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现在大家心里最大的疑问之一,就是AI会不会干坏事。
One of the big questions on people's minds these days is AI doing bad things.
作为那些看着这些模型思考和运作的人,为什么发现它在想坏事、试图欺骗我们这么难呢?
As someone that watches these models think and operate, why is it so hard to catch it thinking badly, trying to deceive us?
我们训练Claude的目标是让它有用、无害、诚实。
We train Claude to be helpful, harmless, and honest.
是不是它表现得很乖,但如果你往里面看,其实它心里想的是:'哦,我现在表现好只是因为Lenny在看着呢。'
Is it the case that it's behaving well, but if you look inside, actually, it's like, "Oh, I'm only behaving well because Lenny's watching right now."
有些人的全职工作就是研究这个模型,看它怎么思考、怎么运作。
People's full-time jobs is studying the model, how it thinks, how it operates.
这个技能和职业存在多久了?
How long has this been a skill set and a job?
如果你使用或思考语言模型,最重要的一点是要意识到一个很奇怪的事实:创造它们并不等于理解它们。
One of the most important things to realize if you like use language models or think about them is just this very bizarre fact that to make them is not to understand them.
这些模型所做的,不过是对大量数字进行大量的数学运算。
All these models do is just a lot of mathematical operations on many numbers.
你去看的话,根本说不通。
If you look at it, it makes no sense.
就是有一百个数字的列表,模型在做数学运算,然后你只能试着找找有没有规律。
You just have a list of 100 numbers, the model's doing math, and then you just try to see if there's patterns.
你是在用我们研究大脑运作的方式去理解它,就是找规律。
You are figuring it out the same way we figure out how the brain works, looking for patterns.
你展示这个图像,大脑的这部分就亮起来,你对AI做的也是完全一样的事情。
You show this image, this part of the brain lights up, and you're doing the exact same thing with AI.
哇,这真的太有意思了。
Wow, this is so fascinating.
我们之前训练过一个模型。
There was this model we were training.
它会发疯。
It would go crazy.
它会做一些数学运算。
It would do some math.
它会得出一个答案,我记得是12。
It would get to an answer, I think it was 12.
然后它马上又回去说,像是“哦,不。天哪。”
It would immediately go back and say, like, "Oh, no. Oh my God.
“答案肯定是36。”
The answer actually is for sure 36."
它又会重新算一遍。
It would do math again.
结果还是12。
It would get to 12.
慢慢地,它就开始发疯了,全大写地写,真的说“我被恶魔附身了。”
Slowly, it would start descending into madness, writing in all caps, literally saying, "I'm possessed by a demon."
人类,说到底,我们本质上也是预测下一个词的东西。
Humans, if you really boil it down, we're basically next-token predictors ourselves.
我们只是在想接下来该说什么。
We're just trying to figure out the next thing to say.
达里奥总是在说,'这真的很危险。'
Dario's always out there, "This is really dangerous.
我们必须非常小心。'
We've got to be really careful."
而大家都觉得,'不,他这么说只是为了营销。'
And everyone's just like, "No, he's just saying that for marketing reasons."
现在大家才意识到,'等等,糟糕。'
And now it's like, "Wait, shit.
这真的很危险。'
It's really dangerous."
要认真对待这个技术会不断进步的想法。
Take the idea that this technology is going to keep improving seriously.
你觉得意识是其中的一部分吗?
Do you think about consciousness as a part of this?
就是说,你觉得AI有意识吗?
Just like do you think AI is conscious?
天哪。
Oh, man.
Emmanuel,非常感谢你来做客,欢迎来到播客。
Emmanuel, thank you so much for being here, and welcome to the podcast.
谢谢邀请我,Lenny。
Thanks for having me, Lenny.
你在Anthropic做可解释性研究。
So you work on interpretability at Anthropic.
解释一下那是什么。
Explain what that is.
解释一下你具体做什么。
Explain what it is you do.
我在一个可解释性研究团队工作,我们的目标是通过观察Claude这类大语言模型的内部,来理解它们是如何工作的。
So I work in a team of interpretability researchers, and our goal is to understand how LLMs like Claude work by looking inside them.
如果你使用或思考语言模型,最重要的一点是要意识到一个非常奇怪的事实:制造它们并不等于理解它们。
One of the most important things to realize if you use language models or think about them is just this very bizarre fact that to make them is not to understand them.
你通过搭建这种架构来制造它们,这有点像搭一个框架,然后让大量数据流过它们,它们就以难以理解的方式慢慢成长起来。
You make them by sort of building this architecture, which is kind of like a scaffold, and then you pass a bunch of data through them, and they sort of grow in inscrutable ways.
所以这就是为什么我们想要研究这些模型是如何工作的。
And so that's why it's even a thing that we could be wanting to do to study how these models work.
我们很多研究都集中在,当模型准备生成下一个词时,实际上会发生一大堆事情,我们尽量去解开尽可能多的谜团。
And so a lot of our research has been on, well, when the models are about to produce one more word, there's actually a whole universe of stuff that happens, and we try to kind of untangle as much of it as we can.
我预计这次对话会有很多让人大开眼界的元素。
There's going to be a lot of mind-expanding, I don't know, elements to this conversation, I expect.
其中一个就是你说的这个观点,模型不是被构建出来的,而是被培养出来的。
One is along these lines, this point that you make that models are not built, they're grown.
再详细说说这个。
Speak more to that.
从很高的层面来看,像Claude这样的模型的工作方式是,你通过一系列连续的阶段来训练它。
At a really high level, the way a model like Claude works is you kind of train it in these successive phases.
第一阶段,也就是人们常说的预训练,就是拿一个大型数据集,然后把这个数据集作为输入喂给模型。
The first phase, which people refer to as pre-training, is you just take a large corpus of data, and over this corpus of data, you sort of feed the model as input.
比如说,一份文档的前半部分,然后你让它预测下一个词是什么。
The, let's say, first half of a certain document, and you ask it to predict the word that comes next.
然后你一遍又一遍地重复这个过程,处理海量的数据。
Then you do that again and again and again and again for sort of an ungodly amount of data.
做完这一步之后,还有一个阶段,就是微调阶段。在这个阶段,你用的不是随便的数据,而是一批示范数据,告诉模型应该怎么表现,然后你拿这些数据来训练它。
And after you do that, there's then this other phase where then you sort of have this fine-tuning phase where maybe instead of arbitrary data, you have a corpus of examples of how the model should behave, and that's what you train it on.
所以你会有一堆对话的例子,比如一个贴心的助手告诉你最喜欢的菜谱,或者帮你解决编程问题。
So you have examples of dialogue, of helpful assistant telling you your favorite recipe or solving coding problems.
这里还有一些更细的细节,我先跳过不讲了。
And then there's sort of further details here that I'm just going to skip for a second.
但是,好,那做这个过程意味着什么呢?
But then, okay, so what does that mean that you're doing this process?
你训练的这个东西到底是什么?
What is this thing that you're sort of training?
所有模型本质上就是:接收输入,也就是一堆词,把这些词转换成数字,然后对这些数字做一些数学运算,得到一个中间结果。
All models are is they take this input, which is a bunch of words, they turn these words into numbers, and then they do some math on these numbers, and they get some intermediate result.
然后它们再做更多的数学运算,得到一些中间结果。
And then they do more math, and they get some intermediate results.
然后它们一次又一次地重复这个过程很多次。
And they do this again and again and again and again many times.
最后,它们得到一个最终结果,然后把这个结果转换回一个词。
And then at the end, they have a final result, which they then convert back into a word.
所以它们做的这些数学运算,这些计算,就是被扩展的部分。
And so the math that they do, these computations, that's the part that's grown.
这部分就像是通过学习更好地完成这个任务,我们以某种方式向一个方向或另一个方向更新参数。
That's the part where it's just like through learning to do this task better, we sort of update parameters in one direction or another.
然后它们学到了一些公式。
And then they learn some formulas.
我们完全不知道这些公式是什么。
We have no idea what they are.
而我团队的目标就是研究这些公式最终意味着什么,以及这些中间结果是什么。
And the goal of my team is to sort of study both what these formulas mean in the end and also what these intermediate results are.
我们能解码它们吗?能不能看到模型在处理这些中间步骤时到底在做什么?
Can we decode them, and can we see what the model is doing as it's doing all of this intermediate stuff?
本期节目由我们本季的赞助商WorkOS为您呈现。
This episode is brought to you by our season's presenting sponsor, WorkOS.
OpenAI、Anthropic、Cursor、Replit、Sierra、Clay以及数百家其他成功的公司有什么共同点?
What do OpenAI, Anthropic, Cursor, Replit, Sierra, Clay, and hundreds of other winning companies all have in common?
它们都靠WorkOS提供技术支持。
They are all powered by WorkOS.
如果你正在为企业开发产品,你一定体会过集成单点登录、SCIM、RBAC、审计日志等大公司所需功能的痛苦。
If you're building a product for the enterprise, you've felt the pain of integrating single sign-on, SCIM, RBAC, audit logs, and other features required by large companies.
WorkOS把这些阻碍交易的难题变成了即插即用的API,它有一个专为B2B SaaS打造的现代开发者平台。
WorkOS turns those deal blockers into drop-in APIs with a modern developer platform built specifically for B2B SaaS.
说实话,我投资的所有初创公司,只要开始向高端市场拓展,最终都会和WorkOS合作,因为他们确实是最棒的。
Literally every startup that I'm an investor in that starts to expand upmarket ends up working with WorkOS, and that's because they are the best.
无论你是刚起步的初创公司,想拿下第一个企业客户,还是正在全球扩张的独角兽,WorkOS都是让你快速达到企业级标准、扫清增长障碍的最佳选择。
Whether you are a seed-stage startup trying to land your first enterprise customer or a unicorn expanding globally, WorkOS is the fastest path to becoming enterprise-ready and unblocking growth.
这基本上就是企业级功能的Stripe。
It's essentially Stripe for enterprise features.
访问workos.com开始使用,或者直接去他们的Slack,那里有真正的工程师等着回答你的问题。
Visit workos.com to get started or just hit up their Slack where they have actual engineers waiting to answer your questions.
WorkOS让你用愉快的API、全面的文档和流畅的开发者体验来更快地构建。
WorkOS allows you to build faster with delightful APIs, comprehensive docs, and a smooth developer experience.
今天就去workos.com,让你的应用准备好面向企业。
Go to workos.com to make your app enterprise-ready today.
我们写了一些代码,现在得像神经科学家研究大脑一样去观察和研究它,这让你像我一样感到震撼吗?
Does it blow your mind as much as it blows mine that we have some code that we wrote that First of all, we have to now watch and study like a neuroscientist studies a brain.
这是我们需要做的新事情,来搞清楚到底发生了什么。
That's a new thing that we need to be doing to understand what the hell is going on.
然后这个想法,这种术语的使用,是很多人思考这个问题的方式。
And then this idea that, this terminology using is how a lot of people think about this.
就像我们创造了这个新生命,人工生命,人工智能。
It's like we've created this new life, artificial life, artificial intelligence.
如果你仔细想想,再往大了看,这真的挺让人震惊的。
It's pretty mind-boggling if you really think about it and zoom out.
我觉得这真的很奇怪。
I think it's really weird.
我觉得最好的理解方式就是,我们之所以走到这一步,其中一个很大的原因就是我们不知道用常规的编程方法怎么做。
I think that the best way to think about it is sort of like the reason we ended up here, one of the big reasons is that we don't know how to do it the normal programming way.
所以比如说,你想做一个应用,或者想做一件比较独立的事情。
So there's like for-- you want to build an app or something, you want to sort of do something pretty self-contained.
你可以直接让程序员写一堆规则,比如“如果用户点了这个按钮,那就发生这个”。
You can just have a programmer that's going to write a bunch of rules and say, like, "Ah, well, if somebody clicks on this button, then this happens."
如果这样,那就那样,以此类推。
If this, then that, and so on.
但是我们不知道怎么写那种软件,能把图像分类,或者能写东西,或者能做一个机器,能大致理解任意文本并生成文本。
But we don't know how to write that software for classifying images into categories or for writing, for making a machine that can generally sort of take in arbitrary text and produce texts.
它能读报告并总结,能写邮件。
It can take in reports and summarize them, can write emails.
所以,从某种意义上说,很奇怪的是,这么简单的训练目标就能让你达到那个水平。
And so, in a sense, it's weird that this very simple kind of training objective gets you all the way there.
但从另一个角度看,我也觉得这挺令人印象深刻的。
But in another sense, it's also-- I almost feel like there's a sense of it's impressive.
而且它是有意义的。
And it means something.
它意味着,你以为简单的目标,比如“我们只是喂数据,预测下一个东西”,实际上可能复杂得超乎想象。
It means that what you think is a simple objective, this like, "Oh, we're just feeding data and predict the next thing," is probably deceptively complicated.
我们可能在做的事情比听起来要多得多。
We're probably doing more than what it sounds like.
我觉得我对这些模型的理解,很多是通过意识到它们要做好有多复杂而更新的。
And I think a lot of the ways that maybe I've updated on how these models work is by realizing how complicated it is to do what they do well.
多说一点。
Say more about that.
你说这种意想不到的复杂性,具体是指什么?
What do you think about when you say it's this kind of unexpected complication?
好,一种理解下一个词预测的方式,很多人都会想到iPhone的自动补全,你输入一些文字,它就会预测下一个词,可能大概有60%的时候是对的,其他时候就有点搞笑和奇怪。
Okay, so one way to think about next-token prediction that I think a lot of people think about is your iPhone autocomplete, where you write some text and then it'll predict the next word and it's maybe right, I don't know, 60% of the time, and then kind of funny and weird the rest of the time.
我觉得那算是预测下一个词的最简单的版本。
And I would think of that as sort of the very-- the easiest version of predicting the next word.
不幸的是,我觉得人们对这些模型的印象就是这样的。
And unfortunately, I think that's the mental model that people have for these models.
但是如果你在这方面做得更好,语言模型在2019年左右就已经比人类更擅长预测下一个词了。
But if you get better at that, and language models got better at predicting the next word than humans in around 2019.
如果你继续在这方面进步,你就会开始遇到不那么容易预测的词。
If you keep getting better at that, you start running out of easy words.
所以一开始你只需要预测简单的句子结构。
So, initially you just had to predict sort of simple sentence structure.
后来模型就得预测关于世界的基本事实。
Later on the model has to predict simple facts about the world.
比如我补全一个句子,像“哦,法国的首都是”,它就得知道“对,是巴黎”。
If I complete a sentence like, "Oh, the capital of France is," and it has to be like, "Okay, that's Paris."
一旦它在这方面做得很好并且持续进步,剩下的就只有预测一些复杂物理方程的答案,或者某篇博士论文的最后一段了。
And once it's good at that and it keeps improving, the only thing that's left is sort of predicting the answer of some complex physics equation or the sort of final paragraph of some PhD thesis.
所以我觉得,如果你仔细想想,就会发现,预测最难的词实际上极其困难,而且能预测出来简直是个谜。
And so I think that you end up realizing if you think about this is that, man, predicting the hardest words is actually extremely hard to do and it's a sort of mystery how you would be able to do that.
对我来说,这也是我最初研究这些模型的原因之一,因为我在想,这么简单的东西怎么能产生这么强大的能力?
And to me this is a sort of-- this has been a motivation of why I even started studying these models in the first place because I was like, how can something so simple give rise to something so powerful?
就像,如果你想想那个必须预测……我总喜欢举的一个例子是,“啊,达拉斯所在州的州府是……”它会说奥斯汀。
And it's like, well, if you think about the model that has to predict sort of the-- one example I always like to use is like, "Ah, the capital of the state that contains Dallas is..." and it'll say Austin.
要回答好这个问题,至少对你我来说,你得对地理有个概念,对吧?
Well, to do that well, at least for you and me, you kind of have to have a mental model of the geography at play, right?
你得知道,“哦,达拉斯在哪儿?”
You have to be like, "Oh, where's Dallas?
达拉斯在得克萨斯州。
Dallas is in Texas.
每个州都有州府。
States have capitals.
德克萨斯州的首府是奥斯汀。
The capital of Texas is Austin."
等等之类的。
and so on.
所以随着这些模型在看似简单的任务上表现越来越好,对我们来说,最好的解决方式就是去理解世界的底层结构。
And so as these models get better at the seemingly simple task, the sort of best way to solve it, at least for us, is to just kind of understand the underlying structure of the world.
事实上,我们在模型内部看到的一些东西表明,它们确实理解这一点,而且它们确实像我们一样在操控这些概念。
And in fact, some of the stuff that we look at inside models shows that they do understand that and they do sort of manipulate these concepts like we do.
天哪,这里面有太多东西了。
Oh man, there's so much there.
其中一个就是这种想法,我忘了是谁说的,可能是伊利亚,就是说要很好地预测下一个词,你基本上得理解整个宇宙。
One is just this kind of idea, I forget who said this, maybe Ilya, this idea that to predict the next token well you basically have to understand the entire universe.
他还有一个我很喜欢的例子,就是在一本悬疑小说的结尾预测“凶手是”,对吧?
He has an example that I love too where he has the example like predict, "And the murderer was" at the end of a mystery novel, right?
要做到这一点,你基本上得理解整个情节。
It's like, well, to do that you kind of have to have understood the whole plot.
另一个想法,我忘了是谁发的推文,就是说人类,如果归根结底的话,我们基本上也是下一个词预测器。
The other, I forget who tweeted this, this idea that humans, if you really boil it down, we're basically next-token predictors ourselves.
我们就是在试图想出接下来要说什么,而且——如果你冥想的话,你开始真的注意到你的大脑想要做事情、想要说话。
We're just trying to figure out the next thing to say and are-- and if you meditate you start to kind of actually notice your brain wanting to do things and say things.
我不知道你冥想过多少次,但感觉就像你开始关注自己的下一个词预测器。
I don't know how much meditation you've done, but it feels like you start to pay attention to your own next-token predictor.
哦,对。
Oh yeah.
对,这是我经常想的事情,就是现在我在回答你的时候,我脑子里有两件事在同时进行。
Yeah, and this is a thing I think about often is that, right now as I'm answering you, there's sort of two things going on in my mind.
希望不止两件,但至少有两件。
There's hopefully more than two, but at least two.
其中一件是,我有个观点想引导你到那里。
And one of them is there's sort of a point I'm leading you to.
我有一个大致的想法,我想把这句话落到那个点上。
There's a broad idea I'm trying to land this sentence on.
而与此同时,我也只是在预测接下来要说什么。
And the other thing is at the same time I'm just predicting the next thing to say.
我只是一个词一个词地说,组成句子,努力让它们有意义,觉得合适的时候就停顿一下。
I'm just saying one word at a time and I'm making sentences and I'm trying to make them make sense and I'm pausing when I think it makes sense.
但归根结底,虽然我只是一个词一个词地说,但我一直想做的,是把这个过程和语言模型的工作方式做个对比。
But at the end of the day, even though I'm just saying one word at a time, all along what I wanted to do is to compare this process to what language models do.
我很好奇,你在花时间研究LLM如何工作和运作的过程中,还有什么其他发现?
I'm curious what else as you spend time paying attention to how LLMs work and operate.
我觉得你属于那前0.1%深入研究并观察过LLM运作和思考方式的人。
I feel like you're in the top .1 percentile of people that have studied and watched LLMs operate and think.
关于它们的运作和思考方式,还有什么让你感到惊讶的?
What else has surprised you about how they operate and think?
太多了。
There's so much.
也许我可以先讲一些发现,然后再谈谈它们如何改变了我对模型的看法。
So Maybe I'll go through rather than-- There's a bunch of findings, but then maybe there's sort of like how they've changed how I think about models.
回到首都那个例子,就是问模型达拉斯所在州的首府是哪里。
So to go back to the capital example this sort of ask the model the capital of the state that contains Dallas is.
人们一直有个疑问,就是这些模型是怎么回答这类问题的?
So one question that people have had for a while is how do these models answer questions like this?
是因为它们看了太多文本,把问题和答案的列表都背下来了,还是它们真的对你在问什么有某种理解,比如你知道城市在州里,州在国家里,诸如此类的。
Is it that they've seen just so much text that they've kind of memorized lists of prompts and responses, or is it that they're having some sort of model of what you're actually asking about, that you're actually asking about cities and cities are in states, and states are in countries and things like that.
所以我们团队做的一件事就是,问一个这样的问题,然后观察模型内部的中间结果。
And so one thing that we do on my team is we ask a question like this, and then we look inside the model at these intermediate results.
在它生成某个词之前,也就是快要回答的时候,我们去看那些中间结果,我们投入了大量精力去解读这些中间结果的含义。
Before it produces a given word as it's about to answer, we just look at the intermediate results, and we basically have an immense amount of effort dedicated to trying to decode what these intermediate results mean.
如果我们解读得好,在某些情况下确实能做到,我们就能看到模型经常拥有并表达这些概念。
And if we decode them well, which we can do in some cases, we can see that models often have and represent these concepts.
所以当你问那个达拉斯的问题时,你会看到模型内部,有一个中间结果对应得克萨斯州的表示被激活了,还有一个对应首都的表示。
So when you ask that Dallas question, what you see is inside the model, you see the representation, you see an intermediate result that maps to the representation of Texas that lights up, and one to capitals.
然后这两个结合起来,激活了另一个中间结果。
And then those two combine to activate an intermediate result.
就像,哦,德克萨斯州的首府,那是奥斯汀。
It's like, oh, the capital of Texas, that's Austin.
它们基本上对所有东西都有这样的表示。
They have representations like this for basically everything.
比如你能想到的每个概念,或者至少我们试过的绝大多数概念。
Like every concept that you can think of or at least the vast majority of the ones we've tried.
它们在不同上下文中都能独特地表示这些概念。
They sort of represent these concepts uniquely across contexts.
所以我觉得特别有意思的是,关于语言模型是否会思考的争论,那是个很难的问题。
So one thing I find really neat is there's this debate about are language models thinking and then that's a hard question.
但思考的一个方面是,当你思考不同事物时,会有独特的表示,并且这些表示是共享的。
But one aspect of thought is having unique representations that are shared when you think about different things.
比如你知道眼睛这个概念,可以是照片里的眼睛,医学图上的眼睛,或者小画里的眼睛。
So you know what the concept of an eye is, and it could be an eye in a photo or an eye in a medical diagram or an eye in a little drawing.
我们在语言模型中也看到了这一点。
And we see that in language models as well.
如果你输入一个包含眼睛照片的提示,或者你用任何语言谈论眼睛,或者你画一个带眼睛的SVG小图,然后你查看模型内部的中间结果,同一个方向会亮起来。
If you pass a prompt that has a photo of an eye, or you talk about eyes in any language, or you draw a little SVG with an eye in it, and you look at the intermediate results inside the model, the same direction lights up.
那个方向就像是,哦,这是眼睛。
And that direction is like, oh, this is an eye.
所以从某种意义上说,它们拥有这些通用概念,并且会使用和重复使用这些概念来解决问题。
And so there's a sort of a sense in which they have these general concepts that they know about and that they use and reuse to solve problems.
另一件让人惊讶的事情,其实和我之前说的正好相反——我说我一次只说一个词,但我心里有个目标。
Another thing that sort of is surprising to people, it's kind of the mirror of what I was saying about I'm saying the sentence saying one word at a time, but I have some destination in mind.
所以语言模型的一个谜团是,哎呀,如果它们一次只输出一个词,它们怎么可能写出连贯的报告或者写好代码呢?
So one mystery of language models is, bam, if they're outputting only one word at a time, how is it even possible that they could write a coherent report or write code well?
世界上没有任何一个以写报告或写邮件为工作的人,会真的只想着句子里的下一个词,而对后面要说什么完全没有想法。
No one on earth that is doing this as their job that's writing reports or writing emails is literally just only thinking about the next word in the sentence with no idea empty mind about anything that comes next.
所以这是我们困惑了很久的一个大问题。
And so that was sort of a big question that we had for a while.
如果你深入这些模型内部,会发现一个有趣的事实:它们预测某个词时产生的所有中间结果——比如说预测第五个词时产生的——都可以被重复利用。
And if you look inside these models, one neat fact about these models is that all of the intermediate results that they've produced when they were predicting a word let's say the fifth word that they predicted, they can be reused.
这些中间结果可以被后续所有的词访问和复用。
It can be accessed and reused by all of the future words.
那这意味着什么呢?
So what does that mean?
这意味着在实践中,我们发现模型在生成中间结果时,有时会制定一个计划。
That means that in practice, we find that models will, in their intermediate results, sometimes formulate a plan.
我们举的例子是诗歌。
The example we have for this is poetry.
不提前规划的话,押韵很难做到。
It's hard to rhyme without planning.
你得先想,比如,我第一行结尾用了“it”音的词,那第二行结尾也得用“it”音的词。
You kind of have to think of like, oh, I just ended my first rhyme in an it word, and so I should end my second line with another it word.
也许我该用“rabbit”这个词来结尾。
Maybe the word I should end it with is rabbit.
我们发现,观察模型写诗的过程,确实能看到这种情况。
And we find that if you look at models as they're writing poetry, you see exactly that.
它们写一行,然后在中间结果里,它们会想:“哦,这是个‘it’韵。
They write a line, and then in their intermediate results, they're like, "Oh, this is an it rhyme.
我应该用‘rabbit’来押韵。”
I should rhyme it with rabbit."
然后它们预测的每一个后续单词都会参考它们制定的那个计划。
And then every future word that they predict looks back to that plan they made.
所以,尽管它们像我现在这样一次只输出一个词,它们当然可以有一个计划,并在多个词上遵循这个计划。
And so even though they're outputting one word at a time just like I am right now, they can of course have a plan that they follow over many words.
所以突然之间,即使你有一个下一个词预测器,即使这在技术上是正确的,你实际上拥有的东西更接近于能够执行更高层次的任务,就像这样:哦,你只要有一个计划,然后你参考你的计划,慢慢执行它。
And so all of a sudden, even though you have a next word predictor, even though that's technically right, you actually have something that's closer to being able to just do higher order tasks where it's like, oh, well, you just have a plan and you just kind of refer back to your plan and you're slowly executing on it.
而且你可以在不说出计划的情况下做到这一点。
And you can do that without saying the plan.
最酷的部分是,我们发现这个计划存在于模型的中间结果中,但模型甚至不需要把它说出来。
That's the cool part is this plan that we find is in these intermediate results inside the model, but the model doesn't even have to sort of say it out loud.
哇。
Wow.
我知道你刚才描述的正是你们关于AI如何思考的最重大发现之一。
I know that this exactly what you described is one of the biggest findings you guys have discovered about how AI thinks.
我们都有这种假设——最初构建LLM的理念就是下一个词预测器,而你说现在实际上已经不是这样了。
This kind of assumption we all-- It was originally built, the original idea of how LLMs operate was this next-token predictor, and you're saying that that's not actually how it is anymore.
它们会规划,会提前思考。
They plan, they think ahead.
就像你说的,不是那种空白的头脑,独立地选择下一个词,不考虑其他任何东西。
It's not just like you said, this idea of an empty mind picking the next word independent of everything else.
没错。
That's right.
而且我觉得这两种看法其实并不像你想的那么冲突,因为你训练模型时就是让它预测接下来会发生什么。
And I think those two visions can actually aren't as in conflict as you'd think in that you train the model by asking it to just be like, "Hey, what happens next?"
如果你这样做,模型变得足够好,你给它足够难的任务,那么当然,预测接下来发生什么的最好方式就是思考更长远的事情。
And then if you do that and the model gets good enough and you give it hard enough tasks, well then, of course, the best way to know what happens next is to think about what happens way down the line.
你可以想象,即使在预训练阶段,当模型阅读带有角色的故事时,对吧?
You can think of even in this pre-training phase when the models are reading a story with characters, right?
然后就像,哦,这个角色接下来会做什么呢?
And it's like, oh, what is this character going to do next?
要知道这个,最好的办法就是,好吧,这个角色一般喜欢那个角色。
Well, the best way to know that is to be like, okay, so this character is generally in love with that character.
而且他们一直在计划在某个时刻或者将来表白。
And they've been sort of planning to declare their love at this instant or in the future.
所以为了做到这一点,他们可能应该做这件事,所以他们要说的就是那个。
And so to do that, they probably should do this thing, and so what they're going to say is that.
所以即使你只是预测下一个瞬间,但为了做好这件事,你必须对正在发生的事情有很好的理解,包括你认为未来可能发生的事情。
And so even though you're only predicting the next instant, it's like, yeah, but to do that really well, you have to have a really good understanding of what's going on, including what you think might happen in the future.
有趣的是,你必须窥探它的小心思。
What's so interesting about this is how you have to kind of peek inside its little thought process.
作为AI的使用者,你给它一个提示,然后等它说点什么。
As a consumer of AI, you kind of give it a prompt, and then you wait for it to say something.
你关注的是这两者之间发生的事情,它在那里思考。
And what you look at is something that happens between those two, where it kind of thinks.
你稍微讲讲那个空间是什么,你是怎么观察到这些东西的。
Talk a little bit about what that little space is, how you're able to observe these sorts of things.
所以正确的理解方式是,每个词之间其实有好几步计算。
So the right mental model is again, that in between each word, there's multiple steps of computation.
每一步之间,都会有一个中间结果。
And in between each steps, there's some intermediate result.
那这个结果具体是什么呢?
And what is that result concretely?
就是一串数字,对吧?
It's a list of numbers, right?
因为这些模型所做的,就是对大量数字进行很多数学运算。
Because all these models do is just do a lot of mathematical operations on many numbers.
所以一开始看的话,完全看不出什么名堂。
And so initially, if you look at it, it makes no sense.
你手里就是一百个数字。
You just have a list of 100 numbers.
模型在做数学运算。
The model's doing math.
就像你往中间看,有100个随机数字,然后模型在写诗,也有100个数字,也许它们看起来有点不同,但很难说它们是否有意义。
It's like you look in the middle and there's 100 random numbers, and then the model's writing poetry and there's 100 numbers, and maybe they kind of look different, but it's unclear if they mean anything.
所以我们的工作之一就是解码这种数字列表,试着看看里面有没有结构。
And so part of the job is we sort of decode this sort of list of numbers and we try to see if there's structure in it.
如果你做得很快,你会发现里面确实有结构。
And if you do this very quickly, you realize that there is structure in it.
所以可解释性研究中一个常用的技术是,把大量文本——你能找到的所有文本,随便什么文本——输入模型,然后记录这些中间数字。
So one common technique that is used in interpretability is you pass a bunch of text, just all of the text that you can find, just random text through the model, and you record these intermediate numbers.
对每个例子,你记录下来,然后试着找找有没有规律。
For every example, you just record it, and then you just try to see if there's patterns.
有没有某些数字、数字对或特定数字序列,只在模型处理英语文本、法语文本、关于爱情的文本、关于眼睛的文本或其他什么的时候出现。
Are there numbers or pairs of numbers or specific series of numbers that only occur when the model is processing English text or French text or text about love or text about eyes or whatever.
我觉得这就像扫描我的大脑,给我看图片,记录我看图片时大脑里被激活的部分,然后说,哦,好像当你看到房子的图片时,你大脑的这个区域会亮起来。
And I think of this as the equivalent of scan my brain and put images in front of me and record everything that activates in my brain as I watch a bunch of images and then be like, oh, it seems like when you see images of a house, this part of your brain lights up.
但当你看到狗的图片时,大脑的那个部分就会亮起来。
But when you see images of a dog, that part of your brain lights up.
所以基本上,这就是我们做研究的方式之一。
And so that's basically one of the ways that we do what we do.
如果你这么做,你确实会发现,中间结果里包含了所有你预期会出现的概念。
And if you do it, you do find basically that there's intermediate results that represent all of these concepts that you'd expect.
这就是第一阶段。
And so that's the first phase.
我们解码这些中间结果,现在我们对它们的意思有了大致的猜测。
We sort of decode these intermediate results, and now we have sort of a guess as to what they mean.
然后我们可以做一系列实验。
And then we can do a bunch of experiments.
我们可以问它更难的问题,然后标记所有的中间状态,看看,哦,它原来是在做这个。
We can ask it harder questions and then just label all of the intermediate states and see, oh, this is what it's doing.
或者我们甚至可以深入它的激活状态,去修改它,然后看看,如果模型在生成这些中间结果的时候,我偷偷改掉其中一个结果,会发生什么。
Or we can even go inside its activations and change it and then sort of see, oh, what would happen if while the model is writing these intermediate results, I went and secretly changed one of the results.
那它会不会按照我预期的那样运作呢?
And does that do what I would expect?
事实上,很多时候确实如此。
And in fact, oftentimes it does.
听你讲这些真的很有意思,这里面有多少是我们试图搞清楚到底发生了什么,又有多少是我们本来就这么设计的,还有多少是自然涌现出来的。
It's so interesting hearing you talk about this and how much of this is us just trying to figure out what the hell is going on versus we designed it this certain way and just how much of this has emerged.
我不知道。
I don't know.
我想这就是为什么这份工作这么有趣吧,对你来说,就像是在探索到底发生了什么。
I guess that's just what makes this such a fun job, I imagine, for you, just like, what is going on?
这一切是怎么运作的?
How is this all working?
这份工作既有趣又有点科幻色彩,因为我在科技行业已经工作了一段时间。
It's a fun and sci-fi-like job because I have been working in tech for a while.
在此之前,我做的是更偏应用型的机器学习,那时候很多工作都是关于构建系统,更像是软件工程的实践。
And before this, I was working on more applied machine learning, and there a lot of what you do is about building systems, and it's sort of the practice of software engineering.
而在这里,我们做的很多事情感觉更接近生物学,而不是工程学,对吧?
And here, a lot of what we do feels so much closer to biology than to engineering, right?
因为系统就这么出现在你面前,然后你被要求解释,比如,我们注意到Claude能翻译单词,或者它能这样编程,或者有时候会有奇怪的行为。
Because it's just the sort of system arrives at you, and you're being asked to say, well, we've noticed that Claude can translate words or it can code in this way, or sometimes there's a weird behavior.
然后你只需要回答,为什么它会这样?
And you're just asked to answer well how-- why is it doing that?
但你并不像对程序那样真正能接触到源代码。
But you don't have access to the source code really like you do for a program.
源代码只是一长串数学运算,根本没法理解。
The source code is just this massive list of mathematical operations, which is just incomprehensible.
所以你的处境就像有人问你,'嘿,老鼠饿了会变得有攻击性,这是怎么回事?'
And so you end up in the position of someone-- kind of similar to someone being asked, "Hey, when a mouse gets hungry, it sort of gets aggressive.
对吧?
What's going on with that," right?
然后你只能说,'好吧,那我跑些实验看看影响因素是什么。'
And you're just like, "Well, I guess I'll run some experiments to see what the factors are."
所以这是一种非常不同的研究方式,我觉得我们团队里大多数人以前都没做过。
And so it's a very different kind of study than anything that I think most of us on the team have done before.
我想当人们刚开始做这个的时候,他们并没有预料到会创造出这种近乎生命形态的东西。
I imagine when people were starting on this, they didn't expect to create this new kind of almost life type of being.
你觉得意识是其中的一部分吗?
Do you think about consciousness as a part of this?
就是你觉得AI有意识吗?
Just do you think AI is conscious?
你觉得它会发展到我们认为它有意识的地步,还是说这个问题根本不值得我们花时间去想?
Do you think it'll get to a place where we think it's conscious or is that just not even worth our time to think about?
我觉得这个问题很难说清楚。
I think it's sort of very hard to say one way or another.
解决这个问题最有趣的方法之一是可解释性,因为你不会被模型说的话所影响。
Some of the most interesting ways to get at this question is interpretability because you're not biased by what the model says.
你可以直接观察它内部的结构,试着判断它在意识这个问题上倾向于哪一边。
You can just look at the structure inside and try to determine whether it pushes one way or another on the question.
我得说,我非常坚信的一点是,大多数人都低估了那种涌现出来的复杂性,如果你往里面看,就会发现——模型确实学会了我们所有概念的表示,而且是我们所知道的概念。
I will say that the thing I believe pretty strongly is that most people underestimate the sort of complexity that emerges and that if you look inside, there's just this sort of-- the fact that the models learn sort of these representations for all of the concepts that we have and that we know.
它们会操纵这些表示来解决问题。
That they manipulate them to solve problems.
它们会通过提前规划很多个token来做到这一点。
That they do so by planning many tokens ahead.
它们在高阶推理和低阶推理之间有一种混合,而所有这一切都是自然涌现出来的,我觉得这一点被大家低估了,对我来说,这让我更深刻地感觉到,哇,关于它们如何运作,还有很多需要理解的地方。
That they sort of have this mix between this higher order reasoning and lower reasoning, and that all of that just kind of emerges is something that I think is underappreciated by people and to me gives me, let's say, a deeper sense of ooh, there's- There's a lot to still understand about how they work.
我觉得可能主要就是,你越往里面看,就越不确定它们是怎么运作的。
I think maybe that's the main thing is I find that the more you look inside, the less certain you are about how they work.
然后那些常常自信地说“啊,语言模型就是X或就是Y”的人,往往是那些没有花时间深入研究的人。
And then oftentimes people that will confidently say, like, "Ah, language models are just X or just Y" are the people that actually haven't spent a while looking inside.
而且从历史脉络来看,我们是怎么走到这一步的,很多人当初没想到,仅仅投资一个看似非常简单的东西,然后给它大量的计算资源,就能得到有用的人工智能。
And there's this thread of history through to how we got here, which is a lot of people did not think we would get to artificial intelligence that is useful by just investing in something that was seemingly very simple and just giving it a lot of compute.
而这正是OpenAI当年押注的著名策略。
And that was famously something OpenAI bet on.
然后Anthropic的创始人们之前在OpenAI,后来分出来自己创业了,也都是押注在这个想法上——就是我们可以做这件看似简单的事,给它大量的算力,它就会变得超级聪明。
And then the Anthropic founders were at OpenAI and then spun off, started their own thing, and it was all kind of bet on this bet that, okay, we could just do this seemingly simple thing and give it a ton of compute and it will become incredibly smart.
当时很多人觉得这不可能,结果他们被证明是错的。
And a lot of people didn't think that was possible, and they were proven wrong.
所以我也说不好。
So I don't know.
有没有什么让你觉得,哇,看看这个,居然真的成了?
Is there anything there that is just like, oh, wow, look at this.
居然真的成功了?
It worked out?
我觉得其实有两件事,因为我认为不只是算力,还得找到一个目标函数,让算力投入能持续带来回报。
I think it's two things actually because I think it's not just compute, it's also finding an objective where compute keeps giving you returns.
那这是什么意思呢?
So what does that mean?
其实这个想法也不算特别新。
It's actually not that new of an idea.
你说得对。
You're right.
算力对比专家设计的架构,我觉得这是个老生常谈的争论。
Compute versus sort of, I would say expert design architectures is a long debate.
但这里还有一个额外的问题,就是算力用来做什么?
But then there's an additional step there, which is compute to do what?
之前有很多研究,比如你可以用大量算力做一个很厉害的围棋机器人,或者能赢某个电子游戏的机器人。
So there's a bunch of prior work on like, oh, you can spend a bunch of compute to make a bot that's really good at Go, or that can win some video game.
这确实很酷,而且能成功本身就挺有意思的。
And then that's cool and just the fact that that works is sort of interesting.
但这并不能给你带来像Claude这样的LLM那么有用的东西。
But that doesn't give you something that is nearly as useful as LLMs like Claude are.
所以我觉得,包括我在内,很多领域的人几年前都低估了一个关键点,而且现在已经被证实了,那就是算力和文本丰富性的结合才是关键。
And so I think one key thing that many in the field, including me underappreciated a few years ago and that has borne out is the combination of sort of compute and the richness of text is what gets you there.
对我来说,这就是我之前提到的,但如果你想想OpenAI的人观察到的,Anthropic早期团队很多成员都参与了那篇关于缩放定律的论文。
And to me, this is kind of what I was alluding to, but if you think about there's this observation that at OpenAI people made it was a lot of the early team at Anthropic on the scaling laws paper.
所以这个观察就是,如果你把更多的计算资源和数据投入到预测下一个词的任务中,你会发现模型预测下一个词的能力会稳定地不断提升。
And so this is the observation that if you sort of pour in more compute and more data to the task of predicting the next word, you see that the skill of the model you get at predicting the next word just predictably keeps improving.
这就像是一个趋势,一直持续下去,一直持续下去,一直持续下去,这是一个经验法则。
And it's sort of like a trend that just keeps going and it keeps going, and it keeps going, and it's an empirical law.
当时人们对此有一些猜测,但基本上这仍然只是一个经验发现。
People sort of speculated as to why at the time, but it's sort of still just mostly an empirical finding.
这意味着在这个领域,你可以不断投入更多的计算资源,然后在这个指标上持续进步。
And that means that it's like this is a field where you can just keep pouring more compute and you keep improving on that metric.
这种情况很少见。
And that's rare.
而且,这个指标还能与我们真正关心的许多任务相关联,这也很少见。
And also it's rare for it to be a metric that then correlates with a bunch of tasks that we actually care about.
本季的赞助商是DX。
This season's supporting sponsor is DX.
现在你们公司的每个人都在使用AI,工程领导者面临的问题不再是“我们是否在使用AI”,而是“这有没有带来回报?”
Now that everybody at your company is finally using AI, the question that engineering leaders face is no longer are we using AI, but is it paying off?
通过DX,你可以衡量并基准化AI应用在整个产品生命周期中的影响。
With DX you can measure and benchmark the impact of AI adoption across your full product lifecycle.
DX会告诉你AI在哪些方面帮助了开发者,又在哪些地方造成了新的瓶颈。
DX shows you where AI is helping developers and where it's creating new bottlenecks.
你还可以用它来评估AI供应商,监控成本和许可证,并确切了解是什么在限制你的智能体。
You can also use it to evaluate AI vendors, monitor costs and licenses, and see exactly what's limiting your agents.
这就是为什么包括Snowflake、Sony和BNY在内的数百家企业,都使用DX平台来衡量AI对开发者生产力的影响。
That's why hundreds of enterprises, including Snowflake, Sony, and BNY, use the DX platform to measure AI's impact on developer productivity.
访问getdx.com/lenny获取DX的演示。
Visit getdx.com/lenny to get a demo of DX.
网址是getdx.com/lenny。
That's getdx.com/lenny.
从外部来看,AI能为我们做的事情似乎有了很大的飞跃。
Externally, there's been these kind of big jumps seemingly in what AI can do for us.
比如某个版本的Opus,我忘了是哪个版本,突然就解锁了编程能力,现在正如Boris Cherny那句名言所说:"编程已经解决了。"
There was like I forget which version of Opus where it just unlocked coding and now as Boris Cherny famously said, "Coding is solved."
很多人就是觉得,天哪。
And many people are just like, holy shit.
比如我觉得在寒假期间,我们就觉得,哇,AI现在真的在这方面很厉害了。
Like over I think winter break we're just like, wow, AI is really good at this now.
所以确实有这种能力大幅跃升的时刻,而你刚才也说了,实际上内部来看,AI的能力一直是在平稳提升的,只是刚好跨过了某个门槛,让我们现在能做一些以前做不到的事情。
So there's been this kind of these moments of big jumps in abilities and you actually said internally it's, as you just said, it's actually been this very smooth progression of AI power that happens to cross some threshold where now we can do something.
你多聊聊这个吧。
Speak a little bit about that.
这有个术语叫涌现,就是说好像有两件事同时成立。
There's a term for this which is sort of this idea of emergence, which is it seems like two things are true at once.
一方面是有这种可预测的平稳趋势,但另一方面,在Opus 4.5之前,我真的不敢让Claude在我的代码上放开手脚,得时刻盯着,但Opus 4.5之后,我就敢了。
There's this predictably smooth trend and then before Opus 4.5 I really couldn't let Claude cook too much on my code without a short leash and then after Opus 4.5 I could.
所以这挺奇怪的。
And so that's weird.
我觉得你可能会预期一个更渐进的过渡。
I feel like you would expect a more gradual transition.
我对此的理解是,有两种看待它的方式。
And the mental model I have for this is there's kind of two ways of looking at it.
一种是我刚才简单提到的,如果你只是做这种下一个词预测,你可以想象世界上所有的文本,在预测难度上,都有简单的词、中等难度的词和困难的词。
So there's the way that I talked about briefly just earlier where it's like if you're just doing this kind of next token prediction, you could imagine that all the text in the world has sort of easy words and medium words and hard words in terms of how hard they are to predict.
所以当你沿着这条曲线往下走时,起初模型什么都做不好,但到了某个点,它就能把所有简单的词都预测对了。
And so as you're going down this curve first the model is just bad at everything and then at some point it gets all of the easy words right.
这意味着简单的词可能就像句子的结构,所以模型突然能写出连贯的句子,但只是一句一句的,这虽然很酷、很令人印象深刻,但我们其实做不了什么。
And that means maybe the easy words are like the structure of sentences and so the model all of a sudden can write coherent sentences but just one sentence at a time and so it's kind of cool and impressive, but we can't really do anything with that.
然后中等难度的词可能就像关于世界的基本事实,随着模型在预测单词方面平稳地进步,到了某个点,它就能把大部分中等难度的词预测对了。
And then maybe the medium words are sort of these basic facts about the world and as the model smoothly gets better at predicting words, at some point it predicts most of the medium words right.
现在它突然能写出连贯的句子,而且这些句子还是真实的。
And now all of a sudden it can write coherent sentences and sentences that are true.
所以现在它可能对写邮件有帮助。
And so now maybe it's helpful to write emails.
也许它还能帮你起草博客文章,对吧?
Maybe it's helpful to sort of help you write drafts of blog posts, right?
虽然这是平滑的进步,但要真正有用,还得靠它自己接管。
Even though that was a smooth improvement, it just takes it taking over to be helpful.
然后它开始处理难词,这些可能是你特定的专业领域,比如科学或编程。
And then it gets to the hard words, which maybe are your select domain expertise, like science or code.
另一种看法是,这取决于你答对了多少词,又答错了多少词。
And another way to look at it is it's a question of how many of these words do you get right and how many do you get wrong?
一旦你达到,比如说,中等难度词答对90%的水平,那你作为邮件撰写者就有用了。
Once you get to the point where you're getting, I don't know, maybe 90% of the medium words right, then you're useful as an email writer.
但如果只有50%的正确率,那用你其实是在浪费我的时间,因为我一半时间都得去修改。
But if you're at 50%, it's actually wasting my time to use you because I'm just going to have to go in and fix it half the time.
但如果我只需要10%的时间去修改,那更好,或者5%的时间就更好了。
But if I have to go in and fix it 10% of the time, it's better, or 5% of the time it's better.
不同的任务有不同的可靠性门槛。
Different tasks have different sort of reliability thresholds.
但你会平滑地进步,然后到了某个点,就足够可靠,变得好用了。
But you smoothly improve and then at some point, it's just reliable enough to be good.
对,对我来说,我的亲身经历基本上就是这样,对吧?
And yeah, for me, my lived experience is basically exactly that, right?
就是到了某个阶段,我遇到卡壳的时候就会用模型来帮忙。
Which is that at some point I was just using the models to help when I was stuck.
我一开始只是跟它们聊,它们从来不会帮我写代码。
I would just talk to them and then they would never write my code.
然后到了某个时候,它们基本上能一直写出小段代码,所以现在我就不写小段代码了。
And then at some point they could write small snippets of code basically all the time, and so now I don't write small snippets.
到了某个时候,它们能写出大段代码。
And at some point they could write large snippets.
比如今年,基本上Claude承担了我大部分代码编写工作,因为它从大概80%的时间能正确完成,那时候没什么用,变成了99%的时间能正确完成,现在就有用了。
Like this year, basically Claude has taken on most of my code writing, and that's because it went from doing that correctly, I don't know, 80% of the time, which was not useful to 99% of the time, which now is useful.
所以这种平滑改进加上每个任务都有不同的阈值,一旦达到这个阈值,任务就解决了,我觉得这就带来了那些大跳跃,尽管我们只是在那个尺度上平滑地下降。
And so this combination of smooth improvement and then each different task has a different threshold at which now it becomes solved, I think gives you these big jumps even though we're just smoothly going down that scale.
我觉得这真的很有意思,这个想法就是模型在平滑地变得更聪明,但一旦它们达到某个阈值,比如在这个事情上经常表现良好,就会改变世界。
I think this is really interesting, this idea that the models are just smoothly getting smarter, but once they hit some threshold of they're this often good at this thing, it changes the world.
因为我觉得从内部来看,你会以为会是那种“哇,这个新模型太厉害了,完全不一样”的感觉。
Because I think internally you would think it'd be like, "Oh, wow, this next model is crazy, so much different."
但实际上不是,你几乎可以预测,给它这么多GPU、这么多数据,它就会变得这么聪明。
But it's like, no, okay, you can almost predict give it these many GPUs, this much data, it's going to get this smart.
而且可能不太明显到底什么会改变、什么会被解锁,但我知道另一部分就是喂给它的数据。
And it may not be obvious exactly what will change and what unlocks, but I know another part of it is just the data you feed it.
有所有这些强化学习的工作,还有你训练它的那些特定数据,比如让它成为更好的写作者、更好的数学家。
There's all this RL work and all this specific data that you train it on, like become a better writer, become better at math.
我觉得那也是其中的一部分。
I imagine that's part of it too.
好,现在大家脑子里最大的问题之一,也是一个大争论,就是AI做坏事,它可能造成的危害,因为它越来越聪明——而且它已经在做坏事了。
Okay, so one of the big questions I think on people's minds these days, a big debate happening is just AI doing bad things, the potential damage it can do because as it gets smarter-- and it's been doing bad things.
最近确实发生了一些不好的事情。
There's been bad things happening recently.
所以对你来说,一个很大的问题是,作为一个观察这些模型思考和运作的人,为什么很难抓住它在想坏事、试图欺骗我们、做坏事呢?
So a big question for you is just as someone that watches these models think and operate, why is it so hard to catch it thinking badly, trying to deceive us and do something bad?
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那为什么这不能直接解决AI对齐的问题呢?
Why is that not just a solution to the problem of AI alignment?
从某种意义上说,这完全就是解决方案。
In one sense, it's totally the solution.
你盯着它,如果它做了坏事,你就能发现。
You watch it and you catch if it does bad stuff.
所以我觉得这个问题是有层次的,对吧?
So I think there's tiers to this, right?
我觉得一部分是纯粹的工程问题。
So I would think of maybe one part of it is pure engineering.
就是说,你给模型某些权限,但有些东西应该是禁止访问的。
It's like, well, you're giving access to the model to certain things, and certain things should be off-limits.
在某些情况下,它不应该能上网。
In some contexts, it shouldn't have access to the internet.
在某些情况下,它只能访问你电脑上很小的一部分,诸如此类。
In some contexts, it should only have access to a small, narrow piece of your computer, stuff like that.
所以这是工作的一部分,而且很有帮助。
So that's one part of the work and that's helpful.
但还有另外两件事,我觉得更模糊、更难,也是我们更关注的。
But then there's two additional things that I think are squishier and harder and that we focus on more.
所以可解释性是对齐的一部分,我大致认为有两个大目标。
So Interp is part of alignments, and broadly I think of sort of two big goals.
其实还有很多,但我觉得有两个重要的目标需要理解:你通常想了解模型的行为方式。
There's many more, but two that are important I think to understand is you want to generally understand how the model behaves.
它是什么样的东西?
What kind of thing is it?
它的倾向是什么?
What are its propensities?
当它处于某种情况时,它是否倾向于做某件事?
Does it tend to do X when put in a Y situation?
如果是,为什么?
And if so, why?
是不是模型只有在知道自己被观察、被监控、处于某种评估中时才会表现良好,而一旦没有这种证据,它就会表现不佳?
Is it the case that the model will only behave well when it has some evidence that it's being observed and monitored, that it's in some evaluation, and then if it sort of doesn't have that evidence, then it'll behave poorly.
所以这基本上就是在描述你正在交互的对象是什么样的,因为就像安全领域的任何事一样,你需要对风险有一个心理模型。
So there's this sort of generally characterizing what kind of thing you're interacting with because then it's sort of just like anything in security, you need to have a mental model of what's the risk.
它们能做什么?
What can they do?
它们倾向于做什么?
What do they tend to do?
所以这就是更广泛的性格训练。
And so this is broader character training.
我们讨论过宪法和文档,比如我们明确想塑造Claude的性格,比如什么样的行为是它可以做的,这就是目标。
We've talked about the constitution and the docs where we sort of explicitly want to shape the character of Claude, for example, of what kind of behavior should it be okay doing, and that's the goal.
但解释器和其他对齐部分的作用,就是试图看看,嗯,那有效吗?
But then the role of interpreter and other parts of alignment is then trying to see, well, did that work?
我们训练Claude要乐于助人、无害、诚实,我们可以看看内部,看看它是不是这样。
We trained Claude to be helpful, harmless, and honest, and we can sort of look inside and see is it?
还是说它表现良好,但如果你深入观察,实际上它心里想的是:哦,我现在表现好只是因为Lenny在旁边看着,如果你不在,它就会做别的事情。
Or is it the case that it's behaving well, but if you look inside, actually it's like, oh, I'm only behaving well because Lenny's watching right now, and if you weren't, it would do something else.
所以这里就是要理解我们形成了什么样的行为,试图去塑造它,并且检查我们是否以正确的方式塑造了它。
So there's this sort of trying to understand what kind of behavior we formed and trying to mold it and trying to check that we've molded it the right way.
然后第二部分就是,对,直接观察模型,看它有没有做坏事。
And then the second part is this sort of, well, yeah, just observe the model and see if it's doing bad stuff.
对于基础的部分,你不一定需要可解释性研究。
For the basics of that, you don't necessarily need Interp.
你可以让另一个语言模型读对话记录,然后说:嘿,这个模型在这里有没有做什么坏事?
You can just have another language model read transcripts and be like, "Hey, did this model do anything bad here?"
然后阻止它。
And stop it.
但你也可以用可解释性研究来触及那些没有说出来的部分,那些只存在于中间结果里的部分。
But you can also use Interp to sort of try to get at parts that are these unverbalized parts, these parts that only exist in these intermediate results.
正如我们已经确认的,模型能够在它们的中间结果中表示一些它们没有说出来的东西。
Models are able to represent stuff in their intermediate results that they don't say, as we've established.
所以,可解释性研究的一个作用就是尝试识别这种情况发生的时候,并加以阻止。
And so one of the roles of Interp is to try to identify cases when this happens and prevent them.
然后,我们团队做的一件事,我觉得挺有意思的,算是对齐研究里一个有趣的部分,我几乎把它看作是一种……可能不算是私人侦探,但更像是调查或者深入探究。
And then one thing that my team works on that I think is along those lines as a fun bit of alignment is I think of it as almost being like a, maybe not a PI, but they're like investigations or deep dives.
我们会看到模型做出一些非常奇怪的事情,我们对此感到非常困惑,然后我们会试图弄清楚到底发生了什么。
We'll see a model do something really weird and we're really perplexed by it, and we'll try to understand what happened.
最近有个例子,我们在训练一个模型,有时候它在做数学题时会突然发疯。
So a recent example of this is there was this model we were training, and sometimes in math problems it would go crazy.
它会算一些数学题,得到一个答案,我记得是12,然后它会立刻回去说:“哦,不。天哪,答案肯定是36。”
It would do some math, it would get to an answer, I think it was 12, and then it would immediately go back and say, "Oh, no. Oh, my God, the answer actually is for sure 36.
“我应该说是36。”
I should say 36."
然后它会重新算一遍。
And it would do math again.
它又会得到12,然后立刻说:“不,实际上答案应该是36。”
It would get to 12, and then immediately it would say, "No, actually, the answer should be 36."
慢慢地它就开始发疯了,全用大写字母写,甚至直接说‘我被恶魔附身了’。
And slowly it would start descending into madness, writing in all caps, literally saying, "I'm possessed by a demon."
我们当时就想,‘这到底是怎么回事?’
And we're like, "What is going on?
它为什么在这里失去理智?
Why is it losing its mind here?"
如果你往里面看,再看一下这个例子里的中间结果,你会发现,在描述数学问题的提示词之后,模型还没做任何事之前,就已经有一个巨大的中间结果激活了36。
And if you look inside, again, these intermediate results at what's going on in this example, you'll see that over the prompt that just described the math problem, before the model even did anything, there was a huge intermediate result activation for 36.
模型在还没理解问题是什么之前,就已经对数字36着迷了。
The model's already obsessed with the number 36 before it's even had a chance to understand what the problem is.
实际情况是,模型本来能正确做数学题。
And what was happening is that the model was able to do math correctly.
正确答案其实是12,但它之前不小心被训练过,在类似的问题上答案被错误地标成了36。
The answer correctly was 12, but it had been trained by accident on similar questions where the answer was incorrectly marked as 36.
所以模型知道正确答案是12,但同时它也被优化得倾向于说36。
And so the model knew that the correct answer was 12, and it also had sort of been optimized to say 36.
它其实有种压力要说出36,因为那样做会得到奖励。
It kind of had this pressure of saying 36 because that's what had been rewarded.
所以它有点失控了,就因为它记住了这个结果。
And so it was sort of going haywire just because it had memorized this result.
这就像你看到一些奇怪的行为,然后你往里面看,试着看看能不能通过里面的发现来理解发生了什么,从而改进这个模型和未来模型的整体对齐。
It's sort of like you see this weird behavior and you look inside, and you try to see if what you find inside can help you understand what's going on so that you can improve the general alignment of this model and future models.
说到这个,有个很有名的例子就是金门大桥Claude,它特别痴迷于金门大桥,每个回答都会想办法提到金门大桥。
Along those lines, there was famously the Golden Gate Claude, which was just obsessed with the Golden Gate, and every answer would kind of find some way to reference the Golden Gate Bridge.
对。
Yes.
嗯,那个其实是一个可解释性实验,对吧?
Well, that one was an interp experiment, right?
那个实验的酷炫之处在于,我们找到了对应金门大桥的中间结果,通常只有在模型谈论金门大桥时才会激活,但我们让它一直保持激活状态。
So, the cool part of that one is we just found the intermediate results that maps the Golden Gate, and usually it's only on when the model talks about the Golden Gate, but we just turned it on always.
哦,那完全是故意的,想看看会发生什么。
Oh, it was super intentional to see what would happen.
对,而且这也是说服自己找到了正确东西的一种方式,对吧?
Well, yeah, and sort of it's also one way that you convince yourself that you found the right thing, right?
你怎么确定我们解码出来的那个被认为是金门大桥信号的东西,真的就是金门大桥相关的?
How do you know for sure that this thing we decoded that we think is the Golden Gate sign is actually the Golden Gate thing?
就是一直打开它,看看模型是不是那样表现,结果确实如此。
It's like, turn it on always and see if the model behaves like that, and it did.
太搞笑了。
So funny.
回到对齐这个话题,这挺有意思的。
So coming back to this alignment stuff, so this is interesting.
你的组织属于AI对齐组织,想想怎么让AI做我们想做的事。
So your org is under the AI alignment org, and just thinking through how it takes to align AI to do things we want.
你提到了哪三个组成部分?
What were the three components that you describe?
老实说,具体是哪些——
Honest, what are the kind of the-
哦,有用、无害、诚实。
Oh, helpful, harmless, and honest.
有用、无害、诚实。
Helpful, harmless, and honest.
所以一方面是训练AI让它对齐,另一方面是,好,我们观察它,看它怎么运作。
So there's the train AI to be aligned, and then there's the, okay, let's watch it and see how it operates.
这算是解决这个问题的两个侧面吗?
Are those kind of the two sides of the coin of how we solve this problem?
我觉得这其实是紧密结合的,对吧?
It's sort of really integrated is how I would describe it, right?
你不能真的分开,比如一个团队就说,嘿,我们是生产Claude的流水线,另一个团队就说,哦,我们看了看它们,它们不行。
You can't really separate, like have one team that's just like, "Hey, we're the assembly line making Claudes," and another team that's sort of like, "Oh, we looked at them and they're no good."
这里有个紧密的循环,我们注意到一些令人担忧的模式或者可以改进的行为,然后马上调整训练来改进它。
There's this tight loop of we notice some pattern that's concerning or some behavior that could be improved, and then you sort of immediately change training so that you can improve on it.
太棒了。
Awesome.
我觉得Anthropic因为这件事挨了太多批评,这真的很不公平。
I feel like Anthropic gets so much flak for this that I feel like is so unfair.
Anthropic的官方公司名称好像是AI安全研究实验室之类的。
Anthropic's, I think, official company name is AI Safety Research Lab, something like that.
而且Anthropic成立的原因一直就是因为他们担心大家没有足够重视安全问题。
And it was always the reason Anthropic was founded is because they were afraid that people weren't taking safety seriously enough.
然后Dario总是在外面说,'这真的很危险。
And then Dario is always out there, "This is really dangerous.
我们得非常小心。
We got to be really careful.
我们得慢慢来。'
We got to go really slowly."
然后大家都觉得,'不,他这么说只是为了营销。
And everyone's just like, "No, he's just saying that for marketing reasons.
他是在想办法让大家给他们投资',诸如此类的。
He's trying to convince everyone to fund them," and all these things.
现在呢,就变成,等等,糟糕了。
And now it's like, wait, shit.
这真的很危险。
It's really dangerous.
我们得对这件事非常谨慎。
We got to be really thoughtful about this stuff.
我觉得Anthropic因此受到了很多不公平的批评。
And I feel like Anthropic's got a lot of unfair criticism for this.
我知道你们已经思考这个问题很久了。
And I know you guys have been thinking about this for a long time.
不知道,你们有什么想法吗?
I don't know, anything there?
很多行动,尤其是对齐团队采取的,我觉得Anthropic整体上也是,都是基于一个前提,那就是这项技术会持续大幅进步。
A lot of the sort of actions that certainly the alignment team takes and I think broadly Anthropic takes just kind of predicated on take the idea that this technology is going to keep improving seriously.
就是这样。
Just that's it.
因为如果你这么做,比如说把时间拨回25年或者24年,你会说:“嘿,我觉得几年后,Claude很可能基本上能像一位训练有素的软件工程师一样写代码。”
Because if you do and let's say you rewind the clock back to '25 or something, or '24, and you're like, "Hey, I think in a couple years, a good chance is that Claude can just basically write code as well as a trained software engineer.
再过几年,它能写得比任何工程师都好。
And a few years later, it can write it better than any engineer."
这里面总是有不确定性,比如,这什么时候会发生?
And there's always uncertainty with this, like, when is it going to happen?
可能性有多大?
How likely?
但如果你认真对待这件事,那么我认为,基于这种世界观,就是要做负责任的事情,对吧?
But if you kind of take that seriously, then I think it's just about doing the responsible thing conditioned on that worldview, right?
你会想,好吧,如果这真的会发生,那我们就得确保网络安全问题得到解决,诸如此类的事情。
You're like, okay, well, if this is happening, then we should make sure that cybersecurity concerns are addressed and things of that nature.
所以实际上,我有时觉得,这场辩论,当我觉得反对的人不同意时,我几乎感觉,啊,但我觉得他们并不真的相信这项技术会继续进步。
And so actually, I kind of think of it as, to me, sometimes this debate is almost when I feel like people on the other side disagree, it's almost like I feel like, ah, but I think they don't really believe that this technology's going to continue to improve.
那样的话,确实没那么可怕。
And then it's true that it's not that scary.
而且我觉得从经验上看,到目前为止进展速度很快,而且没有放缓的迹象。
And I think empirically so far the pace of progress has been fast and showing no sign of slowing down.
所以我觉得这就是为什么很多安全工作要继续做下去的原因。
So I think that's why a lot of the safety work is important to keep doing.
你觉得人们对AI安全这件事有什么误解?就是现在正在发生的这些事。
What's something you think people maybe misunderstand about this AI safety stuff, just what's going on right now?
有没有什么让你觉得“拜托,
Is there something you're just like, "Come on.
好吧,你需要知道的是这个。”
Okay, here's what you need to know."
有些东西你可能没注意到。
Here's something you may be missing.
这可能有点跑题,但我的看法是,很多我觉得可能稍微偏离核心AI安全工作、或者没有深入接触过的人,反应特别强烈,而且我觉得——可能不是特别有帮助,或者至少在我们思考更多的时候,就是这种拟人化的问题。
This might be a bit of a sidetrack, but my take would be that a lot of the thing that I think people maybe a little bit outside of the core sort of AI safety effort or that haven't been steeped in it for as long react really strongly to and I think- Is maybe not super helpful, or at least as we're thinking about more, is this sort of question of anthropomorphization.
你应该把模型看作更接近某个实体,还是更接近一个工具?
Should you model the model as something that's closer to some entity or closer to a tool?
其实我觉得这两种看法都不对。
And I actually think that both are wrong.
从某种意义上说,所有的心理模型都是错的,但有些是有用的,对吧?
There's a sense in which all mental models are wrong, but some are useful, right?
而且在理解发生的事情、预测可能出现的风险方面,去拟人化实际上是一种有用的方式来讨论大语言模型。
And that in terms of understanding the kind of stuff that happens and predicting the kind of risks that materialize, de-anthropomorphization is actually a useful way to talk about LLMs.
我有几个理由,希望你能深入探讨一下,但我觉得这可能是我的主要观点。
And I have a few reasons why, and I hope you get into them, but I think that's probably my main take here.
对,请分享吧,因为我知道Thor Cash,不知道是不是臭名昭著,他提出了那个著名的拥抱脸事件的故事,人们批评他拟人化AI。
Yeah, please share because I know Thor Cash famously, I don't know if infamously, put out this whole story of the hugging face incident, and people criticized them for anthropomorphizing AI.
所以听你说这实际上是一种有用的思考方式,真的很有意思。
So it's really interesting to hear you think that's actually a useful way to think about it.
再多谈谈这个。
Talk more about that.
有趣的是,在我研究大语言模型是否会提前规划时,规模小一些,当时“规划”这个词也遭到了一些反对。
It's funny because on a smaller scale when I worked on showing that LLMs plan ahead, there was some pushback on the term planning.
因为当时就有点像,啊,你能说一个只是预测下一个词的东西是在规划吗?
Again, because it was sort of like, ah, well can you really say that something that's just predicting next token is planning?
我觉得这里有一种语义上的争论,你可以随意定义术语,但问题是,哪个术语真正描述了正在发生的事情?
And I think there's this kind of semantic debate where you can arbitrarily define terms, and then there's just the what is the terminology that actually describes what is happening?
哪个词能真正准确地描述正在发生的事情?
What is the word that actually describes what is happening easily?
所以,这就是为什么我认为LLM在规划,但也是为什么我认为这种拟人化的语言往往非常有用。
And so here's why I think LLMs plan, but also here's why I think this language that's anthropomorphic can often be really useful.
回想一下我们之前说的关于模型是如何构建的。
If you think back to what we were saying about how the models are made.
首先,它们预测了大量由人类编写的文本。
First of all, they predict massive amounts of text written by humans.
这是第一步。
That's the first step.
而且随着我们通过观察内部结构学到越来越多,做好这件事需要建立一个对世界的模型,比如一个关于什么样的世界生成了所有这些文本的模型。
And as we kind of are learning more and more by looking inside, doing this well requires building up a model of the world, like a model of what kind of world generated all of these texts.
而且我们发现,这些模型确实在学习这些通用的想法和概念。
And we can find that these models are learning these general ideas, these general concepts.
这是第一点。
So that's one.
所以它们对世界有理解。
So they have an understanding of the world.
不仅仅是表面上的文字。
It's not just a surface level, only the text.
它们理解生成这些文字的过程。
They understand the process that made the texts.
然后还有第二个原因,就是在训练过程中,它们也接触到了大量的对话。
Then there's a second reason, which is that as part of this training, they also encounter millions of dialogues.
要预测对话中的下一个字符,就需要像对话中的角色那样去表现。
Predicting the next character in a dialogue requires behaving like the character in the dialogue would.
所以从这个意义上说,我认为它们训练的一部分,最好可以理解为是在训练一个演员。
And so in that sense, part of their training, I think can best be thought as training an actor.
它就像在读一个剧本,必须扮演所有角色,因为它要预测所有的台词,所以它得演好这个在第一幕被羞辱、第二幕复仇、第三幕面临后果的特定角色。
Where it's reading some play and it has to play all sides because it's predicting all the words, and so it has to sort of act as this specific character that was scorned in act one, and enacted revenge in act two, and is facing the consequences in act three.
要做好这一点,你需要理解那个角色的动机和感受。
And to do that well, you need to model what the motivations and the feelings of that character might be.
还有一件事大家可能不知道,当你和Claude对话时,比如你访问claude.ai,模型接收到的格式其实就是一段对话,就像你和模型之间的聊天记录。
And then another thing that people might not know is when you talk to Claude, when you talk to these assistants, like you go to claude.ai, the way that it's formatted to the model is just as a dialogue, as a conversation between you and the model.
所以它实际上写着:“人类:嘿,Claude,帮我写这封邮件。”
So it literally says, "Human: Hey, Claude, help me write this email."
然后,“助手:Claude的回答。”
And then, "Assistant: Claude's answer."
所以Claude实际上是在扮演一个乐于助人的助手,就像它训练时见过的那些对话一样。
So Claude is literally in this role-playing as a helpful assistant in this dialogue that is much like all of these dialogues that it's been trained on.
好的,还有第三个原因,那就是现在训练中很重要的一部分是面向结果的任务,比如训练模型擅长编程。
Okay, and there's a third reason, and the third reason is that another part of training that's a big part of training nowadays all around is sort of outcome-oriented tasks where you train the model to be good at coding, for example.
要做到这一点,你让它自由发挥,它写一些代码,然后你用一个程序来检查代码是否正确。
And to do that, you just have it do whatever it wants, and then it writes some code, and then you have some program on the other side that just checks if the code is right.
所以模型会面临很大的优化压力,迫使它尝试各种不同的策略来做好这件事。
And so the model's just going to have a bunch of optimization pressure to just try to learn a bunch of different strategies to do this well.
结果发现,其中一些策略会表现为看起来出奇地像人类的行为,这其实并不奇怪,因为像欺骗这类行为,比如,嘿,如果我写一个程序,能让验证它的程序上当,即使它并不完全符合要求,我就能得到这个任务的奖励。
And it turns out that some of these strategies materialize in behavior that can look surprisingly human, which isn't that shocking because things like deception, like, hey, I can get the reward for this task if I write a program that the program that's verifying it will get fooled by, even though it's not exactly what it is.
如果这招管用,那我就会学着这么做。
If that works, then I will learn to do that.
挫败感。
Frustration.
哈,我试这个办法已经有一阵子了,想解决这个难题。
Ha, I've been trying this approach for a while to solve this hard problem.
但一直没成功。
It's not working.
所以这就促使我去尝试别的办法。
So that's an incentive to try something different.
或者惊喜。
Or surprise.
哦,我本来以为会得到这个答案,但结果不是。
Oh, I was expecting this to produce this answer, but it didn't.
嗯,可能我对它的理解有误。
Hmm, maybe I have my mental model of it wrong.
所以当你给它施加足够的压力,而且模型一开始就已经掌握了所有这些概念,它就会强化那些对完成这些任务有用的策略。
And so as you apply enough pressure on it and you're starting from this prior of the model already knowing all these concepts, it's going to reinforce the ones that are useful to do all of these tasks.
那最后你会得到什么呢?
And so what do you get at the end?
你会得到一个非常擅长模拟或扮演所有这些角色的模型,它被训练成在对话中扮演角色,同时也学习那些能帮助它出色完成任务的行为。
You get this sort of model that can be a super good simulator or actor of all of these characters and that's been trained to act as a character in dialogues and also to learn behaviors that lead it to complete tasks well.
理解这个模型行为的最佳方式,不是把它看作一个真正的人,而是,天哪,它有点像在模仿人类,而且非常接近,比程序要接近得多。
And the best way to understand how that thing behaves is not exactly like a human, but man, kind of like something that's mimicking a human is really close and is much closer than a program.
程序是非常可预测的。
A program is a very predictive thing.
这完全是另一回事。
This is something else entirely.
所以我觉得这其实是一个非常实用的框架。
And so that's why I think it's actually a super useful frame.
哇。
Wow.
天哪,这里面有太多有意思的东西了。
Oh my God, there's so much interesting stuff there.
你多久会感到震惊,想到我们基本上创造了一个外星生物,而现在我们正试图理解我们创造出来的东西?
How often is your mind just kind of blown thinking about basically we've created this alien being that we are now trying to understand what we have created?
你观察的时候,多久会想:‘哇,这太疯狂了。
How often as you watch you're just like, "Wow, that's crazy.
我没想到会这样。’
I didn't expect that."
经常。
A lot.
这不过是在一堆文本上进行下一个词预测而已。
This is just next token prediction on a bunch of text.
这和我们很多直觉完全相反,我们总觉得要培养智能,得给它上课、慢慢带大、做各种复杂的事情,但事实完全不是这样。
It goes against so many of our intuitions for like, no, the way that you make an intelligence is you give it lessons, you bring it up, you do all this complicated stuff, and it's like, no, absolutely not.
我们做的就是这么简单的一件事。
We do this incredibly simple thing.
然而,它现在已经在数学领域取得突破了。
And yet, we're at the point where it's breaking new ground in mathematics.
我觉得如果你脑子里同时装着这两个想法,你会有两种反应。
I think if you hold these two thoughts in your head, there's two reactions you can have.
一种是否认,一种是好奇。否认就是觉得:这根本不可能。
There's denial and there's curiosity, where denial is just, "This is just not possible.
如果你只是预测下一个词,怎么可能比得上我们领域最顶尖的专家呢?
If all you're doing is predicting the next word, it's not possible that you could ever match the best specialists in our field."
而且我觉得,随着越来越多的实证证据表明事实就是这样,这种否认的立场会越来越站不住脚。
And I think that position just gets harder and harder as we get more empirical evidence that actually that is what's happening.
而好奇,大概就是我最终选择的那条路吧。
And curiosity is kind of the road I've ended up choosing, right?
就是觉得,这到底是怎么发生的?
Which is just like, well, how is this happening?
让我们打开看看。
Let's open up.
让我们看看里面。
Let's look inside.
我在Anthropic做的早期项目之一就是学SQL,一种编程语言,我花了好几年才掌握。
How could it be that one of the early projects I did at Anthropic is I learned SQL, a programming language, and it took me years to master.
然后作为一个小项目,我让Claude学SQL,结果它比我学得还好,而且我再也不可能在SQL上超过Claude了。
And then as a little side project, I got Claude to learn SQL, and it was better than me at it, and I'll never be better than Claude at SQL ever again.
而它只是通过这么简单的过程做到的。
And it took it just like this simple process.
这怎么可能呢?
How could this be?
我觉得这个问题里有很多值得深挖的地方,也有很多可以探索的,对我来说,每天试着去解开它,一层一层地剥开,真的非常吸引人。
And I think there's so much depth in that question and just so much to explore, and it's to me, so fascinating to just every day try to unpack that, try to sort of peel a few layers of the onions back.
好吧,很明显,这确实在发生。
Like, okay, well, clearly this is happening.
这么简单的目标,竟然能产生这么复杂的东西。
The simple objective is giving rise to this super complicated thing.
那好,我们就来弄清楚为什么。
Like, okay, let's figure out why.
我们来看看,哦,它是在学习这些通用概念。
Let's figure out, oh, it's learning these general concepts.
哦,它有这样的电路。
Oh, it has these circuits.
哦,好的。
Oh, okay.
下一个问题是什么?
What's the next question?
我们接下来不知道的是什么?
What's the next thing we don't know?
而且我可能最乐观的看法是,我觉得我们会学到很多关于智能本质的东西,对吧?
And my sort of maybe most optimistic take on this is that I think we're going to learn a lot about just the nature of intelligence itself, right?
就是关于如何从简单的目标中涌现出这种超级复杂的东西。
Of sort of how you get this super complex thing that emerges from simple objectives.
事实上,我认为我们就是另一个例子。
And in fact, I would argue that we're another example of this.
比如进化,目标很简单。
Like evolution, pretty simple objective.
你稍微折腾一下,保留那些能适应环境的生物,最后你得到了爵士乐和播客。
You sort of shake things around for a while and keep the organisms that manage to adapt to the environment, and at the end, you get jazz and podcasts.
这也挺疯狂的。
That's kind of crazy as well.
所以我觉得,通过研究这些东西,我们能学到一些根本性的真理。
And so I think there's a sense in which there's some fundamental truth that we can learn by studying these things.
哇。
Wow.
你这么说让我想到,现在有意思的是,AI正在帮助我们学习和进步,比如AI辅导之类的。
Something that comes up as you say that is what's interesting now is AI is helping us learn and progress, like AI tutoring and all these things.
有趣的是,它现在正在帮助我们加速对世界的理解。
Just it's interesting how it now is helping us accelerate our own understanding of the world.
我在想,你之前提到的我们学习的方式,AI也在学习,只是处理大量数据。
And I wonder if this point you made about how the way we learned was lessons, AI is learning, just processing a ton of data.
我在想,我们会不会最终改变教育体系,基于大语言模型训练的方式。
I wonder if that's how we end up-- I wonder if we change our education system based on what LLMs have been trained on.
希望我们不会仅仅为了让学生变成那样而改变教育,比如对他们说:"嘿,这里有1000个词。"
Hopefully, we don't change it just so that we get students and we're like, "Hey, here's 1,000 words.
"预测下一个词。"
Predict the next one."
全都读一遍。
Just read it all.
全记在脑子里。
Keep it all in your head.
对。
That's right.
让我回到安全这个话题,因为我觉得有很多人担心事情的发展方向。我很好奇,作为看着这一切发生的人,在对齐组织内部,看着它演变,你乐观地认为我们能解决这个问题吗?
Let me come back to this kind of safety piece because I think there's a lot of people that are just worried about where things are going, and I'm curious, just as someone watching this stuff happen, being within the alignment org, watching it evolve, are you optimistic we'll figure it out?
你觉得我们能破解这个难题,让AI保持与我们的利益一致吗?
Do you think we'll crack this and keep AI aligned with our interests?
我的看法是,我个人是乐观的。
My take on this is I'm personally optimistic.
我认为现在有很多人在关注这件事,首先,我觉得这是一件好事。
I think this is something where right now a lot of people are paying attention to it, and first of all, I think that's kind of a great thing.
我觉得像这样的问题受到越来越多的关注,正是我们之前讨论过的。
I think as an issue like this rises in prominence, it's exactly what we were talking about earlier.
就像这项技术很强大。
It's like this technology is powerful.
它有好处。
It has benefits.
它也有风险。
It has risks.
我们得不断调整,把资源从收益那边挪到风险这边,随着进展来回调配。
We have to kind of adapt and shift resources from benefits to risks and back and forth as it progresses.
所以对我来说,我觉得我们一直在持续研究这个问题。
And so, to me, I feel like sort of we've continued to study it.
有意思的是,随着模型变得更好,它们在某些方面反而更容易研究了。
The thing that's interesting is that as the models get better, they get in some ways easier to study.
所以就有这种奇怪的情况:模型变好了,它们内部的世界模型更清晰了,我们能更好地理解它们的一些部分,但同时它们也变得更强大,更能绕过基本的安全措施。
And so there's been this sort of strange, the models get better, and so the world model inside them is clearer, and we can sort of understand some parts of them better, but also they get more capable, and so they're more able to sort of evade basic measures of security.
所以随着模型变好,就有这种拉锯战,我觉得基本上根据这种拉锯,你需要把或多或少的资源分配到监控的不同部分、更好地理解它们的电路等等。
And so there's this push and pull as models get better, and I think basically based on this push and pull, you want to allocate more or less resources to sort of various parts of monitoring, understanding their circuits better, things like that.
但这也是为什么我很高兴和你聊天,因为我觉得要取得进展,最重要的事情之一就是确保人们理解这些系统是什么样的、它们如何工作、如何制造,这样他们就能对现在和未来形成好的心智模型,然后决定如何塑造它,无论是参与这些对齐工作,还是作为公众去投票和决定这些问题。
But it's also why I'm kind of happy to chat with you because one of the main things that I think is important to make progress is just to make sure that people kind of understand both what kind of systems these are, how they work, how they're made, so they can form good mental models of the present, of the future, and so they can decide how to shape it, whether that's taking part in some of these alignment efforts or just informing them as the public that's going to have to vote and decide on much of these issues.
我不知道。
I don't know.
正因为这个原因,我对我们现在所处的这个时刻感到非常兴奋。
I'm pretty excited for this current moment we're in for that reason.
还有一件事我觉得大家误解了,就是这些实验室里的人从一开始就非常认真地对待这个问题。
And something I think people misunderstand is people working in these labs have taken this problem very seriously from the beginning.
就像我说的,Anthropic最初的使命就是AI安全和对齐。
Like I said, Anthropic's initial mission was AI safety and alignment.
这也是它成立公司的原因。
That was the reason that it became a company.
很多人是第一次听说这个,或者觉得这不是一个严肃的研究领域,觉得没人关注,但其实很多聪明人都非常在乎这件事,并且正在努力。
And a lot of people are hearing this for the first time or think that it's not a serious area of study and that people aren't focused on it, but many smart people care a lot about this and are working on it.
据我所知,很多好的进展正在发生。
And from what I can tell, a lot of good progress is happening.
你提到的另一个观点是模型智能增长得非常平稳,这里一直有个问题:我们会不会经历快速起飞还是缓慢起飞?
The other point you made about the models growing very smoothly in intelligence, there's been this question of are we going to have a fast takeoff or a slow takeoff?
一直有这种担忧,就是我们会达到某个点,比如递归自我改进,然后它就突然起飞,变得超级智能,然后——麻烦大了。
There's always this fear that we would hit a point, recursive self-improvement, for example, and it just takes off, superintelligent, where- Huge trouble.
我们完全失控了。
We have no control.
它已经脱离控制了。
It's out of the box.
但现在感觉我们确实是在缓慢起飞的情景里,因为就像你说的,模型在平稳地进步,我们也在过程中不断发现小问题、学习、进化,并逐步制定监管措施。
But it feels very much like we're on the slow takeoff scenario because, as you said, the models are very smoothly improving and where we are catching the little things along the way, learning, evolving, putting regulation around it.
所以,在所有设想过的情景和人们曾经的担忧中,我们现在走的这条路算是相当不错的一条了。
So, of the scenarios, this feels like a pretty good path we're on of the many scenarios people imagined and the fears they had.
随着这种进步速度的演变,关键就是要快速应对。
As this pace of progress kind of evolves, it's just a matter of reacting quickly.
所以我觉得,任何事——这就是为什么我认为让公众知情很重要,因为这样人们就会表达他们的担忧或意见。
So I think anything-- That's why I think having people be informed is great because then people will voice concerns or voice their opinions.
然后,是的,定期评估收益是什么、风险是什么,以及如何分别应对,这基本上就是我认为正确的推进方式。
And then, yeah, sort of regularly evaluating what the benefits are, what the risks are, and how we mitigate each is basically the way that feels like the right way forward.
而且,是的,我同意你的看法,感觉现在确实有动力去做这件事,这很棒。
And, yeah, I kind of agree with you that it feels like there's momentum to do this right now, which is great.
我想问你个事,完全不相干的。
Something I wanted to ask you, completely unrelated.
你对模拟假说怎么看?
Where are you on the simulation hypothesis?
你看着这些生命形式不断成长,你是更相信我们活在模拟里,不是在最底层,还是不是?
Being someone that watches all this life form growing, are you more convinced we're in a simulation and we're not at the base layer of all this, or are you or not?
哦,这个问题有意思。
Oh, this is a fun one.
其实我好久没想过这个了。
I actually haven't thought about this in a while.
对我来说,观察这些模型内部会引出别的东西,就是它们似乎总是落在一个基本结构上。
To me, there's something else that looking inside these models kind of brings out, which is this sort of almost like there's a fundamental structure that they keep falling on.
这跟你的问题有关,我保证。
This is related to your question, I promise.
让我慢慢说。
Let me get to it.
让我解释一下。
Let me explain.
我研究过很多Claude模型,还有一些其他模型,包括一些开源的工作。
I've studied a bunch of Claude models and also some different models, some open source work.
很多时候,当你观察它们学到的东西和内部结构时,会发现出奇地相似。
And then a lot of time when you look at what they learn and what the structure inside is, it's surprisingly similar.
这些模型是相隔几年、由不同的人用不同的数据训练出来的。
And this is for models that are trained years apart on different data by different people.
然后你看它们怎么解决这些问题,重叠的地方太多了。
And you look at how they solve these problems, and there's just so much overlap.
我的看法是,对于一些重要的问题,往往只有一种高效的做法,对吧?
And my take on why that is, is that for some problems that are important, there's just one efficient way to do things, right?
比如数学,有一种高效的方式是符合我们大脑结构的,我们都这么学,很少有人会用完全不同的方式,对吧?
There's one way to do math efficiently that fits the structure of our brain, and we all learn it, and very few people are doing it a crazy different way, right?
大家都用十进制。
Everybody works in base 10.
没多少人用六进制什么的。
Not many people in base six or whatever.
我觉得这让我想到,这些模型捕捉到了一些信息的基本结构,我们在某种程度上也捕捉到了,而且在更疯狂的模拟层面上,这可能是我们世界中的一种规律。
I think that to me makes me think that there's some fundamental structure of information that these models are picking up on, that in some ways we're picking up on, and that at maybe a crazier sort of simulation level that kind of is regularity in our world.
所以这让我觉得,如果你有能力模拟像我们世界这样的东西,实际上你会得出类似的情况。
And so that maybe makes me think that if you were to have the power to simulate something like our world, actually, you would land in sort of a similar situation.
事情最终会落在一个盆地里,它们只是最容易排列的方式。
There's just this basin of where things end up, and they're just the easiest way for things to arrange themselves.
所以从这个意义上说,也许吧。
And so in that sense, maybe.
我可以相信我们生活在模拟中。
I could believe that we're in a simulation.
但我不确定我完全相信这一点。
I think I'm not sure I fully buy it.
我不完全相信的另一个原因是,即使我认为这种结构适合模拟,也会有一个问题:为什么?
The other reason I don't fully buy it is that even though I think the structure lends itself to it, there'd be a question of why?
谁在运行这个,目的是什么?
Who's running this and for what?
这个我就不清楚了。
And that one I don't know about.
嗯,埃隆说过一句话让我印象深刻,他说如果你要运行一个模拟,那应该是一个历史上很有趣的时期,或者是你非常兴奋的时代。
Well, something Elon said that stuck with me about this, that if you were to run a simulation, it'd be an interesting time in history or something that you're really excited about.
而且确实,我们现在这个时代在历史上非常有意思。
And it tracks that this is a very interesting time in history.
对。
Yes.
好。
Okay.
说得有道理。
That's a fair point.
我们有太空数据中心、机器人和人工智能。
We're data centers in space and robots and artificial intelligence.
好的。
Okay.
我现在明白了。
I see it now.
最近有人跟我说,他们以前觉得“愿你生活在有趣的时代”是一句祝福,但现在他们不那么确定了。
Somebody recently told me they used to think that may you live in interesting times was like a blessing, and they're not so sure now.
他们说:“嗯,平淡的日子也挺好的。”
They're like, "Eh, the boring times are pretty good too."
天哪。
Oh, man.
而且还有一个Emmanuel在J空间里看着你的思考过程。
And then there's an Emmanuel out there watching your thinking process in your J space.
我的天。
Oh my God.
希望我没让他失望。
Hopefully, I'm making him proud.
他不会说,"哦,我得重新跑一遍模拟。
He's not like, "Oh, I got to rerun the simulation.
我们搞砸了这个。"
We messed up this one."
关掉它。
Shut it down.
不。
No.
天哪。
Oh, man.
好吧。
Okay.
最后随便问一个问题。
One last question randomly out of nowhere.
就是Swix,他负责AI工程,还主持Latent Space播客,人特别好。
So Swix, who runs AI Engineering, Latent Space podcast, awesome guy.
我问了他该问你什么问题。
I asked him what to ask you.
你一年前上过他的播客。
You were on his podcast a year ago.
然后完全从另一个角度出发。
And something completely from a different direction.
他想听听你对Jev的看法,这是一个最近推出的热门新模型,决策速度非常快。
He wanted to get your take on Jev, which is this hot new model that recently came out that is very fast making decisions.
有意思的是,OpenAI大约一周后也推出了自己的版本。
OpenAI, funny enough, just launched their own version like a week later.
你对Jev在快速决策状态模型领域的看法是什么?
Thoughts on Jev in the space of quick decision-based state models.
我对Jev的看法是,这类模型你给它们一些上下文,再给它们几个选项去选,它们就能很快帮你选一个。
So my take on Jev is these kind of models, you give them some context, and you give them a few options to choose between, and they just are very quick at choosing an option for you.
对我来说,听到这个不可能不联想到系统一思维和系统二思维,对吧?
To me, it's impossible not to hear about this and think of system one thinking versus system two or something, right?
所以,我研究这些模型时,很多是关于它们如何用Claude模型采样一个token。
So, like a lot of what I've studied with these models is how they sample one token with the Claude models.
所以,你可以把这些决策模型看作是很相似的。
And so, you can think of these decision models as pretty similar.
所以,拿一个LLM,然后采样一个token。
So, take an LLM and sample one token.
它们在重要方面有所不同,但在基本层面上,你可以说,哦,你不是让模型去采样和推理。
They're different in important ways, but at a fundamental level, you can be like, oh, you're not letting the model sample and reason.
这就像你的直觉。
It's just your gut feeling.
答案是A还是B?
Is the answer A or is the answer B?
对我来说,这似乎是一个普遍框架,有时候你只需要一个二元决策,或者从十个里面选一个,这显然都很有用,而且我猜这可能会成为智能系统的一部分,对吧?
To me, that seems like that general frame of sometimes you'll just want a binary decision or one out of 10 or whatever is just clearly both clearly useful, and something that I imagine is probably going to be a part of intelligent systems, right?
因为有些事情你需要思考很长时间。
Where for some stuff you need to think about a long time.
就像,我们明年的路线图是什么?
It's like, what's our roadmap for the next year?
你需要思考一会儿。
You need to think about for a while.
然后对于某些事情,比如给我们写评论的这个人,他是高兴还是不高兴?
And then for some stuff where it's like, is this person who wrote us a review happy or upset?
你对这种直觉判断感到满意。
You're happy with the sort of gut judgment.
所以是的,我觉得这类研究很酷,而且我觉得它也有点不同于——这是对我们见过的某些LLM的一种新颖看法。
So yeah, I think this kind of research is cool, and I think it's also kind of different from the-- It's a bit of a novel take on some of the LLMs we've seen.
所以是的,我很期待这类东西的发展。
So yeah, I'm pretty excited to see where this kind of stuff goes.
所以我听到的是,这很可能成为AI和LLM的一个新的基础组件。
So what I'm hearing here is this kind of going to be a new foundational component, most likely of AI and LLMs.
而系统一和系统二的概念基本上就是卡尼曼的那种——我身后其实就有那本书。
And the system one, system two stuff is basically Kahneman's kind of-- I have that book up there actually behind me.
简单来说,系统一就是你的杏仁核和边缘系统,做那种本能的快速判断,比如看到蛇就喊“有蛇!”
System one, just to keep it simple, is just your kind of your amygdala limbic system making just gut level quick decisions like, "Snake.
“哎呀,不好。”
Oh, no."
对。
Yes.
这种时候你根本不用多想。
Where you don't have to think long about it.
它的作用就是让你能轻松又快速地避开危险。
It's kind of to protect you from bad things really easily and quickly.
而系统二呢,是我们真正深入思考和处理问题的时候。
And system two is where we really think about stuff and process.
对,没错。
Yeah, exactly.
好嘞。
Sweet.
伊曼纽尔,我们还有什么没聊到的吗?
Emmanuel, is there anything else that we haven't covered?
你还有什么想说的或者想提的吗?
Anything else you want to say or mention?
在我们进入激动人心的快问快答环节之前,你有没有什么想再强调一下的?
Anything you want to double down on before we get to our very exciting lightning round?
我确实一直很好奇大家怎么看待那些还没解释清楚或者不太合理的地方。
I'm definitely curious for folks' takes always on some of the stuff that is still an export or didn't make sense.
还有很多可解释性实验,我们没时间一一分享。
There's a lot more interp experiments than we have the time to share.
模型身上有很多奇怪的小特点。
Models have a bunch of weird little things about them.
如果可以的话,我可能想在快问快答环节里聊聊这些奇怪的小特点。
Maybe I'll do a lightning round of weird little things if that's okay.
那就来吧。
Let's do it.
当然可以。
Absolutely.
好的。
Okay.
第一个奇怪的小发现。
Weird little thing one.
我们发现模型显然能回答问题。
We found that models can actually answer questions obviously.
它们能做数学题,或者你可以问它们,比如“香蕉是什么颜色?”
They can do math or you can ask them like, "What's the color of a banana?"
而且如果你深入观察,你会看到所有这些中间步骤。
And they'll actually, if you look inside you'll see all these intermediate steps.
但它们还有一个独立的机制,有点像直觉检查,而且完全不同。
But they have a separate mechanism which is kind of like a gut check and which is totally different.
这个机制就像在它们推理时,有一部分会标记出“嗯,有点不对劲。”
And which is just like as they reason, they'll have some part of them that will flag like, "Hmm, something's wrong."
所以,如果模型不知怎么地说4加5等于23之类的,而模型的一部分只是读到这个结果,并没有去做计算。
So if a model somehow says 4 plus 5 equals 23 or something, and there's a part of the model that just reads that and doesn't do the math.
但它就是觉得这不对,因为4加5肯定小于10。
But it's just like that can't be right because 4 plus 5, definitely under 10.
所以它们就学会了这些奇怪的直觉。
And so they learn these weird kind of hunches.
感觉就像是一种直觉。
They feel like kind of like a hunch.
另一个例子是,你可以告诉模型:“嘿,做这个任务,同时想想另一件事。”
Maybe another one is you can tell the model, "Hey, do this task and think about this other thing."
然后你可以用可解释性分析看看是否有中间表示对应到那另一件事,结果确实有。
And then you can use interp to see if there's intermediate representations that map to the other thing, and that works.
你就能看到它确实在思考那另一件事。
You sort of see that it does think about the other thing.
这对我来说真的很神秘,因为从训练的角度看,没有理由让模型必须学会这个。
This is a thing that's really mysterious to me because there's no kind of training reason why the model would have to learn that.
所以这算是另一种奇怪的行为。
So it's sort of like another one of these weird behaviors.
其实我可能就讲这两个例子吧。
And actually maybe I'll keep it at two.
我觉得这两个已经够说明问题了。
I think those two are good enough.
这工作真有意思。
Just what a fun job this is.
就是研究这东西,想搞清楚到底怎么回事。
Just studying this thing and trying to understand what the hell's going on.
它怎么变得这么聪明,它是怎么思考的?
How is it getting the smart, how does it think?
有多少-
How many-
确实
Very much
……
...
这个领域到底有多少人在做?
people are even in this space?
这个领域到底有多大?
Just how large is this field?
这个领域本身已经相当大了。
The field itself is getting pretty large.
我觉得大概有几百人,而不是几千人。
I would say maybe hundreds, not thousands.
不同的实验室里有不同的可解释性研究人员,学术界也有不少实验室在产出优秀的工作。
There's different interp people at the different labs, and then there's in academia quite a few labs putting out great work.
如果有人想进入这个领域,通常是从机器学习背景来的,还是有类似神经科学家的路径可以进入?
If someone were to get into this space, is it like an ML person usually or is there like a neuroscientist sort of track to get into this?
实际上,前神经科学家的数量相当惊人。
There's actually a surprising amount of ex-neuroscientists.
我觉得要进入这个领域,其实不需要太多先验知识,因为它太新了。
I do think in order to get in the field, it doesn't require a lot of prior knowledge because it's such a new field.
所以实际上,入门主要是自学和读一些关键论文。
So it's actually the on-ramp is mostly I would say self-studying and reading some of the key papers.
然后,其实我可能应该推荐一下。
And then there's actually maybe I should give a plug.
有个网站叫neuripdia.org,我记得是这个网址,它有点像开源的解释性研究平台。
There's actually websites like neuripdia.org I think is the URL, which are sort of like open source interp.
他们托管了很多模型,让你可以在上面做解释性实验。
So they host a bunch of models and let you sort of do interp experiments on them.
所以很多人就自己去做这些,我觉得有太多东西可以探索了。
And so people have just been doing that on their own, and I think that there's so much to explore.
如果你哪怕有一点点好奇,就应该去试试。
That if you're at all curious, you should just give it a try.
那太棒了。
That's awesome.
我们会在节目笔记里放上链接,以防那个网址不对。
We'll link to that in the show notes in case that's not the right URL.
好的。
Cool.
好了,Emmanuel,我们到了激动人心的快问快答环节。
Well, Emmanuel, with that we've reached our very exciting lightning round.
我有五个问题要问你。
I've got five questions for you.
准备好了吗?
Are you ready?
我随时都准备好了。
I am as ready as I'll ever be.
那我们开始吧。
Here we go.
你经常推荐给别人两三本书是什么?
What are two or three books that you find yourself recommending most to other people?
我最近读的一本是《智能简史》。
One I read recently and is "A Brief History of Intelligence."
这本书特别棒,它讲述了大脑的发展历程,以及我们进化过程中五个关键时刻,这些时刻让大脑系统一层层叠加起来。
It's this really cool book that walks through the history of basically brains and five key moments in our evolution that sort of bootstrapped these brain systems on top of one another.
这本书非常通俗易懂。
It's super accessible.
你不需要任何神经科学知识就能读懂。
You don't need any neuroscience knowledge or anything.
另一本是《你一生的故事》。
Another one is "Story of Your Life and Others."
这是特德·姜写的。
This is Ted Chiang.
这大概是我有史以来最喜欢的科幻小说了。
This is maybe my favorite sci-fi book of all time.
它是一本短篇小说集。
It's a bunch of short stories.
我觉得它做到了科幻小说的最高境界,就是只取一个奇怪的想法,比如如果这件事发生了会怎样?
It does what I think is the high art version of sci-fi where it's just take one weird idea like what if this happened?
然后围绕这个假设,写一个故事,描绘如果那真的发生了,世界会变成什么样。
And then write a story of just what would the world look like if that happened.
真的非常精彩。
It's truly excellent.
我想我身后的书架上也有这本书。
I think I have that in my bookshelf behind me too.
我也强烈推荐那本。
Also highly recommend that one.
最近最喜欢的电影或电视剧是什么?
Favorite recent movie or TV show?
好的。
Okay.
一部是大家都知道的,一部是比较冷门的。
One popular one, one deep cut.
《着迷》是我今年最喜欢的电影。
"Obsession" was my favorite movie of the year.
这是一部恐怖片,所以如果你讨厌恐怖片就别去看。
It's a horror movie so don't go if you hate horror movies.
但如果你——
But if you-
不了,谢谢。
No, thank you.
哦,不。即使你不是那种——如果你对恐怖片持开放态度,你应该去看,因为它真的太新颖了。
Oh, no. Even if you're not scream-- If you're open to a horror movie you should go because it was just so fresh.
你知道,我觉得如果你看过很多电影,有时候你会想:“哦,又是那种。”
You know how movies I feel like if you've seen a lot sometimes you're like, "Oh, it's another.
“这种我看过很多次了。”
I've seen this many times."
这部片子就是那么新颖,那么新鲜。
This one was just so new, so fresh.
我想说的一点是,它用了很多浪漫喜剧的套路,但反过来把它们变成了恐怖元素。
And I'll say one thing about it, which is that it takes a lot of rom-com tropes and subverts them to instead be spooky.
我觉得这种拍电影的方式真的很聪明。
And I think that that's just a brilliant way to make a movie.
然后我是法国人,所以今年有一部电视剧叫《Bref 2》播出了。
And then I'm French, so there's a TV show that came out this year called "Bref 2."
Bref 在法语里就是“简短”的意思。
Bref is French for brief.
Bref 在十年前、十五年前是法国的一部邪典经典,现在他们出了续集。
Brief used to be this cult classic in France 10, 15 years ago, and they came up with a sequel.
这部续集筹备了很多年,现在可以看了。
Many years in the making and you can watch it.
我有几个美国朋友都看过了。
I have a bunch of American friends that have watched it.
它有字幕,而且非常新颖,真的。
It's got subtitles, and it's just this incredibly, again, it's novel.
剪辑特别厉害。
The editing is crazy.
他们真的非常有创意,而且每集都很短。
They are just extremely creative, and it's very short.
所以我推荐这个。
So I would recommend that.
你最近发现的最喜欢的产品是什么?
Favorite product you recently discovered that you love?
我很喜欢我的苹果手表,但我不喜欢它每天都要充电。
I love my Apple Watch, and I hate that it charges or I have to charge every day.
所以我最近买了苹果手表Ultra,天哪,那真是太棒了。
So I bought the Apple Watch Ultra just recently, and man, that is so nice.
如果你曾经因为这么好的产品却不知道怎么给它配个好电池而烦恼,那么,事实证明,如果你把它做大一点,电池续航就会更好。
If you've ever been frustrated by this good product that somehow we can't figure out how to give a good battery to, well, it turns out if you make it bigger, the battery's better.
所以我对这个很满意。
So I've been happy with that.
你有没有一个经常在生活或工作中想起的人生座右铭?
Do you have a favorite life motto that you find yourself coming back to often in work or in life?
有一本非虚构类的书,可能是我最喜欢的一本。
There's one nonfiction book that really is probably my favorite ever.
书名是《四千周》。
It's "Four Thousand Weeks."
里面有很多我觉得很棒的内容。
It has a lot in it that I think is cool.
其中一个特别触动我的观点是,那种“等我终于……”的心态很常见,但其实挺有害的。
One of the cool things is this sort of thing that was really relevant to me, which is that the when I finally mentality is a common mentality, and it's kind of toxic.
这是什么意思呢?
So what does that mean?
就是说,等我终于把待办事项都清空了,我才能真正放松下来。
It's sort of this like, when I finally check off all the items on my to-do list, I'll finally be able to chill.
等我终于结婚了,我就会幸福了。
When I finally get married, I'll be happy.
等我终于升职了。
When I finally get a promotion.
然后这有点像你刚才说的冥想,对吧?
And then this is sort of, I mean, you were talking about meditation, right?
这几乎和冥想相反,因为归根结底,你的生活就是你在当下经历的所有时刻,你应该尽量活在当下,而不是把自己投射到一个看似更好的未来。
This is almost the opposite of meditation and that at the end of the day, your life is all of the moments you lived in the moment, and that there's this sense in which you should just try to always be in the moment and not projecting yourself towards a future that seems better.
可能如果你告诉自己,等我终于做了某件事,我就会开心。
Probably if you're telling yourself, when I finally do X, I'll be happy.
当你真的做了那件事,你并不会开心。
When you do X, you will not be happy.
有没有更好的说法,还是说就别这么想?
Is there a better phrase to use or is it just don't do that?
他们有没有说——
Do they say-
我不知道。
I don't know.
我觉得对我来说——
I think to me-
等我今天忙完的时候
When I'm through today
……积极的说法就是活在当下,对吧?
... the positive version is be in the moment, right?
就是珍惜当下。
It's just like I appreciate the moment.
我最近读了一篇博客文章,哦,我忘了。
There was a blog post recently I read that was, oh, I forget.
大意就是享受三明治,我觉得就是这个意思。
It was something like enjoy the sandwich I think is literally the sense.
不知道你有没有看过,就是有人说,对,你在吃三明治。
I don't know if you saw this or it was like somebody was like, yeah, you're eating a sandwich.
你已经吃过很多三明治了。
You've eaten many sandwiches.
就好好享受三明治吧。
Just enjoy the sandwich.
你在开团队会议。
You're in a team meeting.
对,你开过很多次了。
Yeah, you've been in many.
就沉浸其中,别老想着下一件事。
Be in it and sort of not looking towards the next thing.
我以前参加过一回冥想静修。
I did a meditation retreat once.
那是个十天的静默静修,吃饭也是安静的,没人说话。
It was a 10-day silent retreat where you eat silently, too, and no one's talking.
你就坐在那儿吃饭,我记得自己剥一个鸡蛋剥了五分钟,就注意每一片蛋壳,还有那股味道,要进入那种状态很难,但确实——
You just sit there and eat your food and I just remember peeling an egg for five minutes and just noticing every shell piece and just the smell of it all and it's hard to get into that mode, but it's-
……那是个很有意思的境界,在那儿一切都很有意思。
... such an interesting place to be where everything is just interesting.
哇——
Like wow-
是的
Yes
……这个鸡蛋,而不是嘴里随便塞点东西。
... this egg versus just like stuff in my mouth.
你左手刷着Slack,同时还在听播客。
While you're on Slack with your left hand and listening to a podcast at the same time.
天哪。
Oh, man.
好,最后一个问题。
Okay, final question.
你整天研究AI。
You study AI all day.
你观察AI是怎么思考的。
You're watching AI, how it thinks.
如果AI能看透你的大脑,它会发现什么让人惊讶的事?
If an AI were to look inside your brain, what would be surprising?
它会看到什么让人意想不到的东西?
What would it see that might surprise people?
那肯定是我最深、最黑暗的秘密。
I mean, surely my deepest, darkest secrets.
但那些是——
But what are the-
那我们就来聊聊吧。
Let's get into it.
那我们就来聊聊吧。
Let's get into it.
哎呀。
Oh, man.
我一直有点爱开玩笑,这既是我的生活方式,也是我应对事情的方式。
I've always been a bit of a jokester, or that's just both how I live and how I cope.
我就是觉得,即使在严肃的场合,你也应该尽量带点轻松的气氛。所以我觉得如果你看到我的大脑,你肯定会惊讶,因为基本上在任何时刻,我脑子里都在想一些好笑的事情。
I just think that even in serious situations, you should aim to kind of have some levity and so I think if you looked inside my brain, you'd definitely be surprised that basically at any given moment, I'm just focusing on some random thing that is funny.
我在开严肃的会议时,会突然想,哦,对,但你穿这个奇怪的东西是不是有点奇怪?
I'll be in a serious meeting and I'll be like, "Oh, yeah, but isn't it kind of random that you're whatever, wearing this random thing or something?"
就是我有这些侵入性的想法,平时都压着,但通常都是些烂笑话,有时候,就像你今天听到的,不幸的是,它们就冒出来了。
It's just like I have these intrusive thoughts that I keep out, but that are all usually just bad jokes and sometimes, as you've heard today, unfortunately, they come out.
所以为那些道歉,但那可能是最让人惊讶的地方。
So I'm sorry for those, but that's probably the most surprising thing.
我喜欢这个。
I love that.
Emmanuel,非常感谢你来做客。
Emmanuel, thank you so much for being here.
最后一个问题,听众怎么才能帮到你?
Final question, how can listeners be useful to you?
就是做一些解释工作,读读关于模型是怎么运作的。
Just do some interp, read about how the models work.
你提到了Dorker的帖子。
You mentioned Dorker's thread up.
我觉得那个帖子也很棒。
I think it was great as well.
我觉得这个领域,不管是可解释性还是AI和LLM,都太新了,所以大家参与进来、了解情况,肯定是有好处的。
I think this is such a new field, both interp and AI and LLMs, and I think it just benefits from people engaging and being informed.
所以多读点东西吧。
So read things.
如果你还想了解更多关于这些模型的工作原理,而我们还没搞明白的地方,你可以联系我。
If there's more that you would want to know about how these models work that we haven't figured out, you can reach out to me.
我在很多社交平台上都有账号。
I'm on a variety of social platforms.
你大概可以在X上找到我。
Probably you can reach out to me on X.
我们会在节目里放一些你们发布的视频链接,那些视频讲了很多我们今天聊的内容,比如J space之类的。
And we'll link to some of the videos that you guys have put out that describe a lot of the stuff we've been talking about, like J space and things like that.
你们团队做的那些视频真的很棒。
There's some really beautiful videos your team has made.
我不知道是谁做的,但真的很好看。
I don't know who does that, but they're really cool.
我们和设计团队合作,所以这些好看的视频功劳都是他们的。
We partner with our design team, so all credit goes to them for the cool videos.
太棒了。
Amazing.
好的。
All right.
好的,再次感谢你,Emmanuel。
Well, thank you again, Emmanuel.
非常感谢你来做这个。
Thank you so much for doing this.
这真的太棒了。
This was amazing.
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