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是什么让你有信心去做一件以前没人做过的事?
What made you confident that you could do something that hadn't been done before?
我根本不怕失败。
I have no fear of failure.
那些开拓先河、改变规则的女性。
Trailblazing women changing the game.
我其中一个
One of my
关于最推荐的建议,想想你的老板的老板需要什么。
favorite pieces of advice, think about what your boss's boss needs.
领导力的表现形式多种多样。
Leadership can look in many, many different forms.
归根结底,就是信任你自己。
It really does come down to just trusting yourself.
人生苦短,而且
Life is short, and
想做成大事,就得有大格局。
you just gotta think big to accomplish big things.
朱莉娅·布斯坦主持CNBC的《变革者》和《权力人物》。
Julia Boorstin hosts CNBC Changemakers and Power Players.
每周二更新新一期节目,各大播客平台都能收听。
New episodes every Tuesday wherever you get your podcasts.
我的目标很简单:帮你赚钱。
My mission is simple, to make you money.
我要为所有投资者创造公平的机会。
I'm here to level the playing field for all investors.
总有一个牛市在某个地方等着你,我保证帮你找到它。
There's always a bull market somewhere, and I promise to help you find it.
《疯狂金钱》现在开始。
Mad Money starts now.
你好。
Hey.
我是克莱默。
I'm Cramer.
欢迎来到《疯狂金钱》。
Welcome to Mad Money.
欢迎来到克莱默的节目。
Welcome to Cramer.
我会和我的朋友们一起主持。
I'll be with my friends.
我就是想帮你们赚钱。
I'm just trying to make you some money.
我的工作不只是逗你们开心,更要让你们学到东西。
My job is not just to entertain, but to educate you.
所以随时给我打电话。
So call me.
180743。
180743.
在推特上关注我,账号是Jim Cramer。
Tweet me at Jim Cramer.
美光科技,欢迎加入万亿美元俱乐部。
Micron, welcome to the trillion dollar club.
你们生产的高带宽内存芯片,是数据中心最需要的那种。
You make the best high bandwidth memory chips, the kind that go into the data center.
难怪今天它的市值突破了一万亿美元,今年至今涨幅超过200%,仅今天一天就涨了19%,就因为一份对它未来四年前景非常看好的研究报告。
No wonder its market cap touched a trillion dollars today, up more than 200% so far this year, including a 19% gain just today on a very bullish research note about its four year prospects.
美光现在已经是美国第十大公司,正处在历史上最激动人心的牛市之中。
Micron is now the tenth largest company in America, part of the most emotional exciting bull market in history.
不过今天其实没涨多少。
Although, not that much today.
我的意思是,道指跌了118点,但标普500涨了0.61%。
I mean, Dow dipped a 118, but the S and P advanced point 61%.
而以半导体股为主的纳斯达克,则上涨了1.19%。
And then, Nasdaq filled with semiconductors gained 1.19%.
美光只是众多正在冲击万亿市值门槛的半导体公司之一。
Micron's one of many semiconductor companies that have been knocking on the trillion dollar door.
这次它突然爆发,是因为内存行业一向是周期性波动,但这次的繁荣似乎停不下来。
It caught fire this time because memory was always a boom and bust business, but this time the boom seems unrelenting.
公司由沉稳内敛的桑杰·梅赫罗特拉掌舵,他当然不是我们节目的常客了。
It's run by the contemplative Sanjay Mehrotra, no stranger to our show, of course.
他为人谦逊,作风低调。
He's self effacing and low key.
说实话,我之前对美光前景的宣传,比他可积极多了。
I know I've been far more promotional than he has about Micron's prospects.
最终,这是一场翻天覆地的转变,所以有些分析师认为,以现在的价格来看,美光依然被低估,我们也确实有充分的理由支持这个观点。
In the end, it's been a monumental transformation, which is why some analysts say Micron's still cheap at these prices, and there's a rigorous case we made that that's true.
要知道,想挤进这个万亿俱乐部,可没那么容易。
And look, it's not easy breaking into this trillion dollar club.
那我们为什么要做这些呢?
Why do we do this?
咱们来看看另外十家,让你有个概念。
Let's look at the other 10 members so you know.
先从全球最大的公司说起,没错,就是英伟达。
Let's start with the world's largest company, and that is, yes, NVIDIA.
它上个季度业绩表现极佳,但股价还是跌了。
It reported a fabulous quarter last week, yet its stock went down anyway.
这位王者在财报公布时,已经开始跟不上节奏了。
The king has indeed begun to underperform when it reports.
过去四个季度,它每次发布财报股价都往下走。
It's traded lower on earnings the last four quarters.
你想想看?
Imagine?
不过在季度内,它的表现依然强劲,尽管在半导体市场火热的背景下,英伟达今年涨幅也只有15%。
But then it performed strongly intra quarter, although in a red hot semiconductor market, NVIDIA's own only up 15% for the year.
它拥有最顶尖的AI技术,但光有这个已经不够了。
It's got the best AI technology that's no longer enough.
我认为这家公司应该效仿苹果公司前首席财务官卢卡·迈斯特的做法,调整现金管理策略,大量回购股票并持续提高股息。
I believe the company needs to pivot its cash management strategy more toward Apple under previous CFO, Luca Meister, where it bought back a huge amount of stock while boosting its dividend consistently.
那时候,苹果的流通股数量减少了三分之一。
Back then, Apple shrank its share count by a third.
现在,英伟达可能已经走上了同样的路。
Now, NVIDIA may be on that path already.
他们宣布了每股25美分的股息。
They announced a 25¢ dividend.
这相当于之前股息的25倍,而且是按季度发放的。
That's 25 times their previous one, and they it's a quarterly dividend.
他们还把股票回购授权额度增加了800亿美元。
And they added $80,000,000,000 to its buyback authorization.
我觉得他们得明确说,这以后就是常态了。
I think they may need to say that this is the new normal.
否则,他们可能很难吸引到足够的新买家。
Otherwise, they might not be able to attract enough new buyers.
它还应该减持一些股票组合中涨幅最大的持仓,以腾出更多资金。
It should also trim some of the biggest winners in its stock portfolio for additional firepower.
最坏的情况是,如果所有主要机构都已经持有英伟达的股票——这我经常听到——那公司最后只能自己买自己。
Worst case scenario, if all the major accounts already own NVIDIA stock, that's what I keep hearing, then the company ends up buying it by itself.
我觉得这是资本配置的绝佳方式。
I think that is a fabulous use of capital.
下一个该轮到 Alphabet 了。
Next member of the club, Alphabet.
这里有很多值得看好之处。
Oh, there's a lot to like here.
YouTube 是全球最大的视频平台,远超那些自动驾驶汽车公司。
YouTube, the largest video company in the world, way more than everyone's self driving car.
它有搜索业务,包括谷歌和 Gemini,还有谷歌云,这是我最想押注的项目。
It it search including Google and Gemini and Google Cloud, which is the best horse that I want to bet on.
多个收入来源,估值也更高。
Multiple revenue streams, higher price.
注意了。
Look out.
英伟达。
NVIDIA.
第三,苹果。
Third, Apple.
明白了。
Okay.
它的硬件是最好的。
It's got the best hardware.
它现在还拿下了顶尖的AI平台Gemini——这是谷歌的自然延伸,而且谷歌每年付给苹果巨额费用,让它成为主打搜索产品。
It's now snared one of the best AI platforms with Gemini, the logical extension of Google, which pays Apple a fortune, by the way, to be the marquee search product.
以前大家觉得苹果在AI上落后了。
Now Apple was thought to be behind in AI.
我问你个问题。
Let me ask you.
尽管报纸上写了那么多,你有没有因为这些消息换过手机品牌?
For all the stuff that you read in the papers, did you ever switch your handset to another company because of that?
当然没有。
Of course not.
现在他们的Siri已经变得非常聪明,而且还在越来越智能。
Now they have a very smart Siri that's getting smarter and smarter.
苹果的东西,不到近乎完美是不会推出的。
Nothing comes out of Apple unless it's near perfect.
他们相信,这种坚持已经带来了股价持续上涨和大量赞誉。
They believe that's been paying off with an ever higher stock price and a lot of acclaim.
接下来这一个可就难了。
Now here's a tough one.
微软,算是个温和的选手。
This is softy, Microsoft.
它的云业务确实不错,但被企业软件拖了后腿,华尔街也不太买账它的AI产品Copilot。
That's terrific cloud business, but it's weighed down by enterprise software and Wall Street disdains its AI product Copilot.
那为什么我的慈善信托还持有它的股票呢?
So then why does my charitable trust still own it?
我上大学就是为了变傻吗?
Did I go to college to get stupid?
怎么可能。
Hardly.
因为我们实在不相信微软会解决不了这些问题。
Because we simply cannot believe that Microsoft won't fix things.
它有的是钱。
It has so much money.
它有的是聪明人。
It has so many smart people.
我必须相信他们能想出办法。
I have to believe they can figure it out.
如果他们真做不到,那股价就只能跌了。
If they can't, then the stock will have to go.
这件事我们明天中午在CNBC投资俱乐部的电话会上再聊。
Something we will discuss tomorrow at our noon call for CNBC investing club.
对了,希望你也来参加。
Hey, by the way, I hope you join us.
俱乐部现在有超值的四美元优惠活动。
The club's got this great $4 deals.
优惠一直持续到明天下午。
It stands till tomorrow afternoon.
我们能直接加入吗?
Can we just join?
第五点,亚马逊,连我以前都误解了。
Number five, Amazon misunderstood even by me.
现在我彻底信了,这公司真的没得说。
Now I've become a you know, I'm a huge believer of this one.
他们靠Prime、AWS、广告,现在又进军半导体,单这一块就能做成五百亿美元的生意。
They've been cleaning up with Prime, with Amazon Web Services, with advertising, and now with semiconductors, which could be a $50,000,000,000 stand alone business.
谢谢安迪·贾西CEO为我做了解释。
Thank you, Andy Jassy, CEO, for explaining it to me.
上周我说亚马逊自研的芯片不像视频那样保值,我错了。
Now last week, I said that Amazon's own chips don't hold their value unlike a video.
我之前说错了。
I got that wrong.
这些新芯片肯定能在好几年里保持价值。
The new chips actually most certainly will hold their value for several years.
跟视频差不多,但价格更低。
Pretty similar to videos, but for a lower price.
这点得提一下。
Gotta point it out.
我觉得这可能就是英伟达股价停滞,而亚马逊股价持续攀升的原因之一。
I think that's one reason why NVIDIA stock is actually stalled while Amazon stock has been going ever higher.
第六个是博通。
Six is Broadcom.
这个公司很低调,你根本看不到它的名字出现在任何地方。
Now this is a sleeper because you don't see its name anywhere.
它为谷歌、Meta、字节跳动、Anthropic定制芯片,连Anthropic也买谷歌的芯片。
It makes custom chips for Google, Meta, ByteDance, Anthropic, which buys Google's chips too.
博通自己还做企业软件业务,叫VMware,是通往云端的重要入口之一。
Broadcom also has its own enterprise software business called VMware, gateway to the cloud among other things.
CEO黄仁勋是个非常精明的商人,总能不断拿下新客户。
CEO, Hak Tan, is a shrewd businessman who constantly get new clients.
他正是我们一直坚定持有博通股票的关键原因,不管市场怎么波动。
He's a big reason why we've stuck with Broadcom thick and thin for the travel trust wrecking up some big games.
第七家是特斯拉。
Seven is Tesla.
提到特斯拉,大家第一反应是汽车,但真正该关注的是自动驾驶和机器人,这才是未来增长的核心动力。
When we think of Tesla, we think of cars, but we really should be thinking about self driving vehicles and robots, which will be the big growth engines.
很多人觉得马斯克会把公司和即将上市的SpaceX合并,因为SpaceX有双重股权结构,能让他摆脱外界的干扰和特斯拉那些不满的股东。
Lots of people think that Elon Musk will merge his company with a soon to come public SpaceX, where he has a dual class structure that that would allow him to break away from the noise and unhappy Tesla shareholder base.
如果他真这么做了,我也能理解。
I don't blame him if he does it.
接下来两家公司得操心怎么保住万亿估值,留在前十名里。
The next two companies need to worry about keeping their trillionaire status and staying in the top 10.
一个是Meta Platforms,另一个是伯克希尔·哈撒韦。
There's Meta Platforms and Berkshire Hathaway.
我们现在也不太清楚Meta除了Facebook、Instagram、眼镜、AI和WhatsApp之外,到底在搞什么名堂。
Now we just aren't sure what Meta is doing beyond what it's doing beyond that Facebook and Instagram, eyeglasses, AI, WhatsApp.
不过这些产品本身已经挺强大的了。
Now that that's actually a pretty powerful suite of products.
我不是这个意思。
Not saying that.
但这家公司没在明面上做出什么亮眼的成绩,至少没让人觉得它像以前那样在印钞票。
But the company has not excelled in a visible way, at least not in a way that makes Meta seem like it's printing money the way it used to.
我们知道他们砸了不少人才进去。
We know they're spending a lot of talent.
我们知道他们总能不断拿出新招来。
We know that they've been able to pull multiple rabbits out of the multiple hats.
但现在大家只看你最近有什么表现。
But we're in a what have you done for lately business?
而答案是,什么都没有。
And the answer here is nada.
嘿,鲍勃,Pulling Up the Mirror 是一家保险和再保险公司,拥有非常稳健的管理层,旗下还掌握着不少优质资产,涉及油气和铁路领域。
Hey, Bob, pulling up the mirror is an insurance and reinsurance company with a very solid leader who has a lot of other good properties, much in oil and gas and in a railroad.
这其实才是伯克希尔·哈撒韦如今真正的核心所在。
That is the last what Berkshire Hathaway really comes down to.
沃伦·巴菲特退休后,投资者可能会对持有这只股票失去兴趣。
Now that Warren Buffett has stepped down, people are gonna get bored with owning this stock.
唯一还能让他们继续持有的原因,就是不想缴纳资本利得税。
And the only thing that's really gonna keep him in there is that they don't wanna pay the capital gains tax.
等到真要卖出的时候,这才不得不面对。
When they bring the register, that's what you have to do.
我喜欢这种多元化的业务布局,但很多人买这只股票,主要是因为信奉巴菲特。
I like the mosaic of businesses, but a lot of people are in this stock because they believe in Buffett.
所以他们可能也想跟着他一起退休。
So they might actually want to retire along with him.
这是美国第十一大的公司,天哪,比美光还小,但市值还是刚过一万亿美元。
Upon the eleventh largest US company, holy cow, Smaller than Micron, but still just over 1,000,000,000,000.
礼来制药这几年增长迅猛,靠的是GLP-1类药物在糖尿病和减重方面的出色表现。
Eli Lilly, the drugmaker that's seen huge growth at scale in recent years because of the strength of the GLP dash one drugs for diabetes and weight loss.
尽管已经很好了,但礼来的故事还在不断变好。
But as good as it's been, the Lilly story somehow continues to improve.
这周我们得知,他们推出了一款新的减重药。
This week, we learned that it's got this new weight loss drug.
叫Retrutide,Retrutide,在三期临床试验中效果非常显著。
It's called retrutide, retrutide, which was very effective in phase three trials.
它能有效分解脂肪,却不损伤肌肉。
Seems to be able to bust fat, not muscle.
不过公司并没有宣传或声称这一点。
Although that's not what the company is hailing or claiming.
上周末,另一项基因疗法在降低胆固醇方面展现了出色的数据。
And over the weekend, a separate gene therapy treatment showed great data when it comes to reducing cholesterol.
这就是为什么它是唯一一家获得万亿美元估值的医疗公司。
Now there's a reason this is is the only health care company to earn a trillion dollar valuation.
管理能力太出色了。
Brilliant management.
我之前没提海外股票,但如果你想了解全球情况,我来补充一下。
Now I left out the foreign stocks, but let me mention them if you wanna think about the whole world.
我来帮你意识到一件事,它其实主导了整个局势。
I'll help it'll I'll help you realize something that's controlling much of the movie.
现在沙特阿美在整体榜单上排到了第八位。
Now Saudi ramp goes number eight on the broader list.
好了。
Alright.
但台积电排第五。
But Taiwan Semi's fifth.
三星排第十一。
Samsung is number 11.
SK海力士排第十五。
SK Hynix is number 15.
台积电、三星、SK都是半导体领域的公司。
Taiwan semi, Samsung, SK are all semiconductor plays.
很高兴能帮上忙。
It's a pleasure.
就像美光、英伟达、ProCore,甚至像亚马逊这样的公司。
Like Micron, like Nvidia, like ProCon, even like Amazon outfit.
在人工智能领域,华尔街对硬件的热爱不亚于软件,就像曾经炙手可热的Zscaler,但今晚它让人失望了。
In the world of AI, Wall Street's fallen in love with hardware just like software, like the one stock the the once wet hot stock of Zscaler, which disappointed this furry evening.
与此同时,今年还有三家大型公司即将上市,可能一登场就直接加入这个行列。
Meanwhile, we've got three big IPOs coming this year that could potentially join the club right out of the gate.
有SpaceX、Anthropic和OpenAI,关于SpaceX的事待会儿再说。
There's SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, and more on SpaceX later.
这背后真正的启示是什么?
What's the real takeaway here?
说到底,我们正站在一个新时代的门槛上,我觉得,现在加入万亿俱乐部可能比过去容易多了——以前那俱乐部可不收外人。
The bottom line is that we're on the verge of a new era where I think the trillion dog club may be a heck of a lot easier to join than in the old days when the club excluded the riffraff.
AI彻底改变了游戏规则。
AI has changed the order of things.
不是的。
No.
这并不是在贬值。
It's not being debased.
而是它正变得越来越开放,这本来就应该如此。
It's just becoming more inclusive as it should be.
罗伯特,纽约的罗伯特。
Robert New York, Robert.
吉姆,吉姆,我有个好消息要告诉你,今天我加入了这个投资俱乐部。
Jim, Jim, I have some very good news that today I joined the investment club.
我上了CNBC官网,其实我本来不用这么做,因为我可以直接打电话找你,但你真得时刻关注吉姆·克莱默,这人选股票太准了——我就是通过CNBC官网加入的。
I went to c n b c dot com, and I and I don't have to because I have access to you on the phone, but you gotta have constant access to Jim Cramer because this guy has picked I joined at cnbc.com.
他们现在有个超值优惠活动。
They have a great special.
全美国的人都应该
Everybody in America's gotta get
去关注克莱默。
access to Cramer.
来自纽约的罗伯特在问,这要花多少钱?
Robert from New York is like, how much is it?
我们不给罗伯特付钱。
We do not pay Robert.
当然不付。
No.
不是。
No.
不是。
No.
我不是。
I'm not.
他付了多少钱?
How much did he pay?
不是。
No.
没人给他钱。
Nobody pays him.
零。
Zero.
我和你聊天真的很开心,吉姆,但我更享受知道你在说什么
I love speaking with you, Jim, but I love having I know what you're talking
谢谢。
Thank you.
好了,咱们走吧。
Anyway, let's go.
咱们一起赚钱吧。
Let's make money together.
接下来这家公司是全美最大的住宅开发商之一。
This next company next company is one of the biggest home builders in the country.
他们专注于高端住宅项目,包括独栋别墅、高档公寓和适老化社区。
They focus on luxury residential properties, including single family homes, upscale condos, and active adult communities.
我到现在还持有它的股票。
I still own it.
我觉得这家公司很稳健。
I think it's a solid company.
现在利率这么高,我可没对托尔兄弟公司疯狂追涨。
I'm not, you know, crazy right now with the interest rates, Toll Brothers.
天哪。
Oh my God.
你上周有见到道格吗?他是执行董事长。
Did you did you see Doug yearly, executive chairman on last week?
这家伙真是什么都想明白了。
Man, he's got it all figured out.
我觉得他干得特别棒。
I think he's doing a terrific job.
我还没结束回答问题,不过可不能再像罗伯特那样咄咄逼人了。
You know, I'm not done taking questions, although they can't be as abusive as Robert was.
其实我已经结束了,刚才我们确实像罗伯特那样太较真了。
Actually, am done and we were really abusive as Robert is.
好了。
Alright.
我觉得美光进入万亿美元俱乐部,正是我们这个新时代的标志,因为人工智能彻底改变了原有的格局。
I think Micron's entrance into the trillion dollar club is the sign of the new year we're in because AI has changed the old order of things.
今晚的《疯狂金钱》聚焦SpaceX,你们问了,我这就给你们带来。
Mad Money tonight, SpaceX, you ask, I delivered.
下个月就要发布了。
Set to come up with next month.
我会全面分析这家公司的关键信息,先从财务数据说起。
I'm breaking down everything you need to know about the company starting with its financials.
接着深入探讨SpaceX的增长机会,最后再分享我提前对这家公司的看法。
Then I'll do a deep dive into SpaceX's growth opportunities before I share where I come down on the company ahead of time.
没错。
Yep.
Bridge今年第二次入选颠覆者50强榜单。
And Bridge just named the same as the disruptor 50 list for the second year in a row.
我从CEO那里了解到这家公司更多亮点,希望你的医生也会用它。
I'm learning more about what the company has to offer from its CEO, and I hope your doctor uses it.
别走开,继续关注克雷默。
I want you to stay with Cramer.
别错过《疯狂金钱》的任何一秒钟。
Don't miss a second of Mad Money.
在X上关注吉姆·克拉默。
Follow at Jim Cramer on x.
有什么问题吗?
Have a question?
给克拉默发推文。
Tweet Cramer.
使用标签 #madmentions。
Hashtag mad mentions.
给吉姆发邮件至 madmoney@CNBC.com,或者拨打 180743 联系我们。
Send Jim an email to madmoney@CNBC.com, or give us a call at 180743.
漏掉了什么内容?
Missed something?
去 madmoney.cnbc.com 查看。
Head to madmoney.cnbc.com.
是什么让你有信心去完成一件从前没人做过的事?
What made you confident that you could do something that hadn't been done before?
我从来不害怕失败。
I have no fear of failure.
开创先河的女性,正在改变游戏规则。
Trailblazing women changing the game.
我最欣赏的一条建议是:想想你老板的老板需要什么。
One of my favorite pieces of advice, think about what your boss's boss needs.
领导力可以有千百种不同的表现形式。
Leadership can look in many, many different forms.
归根结底,还是要相信自己。
It really does come down to just trusting yourself.
人生短暂,
Life is short, and
要想做成大事,就得有大格局。
you just gotta think big to accomplish big things.
朱莉娅·布斯坦主持CNBC的《变革者》和《权力人物》。
Julia Boorstin hosts CNBC Changemakers and Power Players.
新一期每周二上线,各大播客平台都能收听。
New episodes every Tuesday wherever you get your podcasts.
上周我们拿到了SpaceX的IPO招股说明书,这家火箭和卫星公司即将在两周多后,也就是6月12日上市,这份文件非常值得细读。
Last week, we got our hands on the SpaceX IPO prospectus, and it's important read with the rocket and satellite company looking to come public in a little over two weeks, June 12.
我一再跟你们说过,我对即将到来的超级交易感到担忧。
I've told you repeatedly that I'm worried about the mega deals in the horizon.
SpaceX、OpenAI和Anthropic,这三家公司中的任何一家,放在过去都足以成为史上最大规模的IPO,也肯定能跻身我刚才提到的前十名之列。
SpaceX as well as OpenAI and Anthropic, any one of which would previously have been the largest IPO in history and would certainly put these companies within the top 10 I just talked about.
我最担心的是,它们会把市场上的资金全部吸走,导致其他板块全面承压。
My main fear is that they will suck all of the money out of the rest of the market causing weakness throughout.
但归根结底,这些公司还是应该凭实力说话。
But in the end, these companies deserve to be judged on the merits.
所以今晚,我想详细聊聊SpaceX的财务状况。
And that's why tonight, I wanna go over SpaceX financials.
广告之后,我会把视角拉远,给你讲讲让华尔街对这家公司如此兴奋的完整看涨逻辑。
Then after the break, I'm gonna zoom out and give you the big picture bull thesis that's got Wall Street so excited about this one.
坦白说,这些数字其实并不算亮眼,尤其是考虑到这家公司目前已经获得的估值水平。
Full disclosure, the numbers here are not very impressive, especially when you consider the kind of valuation this company's already getting.
这些年来,SpaceX 的业务变得越来越复杂。
SpaceX has gotten complicated over the years.
除了火箭业务,他们还运营着星链卫星互联网,以及埃隆·马斯克的 AI 平台 xAI,后者还拥有以前叫 Twitter 的社交平台。
In addition to the rocket business, they've got Starlink for satellite Internet and Elon Musk's AI platform, x AI, which also owns the social network formerly known as Twitter.
SpaceX 的营收从 2023 年的 104 亿美元,增长到 2024 年的 140 亿美元,再到去年的 187 亿美元。
SpaceX's revenue has grown from 10,400,000,000 in 2023 to 14,000,000,000 in 2024 to 18,700,000,000 last year.
但今年第一季度,它的营收增速只有 154%,相比去年明显放缓了。
In the first quarter of this year, it's posted just 154% revenue growth, though, and that's a major deceleration from last year.
对于一家目标市值高达两万亿美元的公司来说,这点收入实在不算多。
That's not much revenue for a company that's eyeing a $2,000,000,000,000 market capitalization.
就算市场对它疯狂追捧,要达到那个估值也依然非常困难。
Or even if people go nuts for this one, it'd still be difficult to get there.
如果只看过去十二个月的销售额,SpaceX的收入介于180亿美元的 Dollar Tree 和410亿美元的 Ameriprise Financial 之间。
If you just look at the last twelve months, SpaceX sales fall somewhere between in between Dollar Tree, that's an $18,000,000,000 company, and Ameriprise Financial of $41,000,000,000 company.
按2万亿美元的估值计算,SpaceX的市销率高达100倍,这简直贵得离谱,更别提比刚才提到的那两家公司还要夸张了。
At $2,000,000,000,000, SpaceX should be trading at roughly 100 times trailing twelve month sales, which is crazy expensive, even as a lot less prosaic than the two companies I just mentioned.
接下来是盈利的问题。
Then there's the question of profitability.
按照最严格的会计准则,SpaceX目前正处于亏损状态。
Using the strictest GAAP numbers, SpaceX is currently losing money.
今年第一季度,它的运营亏损达19亿美元,净亏损更是高达43亿美元。
They had an operating loss of 1,900,000,000 in the first quarter and net loss of $4,300,000,000.
不过,如果用更宽松的息税折旧摊销前利润指标——这在SpaceX这种资本密集型行业里是常规做法——情况就会好很多。
However, using the more charitable earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization numbers, which is standard for a capital intensive business like SpaceX, Then you get a better story.
过去几年,这家公司的EBITDA增长非常强劲。
This company is putting up tremendous EBITDA growth for the last few years.
但今年第一季度,这个关键指标同比下滑了近35%。
But in the first quarter of this year, this properly metric was down nearly 35% versus the previous year.
当然,这本来就是一个业绩波动很大的行业。
Of course, this is an inherently lumpy business.
他们做了几笔大收购,所以很难判断最近EBITDA下滑到底意味着什么。
It's made some big acquisitions, so it's really hard to tell how much we should read into the recent EBITDA shrinkage.
还有别的吗?
What else?
尽管SpaceX的资产负债表相当健康,甚至在IPO融到六百到八百亿美金后会更加完美,但它的现金消耗速度却像醉汉一样疯狂。
Even though SpaceX has a pretty clean balance sheet, one that should be pristine after it raises 60 to $80,000,000,000 in the IPO, it's also burning cash like a drunken sailor.
公司的自由现金流从2023年的略微正数,跌到了2024年的负五百四十亿,去年更是跌到了负一千四百亿。
The company's free cash flow is going from slightly positive in 2023 to down 5,400,000,000 in 2024 to down 14,000,000,000 last year.
而今年第一季度,他们的自由现金流更是达到了负九百一十亿。
And in the first quarter, their free cash flow came in at negative 9,100,000,000.
这简直糟糕透顶,而且趋势明显在恶化。
That is downright hideous, certainly going in the wrong direction.
为什么?
Why?
因为SpaceX正在大力投资人工智能基础设施和星舰发射计划。
Because SpaceX is investing heavily in AI infrastructure and its Starship launch program.
真正的问题在于,这些投入是否值得花这么大的成本。
The real question is whether those investments are worth the cost.
那我们来逐一分析一下。
So let's do this.
我们把公司的各个业务板块分开来看。
Let's take each part of the business separately.
航天业务是SpaceX的核心,主要依靠可重复使用的火箭,为政府和私营企业提供建设发射服务。
The space division is SpaceX's bread and butter, basically using reusable rockets to offer for hire launches to both the government and to the private sector.
通信业务就是星链。
The connectivity business is Starlink.
也就是能在地球上最偏远地区也能使用的卫星互联网服务。
Think satellite internet service available even in the most remote locations in Earth.
最后一个是人工智能板块,包括xAI的计算基础设施、公司的AI模型Grok,还有那个前身为Twitter的平台x。
Finally, the last business segment is AI, which includes x AI's compute infrastructure, as well as the company's AI model, Grok, and of course x, the platform formerly known as Twitter.
过去几年,航天业务的入轨总质量一直在稳步增长。
The space segment has been able to steadily grow its mass to orbit over the past couple years.
也就是实际被送入太空的载荷重量。
That's the amount of weight it's physically bringing into space.
去年,SpaceX占了全球入轨运输总量的80%,而且还在持续上升。
Last year, SpaceX represent 80% of global mass to orbit transportation, and it's still growing steadily.
情况非常乐观。
Very positive.
我们正在关注航天业务的两个关键点。
There are two things that we're watching for the space business.
首先,它的收入增长似乎有所放缓。
First, its revenue growth seems to be slowing a bit.
过去几年,年增长率一直保持在个位数高位。
For the last few years, it's grown at a high single digit clip.
今年第一季度,却下降了28%。
In the first quarter of this year, it was down 28%.
这行生意的收入波动很大。
Again, this is a lumpy business.
其次,航天部门的盈利能力明显下滑了。
Second, the space division's taken a turn for the worse in terms of profitability.
去年他们的息税折旧摊销前利润几乎腰斩,今年第一季度更是出现了亏损。
Their EBITDA was nearly cut in half last year, and it came in negative during the first quarter of twenty twenty six.
这主要是因为星舰项目试飞的成本太高了。
Thanks to the cost of their Starship program test flights.
接下来是星链业务。
Next, there's Starlink.
明白了。
Okay.
目前来看,星链无疑是SpaceX最亮眼的部分。
Now this is by far the most attractive part of the SpaceX mosaic, at least at the moment.
自2023年以来,星链的用户数量增长了四倍多。
The number of Starlink subscribers has more than quadrupled just since 2023.
去年连接业务的收入增长了50%,今年第一季度又提升了32%。
Connectivity revenue was up fifth 50% last year, and in the first quarter of this year, it was up 32%.
这一切都来自用户数量的增长。
That's all from subscriber growth.
最重要的是,连接业务的利润持续攀升,最近一个季度的EBITDA增长了29%。
Most importantly, the profits from the connectivity segment have steadily grown, including 29% EBITDA growth in the latest quarter.
虽然这比去年86%的增速慢了不少,但依然非常可观。
While that's a slowdown from last year's 86% clip, it's still pretty impressive.
星链是推动SpaceX整体发展的核心动力,公司正在大力投资人工智能和太空探索。
Starlink's the engine that powers all of SpaceX as the company invest heavily in AI and space exploration.
你要明白,当你投资SpaceX时——这点非常关键——你实际上买的是星链,外加一堆目前还在亏钱、未来未必能盈利的项目。
You could argue that when you buy SpaceX, and this is really important, you gotta know this, you're getting Starlink and then a bunch of money losers that may or may not pay off in the future.
我在这里说得直白一点。
I'm trying to be stark here.
我尽量保持客观冷静。
I'm trying to be really clinical.
最后,说到亏钱的业务,就得提AI板块了。
Finally, speaking of money losers, there's the AI segment.
目前这还是个无底洞。
Right now, it's a money pit.
2025年,SpaceX的AI业务收入达到了32亿美元,同比增长了22%。
SpaceX did get $3,200,000,000 in revenue from the AI business in 2025, up 22% year over year.
第一季度收入增长了13%,几乎全部来自X平台的广告销售和订阅服务。
And it had 13% revenue growth in the first quarter, nearly all of which is either from selling ads on x or selling subscriptions.
但更关键的是,和整个行业一样,X AI的亏损也在急剧扩大。
But the bigger story is that the losses have ballooned for x AI like everyone else in the industry.
他们大量投入数据中心建设,这严重拖累了财务表现。
They've been spending heavily on data centers and that's put a real dent in the numbers.
当然,埃隆·马斯克认为,AI业务占了SpaceX未来整个潜在市场的绝大部分。
Of course, Elon Musk views the AI business as the vast majority of SpaceX's future total addressable market or TAM.
所以,他愿意承担这些投资也就不足为奇了。
So presumably, he's happy to make these investments.
但说实话,目前这事儿花的钱真是多得吓人。
But man, for the time being, this is proving to be a very expensive endeavor.
顺便说一下,SpaceX在上市招股书里确实把三大业务板块的资本支出都单独列出来了。
By the way, in its IPO prospectus, SpaceX does break out as capital expenditures across its three divisions.
明白吧?
Okay?
他们的总资本支出从2023年的44亿美元,涨到了去年的207亿,而今年第一季度 alone 就花了101亿。
Their total capital x expenditure has gone from 4,400,000,000 in 2023 to 20,700,000,000 last year and 10,100,000,000 just the first quarter alone.
这笔钱主要花在太空业务的星舰项目上,尤其是第一季度在x AI上的AI投入。
Now that's mostly from the Starship project in the space business and especially the AI investments at x AI in the first quarter.
他们在AI上的开支同比暴涨了三倍多,达到77亿美元。
Their AI spending more than tripled year over year to 7,700,000,000.
跟其他公司一样,烧钱烧得厉害。
Expensive like everybody else.
我说得可能比你想象的还细,但如果你真想参与这笔投资,这些信息你必须得清楚。
That in more detail than than it's probably more than you ever wanted, but you must know if you're going to put in for the deal.
这是SpaceX的基本财务概况。
It's the basic financial overview for SpaceX.
你必须了解这些。
You must know this.
至少现在这家公司的样子就是这样。
At least it's what the business looks like right now.
如果你还没注意到这一点,那我就直说了。
And if you haven't picked up on this point, I'll say it explicitly.
光从数字来看,很难解释为什么SpaceX能值两万亿美元。
Purely from the numbers, it's very difficult to justify giving SpaceX a $2,000,000,000,000 valuation.
但关键是,私人市场的人愿意出高价,我猜公开市场他们也会继续买单。
But the bottom line is that people have been willing to pay up in the private markets, and I bet they'll pay up in the public funds.
为什么呢?
Why?
广告后回来,我接着讲SpaceX的完整故事。
Stick around after the break, and I'll explain the rest of the SpaceX story.
那些无法用表格里的数字完全体现的部分。
The part that can't be captured by the four walls of the spreadsheet canvas.
那些足以让人心动的理由,哪怕算不上真正的投资价值。
The part that can justify the sizzle, if not the stake of the offering.
广告之后,《疯狂金钱》继续为您带来精彩内容。
Mad Money is back after the break.
接下来,克拉默将继续分析SpaceX的IPO招股说明书,寻找能鼓舞潜在投资者的亮点。
Coming up, Cramer's continuing his breakdown of SpaceX's IPO prospectus and searching for the good news to encourage potential investors.
下一条。
Next.
是什么让你相信自己能做成前人没做到的事?
What made you confident that you could do something that hadn't been done before?
我从不害怕失败。
I have no fear of failure.
开拓进取的女性,正在重塑行业格局。
Trailblazing women changing the game.
我最喜欢的一条建议是:想想你的老板的老板需要什么。
One of my favorite pieces of advice, think about what your boss's boss needs.
领导力可以有各种各样的表现形式。
Leadership can look in many, many different forms.
归根结底,还是要相信自己。
It really does come down to just trusting yourself.
人生短暂,
Life is short, and
要想做成大事,就得有大格局。
you just gotta think big to accomplish big things.
朱莉娅·博尔森主持CNBC的《变革者》和《权力人物》。
Julia Borson hosts CNBC Changemakers and Power Players.
新节目每周二上线,各大播客平台都能收听。
New episodes every Tuesday wherever you get your podcasts.
广告前我深入分析了SpaceX的IPO说明书。
Before the break, I dug into the SpaceX IPO prospectus.
展开剩余字幕(还有 406 条)
你瞧。
Look.
不管从哪个角度看,一家亏损但增长尚可的公司,估值两万亿美元都实在难以说通。
By any stretch of the imagination, very hard to justify $2,000,000,000,000 valuation for a money losing company with decent growth.
可大家对这件事却异常兴奋。
Yet people are incredibly excited about this thing.
有些人甚至觉得它还能值更多,而我接下来要说的,正是有道理的理由。
Some think it could be worth even more than that, and for the good reasons I'm about to give you.
因为,光看数字是不够的。
See, there's more than just the numbers in this perspective.
SpaceX本质上是马斯克的载体,它的价值不在于财务报表,而在于对未来的宏大构想。
SpaceX is an Elon Musk vehicle, and that means it's all about the story, about a vision for the future.
如果你真信这个愿景,那两万亿美元的估值,似乎也没那么离谱。
If you believe in that vision, $2,000,000,000,000, it doesn't seem that unreasonable.
从一开始,SpaceX的使命就是打造实现人类多星球生存所需的系统与技术。
From the very start, SpaceX elicits mission as building quote, the systems and technologies necessary to make life multi planetary, end quote.
所以你看,这份文件充满了乐观情绪。
So you can see this document is one of great optimism.
他们甚至放了一张图表,提到高达28.5万亿美元的潜在市场规模。
They even included a chart that talked about a 28,500,000,000,000 total addressable market.
不过批评者指出,这几乎相当于去年美国全年GDP的规模了。
Although as critics pointed out, that's nearly the size of The entire US GDP last year.
不过我就不深入细究这些细节了,因为对这件事来说,这些其实不是重点。
Now I don't wanna get into the details too thick though because that's almost beside the point with this one.
简而言之,SpaceX相信,只要持续投入人工智能,就能赚得盆满钵满。
Long story short, SpaceX believes it can make a fortune as long as it keeps investing mainly in artificial intelligence.
招股书里列出了大量长期增长机会,涵盖航天、星链和人工智能,比如在太空中部署数据中心,利用太阳能为高耗能的数据中心提供巨大优势。
The prospectus list a ton of different long term great growth opportunities in space, in Starlink, in AI, where they're talking about deploying data centers in space where solar energy can create a real edge over terrestrial data centers with huge power demands.
但我更关心的是他们近期的计划。
But I'm more interested in their near term plans.
其中有三项特别让SpaceX眼下显得很有吸引力。
There are three in particular that makes SpaceX relatively enticing right now.
首先,我们聊聊星舰计划,这是SpaceX在研发比现有火箭大得多的可重复使用运载工具。
First, let's talk about the Starship program, which is SpaceX's effort to create a much larger reusable rocket than their current product line.
它的目标是能把100公吨的载荷送到地球轨道,然后还能顺利返回地面。
The idea is that this thing will be able to deliver 100 metric tons to Earth's orbit and then come right back down.
这几乎是他们现有最重火箭运力的两倍。
That's nearly double their heaviest existing rocket.
想象一下,未来不久他们甚至可能把运力提升到200公吨。
Imagine believes they can get to 200 metric tons in the not too distant future.
是的。
Hey.
上星期五,他们刚完成了星舰的第十二次试飞,基本达成了所有预定目标。
They just did the twelfth test for Starship last Friday, one that hit most of its targets.
计划是这些火箭将在今年下半年正式投入使用。
The plan is that these will go into operation sometime in the second half of the year.
如果SpaceX真能按时实现这个目标,那对他们目前增长放缓的航天业务来说,将是一次重大突破。
If SpaceX can really make that deadline, that'll be a major boom for their slowing space division.
招股说明书中提到的第二个近期增长机会,是SpaceX最近宣布的一项协议:将位于孟菲斯的、搭载NVIDIA芯片的数据中心算力租赁给Anthropic。
The second near term growth opportunity mentioned in the prospectus is SpaceX's recently announced deal to lease some of its NVIDIA powered data center capacity in Memphis to Anthropic.
据报道,Anthropic同意从现在到2029年5月,每月支付12.5亿美元,获得使用这些算力的权利,而算力将在五月和六月逐步增加,期间费用会有所降低。
Apparently, Anthropic agreed to pay SpaceX $1,250,000,000 per month through May 2029 to the right to use its compute with capacity ramping in May and June for reduced fee.
换句话说,SpaceX的AI业务去年收入为32亿美元,现在每年可能额外增加150亿美元的收入。
In other words, SpaceX's AI segment, which had $3,200,000,000 in revenue last year, could see an incremental $15,000,000,000 in revenue per year.
SpaceX还表示,从几乎立刻开始,他们预计还会签订更多类似的增值服务合同。
Starting almost immediately, SpaceX also said that they, quote, expect to enter to additional similar services contracts, end quote.
这些举措让SpaceX正在打造一个类似亚马逊云和谷歌云的超大规模云服务商业务。
All this amounts to a new hyperscaler like business for SpaceX similar to Amazon Web Services and Google Cloud.
仅这一项与Anthropic的合作,就彻底改变了AI部门的盈利模式,让它从一个烧钱的窟窿,变成了真正的赚钱机器。
This anthropic deal alone dramatically changes the economics of the AI division, to actually transform it from a money pit to a money maker.
我们还从招股书中了解到第三个近期动向,就是SpaceX与Cursor公司的合作。
The third near term effort that we got more details on the perspectives of SpaceX's deal with Cursor.
Cursor是一家AI初创公司,用户只需用简单的文字指令,就能让系统自动生成软件代码。
That's an AI startup that lets clients write software code through simple text prompts.
这跟Claude Code有点像,或者你可能听说过OpenAI的Codex。
It's kind of similar to Claude code or you might have heard of OpenAI's codex.
今年四月底,SpaceX和Cursor宣布达成合作:Cursor赋予SpaceX以600亿美元股票收购它的权利,如果SpaceX决定不收购,也可以直接支付100亿美元。
In late April, SpaceX and Cursor announced a deal to work together with Cursor giving SpaceX the right to acquire them for $60,000,000,000 in stock, or they could simply pay $10,000,000,000 in case SpaceX decides not to pull the trigger.
协议的核心是SpaceX将为Cursor提供特定的GPU集群算力,并合作优化现有模型,包括Rock,还可能共同开发AI模型及相关专属产品。
The main part of the agreement is that SpaceX will quote, provide Cursor with certain GPU cluster compute capacity and collaborate to improve existing models, including rock and potentially jointly develop AI models and related model specific deliverables or products end quote.
简单说,SpaceX给Cursor提供算力。
Basically, SpaceX gives Cursor compute.
作为回报,SpaceX能用Cursor的技术来改进Rock,双方还能一起打造其他AI产品。
And in return, it gets to use Cursor's technology to improve rock and Cursor create other AI products together.
接下来一两个月,我们大概就能知道SpaceX会不会正式收购了。
We'll probably know whether SpaceX wants to go ahead with the acquisition in the next month or two.
那这会怎么改变整个故事呢?
Now, how would that change the story?
Cursor是一家备受认可的公司。
Well, Cursor is a very well regarded company.
此外,收购 Cursor 会大幅提升 SpaceX 在顶级 AI 实验室中的地位,这一点非常关键。
In addition, Cursor would boost x AI status amongst the leading AI labs, which really matters.
当然,六百亿美元这笔钱,对大公司来说根本不算什么。
Of course, $60,000,000,000 knocks out the small chunk of change.
不过这会是全股票交易,不会影响 SpaceX 的现金储备,但现有股东的股权会被稀释。
It would be an all stock deal though, meaning it wouldn't hurt SpaceX's cash balances, but existing shareholders would indeed be diluted.
之后,AI 业务将承担 Cursor 所有的财务状况。
And then the AI business would absorb whatever cursor's financials look like.
和 Anthropic 的交易一样,这有助于提升 AI 部门的收入,但我们得承认,Cursor 离盈利还很远。
As with the anthropic deal, that should help the AI segment's revenue, but we have to assume that cursor's also a long way from profitability.
老实说,SpaceX 首次公开募股的看点,远比我在这两段里讲到的要多得多。
Honestly, is much, much more in SpaceX's IPO perspectives than I've been able to cover even in two segments.
公司还有更多雄心勃勃的项目正在推进,比如 SpaceX 和埃隆·马斯克的另一家公司特斯拉合作的几个项目。
There are more details on ambitious projects that the company has in the works, like a couple projects that SpaceX is doing with Elon Musk's other company, Tesla.
还有一些关键细节,比如内部人士禁售期,这会显著影响股票在上市初期几个月的表现,还有公司控制权的重要信息。
There are key details about things like the lockup on insider selling, which could significantly impact how the stock trades in its first several months and critical details about control of the company.
简而言之,马斯克对SpaceX的控制坚如磐石。
Long story short, Musk's grip on SpaceX is ironclad.
因为他持有公司B类股票的94%,而这些股票每股拥有十票表决权。
Thanks to its 94% ownership position in the company's class b shares, which have 10 votes per share.
不过,随着IPO临近,我们会陆续掌握更多关于交易定价的细节,到时再深入分析也不迟。
But we'll have plenty of time to dig into the rest of the story as we get closer to the IPO and learn more about the deal's pricing.
目前,我只希望你能更清楚地了解SpaceX的业务模式,以及它近期有哪些主要的增长机会。
For now, I just hope that you have a much better understanding of what the SpaceX business looks like and what some of the top near term growth opportunities might be.
说实话,我觉得SpaceX的招股说明书就像一场压力测试。
Look, overall, I think the SpaceX prospectus is a bit of a war shark test.
有些价值投资者看到现在的财务数据,可能会摇摇头,觉得这生意根本不适合自己。
There will be some state value investors who put their pencils down if you're going through the current numbers and decide, uh-uh, this business just isn't for them.
但也有一批更乐观、不太关注细节的投资者,只要看到总市场规模图表,听到什么‘太空数据中心’‘小行星采矿’这类词,就铁了心要买,管它价格多高。
There will be other more optimistic, less detail oriented investors who don't need to look at anything more than the total addressable market chart and hear things like, quote, data centers in space, end quote, and asteroid mining to know that they're buying this stock no matter what the price looks like.
我对小行星采矿一窍不通,但我相信,只要马斯克想,他迟早能把数据中心送上太空。
I don't know much about asteroid mining, but I do think Musk will be eventually be able to send data centers into space if he wants to.
我只是不知道,万一出了问题该怎么办。
I just don't know what happens if something goes wrong.
在轨道上修东西可太贵了,对吧?
Very expensive to do repairs in orbit, right?
同时,我猜肯定有一大批坚定的信徒,一有机会就会从特斯拉转投更胜一筹的SpaceX。
At the same time, I bet there's a whole contingent of must most firm and believers who swap out of Tesla into the superior SpaceX once they have the chance.
大多数投资者都会在这两个极端之间找平衡,这其实挺合理的。
Most investors are gonna fall somewhere between these two camps, which is a reasonable place to be frankly.
说到底就是这么回事。
Here's the bottom line.
历史上,押注反对埃隆·马斯克的人很少赢,但与此同时,SpaceX远非完美,股价几乎肯定会很高。
Historically, it's rarely paid the bet against Elon Musk, but at the same time, SpaceX is far from perfect and the stocks almost certainly gonna be expensive.
就算你打算入手,也不一定非得现在就买。
Even if you wanna own it, you might not want to buy it right away.
不过话说回来,这还得看定价是多少。
But then again, that depends on where they price the deal.
无论如何,这都会对整个市场产生巨大影响,所以我才会这么密切关注SpaceX。
Either way, it'll have a huge impact on the rest of the market, which is why I'll keep following SpaceX so closely.
如果你真打算入手一些股票,不管怎样,最好设个限价单。
And if you do decide to try to get some stock, it might pay to put a limit order on your or no matter what.
明白吗?
Okay?
不管股价涨到多少,只要市值没超过两万亿美元,我都觉得还能接受;要是超过这个数,没有新的信息让我改变对这家公司短期前景的判断,我就不值得再往上加钱了。
Whatever price equates to $2,000,000,000,000 market cap, as I simply can't justify paying any more than that without new information that changes the company's near term prospects.
我们来接电话吧。
Let's take calls.
现在请连线Pete和Georgia。
Let's go to Pete and Georgia.
Pete,你那边怎么样?
Pete.
嗨,Jim。
Hey, Jim.
您最近怎么样?
How are you, sir?
我挺好的,Pete。
I am good, Pete.
你呢?
How are doing?
我也不错。
I'm doing well.
亚特兰大这边有点儿降温。
A little bit of a you down here in Atlanta.
我手里持有一笔不小的英伟达股票,但再过五年就退休了。
I've got a pretty sizable investment in NVIDIA, but I'm five years to retirement.
我只是想知道,英伟达是不是已经成了一个长期增长的标的。
I'm just wondering if NVIDIA has become a compounder.
除此之外,您怎么看Arista、博通或者美光?当然,今天这些公司都挺值得关注的。
And outside of that, would you look at Arista, Broadcom, or Micron, which of course, today.
好的。
Okay.
美光,股价涨得挺猛。
Micron Micron, big spike.
阿丽斯塔,我不太确定它近期的前景会怎样。
Arista, not sure about how their near term prospect is gonna be.
博通,我们是为旅行信托持有的。
Broadcom, we own for the travel trust.
我们明天中午会议再详细聊这个。
We talk about that tomorrow at our at our noon meeting.
我觉得,目前英伟达的股价还没反映出公司真正的实力。
I would say this, NVIDIA currently is not reflecting the strength of the company.
这季度的表现明明很强劲,但股价却没跟上,跟我预期的不太一样。
It just didn't have the kind of oomph that I thought the stock didn't that the quarter actually had.
我知道,如果你去查,可能并不在那个圈子里。
I know that if you go, I don't know, you may not be a member of the club.
我之前详细谈了NVIDIA该怎么做才能推高股价,但那根本不是他们的目标。
I really went at length about what NVIDIA must do to get the stock price up, but that's certainly not their goal.
他们的目标是把业务做扎实,这方面他们做得非常好。
It's to get the business strong, and they're doing a great job of that.
好吧。
Alright.
听好了。
Look.
SpaceX下个月上市时股价肯定不便宜,但当初押注埃隆·马斯克,这步棋值不值?
SpaceX will definitely be an expensive stock when it comes public next month, but it's really paid the bet against Elon Musk, has it?
现在节目内容更丰富了,还包括我和一家叫Bridge的公司做的深度访谈。
Now there's much more Mad Money in it, including my sit down with a company called a bridge.
这家私营企业正用人工智能赋能医疗从业者。
This private player is using AI to empower health care providers.
我正在从他们的CEO那里了解这家公司的使命和未来前景。
I'm finding out more about the company's mission and its prospects from the CEO.
也许有人会质疑数据中心的建设,但这件事真的只是表面看起来那么悲观吗?
Then it might be easy to cast aspersions on the data center build out, but is is there more to this story than just the headlines that all seem so negative?
我来给你们一一拆解,别光顾着悲观了。
I'll break it all down, you doomers.
今晚的闪电环节,我会快速回应大家的所有来电。
And all your calls, rapid fire in tonight's edition of the lightning round.
继续关注克莱默的节目。
So stay with Cramer.
有时候,我们得回头看看那些私营公司。
Sometimes you need to check-in on the private companies.
你们正在彻底改变整个行业。
You're shaking up entire industries.
比如这家叫Bridge的医疗AI公司。
Take a bridge, which is a medical AI company.
他们的平台就像超声医生一样,记录你和医生的对话,然后自动完成那些繁琐的文书工作。
Now their platform acts kind of like a sonographer, keeping track of conversations between you and your doctor, then doing the necessary paperwork that's a player of bones.
我们这儿还有更多内容。
We got much more here.
说白了,目标就是让医生和护士少花点时间在文书工作上,多花点时间在你身上,病人。
Basically, goal is to make it so doctors and nurses are wasting less time on clerical work, more time on you, the patient.
这个理念很棒,所以Bridge公司已经融到了8.3亿美元,目前私人市场估值高达53亿美元。
It's a good pitch, which is why a bridge has managed to raise $830,000,000 and reach a private market value of 5,300,000,000 right now.
它还登上了CNBC年度颠覆者50强榜单第30名,这个榜单我们这儿经常聊。
It's also clocked in at number 30 on CNBC's annual disruptor 50 list, which you know we like to talk about a lot here.
那这个行业的未来会是什么样子?
So what does the future of this industry look like?
我们来听听医生Shiv Rao的分析。
Let's take a closer look with doctor Shiv Rao.
他是Bridge公司的联合创始人兼首席执行官。
He's the cofounder and CEO of a bridge.
想了解更多,Rao医生,欢迎来到《疯狂金钱》。
To learn more, doctor Rao, welcome to Mad Money.
非常感谢你,吉姆。
Thanks so much, Jim.
能来到这里真是荣幸。
It's such a privilege to be here.
早上好,老兄。
Oh, good morning, man.
很高兴你来。
It's great to have you.
Shiv,你能不能先给大家做个总体介绍?因为很多人不只是看过《地牢》这部电影,也看了这个节目。
Now, Shiv, I hope that you can first just give a big overview, because I think a lot of people wanted not just the people who watch the movie, The Pit, but the show, The Pit.
但很多人还是不太清楚你们到底在做什么,毕竟这不像说‘你是速记员’那么简单,我不想就这么简单带过。
But a lot of people want to know exactly what you guys do because it's a little harder to understand than just say, hey, listen, you're a stenographer because I didn't want to leave it at that.
现在,交给你了。
So the floor is yours.
当然可以。
Yeah, absolutely.
谢谢。
Thank you.
其实,我们桥接医疗的核心理念是:医疗归根结底是关于人的。
Really, our core thesis at a bridge is that we think health care is about people.
它关乎医生、护士这样的专业人士,更关乎患者——也就是我们每一个人。
It's about professionals like doctors and nurses, and it's also about, most importantly, it's about patients, all of us.
我们想用科技、用人工智能,把这些人更紧密地连接起来。
And what we want to do is use technology, use AI to bring those people closer together.
现在有太多干扰,太多文书工作拖住了脚步。
There are so many different distractions, so much clerical work that gets in the way.
如果我们能通过减轻像我这样的临床医生的文书负担,让我晚上不再被这些琐事压得喘不过气,就能全心全意面对眼前的病人,提供最好的诊疗体验和结果,这对每个人都是双赢。
And if we can bring them closer together by unburdening clinicians like me, I'm a practicing cardiologist from all the clerical work that crushes my soul at nights, that I can just fully focus on the person in front of me to deliver the best possible experience, to deliver the best possible outcome, it's a win for everyone.
那你能说说,你们的桥接系统听到的是什么,然后它会翻译成什么吗?
Well, tell me what the what your bridge hears and then what does it translate it to?
因为我担心它只是逐字逐句地转录,没有实质性的处理。
Because I'd be worried that it's just well, it it is just a word for word.
这根本提供不了什么有用的信息。
Doesn't really give me any insight.
是的,完全没错。
Yeah, absolutely.
让我给你简单说说桥项目过去是什么情况,现在又发展到了什么地步。
So just to give you a sense of kind of where things have been and now where things are with the bridge.
以前我走进病房前,往往得提前一晚做点准备。
It used to be that I'd walk in a room and before I walk in that room to talk to that patient, I'd maybe like prep the night before.
会记些笔记,了解下这位患者是谁,有什么问题,这样真正见面时我能更有底气。
Maybe take some notes to understand who this person is, what are their issues, so that I can feel that much more equipped when I actually walk in.
然后我进屋后,我们就会聊些闲话。
Then I'd walk in the room and we'd have all kinds of chitchat.
你指的应该就是这些吧。
Think that's what you're referring to.
可能聊聊周末的球赛,聊聊家里的事,而就在这些闲聊的间隙,我们其实也在讨论慢性病的问题。
Maybe we talk about the sports games over the weekend, maybe we talk about our families, And maybe in those in between moments, we're talking about chronic diseases.
我们聊的都是特别重要的医疗问题。
We're talking about all the really important medical stuff.
之后作为医生,我还得写病历、开医嘱、处理账单和所谓的医疗编码。
And then afterwards, what I would have to do as the doctor, I'd have to write the notes, I'd have to place the orders, I'd have to do billing and what they call coding, medical coding.
这就像做会计一样。
It's like accounting.
我得干一堆根本没在医学院学过的工作。
I do have to do all kinds of work that I never went to medical school to learn how to do.
所以,桥梁系统能让医生一进房间就感觉像超人一样,知道该问什么问题,因为我们能提前给他们一份关于患者的简明摘要。
And so what a bridge allows clinicians to do is walk in the room and already feel like a superhero and what questions they need to ask, because we can kind of give them this cheat sheet, this digest about who this patient is.
在对话过程中,我们不会打断他们。
Then during the conversation, we don't interrupt them.
也不会有任何闪灯或提示音。
We don't have any flashing lights or beeping sounds.
你可以完全专注于当下。
You can be fully present.
你可以直视对方的眼睛,轻松地聊几句,完全不用担心,就诊结束时,所有这些记录都会由我们来完成。
You can make eye contact, and you can have that chitchat, resting assured that at the end of the visit, we're going to create all of those artifacts.
那些文书工作,我们都替你搞定。
We're going to do all of that clerical work for you.
我们甚至还能帮你做出更好的决定,让你了解你正在考虑的诊断或治疗方案背后的最新临床证据。
We're even going to help you make better decisions by helping you understand the latest evidence related to the specific diagnostic or therapeutic treatment you were thinking about.
这听起来非常合理。
Well, it makes a lot of sense.
我的全科医生叫勒波普医生。
My general practitioner is a fellow by the name of Doctor.
乔纳森·勒波普。
LePoop, Jonathan LePoop.
我们经常见面,我一直大力支持这个共情项目。
And we spend a lot of time together, and I've been a big supporter of the empathy project.
有了这个辅助工具,我就能有更多时间去理解患者,不用总看表或者埋头记录,能更多地与病人对视,真正听懂他们在说什么。
It sounds like with a bridge, I would have more time to be empathetic and less time checking my watch and writing stuff down, making more eye contact with my patient and really understanding what the person's saying.
这能帮助医生变得更富有同理心吗?
Can this make a difference so that doctors are more empathetic?
当然能。
100%.
实际上,我们已经在数据中看到了这种变化。
And we're seeing that actually in the data already.
比如芝加哥大学发布了一项研究,显示在一种叫HCAP的患者体验评分指标上,使用这项技术后,分数明显提升了。
The University of Chicago, for example, published this study that demonstrated that against a certain metric called an HCAP score, it's a score that measures patient experience, that those scores went up on the other side of deploying this technology.
我觉得我们都希望多和对方进行眼神交流。
I think all of us want to make more eye contact.
我们都希望彼此相处时能更专注、更投入。
We want to be more present with each other.
只要把这项技术用在对的问题上,它就能让医疗这样的行业变得更有人情味。
And this technology, when you point it at the right problems, actually help industries like health care feel more human.
我们公司有个信条:节省时间、节省成本、挽救生命。
We have a mantra in our company that we want to save time, we want to save money, and we want to save lives.
好的。
Okay.
如果你仔细想想的话。
And if you reflect on yeah.
我只是想指出,詹森·黄我们之前听过他很多次讲话,也和他交流过,他确实非常认同你所说的关于医生的那些观点。
Well, I just wanted to point out that that Jensen Huang, whom we have listened to many times and talked to, really believes in exactly what you're describing with doctors.
我很高兴他是我们的投资人,我相信他确实是,因为目前在人工智能领域,像我们这样认为出色的进展其实并不多。
And I'm really glad that he is an investor, I believe, and that an investor because there aren't as many advances as we would like to see in AI that we think are terrific.
我们一直关注他的投资动向。
And we look to him for his investments.
听起来他和你们成了志同道合的伙伴。
And it sounds like he's found a friend and colleague with you.
完全没错。
A 100%.
这项进展已经影响到我们很多人了。
And this is an advancement that's touching many of us already.
我们现在直播了。
We're live.
目前,我们的平台已经接入了超过300家最大的医疗系统,未来十二个月内,我们将服务上亿名患者。
A bridge is live across well over 300 of the largest health systems now, and we're gonna be touching, you know, well over a 100,000,000 patients over this next twelve months.
这规模可不小。
And so that's a lot of scale.
这影响也相当大。
That's a lot of impact.
但当你想想这对医护人员本身意味着什么,几年前《美国普通内科学杂志》上发表过一篇文章。
But when you think about the impact also on the professional side of the room, there was an article that was published a few years ago in the American Journal of General Internal Medicine.
文章说,医生每天需要三十个小时才能做完所有工作。
And it suggested that doctors need thirty hours a day to get all of their work done.
他们还详细拆解了那些占满这三十小时的任务。
But they also parsed all the tasks, all the jobs that sort of took into, made up that thirty hours.
对我们来说,这正是当前研发路线图的核心。
And for us, that's a lot of our roadmap right now.
我们能做些什么,帮助临床医生充分发挥他们的专业能力?就像我们行业常说的,不仅要提供最佳的患者体验,还要实现最好的临床和财务成果。
What can we do to help clinicians really operate at the top of license, as they say in our industry, that they can be delivering not just the best experiences, but also the best clinical and financial outcomes.
好,最后一个问题是。
Okay, one last question.
我知道现在这个行业里,AI领域到处都是既合作又竞争的公司,比如Anthropic、OpenAI这些。
I know that in this industry these days with AI, there are a lot of frenemies, a lot of companies going at it, an anthropic, open AI.
Epic这家公司,在你们这个领域实力非常强,我们都知道。
We know Epic as a company that's very powerful in your business.
我听说你们以前和Epic有过合作,现在可能已经没有了。
And I know you were, I guess, had a relationship with Epic, may not have one now.
面对Epic这样庞大的行业巨头,你们是怎么跟他们打交道的?
How do you negotiate with Epic being that they are such a behemoth in your industry?
过去几年里,我们和Epic一直保持着紧密的合作关系。
We've had a strong relationship with Epic over these last years.
我们和他们是合作伙伴。
We partner with them.
我们和Epic系统是集成的。
We integrate with Epic.
所以当我们为使用Epic作为电子病历系统的大型医疗集团上线时,必须能从系统里提取数据,也能把数据回传进去。
So essentially, when we go live with a large health system that happens to use Epic as their electronic medical record system, we need to be able to pull data and we need to be able to push data back in.
我们完全具备这个能力,而且未来很长一段时间都不会改变。
And we absolutely have that ability and it's not going anywhere anytime soon.
总的来说,在很多不同行业里,这项技术都有巨大的潜力。
I would say in general, across a lot of the different vertical industries, there's so much opportunity with this technology.
过去几年最让人振奋的,尤其是在医疗领域,是越来越多的机构开始意识到,这是一次多方共赢的机会,能把过去根本想不到的环节连接起来。
And what's been wildly exciting over these last years, especially in healthcare, is that we're seeing a lot of different entities see this as a positive sum sort of opportunity to connect dots that they might not have thought to connect before.
比如,我们不仅和医疗系统合作,也不只是和电子病历系统合作。
So for example, we're partnering not just with health systems, not just with systems of record and electronic medical records.
我们还和保险公司的数据系统、制药和生命科学公司的数据系统展开合作。
We're also partnering with systems of record on the insurance company side, systems of record on the life sciences and pharmaceutical company side.
但对我们来说,归根结底,关键还是我们创造了什么价值。
But for us, it's all about at the end of the day, what kind of value are we creating?
如果我们能提升体验,长期来看还能改善治疗效果,那我们就站在了最终一定会赢的那一边。
And if we're improving the experience, if we're improving the outcome over the long term, we know, you know, we're on the side that's ultimately absolutely gonna have to win.
这真是太棒了。
Well, think that's terrific.
而且你们还排在我们的颠覆者50强第30位。
And again, you're on our disruptor 50 number 30.
创始人是谢布拉尔·希普医生。
And it's doctor Shibral Shipp.
感谢你来参加节目并做讲解,我觉得这种事我真该问问我的医生:你们用的是不是这种系统?
Thanks for coming on the show and explaining because I think that this is the kind of thing I feel like asking my doctor, are you on a bridge?
因为只有这样,我才知道医生是真正投入其中的,我总希望我的医生能全心投入。非常感谢你来参加节目。
Because then I know that that they are present, and I always want my doctor to be present Thank you so much for coming on the show.
很高兴认识你。
Good to meet you.
谢谢你,吉姆。
Thank you so much, Jim.
真的,这是一份荣幸。
Really, it's a privilege.
这位是奇普·拉隆。
This is this is Chip Rallon.
他是Upbridge的联合创始人兼首席执行官。
He's the co founder and the CEO of Upbridge.
他在CNBC的颠覆者榜单上排第30名。
That's number 30 on CBC's Disruptor List.
完整的榜单可以在cnbc.com/disruptorfifty上查看。
You can see the full list at cnbc.com/disruptorfifty.
我对这个特别感兴趣。
I am fascinated by this.
因为我一直在做共情项目,经常和医生打交道,听起来他们真的能更有同理心。
Having been someone who spends a huge amount of time with doctors on the empathy project, this sounds like they can be much more empathetic.
这正是我关心的。
That's what I care about.
《疯狂金钱》又回到这本书了。
Mad Money's back at the book.
接下来登场的是华尔街最快的大脑。
Coming up, he's the fastest mind on Wall Street.
今天我们打算让你来帮他接受考验。
So we're putting him to the test with your help.
接下来进入闪电问答环节。
Bring on the lightning round next.
闪电问答结束后,
And then the lightning round is over.
你准备好了吗?
Are you ready?
抓紧时间,快点来。
Speed that time.
与来自罗德岛的布伦丹进行闪电问答。
Light round with Brendan in Rhode Island.
布伦丹。
Brendan.
你好,克拉默。
Hi, Cramer.
这家公司最近刚发布消息,我想多了解一些。
So this company recently dispatched and I want to know more about it.
这是一次强劲的拉升。
It's a boost run.
天啊,这只股票真是火得不行。
Man this thing's such a hot stock.
你知道吗。
You know what.
如果你愿意冒险,我当然支持。
Look if you're willing to speculate I'm willing to bless it.
我真正的问题是,它确实能赚钱,所以我并不反对。
My problem of course the reason why I'm not against is it actually makes money.
我不支持这个,是因为我觉得我们进场太晚了。
The reason why I'm not for this because I feel like we're late.
明白了。
Okay.
正好在中间位置。
Right in the middle.
我们转到北卡罗来纳州的MINI那边吧。
Let's go to mini in North Carolina.
MINI。
Mini.
你好,吉姆。
Hi Jim.
我是曼尼,来自北卡罗来纳州康科德。
This is Manny calling from Concord North Carolina.
你最近怎么样?
How are you?
我挺好的。
I am doing fine.
谢谢你打来电话。
Thank you for calling.
最近怎么样?
What's going on?
嗨。
Hey.
我想感谢你和你的团队,你们为我们提供了二十多年的教育支持。
I wanna thank you and your team for educating us for over twenty years.
这是我第一次打电话,但一直关注你们很久了,最近刚成为会员。
I'm a first time caller, long time follower, and recent club member.
谢谢。
Thank you.
太好了。
That's great.
拉什玛,我买了这只股票,现在亏了30%,但我在耐心等着它反弹。
Raschma, I invested in this stock, and I am currently down 30% patiently waiting on a rebound.
你觉得这只股票符合‘责任股’的标准吗?
Would you qualify this stock under the onus?
别拿个桶去交易。
Don't trade a bucket.
我打电话是想问问达达集团的情况。
I'm calling about DoorDash.
好的。
Okay.
我觉得达达集团是个买入机会。
I think DoorDash is a buy.
现在有一批股票都在走下坡路。
There's a real group of stocks now.
优步、达达、Reddit,它们都在跌。
Uber, DoorDash, Reddit, they are going down.
人们更愿意持有硬件类股票。
People want to own hardware.
他们不想持有那些其他股票。
They don't want to own those others.
他们不想持有Zscaler。
They don't want to own Zscaler.
他们对半导体也不感兴趣。
They don't want on semiconductors.
我的意思是,他们根本不想碰硫化物这类东西。
I mean they want to they don't want sulfur.
现在只有一家半导体公司值得看。
There's one semi only semi.
这正是拖累DoorDash的原因。
And that's what's hurting door dash.
他们真正想要的是半导体,而不是DoorDash。
That's what they want is semi not door dash.
我们来聊聊厄文和华盛顿厄文。
Let's go to Ervin and Washington Ervin.
大家好,我是来自西雅图的,今天天气出奇地晴朗。
Hello from Seattle where we're having an unusually clear day.
我想问一下拉多斯控股的事。
My question is about Lados holdings.
这只股票正在一路暴跌。
This stock is in free fall.
这让我完全想不通。
That makes no sense to me.
我觉得它在安全方面做得挺不错,但情况就是如此。
I think it does a lot of good security stuff but that's what happens.
它没有任何赞助支持。
It doesn't have any sponsorship.
那我先告辞了。
I say bye.
现在我们连线佛罗里达的乔。
Now let's go to Joe in Florida.
乔。
Joe
吉姆,谢谢你,我是俱乐部的元老成员。
Jim thanks for your I'm an original club member.
感谢你提供的信息。
Thanks for your information.
真的非常感谢你。
Just thanks to you.
这段经历太棒了。
It's been great.
哦,谢谢你。
Oh thank you.
谢谢。
Thank you.
我买了Flex,收益还不错
I got flex with a
百分之百的回报。
100% return.
我看了看Flex。
I look at flex.
我一看Flex,就觉得这些人真厉害。
I look at flex and I think jeez these guys are so good.
这简直是完美的例子,再涨50%都毫无压力。
This is a perfect example of what could still go up another 50% without a problem.
我就不跟你争这个了。
I'm not going to fight you on it.
那我先告辞了。
I say bye.
我们接下来听一下佛罗里达的扎克,扎克。
Let's go to Zack in Florida Zack.
你是谁啊,吉姆?
Who are you Jim.
你最近怎么样?
How are doing?
我挺好的,扎克。
I am doing well Zack.
你呢?
How about you?
我很好。
Doing great.
从小时候就和我爸一起看这个节目,谢谢你们。
Been watching the show since I was a kid with my dad, so thank you.
也向我爸问个好。
And shout
向我爸致意。
out to dad.
太好了。
Terrific.
谢谢。
Thank you.
我很感激。
I appreciate that.
谢谢。
Thank you.
每周的房贷申请量下降了2.3%,而房贷利率达到了一年多来的最高水平。
So, weekly mortgage mortgage application is down 2.3% and mortgage rates the highest they've been, in over a year.
你是看好Pulte住宅股价这5%的上涨吗,还是说你……
Are you buying into this 5% pop in Pulte home or do you.
天哪。
Oh god.
不好意思。
I'm sorry.
哪只股票?
What stock.
好的。
Okay.
我喜欢Toll,因为他们有大量全款买家。
Look I like Toll because they have so many cash buyers.
他们的全款比例超过百分之二十,根本不需要房贷。
They have more than 20% cash and they don't need a mortgage.
很多人根本不需要贷款,这真的挺不可思议的。
Many people don't need a mortgage, which is really incredible.
所以我觉得,如果你想买一家住宅建筑商的股票,就选这一只。
That's why I think that stock is the one to buy if you're gonna buy a homebuilder.
这就是闪电环节的最后一位了,各位。
And that ladies and gentlemen, of the lightning round.
本闪电环节由嘉信理财赞助。
The lightning round is sponsored by Charles Schwab.
接下来,克拉默要回应媒体对数据中心建设的攻击,他马上就要开讲了。
Coming up, Cramer's done with the media's attacks on the data center development, and now he's set to sound off next.
明天早上,用《街头快讯》开启交易日。
Tomorrow, kick off the trading day with squawk on the street.
现场直播,纽约证券交易所九号岗。
Live from post nine at the NYSE.
我跟你说说我听到的消息。
I'm telling you what I'm hearing.
你不想听吗?
You don't wanna hear it?
那也行。
That's fine.
那你干脆把耳朵捂上好了。
Well You can keep your ears closed.
你有的是
You have every
你有权利说。
right to talk.
就是你们当中的一位。
It's one of you.
这节目也有你的一份。
It's your show too.
是的。
Yeah.
那就是说
That's so that's
所以我从没想过去拥抱
so I never wanted to hug
你这么多次。
you so much.
今晚已经好几个月了。
Months tonight.
你知道吗,我耳边有人提醒我,该走了。
You know, someone in my ear is saying, gotta go.
得把这点说清楚。
Gotta make that point.
大卫的报道覆盖面太广了。
David hits everywhere.
来聊一聊。
To talk.
这节目也有我的份儿,卡尔。
It's my show too, Carl.
节目每天早上九点东部时间开始。
It all starts at 9AM eastern.
现在我常常回想当年当记者的日子,因为那能解释媒体的一切。
These days I reminisce, and I think back to the old days when I was a reporter because it explains everything about the media.
负面新闻才卖得动,你想成功,就得讨好读者,而靠正面消息是做不到的。
Negativity sells papers, so if you want to succeed, you need to please your readers, and you don't do that with positivity.
我那时候特别在行,因为我在新闻编辑部里像个乞丐一样拼命抢新闻,可能比别人更卖力。
I was real good at it because I was a newsroom mendicate, probably more than others.
我从来不会忘记什么才能让我往上爬。
I never forgot what would move me up.
现在要是我还坐在城市版编辑台,我肯定写一堆负面报道,针对那个数据中心。
Right now, if I were on the city desk, I'd be writing negative things about the data center.
他们占我们的便宜,用我们的资源,抬高我们的电费,建完之后连个像样的职位都不多给。
The focus, they rip us off by using our resources, pushing up our electric rates, and they don't even hire many people after they're done being built.
我会去采访负责建设的那方,比如亚马逊或者谷歌的科里。
I get a quote from whoever was building it, Amazon or Google Corey.
采访内容就是走个过场,刚好够用,意思到了就行。
It would be perfunctory, just the way I wanted it, just enough to say, hey.
我也试过站在另一边。
I tried the other side.
我写文章通常从一个普通家庭或者一个底层中产的人开始,挑个让人同情的案例来带出整个故事。
I start the piece with a family or a person typically lower middle class who's most aggrieved, find someone with a sympathetic case to frame the story.
开头没必要直接摆事实。
No sense to start with the facts.
没人会感兴趣。
That doesn't grab anyone.
接着我就堆一堆负面信息,再塞上那句必不可少的公司回应。
Then I would throw a real parade of negatives right down the obligatory quote from the offending company.
然后我交给编辑部处理,最后故事登上了头版左上角的显眼位置,旁边配着那户家庭的照片——当然,可能就站在工地前。
Then I handed it to the desk to general claim, which led to the story running on the fabled upper left corner of the front page next to a picture of the family, of course, perhaps standing in front of the construction site.
如果要写一篇关于数据中心的报道,比如发在商业版,那很简单。
If I had to do a story about the data center for, say, the business section, well, that's easy.
随便扯点泡沫言论就行。
Fire up some bubble talk.
我先去找亿万富翁雷·达利奥。
First, I go to billionaire Ray Dalio.
他总能说出些带点保留条件的负面评论,当然,可能是针对早期阶段,或者更偏向中期。
He's always good for something negative with a few qualifiers, course, perhaps for early stage, maybe more mid stage.
不管怎样,好像从来就没有一个合适的时机。
Either way, it's never seems to be a good stage.
我不是专门针对达利奥。
I don't mean to pick on Dalio Dalio.
我的意思是,他们能说什么呢?说他是个善良的人?聪明的人?
I mean, what are they going to say about that he's a kind man, that he's a wise man?
归根结底,那些总能给出看空观点的人,写出来特别有料。
Probably in the end, anyone who will consistently give you bearish quotes makes great copy.
我们还得找个人,年纪不够大,没赶上欧洲股市那波,却赚了大钱,现在却说所有股票都高估了。
Then we need a story from someone who wasn't old enough to trade the.comeurope, but has made a ton of money and is saying that all these stocks are overvalued.
就是当下那些Zoom.com、Street.com、WebBand之类的公司。
The zoom.com, street.com, web bands of the present moment.
我猜你是不是用Gemini、ChatGPT,或者那个飞速崛起的Claw来查这些资料?
I wonder if you use Gemini or ChatGPT or the fast rising claw to look this stuff up.
我甚至觉得,光凭这些材料,就能写出一篇狠批文章,直接登在财经版头版。
I don't even know if I need anything else to write that hatchet job and get it published on page one of the business section.
得到大量赞誉。
Get a lot of lot of praise.
这确实是实情。
That is the truth.
是的,数据中心确实可能一团糟。
Yes, data centers can be a mess.
它们并不会自动给建设地带来好处,但建数据中心的人却赚得盆满钵满。
They're not automatically good for the places where they get built, but the builders of the data centers are rich.
他们真的非常富有。
They're really rich.
如果有任何有担当的政客或监管者,他们会为当地社区争取数亿美元的补贴,以及像最先进城镇那样的严格环保标准。
And if there were any politicians or regulators worth their salt, they negotiate for hundreds of millions of dollars of aid for their communities as well as stringent environmental rules like the smartest towns already get.
他们还会让数据中心承担新建电力设施的费用。
They'd make the data centers pay up for new power generation too.
每一个谈判要点,都是那些精明的社区争取到的。
Every single one of these negotiation points has been won by savvy communities.
只要有人提出来,这些开发商随时愿意让步。
The builders will roll over if necessary assuming someone asked them to.
民意调查根本没搞清楚状况。
The polls don't get it.
真正的问题出在民意调查上。
The polls are the villains.
先说说这个泡沫吧,得承认,没人拦着你去刷卡消费。
As for the bubble first, let's recognize that nobody's stopping you from ringing their darn register.
在2000年2月第三周到3月第二周之间,你还能在高点套现。
There was a period between the third week of February and the second week of March in 2000 when you could cash out near the peak.
之后就全完了。
Then it was over.
根本没人出真金白银来买。
There were no real bids.
任何对冲基金都能把价格压得一塌糊涂。
Any hedge fund would knock anything down.
现在到处都是买家。
Now there are bids galore.
这些公司或许在大举借钱扩建网站,但同时也开始获得可观的回报。
The companies may be borrowing a lot of money to build out their sites, but they're also beginning to make a very good return.
有人去听英伟达的电话会吗?
Did anyone bother to listen to the NVIDIA call?
他们的业务中将近一半来自非超大规模客户。
They have almost 50% non hyperscalers as business.
他们手上的订单多到接不完。
They're on allocation for everything.
现在这事儿不重要。
It doesn't matter right now.
但总有一天会的。
It will someday.
关键在于,参与数据中心建设的公司正在拿到巨额报酬,建造那些将使用数十年的设施。
What matters is that the companies involved in the data center build out are getting paid enormous sums to lay down structures that will be used for decades.
随着芯片效率提升,电力消耗可能会下降。
The electric use will probably go down as we get chips that are more efficient.
这些东西怎么都供不应求。
We can't get enough of these things.
真希望建这些设备的公司能搞点更聪明的公关。
I just wish the companies building them would have get smarter PR.
负责建数据中心的人,别还没开战就先认输。
The Dunderheads who do the data center build out shouldn't surrender before the war begins.
他们应该在企业之前先建学校和医院。
They should be building schools and hospitals ahead of the companies.
他们该让那些记者感到羞愧——明明自己也想建收容所,却跑去阻挠别人建。
They should shame the journalists for trying to stop the building of homeless shelters that they wanna do, but they don't.
所以这个循环没完没了。
So the cycle is endless.
政客们不跟数据中心建设方合作,反而联合打压,好博取更多正面报道。
The politicians, rather than working with data center builders, just gang up on them and get more good ink.
这一切都太脆弱了。
It is all fragile.
其实没必要这样。
It doesn't need to be.
meanwhile,有个年轻版的吉姆·克莱默正在努力讨好城市版编辑、财经编辑、播客主和流媒体平台,当然还有传统电视业务。
In the meantime, there's some young Jim Cramer out there trying to please city editors and business editors and the podcasters and the streaming sites and, of course, the linear business.
他靠的是尽可能地制造负面和破坏性的言论。
And he does that by being as negative and corrosive as possible.
亚历克斯总说,总会有更合适的市场。
Alex says always a more market somewhere.
就在这档《疯狂金钱》节目里,我为你找到它。
Promise to find just for you right here on Mad Money.
我是吉姆·克莱默。
I'm Jim Cramer.
明天见。
See you tomorrow.
吉姆·克雷默在本播客中表达的所有观点均属他个人意见,不代表CNBC及其母公司或关联公司的立场,这些观点可能曾通过电视、广播、互联网或其他渠道发布过。
All opinions expressed by Jim Cramer on this podcast are solely Cramer's opinions and do not reflect the opinions of CNPC or its parent company or affiliates and may have been previously disseminated by Cramer on television, radio, internet or another medium.
您不应将克雷默的任何观点视为具体的投资建议或操作指引,而应仅将其视为他的个人看法。
You should not treat any opinion expressed by Cramer as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy but only as an expression of his opinion.
克雷默的观点基于他所认为可靠的信息,但CNBC及其关联公司或子公司不保证其完整性和准确性,不应以此作为决策依据。
Cramer's opinions are based upon information he considers reliable but neither CNBC nor its affiliates and or subsidiaries warrant completeness or accuracy and it should not be relied upon as such.
如需查看完整的《疯狂金钱》免责声明,请访问cnbc.com/madmoneydisclaimer。
To view the full Mad Money disclaimer, please visit cnbc.com/madmoneydisclaimer.
是什么让你有信心去做一件以前没人做过的事?
What made you confident that you could do something that hadn't been done before?
我从不害怕失败。
I have no fear of failure.
开创新路的女性,正在改变游戏规则。
Trailblazing women changing the game.
我最欣赏的一条建议是:想想你的老板的老板需要什么。
One of my favorite pieces of advice, think about what your boss's boss needs.
领导力可以有各种各样的表现形式。
Leadership can look in many, many different forms.
归根结底,还是要相信自己。
It really does come down to just trusting yourself.
人生短暂,
Life is short, and
要想成就大事,就得有大格局。
you just gotta think big to accomplish big things.
朱莉娅·博尔森主持《CNBC变革者与实力派》。
Julia Borson hosts CNBC changemakers and power players.
每周二更新,各大播客平台都能收听。
New episodes every Tuesday wherever you get your podcasts.
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