FTS Betslip Mindset Series Episode 4 – Discipline & Patience

欢迎来到FTS投注单播客的思维系列。

Welcome to the FTS Betslip Podcast Mindset Series.

FTS投注单播客这一系列节目的目标，是为你积累一套实用的思维建议，方便你随时随地收听，助力你的投注和交易之路。

The aim of these episodes of the FTS Betslip Podcast is to build up a library of sound mindset advice that you can access anywhere and use to help you on your betting and trading journey.

如果你是第一次听这个思维系列，建议你回头补听一下之前错过的节目。

If you are new to this mindset series of podcasts, then please make sure you go back and catch up on any previous episodes that you may have missed.

每期节目都配有对应的博客文章，供你阅读参考。

Each cast will also have a written blog version to go alongside it.

文章都在我们的网站ftsincome.co.uk上。

That is on our website ftsincome.co.uk.

部分节目还会在FTS Income频道发布配套的YouTube视频。

And some of the episodes will also have an accompanying YouTube video on the FTS Income channel.

记得订阅这个频道，别错过任何有价值的视频内容。

So please make sure you subscribe to that so that you don't miss any of the informative videos.

祝你好运，希望接下来的旅程能让你在投注和交易中获得丰厚回报。

Good luck and I hope to take you on a profitable journey with your betting and trading activities.

如果喜欢这些播客，麻烦在你的听播客平台上给个评价。

One thing, if you do enjoy these podcasts, please consider leaving a review on your podcast listening platform.

第四期，我想聊聊自律和耐心。

In episode four, I want to talk about discipline and patience.

我们设定了目标，定了资金池，也规划好了该做什么、怎么做，但无论体育博彩还是交易，真正决定成败的两个核心要素，其实就是自律和耐心。

We've set goals, we've got a bankroll, we've decided where we're gonna do what we're gonna do, but the fundamental two fundamentals really in sports betting trading any form of betting and trading, I guess is To succeed we've got to have discipline.

‘自律’这个词涵盖面很广，真正成功的人身上都有这种自律——它能帮人管好自己，我觉得‘坚持’是关键：坚持你的策略，管理好资金，别被情绪或冲动牵着走。

It's a kind of all encompassing word discipline and patience and the people who are successful have this discipline in sort of inverted commas, and it enables them to manage themselves, which I think is one of the key words, stick to your strategies, manage your bank role, avoid impulsive emotional decisions.

所有这些，都属于自律的范畴。

All this stuff comes under discipline.

那些成功的人，都会为自己制定一套明确的规则和操作指南，然后坚定不移地执行下去。

Successful, those were successful, we developed sets of rules and guide lines for our betting trading strategies, and then stick and execute those rules consistently.

别让市场波动或者外界干扰影响你，别被情绪带着跑，偏离了原本的计划。

And don't let what's happening when we talk about variants and things like that distract and get carried away on emotion or outside influence that enable us to deviate from that plan.

整个这套方法，最终会形成一个流程，帮你减少亏损，提升盈利。

And that whole thing becomes part of a process which helps you minimize your losses and increase your profit.

我最近看到一个很好的例子，就是赛前交易。在FTS上，我们和威廉森一起开设了赛前交易课程。

So a really good example of one I've seen recently is if you are pre race trading, and on FTS we have a pre race trading course with Williamson.

史蒂夫非常自律，对自己的工作一丝不苟。

Steve really disciplined, dedicated to what he does.

他有一个黄金法则。

And Steve had one golden rule.

在课程一开始，他就强调了这条黄金法则。

So at the start of his course, he's got one golden rule.

你做的是赛前交易。

You are trading pre race.

关键就在名字里。

The key is in the title.

既然是赛前交易，比赛开始前就必须平仓，不管你是盈利还是亏损，都要清掉仓位，清楚自己的盈亏状况。

Pre race, do not go in So you just close your position, be it green or red, before that race starts and you know where you are.

这样，如果亏了，你也能主动控制损失。

And that way, if you are red, you're controlling your losses.

比赛一开跑，你就指望它能涨到你能平仓的价格，这时候就出问题了，亏损会迅速扩大。我们做赛前交易这段时间，Steve从我认识他起，十到十五年全职做这个，从来没让比赛进入实时交易阶段。他带过不少人，经常听到有人说：‘我让比赛进去了，我让比赛进去了。’

The minute that race goes in play, you're trying to hope it gets to a price that you can get out, that's when it goes wrong and losses become much bigger and it's what something that in just in that short time that we've been running the pre race trading, Steve's done it as long as I've known him, ten, fifteen years full time, never lets races go and play, and just in the short time he's been dealing with people, Oh, I let a race go and play, I let a race go and play.

正是这种做法会导致一次大亏，进而影响心态，打乱计划，整个交易体系就崩了。

And it is exactly those sort of things because it leads to one big loss, which then affects the mindset, which then alters the plan, and that's when the whole thing unravels.

这听起来是个笼统的说法，但你必须有这份自律，坚持自己的原则。

So it's an all encompassing word, but you've got to have that discipline to stick to what you're doing.

你已经坐下来定了目标，设了资金池，也想好了要怎么做，到了某个时候，你就得真正迈出去。

You've sat down, you've set your goals, you've got your bankroll, you've decided on what you want to do, and at some point you've got to take a leap into it.

投注交易多少有点踏入未知领域的意思。

It's a bit of a step into the unknown betting trading.

我们能做再多数据分析、再怎么研究都没用。

We can do as much data crunching and things as we like.

毕竟因为没有百分百确定的事，你得有点信心，相信自己做的研究，相信自己的判断。但如果你不执行、不坚持，没那股定力不被干扰，那一切就白搭了。比如我做了两个月，亏了两个月，就收摊不干了——这纯粹是缺乏自律。

It is still that sort of because there's a lack of dead certainty, you've got to take a sort of bit of a leap of faith, a bit of a trust in what you've done, trust in unknown, trust yourself and your research that you've figured it out, but then if you don't execute it and stick to it and have the discipline to not get derailed, and that's when it becomes So all that sort of stuff, if I do two months, I've lost a couple of months, I'm packing up, that's just a lack of discipline.

我有100个点的资金，亏了50个点就放弃，这又是缺乏自律，缺乏耐心。你得让这些策略有时间发挥作用，这才是关键。

All that, I've got a bankroll of a 100 points, I've lost 50, I'm giving up, that again is a lack of discipline, lack of discipline, lack of patience, because you have to let these things play out, and that's what it is.

下注的关键在于自律。

Staking comes down to discipline.

你得管理好资金，明确每笔投注愿意承担的风险金额，并且无论之前输赢如何，都要坚持这个标准。

It's, know, your bankroll management, you need to have a set amount of money that you are willing to risk on each bet, and you should stick to it regardless of of the outcome of any previous bets.

这样做才能保护你的资金，避免因冲动决策而导致重大亏损。

This is what helps protect your bankroll, prevents you from making impulsive decisions that then lead to the significant losses.

我带过的很多人，他们的亏损总是远远超过赢利，完全不成比例，情况就越发难办。

One of my things with people that I've worked with is their losses become so big in relation to their wins that it's never in sync and becomes harder.

你得清楚自己的胜率和操作逻辑，但不能因为连输四场，就想着下一注翻四倍，觉得只要赢了就能回本之类的想法。

So you've got to understand those strike rates and what you're doing, but but you can't have, oh, I've lost four bets.

这种心态要不得。

I'm gonna have, you know, four times my stake on this one because I feel like it, and if it wins, I'll get all my money back, that sort of thing.

如果你有明确的目标，我们之前也谈过目标设定，那下一步就是写一份交易计划。

So if you've got those clear goals, and we've talked about selling goals, the next phase really is to write out a trading plan.

你要清楚自己每天的交易策略、规则和操作准则，然后坚定不移地执行。

So you've got a trading plan of what you're gonna do, what are your rules and guidelines for that day's trading, and then stick to it consistently.

你得养成一套固定的流程。

You develop a routine.

最近有人问我怎么管理时间，我具体是怎么做的？

I've been asked recently about my time management, what do I do?

趁着现在在这儿，我就简单说说这个事。

So I'm just gonna while we're in this, I'm gonna talk a little bit about it.

我每天做的事情都一模一样。

I do the same thing every single day.

在我的FTS网站运营中，有一套固定的运作结构。

So in my FTS website life, we have a structure that it runs.

我每周和艾尔斯泰尔开一次会。

I have a meeting once a week with Alastair.

我每周和戴夫也开一次会。

I have a meeting once a week with Dave.

我每周还和凯莉开一次会，三人分别负责不同的方面。

I have a meeting once a week with Kerry, all dealing with three with different aspects.

艾利斯特负责所有数据相关的事，比如我们遇到的问题、需要开发的功能，还有表格该放哪里、上面该填什么内容。

Allister is all on data, any issues we may have, things we need to develop, where sheets have got to go, what's got to go on those sheets.

戴夫主要关注怎么把网站做得更方便会员使用，让一切流程尽可能简单；凯瑞则负责梳理那一周里发来的邮件，看看有哪些是我需要处理的。

Dave, it's about how can we set the website up better for the members and get everything moving as simply as possible, and Kerry is to go through emails and things that I need to address, you know, that have come in over that week.

这就是我基本的工作架构，这些会议都包含在内。

So that's my sort of fundamental work structure, and those meetings are in there.

我用的是苹果日历。

I use you know, Apple calendar.

我就把这些会议设成重复的，就算你看到2027年的日历，星期四也照样有艾利斯特的会。

So I just have those meetings repeating, and they repeat every you know, if I look in 2027, there'll be a meeting in Thursday for Alastair.

我们每周都开，除非真没什么事可谈，那时候才会说这周不用开了，但会议条目一直留着。

We do it every week unless there's absolutely nothing to do, and then we'll say actually we don't need to do anything this week, but they're in there.

这就是我日常工作的框架，剩下的事我都在这基础上安排，我一般安排在周四处理。

So that's my sort of working life, and then I work around that doing the bits, I tend to do Thursdays.

我会安排Zoom会议，因为那天是阿奎那足球日。

I'll do my Zooms because that's Aquinas football day.

但说到足球方面，我每天起床后做的都一样。

But football wise, I get up and do the same thing.

直到今天，我还在用手机里的提醒应用，每天早上都会弹出一份待办清单，提醒我该做什么。

I have to this day, I've got I use a reminders app in my phone, and I have reminders, and they come up every morning of basically a checklist of things I've got to do.

我先从自己的足球事务开始，逐项核对要做的事：去拿报表、把报表导入工具、运行工具，整理出我的重点关注名单，然后确定要跟谁分享信息——比如得给交易组发点材料，还有一些我带的后辈，我也得把内容给他们。

And I start with my own football, so I start going through that, what have I got to do, and it will be obviously go and get the sheets, import sheets into my tools, run my tools, basically build my shortlist, who do I need to share information with, so I need to put some stuff over here for the trading group, I've got some some people I mentor a bit more, so I need to give that to them.

我把这些都整理好，然后一项一项地完成。

So I build that all up and work through that list.

等报表早上10点半出来后，我还要把结果更新到表格里。

I've got to update results from that on that sheet when the sheets come out at 10:30.

所以每天我都照着这份清单，一项接一项地做。

So I just follow down that checklist every single day.

在这份清单的基础上，我会列出当天自己的交易重点，这就是我当天要专注的方向。

From that, as part of that checklist, I build my own trading shortlist of that's what I'm gonna do today, and that's where I need to be.

我每天都一丝不苟地重复这套流程。

And I repeat that religiously.

我说过很多次了，很枯燥，我每天做的事都一样，但坚持做下去是一种自律。有些日子你起床了也不想干，这肯定有，但你还是得爬起来做，这就是自律。我觉得如果大家能养成习惯，听起来虽然无聊，但一旦形成规律，就不会轻易打破，它会变成一种自动模式，我的日子就这样进入了自动驾驶状态。

I've said many times, boring, I don't do anything different, but it is a discipline to do it, there's days when you get up and don't feel like doing it, without a doubt, but it's a discipline just to get up and do it, that's what that becomes, and I think that if people could get, you know, sounds boring, but getting routine, you get a routine, you don't get out of it, it just becomes like autopilot, so my days become autopilot.

说实话，到了六月，你确实会想稍微放松一下，因为这时候比较清闲，但我依然每天坚持做。六月、七月、八月，每一天我都照常执行这套流程——今天没比赛，那第四、第五、第六、第七这些环节就可以跳过，随便你怎么说。

Admittedly, by the time you get to June, you're quite happy to have a, because it's quieter, a wind down, but I still do it every single day, so even through June, July, August, every single day I run that routine, oh, there's no games today, I don't need to do, you know, aspects four, five, six, seven, whatever it may be.

但关键是，这套流程让我清楚知道：什么时候该交易？我有没有时间交易？不管具体情况如何，我心里都有数。

But I think it's building that up, and that tells me, right, I need to trade then, can I trade then, that's my time available, whatever it may be?

坚持每天一丝不苟地做同样的事，这是一种自律。

It's a discipline to do it, the same thing every single day without fail.

周二和周五我会稍微调整一下流程，因为周末比赛多，要处理的分析内容也更多，但这些变动都会加进清单里，提醒会弹出来问你：这个做了吗？那个完成了吗？

Slight changes to my routine on a Tuesday and Friday because we've got more football for the weekend running ultimate and things, but they just go into a checklist and reminders pop up, have you done this here and have you done that?

我每天就一个个打勾确认。

And I just tick through them every single day.

这些内容我早就背得滚瓜烂熟了，但我还是坚持逐项核对，因为这样我才确信不会漏掉任何事。每次做完，它就更深地刻进脑子里——一遍又一遍，牢不可破。如果哪天我改了什么，那才叫新鲜事。

I know what they are off by heart, but I still go through that process and tick them off because that way I know I'm not gonna miss anything and it just every time I do it, it's cemented, cemented, cemented, and if I change something, oh, that's new.

我平时从不这么做。

I don't do that normally.

我现在有了新工具。

I've got new tools now.

对。

Right.

这个得更新一下。

I need to update that one.

搞定。

Bang.

加进去。

Put it in.

做吧。

Do it.

但这一切都离不开培养这个习惯。

But it all comes with, you know, developing that routine.

只要你有了这个习惯和计划，就能避免情绪化决策。

That that if you've got that routine, you've got that plan, it stops the emotional decisions.

它能让我避免凭一时冲动下注或试图翻本，转而专注于自己长期的投注目标，以及我想带别人达到的方向。

It stops betting trading on a whim or chasing losses, and enables me to focus on my long term goals of my own betting trading and where I want to get people to.

有了这套流程和纪律，我能更有效地把时间用在刀刃上。

I can channel my time into that better by having that routine and that sort of discipline behind me.

确实需要花时间去实践，分析相关数据，但一旦形成了这套流程，我就能基于数据和统计做出理性决策，而不是靠直觉或别人说‘我觉得这场比赛会有进球’这类话。

It does take time and effort into putting into practice, analyzing obviously the relevant information, but once you've got that routine, it means I'm making informed decisions based on data, statistics, than relying on hunches or or intuitions of people sort of saying, I think there'll be goals in this game.

这种说法毫无意义。

It doesn't mean anything.

就算这场比赛真有进球，又怎么样呢？

It doesn't mean that what if there is goals in this game?

明白了。

Okay.

如果我按这个赔率下注，我能赢吗？

Can I win it if I bet it at that price?

我也不知道。

I've no idea.

你必须有这份自律才能做到。

You've got to have that discipline to do it.

我觉得这正是很多人失败的原因。

And and I think that's where I see, again, lots of people fail.

关键在于持续执行，反复回到预期上来，别以为一夜之间就能成功。

It's it's it's the consistency of executing and doing something, and the sort of going back to expectations, thinking you can do this overnight.

我常打个比方：你不可能一夜之间成为外科医生，那为什么觉得自己能一夜成为体育博彩交易员呢？

You know, one of my great analogies is you wouldn't become a surgeon overnight, so why do you think you can become a sports better trader overnight?

你得稍微走出舒适区，提前把所有要素都准备好，再下注时，靠的就是坚持同样的步骤和耐心。

You've got to get yourself a little bit out of that comfort zone, and you've got to set yourself up with all the elements, really before you go to put a bet, and then when you come to put in the bet on, it is that discipline of doing the same things and patience.

耐心，就是要有长远的眼光。

Patience is having a long term perspective.

就这么简单。

It is as simple as that.

这意味着你要明白，只有坚持计划、熬过低谷、紧盯目标，才能实现持续盈利，别想着抄近路赢快钱，也别轻易放弃。

It means understanding that to make sustainable profits is only achievable by sticking to your plan and sticking through the period, and staying focused on your goals, avoiding quick chasing wins, avoiding giving up.

在体育博彩中，遭遇连败是不可避免的，所以保持耐心至关重要。

It is absolutely crucial to have patience through losing streaks as they are inevitable in any part of sports betting.

我说过，如果有人声称自己从不输钱，那他肯定在撒谎。

As I say, I'll tell you if anybody says they're not doing any, they're not losing, they're lying.

关键是要不被短期的挫折打倒，继续相信自己的策略。

It's not getting discouraged by those short term setbacks and maintaining confidence in your strategies.

这个，我们待会儿会详细聊聊策略的构建。

That, you know, we'll talk about strategy building.

这些其实都是紧密相连的。

That's, it all goes together.

我们真正想做的是把很多要素整合在一起。

But basically what we're trying to bring is loads of elements together.

我们需要有耐心和纪律，让这些方法有时间去实施、去发挥作用。

And we need the discipline of patience to let them execute them and let them play out.

让它们自然发挥作用，时间久了，你的结果和收入也会趋于稳定。

And allowing that to play out or normalize your results over time, normalize your income over time.

这样下去， hopefully 就能慢慢克制住那种冲动调整的欲望。

And it will hopefully then lead to a sort of cease and desist of the temptation to make impulsive changes.

我觉得，只要你学会了耐心，就能更好地控制情绪，避免因为沮丧、兴奋或害怕输钱而做出冲动的决定，转而更理性地基于分析和逻辑做判断，而不是被这些短暂的情绪牵着走。

I think if you can learn patience, it'll help you control your emotions, prevent impulsive decisions driven by frustration, excitement, fear of losing, whatever it may be, and you'll start to make more logical decisions based on analysis and logic, rather than being swayed by these temporary emotions.

我知道这很难，我常劝人坚持一百天，先别乱动，结果有些人看到我发过单场赔率超过1.5的投注，就想着：‘我也来试试。’

And I know it's difficult, know, one of my things, get people stick to one hundred days, I try and get them to stay on path, and then they might see that I post over 1.5 bets somewhere, they, oh, I'll do that.

这不适合你。

It's not for you.

这也不适合他们。

It's not for them.

有些人根本不会静下心来花时间研究，只是偶尔玩玩足球投注，我就明白，他们就是这样。

There are people who will never ever sit down and put their time into this, but may like a football trade now and then, and and I go, right.

明白了。

Okay.

但你要真这么干，就自己承担后果吧。

Well, there's one at your own peril.

如果你想做，那就去做吧。

If you wish to do it, do it.

如果你已经在执行别的计划，那就坚持下去。

If you're on another plan and that's what you're sticking to, then stick to it.

你没必要去掺和那些别的东西，但所有这些都会融入你的整体计划里。

You don't need to come and get involved in that other stuff, but that all becomes part of it, all part of that plan.

我经常收到各种建议，尤其是关于赛马的，别人问我有没有看过这个、试过那个，但这些跟我做的事没关系，所以我基本都不看。

I get sent and told loads of stuff, particularly horses, or have I seen this, have I tried this, it's not part of what I do, so most of it I don't even look at.

我偶尔会好奇点进去看看，就当是了解一下别人怎么做的，但我根本没打算照搬，关键还是得有自律，给自己定好框架。

I might go and have a curiosity read, just because like to see how other people do things, but I've got no intention of ever implementing it, and I just think you've got to have the discipline to set yourself up.

你到底想达成什么目标？每个人都不一样，你现在的自律和耐心怎么样？

What is it you want to achieve for you, we're all different, What is your discipline and patience like now?

说到底，这是一门可以学会的本事。

And in effect, it is a learned skill.

这是你可以慢慢培养和打磨的技能。

It's a skill that you can develop and work on.

最简单的方法就是建立一套固定流程，让它变成自然而然的事。

And the easiest way is to put a routine in place, so that it just becomes normal.

我常提到高尔夫，刚看了布莱恩·哈曼赢得英国公开赛的精彩表现，他每次被采访都强调：坚持我的流程，我加倍专注于我的流程。

I talk about golf, we've just watched a fantastic performance by Brian Harman winning The Open, and he has said, in every interview since he's been asked, stuck to my process, I doubled down on my process.

即使在从未经历过的高压时刻，面对外界的期待和本土选手的压力，他依然坚持流程，有条不紊地执行，保持耐心，最终取得了成功，这正是最好的例子——这项运动也完全一样。

So in the absolute heat of battle positions he'd not been in before, all the outside pressure, local favorites breathing down his neck, he just stuck to process and executed that process with discipline, being patient, and it enabled him to succeed, and it was a great example, this game is exactly the same.

只要你确立了一套流程，坚定不移地执行，不被干扰，目标自然能达成。你已经设好了资金管理，做好了风险控制，这套方法一定会帮到你。别分心，你一定能成功，我真心这么认为。

If you get a process down, you stick to that process and don't get veered off it, you're aiming to clear goals, it'll help you, obviously you've set your bank up, you've got your money management, it'll help you with that, don't get distracted and you will get there without a doubt, I genuinely believe that.

你得相信自己的能力，迈出这一步。

So you've got to kind of take that leap of faith into your own abilities.

赌博圈里太多人总在向外找答案了。

I think there's far too much in gambling of people looking to others for the answers.

往内看，先把自己安排好。

Look inside yourself, get yourself set up.

你现在最容易犯的错误是什么？特别是在自律和耐心方面？我们一起来解决这些问题，相信你一定会越来越出色。

What are the mistakes you make now, particularly in regards to discipline and patience, and let's deal with them, and without doubt I'm sure that you will proceed to be much better going forward.