让整个领域的人重新燃起了信心,到2022年为止,它成了该疾病研究史上被引用最多的实验之一。
This experiment gave new confidence to people in the field and became one of the most cited experiments in the history of the disease through 2022.
这又是记者查尔斯·皮勒说的。
That again is the journalist Charles Piller.
那后来发生了什么?
So what happened next?
施拉格和我开始仔细研究这件事,最后我在《科学》杂志上发表了一篇相关报道。
Schrag and I started to look carefully at this, and, ultimately, I wrote a story about it in Science Magazine.
他们发现莱斯尼和阿什那篇论文的主要问题,出在作为证据的图片上。
The major issue they found with the paper by Lesney and Asch had to do with the images that were used as evidence.
这次主要涉及一种叫西方印迹的图像技术。
Primarily in this case, it involves something called Western blot images.
这种技术在科学界非常非常普遍,尤其在阿尔茨海默病研究和其他领域里用得特别多。
Now these are a very, very common technique used in science, particularly often in Alzheimer's research and in other fields as well.
简单说,它就是蛋白质的一种照片式呈现。
And what they are are a photographic representation of proteins.
所以你可以通过这个方法检测出样本里有哪些蛋白质,以及它们的含量。
So you can test a protein sample for the type and amount of different proteins within it.
这在阿尔茨海默病研究里特别关键,因为你得搞清楚动物大脑里到底有哪些蛋白,可能跟疾病有关。
This is very important in Alzheimer's research because you're trying to determine what proteins are in an animal brain, for example, that might be behind the disease in some way.
施拉格在他的研究中发现了一些问题,后来其他图像 forensic 专家、我去找他们核实,还有阿尔茨海默领域的权威专家,也都确认了这一点。
And so what Schrag found from his work, and this was validated by other forensic image experts, by me going to them, and also by leaders in the field of Alzheimer's research.
结果发现,这些图片被严重篡改了,明明实际数据不支持实验假设,图片却硬是往支持的方向改。
What was found was that these images apparently were manipulated in severe ways that tended to support the hypothesis of the experiment when the actual data did not support it.
所以我猜你后来联系了莱斯尼?
So I assume that you contact Lesney.
你们是怎么谈的?
What's that conversation like?
可惜的是,我们根本没谈成,他压根儿不回我。
That conversation is one that regrettably never occurred because he wouldn't speak to me.
明白了。
Okay.
那你的合作者马修·施拉格呢?
And what about Matthew Schrag, your coinvestigator?
莱斯尼或者他实验室的人,包括那个凯伦·阿什,有没有跟施拉格沟通过?回应过他的质疑吗?
Did Lesney or anyone else from his lab, including, I guess, Karen Ash, did they speak with Schrag or respond to any comments?
他有没有把关于数据造假的指控发给他们?
Is he sending them information about his charges of manipulation?
施拉格毕竟是个科学家。
I mean, Schrag's a scientist.
作为写这篇文章的记者,我可是使出了浑身解数,想让莱斯尼和他的合作者——当时还是他老板的凯伦·阿什——跟我聊聊。
I was the one who, as a journalist writing the article, of course, I did everything I could possibly do to get Lesney and his co investigator, who at the time of the experiment was his boss, Karen Ash, to speak to me.
在文章发表之前,他们俩都死活不肯跟我谈。
Prior to the article appearing, they both refused to speak with me.
这些细节我都写在书里了,也写进了那篇报道里。
This is detailed in my book and also in the article that I wrote about it.
其实吧,这事儿说起来也没那么意外。
And it was, I think, not that surprising in a way.
我做了这么多年这类报道,发现很多人其实没啥好说的,或者因为机构限制,根本不敢或不能跟记者开口。
I found over many years of experience doing these sorts of articles that people don't have a great story to tell often are unwilling or unable by their institutions restricting them from saying anything to a reporter.
我和Ash确实有过交流,她挺有意思地说,她其实想跟我谈,但学校劝她别谈,最后她听从了学校的建议。
Ash, I did have a dialogue with, and she very interestingly replied that she wanted to talk with me, but her university advised her not to, and she decided that she would go along with their advice.
我当时就跟她说,我觉得这建议太糟糕了——这可是她向公众表达自己观点的绝佳机会,这是最广为阅读、最深入的一次调查。
I explained to her at the time that I thought it was terrible advice because this was her opportunity to get her perspective into the most read, deepest look at the subject.
让我恼火的是,大学也是公众信任的一部分,它们拿的科研经费可都是纳税人的钱。
The thing that frustrates me about that is universities are also part of the public trust, and they get a lot of research funding from taxes.
所以我觉得,至少该回应一下,至少该认真对待这些指控。
And so I feel like it should be incumbent upon them to at least respond, at least take the charges seriously.
当你发现她根本没认真回应时,你接下来是怎么做的?
When you found that you weren't getting a serious response from her, what was your next step then?
在这种情况下,通常会由资助这项研究的美国国立卫生研究院介入调查。
In this case, what happens is the National Institutes of Health, which is the funder of this work, take a look at it.
他们也认为,这里确实可能存在一些问题。
They agreed that there was a possible problem there.
他们把这事转交给了卫生与公共服务部下属一个名不见经传的机构,叫科研诚信办公室。
They referred it to a obscure government agency called the Office of Research Integrity at the Health and Human Services Department.
就一小撮人而已。
This is a tiny little group.
他们根本没足够的人手去查遍科学界每一起可能的造假或不当行为。
They don't have the manpower to examine every possible example of fraud or misconduct in the scientific world.
所以他们就把案子扔回给事发的大学——这次是明尼苏达大学。
And so what they do is they give it back to the university where the alleged misconduct took place, in this case, the University of Minnesota.
在我看来,这做法完全搞反了:你居然让最怕曝光、最没动力去彻底查清问题的机构,去自己查自己。
To me, this is exactly the wrong approach because you're entrusting the organization that has the most to lose and the least to gain from a robust, complete, and publicly accessible examination of possuminous conduct to do that examination.
结果他们花了好几年才做完对莱斯尼的调查。
So they took years to assess Lesney.
可在这期间,他还在继续拿数以十万计的联邦经费,干着早就被质疑的研究。
In the meantime, he was still collecting many hundreds of thousands of dollars in federal funds to continue the same lines of research that had already been proved questionable.
我还得说一句,我那篇报道出来后,他又发了一篇论文,我们发现里面明显篡改了科学图像。
And I might add, published a paper after my initial story came out that we found had apparently manipulated scientific images in it.
这事一拖再拖,大学那边照样该干嘛干嘛。
This goes on and on, and the university is going about their business.
直到2025年,莱斯尼才退休。
Finally, in 2025, Lesney retires from his job.
他辞去了终身正教授的职位。
He resigns from his post as a tenured full professor.
这人其实还挺年轻的。
This is a pretty young guy.
所以说,他等于直接断送了自己的科研生涯。
So what you're talking about is a guy who ended his scientific career, in effect.
那所大学的调查到底查到什么地步了?
What was the extent of that university investigation?
谁知道呢,他们啥细节都没公布,就说了句‘建议期刊撤回莱斯尼的其他论文’。
Well, we'll never know because they never released any of the particulars except to say that they had asked for journals to consider retracting other Lesney articles.
当初那篇发表在《自然》上的开创性论文,对阿尔茨海默病领域影响巨大,我觉得,很多人也同意,它在推动整个领域前进上起了关键作用。
Now the initial story, this seminal paper in Nature that was influential in the field of Alzheimer's disease, and I would argue, and I think many people agree, had a very, very high degree of importance in moving the field forward.
这篇论文最终被撤稿了。
This paper was retracted, ultimately.
正式向《自然》期刊申请撤稿的是合著者凯伦·阿什。
It was coauthor Karen Ash who formally requested that the paper be retracted from the journal Nature.
她在其他地方发表的声明中承认数据存在问题,但表示自己之前完全不知情,直到有人提出来才了解到。
In a note she published elsewhere, Ash acknowledged problems with the data, but said she had had no knowledge of it until it was brought to her attention.
我们联系了凯伦·阿什和西尔万·莱斯尼。
We reached out to both Karen Ash and Sylvain Lesnay.
莱斯尼拒绝了我们的采访,阿什那边也没回音。
Lesnay declined to speak with us, and we didn't hear back from Ash.
那卡萨瓦制药公司和他们的实验性阿尔茨海默病药物simphilim呢?
And what about Cassava Sciences and their experimental Alzheimer's drug simulphilim?
查尔斯·皮勒和马修·施拉格也一直在深挖这件事。
Charles Piller and Matthew Schrag kept digging into that as well.
皮勒在《科学》杂志上发表了一篇文章,披露了纽约城市大学的一份内部报告,指出黄远华的研究中存在大量图像篡改和数据管理混乱的问题。
Piller published an article in Science about an internal report from the City University of New York, which found numerous signs of image manipulation in Hauyuan Wang's work and bad data management.
2024年,美国司法部指控王浩元在与simulphilim相关的NIH资助申请中伪造和篡改数据。
In 2024, the Department of Justice indicted Wang for allegedly fabricating and falsifying data in NIH grant applications related to simulphilim.
王被控多项罪名,包括对美国政府的重大欺诈、电汇欺诈和作虚假陈述。
Wong faced multiple charges, including major fraud against The United States, wire fraud, and false statements.
几个月后,卡萨瓦科学公司同意向证券交易委员会支付四千万美元,以和解其在simulfolam疗效上误导投资者的指控。
A few months later, Cassava Sciences agreed to pay $40,000,000 to the Securities and Exchange Commission to settle charges that it misled investors on the effectiveness of simulfolam.
卡萨瓦公司在公开宣称该药物在人体临床试验中未能显示出优于安慰剂的认知效果后,停止了该药的研发。
Cassava stopped development of the drug after publicly stating that it had failed in human clinical trials showing no cognitive advantage over a placebo.
卡萨瓦的总裁兼首席执行官雷米·巴比耶,以及高级副总裁兼神经科学家林赛·伯恩斯都已辞职。
Cassava president and CEO Remy Barbier and senior vice president and neuroscientist Lindsay Burns both resigned.
上个月,卡萨瓦科学公司宣布再次更名,这次改名为Falana Therapeutics。
And last month, Cassava Sciences announced that it was once again changing its name, this time to Falana Therapeutics.
郝燕王也同意就SEC的指控缴纳罚款,而到了2025年,司法部对王的所有欺诈指控都被撤销了。
Hao Yan Wang also agreed to pay a fine related to the SEC charges, and in 2025, all charges of fraud made by the DOJ were dropped.
我们试图联系王,但没得到直接回应;不过他的律师表示,鉴于新证据的出现,他们对指控被撤销感到满意,并坚持认为王是无辜的。
We tried to reach Wang and got no response directly, but his lawyers said they are pleased that the case against Wong was dropped in light of new evidence and maintain that Wong is innocent of the accusations made against him.
我们也联系了Falana,想听听他们的说法。
We also reached out to Folana for comment.
公司发言人说,他们现在主要专注于研发一种罕见癫痫的治疗方法。
A spokesperson for the company said they are currently focused on researching and developing a treatment for a rare form of epilepsy.
与此同时,查尔斯·皮勒在为写书做调研时,一直在梳理众多阿尔茨海默病研究者的背景。
Meanwhile, Charles Piller, as part of his book research, had been looking into the track record of many Alzheimer's researchers.
我挑了大约五十个人,他们要么影响力大,要么行为值得深挖。
I focused in on about 50 who were both influential and who seemed to be people who needed a closer look.
最引人注目的一个,是这个叫埃利亚·莫斯利的人,他以前是国家老龄化研究所神经科学部的负责人。
Probably the most interesting one is this guy, Elijah Mosleya, who was previously the head of the division of neuroscience for the National Institute on Aging.
他每年掌管着将近27亿美元的预算,可以说是全球最有权势的人之一,直接左右着神经科学研究的方向——毕竟他是这领域最大的金主。
This guy was overseeing a budget of about $2,700,000,000 per year, and this made him one of the most influential people in the world by far to steer the agenda of neuroscience research because this is the biggest funder worldwide for this work.
几十年来,他一直在加州大学圣地亚哥分校做研究。
He, for decades, had been a researcher at the University of California in San Diego.
他在帕金森和阿尔茨海默病研究领域都成了权威人物。
He became an eminent scientist in both Parkinson's and Alzheimer's research.
所以他被聘为NIA神经科学部门负责人时,简直是天选之人——德高望重、人脉广、声誉好,自己也做过不少有影响力的研究,还同时在NIA内部运营着自己的实验室,负责整个部门的项目。
So when he was hired to be the head of the neuroscience division at NIA, it made him a logical choice, someone who had respect, had contacts, had prestige, had himself demonstrated a propensity for influential research, and he operated his own lab within NIA as well as directing their programs.
那时候,有没有人怀疑他科研不端或者PS图片呢?
And at that time, were there any suspicions of research misbehavior or image doctoring?
没有。
No.
据NIH的说法,当时没人对他有任何疑虑。
There were no suspicions of him according to the NIH.
于是,我们请了四位顶尖的法医图像专家帮忙,其中包括马特·施拉格,还有来自哥伦比亚大学的杨慕女士,她现在可是越来越有名的法医图像分析专家。
So with the cooperation and assistance of four leading forensic image experts, and that included Matt Schrag, a woman by the name of Mu Yang, who is at Columbia University, who's becoming a pretty well known forensic image expert.
还有凯文·帕特里克,他不是科学家,但是个经验老到的独立研究者,特别擅长分析这类图像;另外还有伊丽莎白·贝克,她是全球顶尖的科学图像分析专家。
Also, Kevin Patrick, who is not a scientist, but is a independent researcher who is excellent and very seasoned at looking at these images, and Elizabeth Beck, who is a world renowned expert in scientific image analysis.
这四位专家一起审查了莫斯利发表的论文。
And the four of them took a look at Mosley's papers.
我们最终挑出了132篇有问题的论文,总共看了800篇。
We found a 132 papers out of the 800.
我们没看全部800篇,那活儿太庞大了。
We didn't look at all 800 because it was too massive a task.
我们挑了132篇,发现都有图像异常,比如明显被篡改的图、重复使用或不当复用的图,还有些图被拆开用在不同论文里,硬凑出不同的科学结论。
At a 132 where image irregularities, including apparently doctored images, apparently misused or reused images, apparently images that were published separately in different papers in an improper way to make different scientific points.
最后整理出了一份300页的报告,把所有疑点都列得清清楚楚。
What came out of it was a 300 page dossier detailing all of the concerns.
这些问题是追溯到Mosley三十年前的工作,包括他在加州大学圣地亚哥分校的成果,还有他在国家老龄化研究所实验室的成果。
And this traces back to Mosley's work going back thirty years, including at UC San Diego and also the work coming out of his lab at the National Institute on Aging.
是他亲自在带的项目吗?
Work that he's directing personally?
是他亲自在自己实验室里带的项目。
Or That he's directing personally in his own lab.
那你们整理出这份报告,指出这132篇论文有图像造假的迹象,然后怎么跟他说的?他啥反应?
So you compile this dossier that identifies a 132 papers with signs of apparent image doctoring.
你们是怎么把这情况告诉他,他又是怎么回应的?
How do you present this information to him, and what's his response?
嗯,我就用了最直接的方式。
Well, in the most straightforward way possible.
我给他写了信。
I wrote to him.
我把这份报告直接交给了他。
I presented the dossier to him.
他手上有全部的信息。
He had a 100% of the information.
我问他了一大堆问题,关于我们发现的那些问题,当然,我们也给了他机会,让他提供证据来证明我们哪里弄错了。
I asked him a wide range of questions about the problems that we found, and, of course, we offered him the opportunity to present evidence that would suggest that we had it wrong in some way.
结果呢,他压根没回。
And so the response was that he didn't respond.
机构那边的反应倒是挺有意思。
The response from the agency was fascinating.
一开始他们死活不搭理,但等到出版日期越来越近,就在文章发表前三天,他们突然说:等等。
At first, they would refuse to respond, and then as the date of publication became closer and closer, literally three days before the story was published, they said, wait.
展开剩余字幕(还有 284 条)
等等。
Wait.
我们可能有点东西给你。
We might have something for you.
然后他们特意选在我那篇报道刚在《科学》杂志网站上线的那一刻发布声明,声明内容是马斯利亚已经不再担任该职务。
And then they timed their announcement about this to land the moment my story went live on the Science Magazine website, and that announcement was that Masliya was no longer in his job.
埃利泽·马斯利亚拒绝与我们交谈,而国立卫生研究院发来一份声明,说他们不评论人事问题。
Eliezer Masliya declined to speak with us, and the NIH sent us a statement to say that they do not comment on personnel matters.
广告后,马修·施拉格将直面他过去的导师。
Coming up after the break, Matthew Schrag has a reckoning with his former mentor.
我是斯蒂芬·杜布纳。
I'm Stephen Dubner.
欢迎收听《魔鬼经济学》广播。
This is Freakonomics Radio.
马上回来。
We'll be right back.
你之前说过,你本科时被安排到北达科他大学的一个实验室,那儿有个人在负责。
You said you were directed to a lab where you were an undergraduate, University of North Dakota, and there was someone, I guess, running the lab.
对吧?
Right?
就是奥思曼·格林比,他后来成了你的导师。
Othman Greeby, who became really a mentor of yours.
没错吧?
Correct?
是的。
Yeah.
当然了。
Absolutely.
他教了我很多,后来也成了我特别要好的朋友。
He taught me an awful lot and became a very good friend.
结果你揭发得最狠的,恰恰就是他。
Turns out that he was one of the people that you blew the whistle on the hardest.
是吗?
Yes?
对啊。
Yeah.
我的意思是,我们这段关系最后以这么令人失望的方式收场。
I mean, it was a very disappointing end to our relationship.
这又是马修·施拉格。
This again is Matthew Schrag.
他之前跟我们讲过,他和格里比一起做研究,观察那些吃高胆固醇饮食的兔子脑部斑块的积累情况。
He told us earlier about this research with Gribi looking at plaque buildup in the brains of rabbits who'd been fed a high cholesterol diet.
我问施拉格,他在这项研究里具体做了什么。
I asked Schrag what his role had been in this research.
我帮忙养兔子,还帮忙给组织染色。
Well, I helped raise the animals, and I helped to stain the tissue.
在卡萨瓦科学公司那件事之后,我本来以为我看过的所有论文都会被重新审视和深挖,但我真没发现有什么问题。
After the work with Cassava Sciences, I very much expected that every paper I'd ever looked at was going to get analyzed and dissected, but I I wasn't aware of problems.
你这话是什么意思?
What do you mean by that?
你本来以为每篇论文都会被仔细检查?
You expected that every paper would get dissected?
我以为,那些我举报的人会认真审视我的研究,确保我的工作没问题。
I expected that people I was blowing the whistle on would have a good hard look at my research and make sure that my work was clean.
原来如此。
I see.
有人联系我时,我简直惊呆了,他说:你看过你最早发表的那几篇论文里的图片吗?
And I was quite astonished when somebody reached out to me and said, have you looked at these images from the first couple of papers that you ever published?
那些图片是什么?
What were the images?
是显微镜下的图像。
They were microscope images.
我们当时在观察一群神经元。
So we were looking at a field of neurons.
有人觉得这些神经元看起来太像了。
The suggestion was that the neurons looked too much alike.
看起来像是某些图被反复复制粘贴了好几次。
It looked like some of them might have been copied and pasted multiple times.
在你看来,是谁在论文发表前拿走并篡改了这些图片?
So who was it that, in your view, took and manipulated those images before they were published in the paper?
这事是我导师奥斯曼·格雷布干的。
Well, that happened at the hands of my mentor, Osman Grebe.
我知道这事,一方面是因为他负责这篇论文,负责拼图;另一方面,我问他时,他亲口承认了。
And I know this partly because he was responsible for the paper and put the figures together, but also partly because when I asked him about it, he told me.
这都是好多年后的事了。
This is years later.
那时候我们才发现了问题。
This is when we discovered the problem.
我得说,一旦有人把这些问题图片给我看,我就把所有东西都翻了一遍。
And I have to say that once these images were brought to my attention, I looked at everything.
事实上,我请了这一领域的几位其他专家帮忙,这样我们能尽快搞定。
In fact, I recruited a couple of other experts in this area to help me so that we could do this fairly quickly.
我也觉得有必要找几个不带偏见的人来看看,毕竟我对霍夫曼确实有偏向。
I also felt it was important to have an unbiased set of eyes or two because I certainly felt that I was partial to Hoffman.
我们很快把我们一起发表的所有东西都过了一遍,连他单独发表的也一并检查了。
We very rapidly went through everything we published together, but also everything else that he had published.
那其中有多少是有问题的?
And how much of it had problems?
很遗憾,问题多得惊人。
Unfortunately, just an enormous portion.
而且那些问题的性质,根本没法轻易搪塞过去。
And, you know, the types of problems were the sorts of things that were very hard to dismiss.
意思是图片被篡改之类的?
Meaning manipulated imagery and so on?
没错。
That's right.
而且这种改动是连贯的,直接影响了对结果的解读。
And in a way that was coherent in changing the interpretation of the results.
我跟奥斯曼聊过这事,他说他觉得底层的科学是对的,只是想让表达更清楚一点,称这更多是夸大,而不是造假。
I have to say when I talked to Osman about it, he said that he thought the underlying science was right and that he was trying to make it a little clearer and said it was more exaggeration than manipulation.
你总能听到这种把问题轻描淡写的说法,但一看模式,根本没法忽视。
You hear these kinds of ways of sort of shrinking the problem, but when you looked at the pattern, it was very hard to ignore.
说实话,我花了一点时间才接受这会是个大问题,毕竟我了解奥斯曼。
I have to say it took me a little bit of time to settle that this was going to be a huge problem because I knew Othman.
我一开始真觉得这不过是疏忽。
I just assumed that this was a mistake.
所以我第一反应就是:哎?
So my initial reaction was, hey.
我们一开始在几篇论文里看到这些问题,当时根本不知道情况这么严重。
We're seeing these problems in these initial couple of papers, and I didn't know the scale of it at the time.
我当时就说:哎?
I basically said, hey.
咱们得把原始数据找出来,赶紧改过来。
Let's track down the source data and fix it.
我联系了他,想试试看能不能解决。
I reached out to him to try to do that.
我还联系了学校,看看还有没有留下什么痕迹。
I reached out to university to see what sorts of things might still be around.
但问题是,奥曼后来把所有记录都清理掉了。
But the problem was that at some point, Othman had gotten rid of all of his records.
我觉得他其实早就知道这事儿不对劲。
I think he knew that this was a problem.
他跟我说,对自己当时做的事特别后悔。
He told me he was very ashamed of what had happened.
所以他后来干脆关了实验室,把所有东西都扔了, partly 是因为觉得这数据配不上他自己的标准,心里过不去。
And so at some point, he closed his laboratory and disposed of everything in part out of shame of knowing that this data was not at the standards that he expected of himself.
所以你最后打电话给他时,那通电话是啥情况?
So when you called him, ultimately, what was that call like?
那通电话挺难熬的。
It was tough.
真的特别难开口。
It was a very tough call.
一开始他说想站出来替我澄清,让我别被当成问题的一部分,我真的很感激。
Initially, he said that he wanted to speak out and exonerate me from being part of the problem, which I appreciated.
但说实话,大多数人也不会把论文里那个本科生的二作当成罪魁祸首吧。
But, also, I don't think most people would look at the middle author of the paper who's an undergraduate and say that's the bad guy.
我不是说从来没发生过,但这种情况太罕见了。
I don't wanna say that never happens, but it's unlikely.
那他最后站出来了吗?
So did he speak out?
他跟几个人私下聊过,还发了点书面材料给我,告诉我他怎么说的。
He had some initial conversations with people, and he sent me some things in writing to say what he said.
但最后他还是决定不公开表态,我觉得这真是个特别遗憾的错误。
But ultimately, he decided not to speak publicly, which I just thought was a really sad mistake.
我当时就跟他说了,到现在我还是觉得他是个特别棒的老师。
I told him at the time, and I still think that he was a wonderful teacher.
很多时候,一个人在某个方面有短板,但依然能带来很大的价值。
And a lot of times, people who have trouble in one domain can still have a lot of value to bring to the table.
我跟他说,如果他能鼓起勇气站出来,不只是讲发生了什么,更要说清楚为什么会这样,为什么别人也可能遇到类似的情况,以及我们科学家当初承诺坚守的那些基本原则有多重要——那样的话,他作为老师的影响力会成倍放大。
I told him that if he could find it in himself to speak out about this and talk not just about what happened, but why it happened and why other people might experience this and the importance of really hanging on to the basic principles that we as scientists all sign up for, that his role as a teacher could just be exponentially more important.
我到现在还是隐隐希望,他有一天能这么做。
And I still sort of hope that he would do that someday.
我知道他早年,大概是2006或2007年,就有人对他搞过一次学术不端调查。
I understand that there'd been an earlier misconduct inquiry into his work back in 2006 or 2007.
你听说过这事吗?
Do you know anything about that?
我现在知道了。
I do now.
但那时候我真不知道。
I didn't at the time.
据说,这件事其实就跟我们正在谈的这篇论文有关。
Apparently, it actually involved this paper that we're talking about.
我听说,问题是在项目评审时被发现的。
Some of the problems had been picked up in the grant review is the story that I was told.
后来有人告诉我,他们注意到数据里有些异常,就同时向学校和期刊反映了情况。
Told me this story eventually that they had picked up on some anomalies in the data, and they had referred it both to the university and to the journal.
期刊要求他提供原始图片进行核查,还坚持要他发表更正声明。
And the journal asked him to send original images so that they could inspect them and insisted on a correction to the paper.
他们确实发了更正声明。
They did publish a correction.
但更正内容说得含糊其辞,看起来就像个无意的失误。
The correction was fairly vague in terms of what had happened, and so it was presented as a simple accident.
你有没有问他,为什么要这么做?
Did you ask him why he did what he did?
嗯,我问过他。
You know, I did.
当时他的看法是,他并没有捏造数据,只是想让图像更直观、更有说服力,但他自己也承认这算是一种夸大,而不是彻底造假——说实话,实际上这两者没啥区别。
And his point of view at that time was that he wasn't making anything up, that he was trying to make the images more convincing or easier to understand, but he equated it with a bit of an exaggeration rather than whole scale fabrication, which I must say in practice is no different.
但这只是他的看法。
But that was his perspective.
他还觉得大家都这么干,可这根本不对。
His perspective was also that everybody did this, which is not true.
我们得说清楚这一点。
And we have to say that.
我们得明确表态。
We have to say that.
标准一旦松动就容易滑坡,但我们必须始终坚持说:不行。
It's easy to erode the standards, but we have to consistently say, no.
不是所有人都这么干。
Not everybody does this.
明白了。
Okay.
那你当年跟他做事的时候还是个孩子,现在居然成了一名真正的学者?
So you were a kid when you worked with him, and now you're an actual academic?
不过我得说,他一直是我生命中很重要的人。
I have to say, though, he remained an important person in my life.
我换学校的时候,他还留在我的论文委员会里,继续当我的导师。
When I moved universities, he stayed on my dissertation committee, so he remained an adviser.
他亲自来参加我的毕业典礼,还一本正经地给我戴上学位帽。
He came to my graduation and went through all the regalia putting the hood on me.
你知道吗?他还来参加了我的婚礼。
You know, he came to my wedding.
他可不是那种擦肩而过的学术熟人那么简单。
And so this was somebody who was more than just a passing academic acquaintance.
我觉得,讲这类故事的时候,别忘了背后往往藏着一段很个人的经历。
And I think that's important when you think about these kinds of stories is that there's also underneath all this often a very personal story.
这些人都是活生生的普通人,彼此之间往往有着很深的感情。
These are real human beings who are often very attached to each other.
所以别人总说,为啥没人站出来发声呢?
So it's easy for people to say, why don't people take a stronger stand?
但我知道,真要站出来有多难,这往往要付出实实在在的代价。
But I know how hard it is to take that stand, that it often has a a real human cost.
2006年Greebie、Schrag和另外三位合作者发表的那篇关于兔子的论文,已经在2023年被撤稿了。
The 2,006 rabbit paper by Greebie, Schrag, and three other coauthors was retracted in 2023.
紧随其后,Schrag和Greeby的其他合作论文,还有几篇Greeby单独署名的论文,也都被撤了。
Other joint papers from Schrag and Greeby were retracted soon after along with a few more Greeby papers.
从2022年开始,Greeby就在德克萨斯大学里奥格兰德谷分校任教。
Since 2022, Greeby has been teaching at the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley.
在我们联系过的所有被指控不当行为的阿尔茨海默病研究者中,Othman Greeby是唯一一个差点愿意接受采访的,但最后还是拒绝了。
Of all the Alzheimer's researchers that we contacted who had been accused of wrongdoing, Othman Greeby came closest to sitting for an interview, but, ultimately, he declined.
他倒是给我们发了一封邮件。
He did send us an email.
他在邮件里写:科研是团队合作,我对数据有信心,至少大部分数据是站得住脚的。
He wrote, research is teamwork, and I stand by the data, at least most of it.
我的研究里没有造假,但有些地方确实可以再打磨一下。
Of my research, no fabrication was made, but some polishing could have been done.
不过作为实验室负责人,我全责承担。
However, I take full responsibility as I am the laboratory director.
他还写道,施拉格博士那两篇论文里的图像,都是他亲自交给我的。
He also wrote, I insist that the imaging figures in doctor Schrag's two manuscripts from my lab are the images he handed to me.
如果他觉得那些图被改过,早就有好几年时间可以提出来。
He had many years to question the pictures if he believed they were altered.
格里比还告诉我们,他2020年从北达科他大学退休后,就失去了对实验室和数据的访问权限。
Greeby also told us that he lost access to his lab and his data after retiring from the University of North Dakota in 2020.
记者查尔斯·皮勒告诉我们,他在《科学》杂志发表相关报道前,曾试图联系格里比。
The journalist Charles Piller told us that he tried to speak with Greeby before Piller published an article on these allegations in Science.
皮勒说,格里比本来答应面谈,但就在采访前几天临时反悔了。
Piller said that Grieby agreed to an in person interview but backed out a few days prior.
我又去找了查尔斯·皮勒,想问些别的问题。
I went back to Charles Piller with some more questions.
你写道,阿尔茨海默病的研究几乎被一群自私的学者、政府帮凶和企业贪婪联手劫持了。
You write that Alzheimer's research has essentially been hijacked by a cabal of self interested researchers, government accomplices, and corporate greed.
这话可真够劲爆的,查尔斯。
That's pretty dramatic, Charles.
我猜一听这话,不少人立马就想到阴谋论了。
I can imagine that some ears hearing that immediately go to conspiracy theory territory.
你得让我信服,你这说法不是在搞阴谋论——这些研究者、政府帮凶和企业贪婪,真正在毁掉整个领域的前景,而且你的依据是扎实的研究、调查和实证论据?
Persuade me that this is not conspiracy theory that you're floating here, that the researchers, government accomplices, and corporate greed are spoiling the pool for everyone here and that this is based on research and reporting and actual empirical arguments?
直白点说,几乎所有人都把职业生涯押在了解释、探索和推广淀粉样蛋白假说的好处和重要性上。
Just to put it plainly, nearly all of them have built their careers on explaining, exploring, and expanding the benefits and the importance of the amyloid hypothesis.
他们的钱、名声、职业前途,全跟这个挂钩了。
Their money, their prestige, their career aspirations are all tied up with that.
你提到,16名负责药物审批的FDA医学审查员里,有11个离职后直接去了他们之前监管的公司当雇员或顾问。
You write that 11 of 16 FDA medical examiners who worked on drug approvals left to become employees or consultants for the companies that they just regulated.
普通公众因此认定,FDA已经被行业俘获了。
Public citizens concluded that regulatory capture has now infiltrated the FDA.
你再给我详细说说这个。
Tell me a little bit more about that.
我给你举个阿尔茨海默病领域的例子,特别能说明问题。
Well, let me give you an example in the Alzheimer's field that I think is very instructive.
FDA批准的第一款抗淀粉样蛋白抗体药叫阿杜卡努单抗。
The first of the anti amyloid antibodies that was approved by FDA was a drug called aducanumab.
这是它的科学名称。
That's the scientific name.
商品名叫阿杜海姆。
The trade name was Aduhelm.
这药后来已经被撤市了。
It's been withdrawn from the market.
撤市的原因是它不仅没效,还特别危险。
The reason it was withdrawn is that it was dangerous and ineffective.
这药本质上就是监管俘获的产物。
This drug was essentially the product of regulatory capture.
负责推动这款药通过FDA审批的人叫比利·邓恩,后来《STAT》网站的调查,再后来美国国会的一项重大调查发现,他和这家想让药获批的公司勾结得非常紧密。
The guy who was overseeing the shepherding of it through the FDA, his name is Billy Dunn, was found in a journalistic investigation by the website stat, and then later by a monumental US congress investigation to have been working hand in glove with the company that was promoting and trying to get the drug approved.
这件事曝光后不久,比利·邓恩就离开了FDA。
Billy Dunn left the FDA shortly after this episode.
那他之后去干嘛了?
And what did he do?
他跑去一家生物科技公司当董事,那家公司正在研发治疗阿尔茨海默病和帕金森病的药物。
He took a big job as a member of the board of a biotech company that's developing Alzheimer's and Parkinson's disease remedies.
类似的情况多得数不清,这已经被称作FDA的‘旋转门’现象。
There's many, many other examples, and this has been described as a revolving door at the FDA.
现在马蒂·马卡里——这位FDA局长——正大力推动特朗普政府的一项政策,我觉得这招特别到位,就是想遏制这种‘旋转门’。
This is one element of the Trump administration program that is being championed by Marty Makary, who's the FDA commissioner, that I think is really smart, which is to try to reduce this revolving door phenomenon.
药物研发里头的利益冲突实在太多了。
There's too many conflicts of interest in drug development.
所以没错,这确实是个得赶紧解决的大问题。
So, yes, I think that's a real problem that needs to be corrected.
在一些地方,包括联邦政府内部,人们对科学的信任正在下降,你觉得在这种时候,你的角色应该怎么定位?
How do you think about your role at a time when there is a growing distrust of science in some places, including some places within the federal government.
你的很多报道都在揭露不当行为,这可能会让信任进一步被破坏,你怎么看?
A lot of your reporting has been shining a light on misbehavior, which you could argue might destroy trust even more.
那这对你做报道的方式有什么影响?
So how does that change the way you work?
是的。
Yeah.
谢谢你问这个问题,斯蒂芬。
Thanks for the question, Stephen.
我经常在想这个问题。
I I think about this a lot.
我想明确说一句,我对特朗普政府在科学和研究方面的一系列做法非常不同意。
I just wanna make it clear that I really disagree strenuously with a lot of the moves being made by the Trump administration regarding science and research.
我认为大学应该有自由,能够积极地开展科学研究,而不必屈从于联邦政府对某些政治议题的施压。
I think it's important for universities to have freedom to pursue science and scientific research in a vigorous way without feeling that they have to knuckle under to federal demands for certain kinds of political issues.
我也不同意特朗普政府对国立卫生研究院(NIH)科研经费的打压做法。
I also disagree with the way in which attacks have been made on federal research funding at the NIH.
政府并非事事都错,而科学界的一些批评者说得也有道理——确实有不少科研人员对公众态度傲慢、自满,甚至居高临下。
The administration is not wrong about everything, and critics of the scientific enterprise are not wrong that there has been arrogance and complacency and, in my view, condescension on the part of many people in the scientific research enterprise towards members of the public.
就是那种‘相信我们就行’的态度。
Condescension along the lines of trust us.
我们是科学家。
We're scientists.
说得对。
Yeah.
信任是得靠自己挣来的。
I mean, trust must be earned.
但我得说清楚,两件事完全可以同时成立。
Now let me make it clear that two things can be true at once.
我们完全可以严厉批评那些我看来根本站不住脚的、针对科学和科研体系的攻击。
We can be highly critical of attacks on science and attacks on the scientific enterprise by people who I think are misguided.
同时,我们也可以要求科学界的管理机构——比如大学、我供职的那些期刊、像NIH这样的资助方,还有FDA这样的监管机构——把工作做得更好,更加警觉、更加谨慎,也更有责任保护科学知识不被错误观念和腐败污染。
And at the same time, we can insist that the institutional authorities of science, and by that, I mean, the gatekeepers of knowledge like the universities and journals like the one I work for, and the funders like the National Institutes of Health and the regulators like FDA, we can insist that they do better at their jobs, that they be more vigilant and more careful, and also be more responsible for protecting scientific knowledge from pollution by bad ideas and corruption.
我们私下联系了几位你研究中提到的人。
We spoke with a few people on background who have been the focus of your research.
有个人说,抱歉。
One person said, sorry.
我真的受够了。
I am tired of this.
这根本就不是事儿。
It is a nonstory.
抗淀粉样蛋白疗法现在已经被证实有效了。
The anti amyloid treatments are working now.
已经有几十项独立研究验证了。
Tens of independent confirmations.
皮勒,你这纯粹就是在写书的活儿。
Piller, you, is merely on a book chore.
那回应是说,抗淀粉样蛋白疗法真的有效吗?真有几十项独立研究证实了这一点?
Response to that, is it indeed true that anti amyloid treatments are working, that there are tens of independent confirmations of that research?
现在市面上已经有两种被FDA批准的抗淀粉样蛋白抗体药物了。
So anti amyloid antibodies now, there are two approved drugs by the FDA.
这些药的作用是清除大脑里的淀粉样蛋白。
And these are drugs that remove amyloid proteins.
至于这些药到底有多有效,我觉得证据显示它们确实能稍微延缓阿尔茨海默病引起的认知衰退。
With regard to how effective the drugs are, I think there's evidence that they can very slightly slow the cognitive decline associated with Alzheimer's disease.
不过很多临床医生认为,和没用药的患者相比,这种延缓实在太微弱了,医生、病人和家属根本察觉不出来。
Although, there are many clinicians who say that the degree of slowing compared to people who are not on drugs is so subtle that it can be imperceptible to clinicians, patients, and family members.
所以这些药并不会让任何人变好。
So no one's getting better with these drugs.
但反过来讲,如果我是个科研人员,不管是做这个方向还是别的领域,我可能会说:查尔斯,你比大多数人更清楚,科学研究本来就很难。
On the other hand, if I'm a a scientist, whether working on this particular research or other research, I might say, well, Charles, you know better than most people that science is really hard.
阿尔茨海默病跟人类文明一样古老,我们只能靠这些微小的进展,一步步去寻找真正有效的治疗方向。
Alzheimer's is a disease that's been with us for, it sounds like, pretty much all of human civilization, and you need to take these incremental steps to try to find provable directions at least of better clinical treatment.
你对这个怎么回应?
What would your response to that be?
是说这条路根本行不通,还是说它可能有戏,但这么多年、花了这么多钱,要是还没看到明显的进步,那我们真该换个方向了?
Is it that this is just not the viable path towards success or that it may be, but after all these years and all this money, that if there hasn't been more credible improvement, then we should really be looking elsewhere?
我觉得这些事儿并不矛盾,史蒂文。
I don't think that things are mutually exclusive, Steven.
和一些批评我书的人说的不一样——我觉得那是歪曲我的观点——我从来没说过淀粉样蛋白跟阿尔茨海默病一点关系都没有。
What I would say, in contrary to what some critics of my book have described it as, in which I would regard as straw man arguments, I have never said that amyloid proteins have nothing to do with Alzheimer's disease.
我一直以来都说,它不是全部原因,大家得明白,阿尔茨海默病几乎肯定是由多种因素共同导致的,要真想缓解或逆转症状,很可能得靠多种方法,甚至得结合起来用。
I have always said that they don't have everything to do with it, and that it's important for people to understand that Alzheimer's is almost certainly a disease of many factors, and it will almost certainly require many different approaches, perhaps in combination, to result in any sort of remedy that arrests or reverses the symptoms of the disease.
现在让我担心的是,这个领域里抗淀粉样蛋白抗体太占主导地位了,首先,它们太贵了。
Now what concerns me about the dominance of anti amyloid antibodies within this field is that, one, they're very expensive.
其次,它们有风险。
Two, they are dangerous.
可能会引发脑肿胀和出血,甚至有过致死的案例。
They can cause brain swelling and bleeding that has on occasion resulted in death.
第三,它们根本没法阻止疾病的症状进展。
Third, they're not effective in arresting the symptoms of the disease.
第四,必须明白,这个观点几十年来一直占据主导地位,吸走了大量科研注意力、药物研发思路,还有阿尔茨海默病药物领域的大笔资金。
And fourth, it's very important to understand that when this idea with its incredible dominance over decades soaks up a lot of the mindshare and a lot of the ideas behind drug development and a lot of the big money behind Alzheimer's drugs.
换句话说,如果你看临床试验的种类,会发现很多方向都在尝试。
In other words, if you look at the range of clinical trials, you'll see that a lot of things are being tried.
但如果你看钱都花在哪儿了,基本都砸在了抗淀粉样蛋白疗法上——而我们从历史经验知道,这些疗法效果其实很一般。
But if you look where the big money's being spent, it's predominantly in anti amyloid remedies that we know from historical experience are not that great.
我回头去问了马修·施拉格,他觉得阿尔茨海默病的研究和治疗未来会是什么样子。
I went back to Matthew Schrag to ask what he thinks the future looks like for the research and treatment of Alzheimer's disease.
我觉得应该把阿尔茨海默病,还有其他一些神经退行性疾病,重新定义为大脑废物清除失败的疾病——就是大脑里堆积了太多代谢废物。
I would reformulate Alzheimer's disease and perhaps a number of other neurodegenerative diseases too as diseases of failed waste clearance in the brain, that you have an accumulation of waste products in the brain.
β-淀粉样蛋白斑块是其中之一,Tau蛋白缠结也是。
Beta amyloid plaques are one of them, and tau tangles are one of them.
我觉得用这种更全面的视角来看,反而更有帮助。
And I think that thinking about this in a more complete way helps.
这说明问题不是由某一个具体原因引起的,而是大脑的废物清理系统出了问题,各种废物堆积起来,最终形成了有毒环境。
That's saying that this isn't one specific thing causing the problem, but that we have a problem with waste management and that the accumulation of all of these waste products is adding up to a toxic sphere.
如果你这么重新理解,就能解释为什么针对淀粉样蛋白的疗法在临床试验中效果不佳——因为淀粉样蛋白只是其中一种废物而已。
And if you reformulate it that way, you can explain the clinical trial results that we've been getting with the amyloid therapy, which basically says this is one of the waste products.
也许清除其中一种废物能带来一点点好处,但我们需要的是更全面的策略。
And perhaps there's some sort of minimal benefit from clearing one of the waste products, but we need to take a bigger approach.
其实清除大脑废物的方法有很多。
And there's a lot of different ways of getting rid of waste products.
其中一种就是通过血管。
One of them is through the blood vessels.
你可以让血液把废物冲刷出来,就这么把它们从大脑里洗掉。
You can actually wash it out of the brain by washing it through the blood vessels and so on.
我们实验室,还有其他好几个团队都提出过,血管退化会拖慢大脑清除废物的进程。
Our and a number of other labs too have theorized that degeneration of the blood vessels slows down that process of clearing waste products out of the brain.
所以,如果我们能聚焦在血管健康上,或许真能取得突破。
And so if we could focus on blood vessel health, we may get somewhere.
其实,临床试验里已经有点儿苗头了。
And, actually, we have a hint of that in the clinical trials.
临床试验里唯一一个明显的亮点就是,严格控制血压似乎能在早期保护记忆力。
The one real bright spot in the clinical trial space is that aggressive blood pressure control seems to protect memory, early on.
早期?你指的是什么时候?
Early on, meaning what?
就是说,在人们的记忆力还没开始衰退之前。
Like, before people's memory has deteriorated.
如果你能在患者刚出现记忆问题,甚至更早的时候就介入,我们确实能看到记忆力有所改善。
So if you get patients at the very first sign of memory problems or likely even before that, we see some benefit in memory.
我觉得这说明血管健康对维持大脑健康至关重要。
And I think it's pointing at blood vessel health being a big part of keeping the brain healthy.
阿尔茨海默病能治好吗?
Is Alzheimer's curable?
这个嘛,我不清楚。
I don't know.
我
I would
希望如此。
like to think so.
这确实是一种复杂的疾病,而且我觉得过去人们对神经系统疾病普遍抱有一种悲观的态度。
It's certainly a complicated disease, and I think that there had been a certain nihilism about neurological diseases in general.
以前人们常说,神经科医生只能诊断疾病,却治不了病。
They used to say about neurologists that we could diagnose the disease but not treat them.
以前大家会调侃我们这些医生只会‘确诊完就走人’,啥忙都帮不上。
They would say that we were the diagnose and adios doctors.
但过去几十年里,神经病学和神经科学领域迎来了真正的复兴。
But over the last few decades, we've seen a real renaissance in neurology and neuroscience.
很多过去难以医治的病症,现在都陆续研发出了效果很好的治疗方法。
A lot of diseases that have been hard to treat, We're seeing very good treatments developed.
癫痫的治疗进展就特别能说明这一点。
We see that in a pretty dramatic way with epilepsy.
现在我们有了一大堆治疗方法,很多病人甚至可以通过手术彻底治愈。
We've got quite a long list of treatments now, including many patients being able to be surgically cured.
在我职业生涯里,中风的情况完全变了样。
Stroke has completely morphed in my career.
以前中风科是医院里最让人绝望的科室之一。
This was one of the most depressing service lines in the hospital.
病人一进来中风,往往就严重残疾了。
Somebody would come in with stroke and be horribly disabled.
但现在只要病人能及时赶到,我们通常能帮他们恢复很多功能。
And now if patients can get to us in time, we're often able to do huge amounts for them.
所以我觉得神经学和神经科学确实迎来了一波复兴,但在神经退行性疾病领域,这股势头还没起来。
And so I think we've seen a bit of a renaissance in neurology and neuroscience, but it's missing in the neurodegenerative space.
我不禁要问,研究诚信问题在多大程度上拖慢了这里的进展?
And I have to ask the question to what degree research integrity issues have held back development here.
有人说过,如果你的想法不符合主流假说,根本拿不到经费。
People described how hard it was to get funding if your ideas didn't conform with this hypothesis.
马修,我得跟你说,我刚开始做这个免费经济研究的时候,订了一堆学术期刊, mostly 是经济学领域的,但我也订了几本神经科学的,因为我觉得大脑太重要了。
I have to tell you, Matthew, when I first started doing this Freeconomics work, I signed up for a whole bunch of academic journals, mostly within the realm of econ, and I got some neuroscience journals because I thought the brain's pretty important.
我对这类东西特别感兴趣。
I'm interested in this kind of stuff.
我真该好好读读这些期刊的。
I should really read these.
但我根本读不下去。
I couldn't.
太复杂了,完全看不懂。
It was so complicated.
我觉得,要不是本来就拿过博士,根本没法看懂那些东西。
I felt like if you didn't have at least a PhD to start with, it was just totally indecipherable.
但话说回来,每个听这节目的人,不都自带一个大脑吗?
On the other hand, everybody listening to this has one, a brain that is.
所以我想问问你,作为专家,你有没有什么建议?怎么去理解大脑——它不只是构成我们个人的核心,更该成为我们每个人都该关心的科学话题。
And so I do wonder if you, as an expert, have any advice for how to think about the brain and its centrality to who we are as individuals, but especially how we should think about brain science as a topic that we should all be a little bit invested in somehow.
你知道吗,大脑真是个奇妙又美丽的器官。
You know, the brain is a wonderful, beautiful organ.
不管我们平时说得有多复杂,只要你真让一个人坐在显微镜前,亲眼看看这些神经元,那绝对是一次特别打动人心的体验。
And I have to say all of that complexity of the way we talk about it aside, if you sit somebody down on a microscope and let them see these neurons with their own eyes, it is just one of these really moving experiences.
这器官结构精妙至极,让我们能认识自己,而我们对它的了解还远远不够。
It's incredibly beautifully organized organ that allows us to access who we are, and it's an organ that we have a lot to learn about.
不过,我们确实知道一些事。
But we do know a few things.
比如,我们的记忆得撑一辈子,才能真正活出想要的滋味。
One is that we need our memories to last a lifetime to really get everything out of life that we're trying to get out of life.
过去一两百年,医学其他领域进步神速,人的寿命大大延长了。
We've seen incredible progress in other fields of medicine that has expanded life expectancy over the last century or century and a half.
但这些进步带来的好处,正被这种病一点点抹掉。
A lot of the benefit of those advances are being lost to this disease.
如果你晚年多活的那些年头,生活质量却很差,那这问题就牵扯到所有人,影响的人数也多得惊人。
If those extra years that you're getting at the end of your life are of poor quality, this is something that affects all fields and a huge number of people.
这影响了我们的政治领袖、音乐人、体育明星,几乎全美每一个家庭。
This has affected our political leaders and our musicians and our sports figures and almost every family in this country.
很多人觉得这是衰老的必然部分,觉得无能为力,但我相信我们一定还能做点什么。
I think that it's easy to accept this as just a part of old age and say there's nothing we can do about it, but I think there must be something that we can do about it.
我们这一代人的挑战之一,就是破解这些疾病的密码,确保人到晚年的生活质量配得上应有的尊严。
This is one of the challenges for our generation is to crack the code on this set of diseases to make sure that the quality of life at the end of the life is what it should be.
所以,马修,从我的角度看,回望你的职业生涯,你过得挺不错的。
So, Matthew, when you look back at your career, it seems from my perspective that you're doing well.
你在范德堡大学这样的顶尖研究机构工作,但同时也花了大量精力去做举报人这件事。
You're at a great research university, Vanderbilt, but you've also devoted a lot of time and attention to this whistleblower function.
你觉得,因为做了举报人,你在整个领域里的地位到底怎么样?
How would you describe overall your standing in the field as a result of the whistleblower function?
你觉得自己是被孤立了?还是被捧上了天?或者两者都有?
Do you feel you've been somewhat ostracized, mostly celebrated, a good bit of both?
确实有一些反弹,但我觉得这很正常,几乎不可避免。
There's definitely been some degree of back lash, and I think that's expected and almost unavoidable.
错过了一些机会,但我觉得这没什么。
Some opportunities lost, but I think that's okay.
但也因此得到了别的机会。
There's also other opportunities gained.
能就我们这个领域未来的发展方向展开重要的对话,这种机会太难得了,我绝不放弃。
The ability to have important conversations about where our field is going is a unique opportunity that I wouldn't give up.
你家里人有没有跟你说过,马修,你要是专心搞研究,别老多管闲事,不是省心多了吗?
Does anyone in your family ever say to you, you know, Matthew, it'd be so much easier if you would just stick to your knitting, do your research, shut up a little bit?
真有人这么说过吗?
Did anybody say that?
在决定公开对查理发声之前,我咨询了不少人,但好像没人觉得这是个好主意。
I will say that I sought the advice of quite a number of advisers before agreeing to go on the record with Charlie, and I don't think anybody thought it was a good idea.
他是个特别深思熟虑的人,也非常谨慎,我觉得这点特别关键。
He's a very thoughtful person and, I think, a very, very cautious person, and I think that that's key.
这么做,其实是把极大的信任交到了对方手里。
There's a huge amount of trust that you put in somebody by doing this.
我要感谢马修·施拉格和查尔斯·皮勒,感谢你们信任我们,把这段故事讲出来。
I'd like to thank Matthew Schrag and Charles Piller for putting their trust in us and telling you this story.
我真希望那些被他们曝光的科学家也能愿意谈谈,不过我也能理解他们为什么选择沉默。
I do wish that some of the scientists whose work they had exposed had also been willing to talk, but I guess I can see why they chose not to.
查尔斯·皮勒写的这本书叫《阿尔茨海默病治愈之路上的欺诈、傲慢与悲剧》。
The book that Charles Piller wrote is called Fraud, Arrogance, and Tragedy in the Quest to Cure Alzheimer's.
如果你对这期节目有什么想法,欢迎给我们发邮件,地址是 radio@Freakonomics.com。
If you wanna let us know what you thought of this episode, our email is radio@Freakonomics.com.
我们也在所有主流社交平台上线了,连一些冷门的平台都有。
We are also on all the regular social platforms, even a few of the irregular ones.
下一期节目,我们会深入一家你可能从来没听说过的、但至关重要的软件公司。
Coming up next time on the show, we go inside one of the most essential software companies that you have probably never heard of.
我压根没想过要创业。
I had no interest in starting a company.
我根本不知道该怎么搞。
I had no idea how to do it.
朱迪·福尔克纳是Epic Systems的创始人兼首席执行官,这家公司管理着美国绝大多数电子健康记录。
Judy Faulkner is founder and CEO of Epic Systems, which manages the vast majority of electronic health records in The United States.
她平时很少接受采访,但这次同意了,我们聊了很多,包括为什么Epic从没上市,以后也永远不会上市。
She doesn't do a lot of interviews, but she agreed to this one, and we cover a lot of ground, including why Epic has never gone public and never will.
股东们只关心投资回报,根本不关心公司给世界带来了什么价值。
The shareholders were only interested in return on equity, not what value the company was giving to the world.
我当时就想,谁愿意跟这样的股东打交道?
And I thought, who wants owners who are like that?
这些内容,下期节目再跟你们聊。
That's next time on the show.
在那之前,好好照顾自己,如果能顺手帮一把别人,那就更好了。
Until then, take care of yourself, and if you can, someone else too.
《Freakonomics Radio》由Renbud Radio制作。
Freakonomics Radio is produced by Renbud Radio.
你可以在任何播客平台找到我们的全部往期节目。
You can find our entire archive on any podcast app.
我们还在 freakonomics.com 上发布节目文稿和备注内容。
It's also at freakonomics.com where we publish transcripts and show notes.
本集由达文·阿布贾制作,艾伦·弗兰克曼剪辑。
This episode was produced by Dalvin Abouaji and edited by Ellen Frankman.
音频混音由埃莉诺·奥斯本完成,杰里米·约翰斯顿帮忙。
It was mixed by Eleanor Osborne with help from Jeremy Johnston.
Freakonomics Radio 团队还包括奥古斯塔·查普曼、艾尔莎·埃尔南德斯、加布里埃尔·罗斯、伊莉丽亚·蒙特内库尔、杰克·卢米斯、曼迪·戈伦斯坦、彼得·马登、西奥·雅各布斯和扎克·利普inski。
The Freakonomics Radio network staff also includes Augusta Chapman, Elsa Hernandez, Gabriel Roth, Ilaria Montenicourt, Jake Loomis, Mandy Gorenstein, Peter Madden, Theo Jacobs, and Zach Lipinski.
我们的主题曲是 The Hitchhikers 演唱的《Mister Fortune》,配乐由路易斯·盖拉负责。
Our theme song is mister fortune by the hitchhikers, and our composer is Luis Guerra.
一如既往,谢谢收听。
As always, thanks for listening.
我注意到你住在纳什维尔郊外一个叫‘爱好农场’的地方,还养蜜蜂?
I see that you live on what's called a hobby farm outside of Nashville and that you do beekeeping.
是的。
Yes?
我养了好几年蜜蜂。
I did that for a number of years.
养蜂特别有意思。
It was a great pleasure keeping bees.
生完最后一个孩子后,我就把蜂箱放了。
With the last baby, I let the bees go.
Freakonomics Radio Network,探索一切的隐秘面。
The Freakonomics Radio Network, the hidden side of everything.
关于 Bayt 播客
Bayt 提供中文+原文双语音频和字幕,帮助你打破语言障碍,轻松听懂全球优质播客。