The Ezra Klein Show - 我有一些问题要问那些想竞选加州的民主党人 封面

我有一些问题要问那些想竞选加州的民主党人

I Have Some Questions for the Democrats Who Want to Run California

本集简介

周五,我主持了一场与加州州长民主党主要候选人之间的论坛,重点讨论该州的住房危机。 现任加州州长加文·纽森于 2019 年上任,当时他承诺建设数百万套住房。此后多年,数十项支持住房的法案得以通过,旨在减少繁文缛节并刺激更多建设。然而,加州目前的住房建设数量与他上任时基本持平,该州的住房危机 arguably 仍是全美最严重的。因此,我想了解下一任州长将如何应对这一挑战。 本次录制在加利福尼亚州奥克兰的卡尔文·西蒙斯剧院进行。台上候选人包括:前加州总检察长、拜登政府卫生与人类服务部长夏维尔·贝塞拉;圣何塞市长、科技企业家马特·马汉;前美国众议员凯蒂·波特;前旧金山对冲基金经理、气候活动家兼慈善家汤姆·斯蒂尔;以及前洛杉矶市长、加州众议院议长安东尼奥·维拉赖戈萨。本环节为现场录制。《纽约时报》未对候选人的发言进行事实核查。 提及内容: 《加州多户住宅建设成本是德克萨斯州的两倍以上》,RAND 研究所 《我对“丰裕”最担忧的是什么》,德雷克·汤普森与马克·邓克尔曼,《伊兹拉·克莱因秀》 书籍推荐: 《掠食者时刻》,朱利安诺·达·恩波利著 《金雨》,维克多·比利亚塞尼奥尔著 《往昔岁月》,卡罗·克莱尔·伯克著 《为何一切都不起作用》,马克·J·邓克尔曼著 《我们曾拥有光辉未来》,大卫·莱昂哈特著 有何想法?嘉宾建议?请发送邮件至 ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com。 您可以在 nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast 找到《伊兹拉·克莱因秀》的 transcripts(于中午发布)及更多节目,并在 Twitter 上关注伊兹拉 @ezraklein。所有嘉宾的书籍推荐均列于 https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs。 本期《伊兹拉·克莱因秀》由 Rollin Hu、Marie Cascione、Kristin Lin 和 Marina King 制作。高级工程师为 Jeff Geld。录音工程师为 Johnny Simon。执行制片人为 Claire Gordon。节目制作团队还包括 Annie Galvin、Michelle Harris、Emma Kehlbeck、Jack McCordick 和 Jan Kobal。原创音乐由 Pat McCusker 创作。受众策略由 Shannon Busta 负责。《纽约时报》节目总监为 Annie-Rose Strasser。特别感谢 Argus HD。 立即在 nytimes.com/podcasts 或 Apple Podcasts 和 Spotify 上订阅。您也可通过您喜爱的播客应用在此订阅:https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher。如需更多播客及朗读文章,请下载《纽约时报》应用:nytimes.com/app。 由 Simplecast 主持,其为 AdsWizz 旗下公司。有关我们收集和使用个人数据用于广告的信息,请访问 pcm.adswizz.com。

双语字幕

仅展示文本字幕,不包含中文音频;想边听边看,请使用 Bayt 播客 App。

Speaker 0

你好。

Hi.

Speaker 0

我是《纽约时报》游戏的朱丽叶,今天来和玩家们聊聊我们的游戏。

I'm Juliette from New York Times Games, and I'm here talking to fans about our games.

Speaker 0

所以你玩《纽约时报》的游戏。

So you play New York Times Games.

Speaker 0

对。

Yes.

Speaker 0

你有特别喜欢的吗?

Do you have a favorite?

Speaker 0

《Connections》。

Connections.

Speaker 0

它正好挠到了我脑子里那个痒点。

It just scratches an itch in my brain.

Speaker 0

它的思维方式特别跳出框架,

It's really out of the box thinking with

Speaker 1

就是这个游戏。

that game.

Speaker 0

我每天晚上都和我丈夫一起玩。

I play with my husband every night.

Speaker 0

我绝不让他一个人玩这个。

I refuse to let him play it without me.

Speaker 0

他总先挑紫色的,而我总是挑那些他根本想不到的有趣组合。

He will always get the purple first, and I always get, like, the fun ones that he doesn't think about.

Speaker 0

我喜欢它和现实生活有真实的关联。

I love that it's, a real life connection

Speaker 2

对。

Yes.

Speaker 0

你们玩连接游戏的时候。

While you guys play connections.

Speaker 0

是的。

Yeah.

Speaker 0

这真的很暖心。

It's very sweet.

Speaker 0

我保证,我没玩过那个。

I promise I didn't play that.

Speaker 0

你可以在 nytimes.com/games 或我们的应用程序上玩所有《纽约时报》的游戏。

You can play all New York Times games at nytimes.com/games or on our app.

Speaker 2

周五,我主持了一场关于加州五位民主党州长候选人的论坛。

On Friday, I moderated a forum with the top five Democratic candidates for governor in California.

Speaker 2

我们也邀请了共和党人,但他们没来。

We invited the Republicans too, but they didn't show up.

Speaker 2

讨论的是住房成本、住房可负担性,以及究竟该怎么做才能改善。

On housing costs and housing affordability and what can actually be done about it.

Speaker 2

我觉得,如果你住在加州,哪怕你不住在加州,看看这些竞选全美最大州领导职位的民主党人——而这个州恰恰有着全美最严重的住房危机——他们是如何思考解决这个问题的,这对你理解我们政治的未来走向非常有启发。

I think if you're in California, particularly, but even if you're not seeing how the Democrats running to lead the largest state in the nation with arguably the worst housing crisis in the nation, seeing and hearing how they're thinking about actually trying to solve it is really, really instructive for where our politics might be going.

Speaker 2

请欣赏。

Enjoy.

Speaker 3

非常荣幸能向大家介绍埃兹拉·克莱因先生,以及今晚参与这场活动的各位候选人。

It is my total honor and privilege to introduce to you mister Ezra Klein and the candidates who are participating in this event.

Speaker 2

好的。

Alright.

Speaker 2

大家好,奥克兰!

Hello, Oakland.

Speaker 2

好的。

Alright.

Speaker 2

欢迎来到美丽的卡尔文·西蒙斯剧院。

Welcome to the beautiful Calvin Simmons Theater.

Speaker 2

很高兴你们能来。

We are thrilled you're here.

Speaker 2

今晚登台的几位候选人,根据民调显示,是这场选举中支持率最高的五位民主党人选。

The candidates on the stage tonight are, according to the polls, the five top Democratic candidates in this race.

Speaker 2

汤姆·斯泰尔、哈维尔·贝塞拉、凯蒂·波特、马特·马汉,还有安东尼奥·维拉莱戈萨。

Tom Steyer, Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Matt Mahan, and Antonio Villaraigosa.

Speaker 2

给大家点个赞。

Give them a hand.

Speaker 2

我得说,我们也邀请了共和党的顶尖人选。

I should say we invited the top Republicans too.

Speaker 2

可惜他们今晚来不了。

Unfortunately, they cannot make it tonight.

Speaker 2

最近 debates 真是太多了,这周就开了好几场。

There have been there have been a lot of debates lately, a lot of debates this week.

Speaker 2

但今晚这场不是那种辩论。

This is not one of them.

Speaker 2

我们今晚办的是一个论坛,主题只有一个。

What we're doing here tonight is a forum and on one topic.

Speaker 2

这个话题值得我们花上九十分钟来认真讨论,那就是加州的住房危机。

A topic that deserves ninety minutes of our attention, which is California's housing crisis.

Speaker 2

我们分成三个部分来聊。

We're gonna have three sections.

Speaker 2

每个环节,我都会花大约六分钟,依次和每位候选人交谈。

Each section, I'm gonna spend about six minutes talking with each candidate in turn.

Speaker 2

如果时间允许,我会再追问一些问题。

I'll ask follow ups if we have time.

Speaker 2

我想让大家有机会听到你们每个人公开思考这些问题的过程。

I want to give people the opportunity to hear all of you thinking through these issues aloud.

Speaker 2

六分钟结束时,会响起这样的铃声。

At the end of that six minutes, a bell will sound like this.

Speaker 2

这铃声其实让我挺难受的。

That bell slightly breaks my heart.

Speaker 2

我是个播客主持人。

I'm a podcast host.

Speaker 2

我真希望每个人都能有整整九十分钟的发言时间。

I wanna give you all ninety minutes each.

Speaker 2

但要是我不公平地控制时间,你们肯定会怪我。

But you're gonna get very mad at me if I don't keep this fair.

Speaker 2

所以我们尽量做到公平公正。

So we're gonna try to keep it very fair.

Speaker 2

我们要求各位候选人不要打断彼此的发言。

We are asking candidates not to jump in or interrupt each other.

Speaker 2

你们在回答时可以互相批评,完全没问题。

You are free to criticize each other in your answers.

Speaker 2

但如果你批评了别人,被批评的候选人会有整整一分钟时间回应,而你不会得到额外的时间,所以请好好权衡。

But if you do it, that candidate you criticize is going to get a minute to respond and you are not going to get more time, so strategize accordingly.

Speaker 2

对现场的观众,请把你们热烈的掌声留到全部环节结束后再鼓。

And to the audience, please hold your very much merited applause here until the end.

Speaker 2

各位候选人事先没看到这些问题,主办方和联合举办方也都没提前看过。

Candidates have not seen the questions here in advance, nor have any of the organizations that are cohosting the event.

Speaker 2

该说的都说了,咱们现在进入今天真正的主题。

With all of that out of the way, let's get to the reason we're actually here.

Speaker 2

加文·纽森州长2019年上任时,承诺要建造数百万套新住房。

Governor Gavin Newsom came into office in 2019 with a promise to build millions more homes.

Speaker 2

自那以来,已有数十项支持住房的法案通过,其中一些就是由在这间屋子里的杰出议员起草的。

And in the years since, dozens of pro housing laws have passed, some of them written by heroic legislators in this very room.

Speaker 2

但加州新建住房的数量,基本和纽森上任时没什么变化。

And yet the number of new homes being built in California is basically the same as when Newsom took office.

Speaker 2

住房问题本来就复杂,解决起来特别慢。

Housing is a slow and hard problem to solve.

Speaker 2

确实,有些法案需要时间才能见效。

That some of these bills may just take time is true.

Speaker 2

但我们也看到,光有好法案还不够,还需要领导力和勇气——即便那些我们迫切需要的法律,也会遇到阻力和逆风。

But we've also seen that they will take leadership and courage, that even good laws that we need encounter resistance and headwinds along the way.

Speaker 2

所以你们每个人都想建更多住房。

So all of you want to build more homes.

Speaker 2

你们也都提出了详细的计划来实现这一点。

You all have detailed plans to do so.

Speaker 2

那么今晚的问题是:怎样才能把这些美好的意愿,真正变成人们能住进去的家?

So the question of tonight is what has to happen to convert these good intentions into homes that people can live in?

Speaker 2

那在这期间,我们该如何保护那些处境艰难或面临风险的人呢?

And how do we protect those in need or at risk in the meantime?

Speaker 2

我们先从你们都认同的一个问题入手。

We're going begin by taking on something you all identify as a problem.

Speaker 2

加州建筑成本过高这个问题。

The very high cost of construction in California.

Speaker 2

还有,斯泰耶先生,

And Mr.

Speaker 2

我们先请您发言。

Steyer, we're gonna begin with you.

Speaker 2

兰德公司的一项研究发现,加州每平方英尺公寓的建造成本是德克萨斯州的两倍以上。

A RAND study found that the cost per square foot of constructing an apartment in California is over twice that of constructing it in Texas.

Speaker 2

您觉得原因是什么?您会怎么解决?

Why do you think that is, and what would you do about it?

Speaker 1

我知道,推动成本上涨的主要是劳动力、材料和融资的定价方式。

So I know that, in fact, what's driving that up is the way that we construct the cost of labor, the cost of materials, and the cost of financing.

Speaker 1

要让住房的每平方英尺成本降下来,让我们建得起、老百姓买得起,我们就必须彻底改变现在的做法。

And for us to drive down the cost per square foot of housing to a place where we can afford to build these houses and people can afford to buy them, we're gonna have to make some real changes in the way we're going about this.

Speaker 1

我来谈两个关键点,其中一个就是现场施工的方式。

So let's talk about two of them, which is one about the construction on-site.

Speaker 1

我们到现在还在用一百年前的老方法盖房子、建公寓。

And we are we are building houses and we are building apartment buildings the way we have been doing it for a hundred years.

Speaker 1

但现在已经有新技术了,可以把房屋的各个部件像造汽车一样在工厂里预制好,再运到现场组装。

And there is new technology to do this where you basically construct, manufacture the parts of the house off-site the way you'd construct or manufacture a car, and then you assemble it on-site.

Speaker 1

无论是实际做过的人,还是做预测的专家,都认为成本至少能降低百分之二十。

And the estimates that people have both from the real world of having done it, but also projecting what they think they could do start at 20%.

Speaker 1

再往高了说,还能降得更多。

And they go up from there.

Speaker 1

这些都不是空想,而是实实在在的制造型企业,它们需要订单和收入来维持运营。

And these are real things, and these are companies that are like manufacturing companies, so therefore, they need revenues and orders.

Speaker 1

加州完全有能力推动这件事,也有能力修改建筑规范。

And the state of California can do that, and it can change the building codes.

Speaker 1

第二点,要降低住房成本,得从融资入手。

The second thing in order to drive down the cost of housing is about finance.

Speaker 1

加利福尼亚州已经有不少融资项目了。

And the state of California have has a number of finance programs.

Speaker 1

事实上,巴菲·威克斯提议发行一百亿美元的住房债券,我觉得这极其重要。

In fact, Buffy Wicks is proposing a $10,000,000,000 housing bond, which I think is incredibly important.

Speaker 1

我得说一下,

And I should say

Speaker 2

不好意思,

Excuse me.

Speaker 2

不好意思,

Excuse me.

Speaker 2

等一下,你先别讲,

Hold hold it till you

Speaker 1

我得提一下,我和我妻子凯特·泰勒在加州奥克兰创办的那家非营利性社区银行,已经为一万七千个低收入家庭的住房提供了融资。

And I should say that the nonprofit community bank that my wife, Kat Taylor, and I started in Oakland, California has financed 17,000 low income housing units.

Speaker 1

我们需要更积极地运用金融手段来降低住房成本。

We need to use finance much more aggressively to drive down the cost of housing.

Speaker 1

第三点我想说的是,加利福尼亚的各个城市和县普遍不希望兴建住房。

And the the third thing I'll say is this, the cities and counties in in California are do not want to have housing in general.

Speaker 1

有人曾经跟我说,他们宁可要一个二手车市场,也不愿意看到新建的公寓楼。

As someone said to me one time, they'd rather have a used car lot than they would a new housing, you know, a new apartment building.

Speaker 1

原因很简单,二手车市场的孩子不用上学。

The reason is used car lots don't go to school.

Speaker 1

二手车市场也不会增加医疗开支。

Used car lots don't take health care costs.

Speaker 1

所以住房这么贵,一方面是因为审批耗时太长,另一方面,城市和县还会收取高额费用,最高可达房价的20%,提前把新居民带来的成本转嫁出去。

And so a real reason that housing is so expensive, both in terms of the time that it takes to get permits, but also cities and counties will charge very large fees up to 20% of the cost of the house so that they can sort of preload the cost of having new inhabitants in their community.

Speaker 1

我承诺,上任第一天就会召开特别选举,关闭一个让加州每年损失超过200亿美元的房地产税收漏洞,这样当我们讨论在某个城市或县建新房时,就不再是无资金支持的负担,而是有资金保障的义务。

I've said that I will, on day one, call a special election to close a corporate real estate tax loophole worth over $20,000,000,000 to the state of California so that instead of when we're talking about a new housing facility in a city or county, it's not an unfunded liability, an unfunded mandate.

Speaker 1

这是一个有资金支持的义务。

It's a funded mandate.

Speaker 1

这样我们就能和各市县政府合作,让他们别再拖拖拉拉了。

And we can then work with the cities and counties, and they can stop dragging their feet.

Speaker 2

我们待会儿再回过头来谈市县政府的问题,不过我想先聊聊模块化住房。

So we're gonna come back to the city and county question, but I wanna jump in on modular for a minute.

Speaker 2

模块化住房早就被寄予厚望,但一直没真正实现。

Modular housing has been promised and hoped for for a long time.

Speaker 2

很多政客都把它吹得天花乱坠。

A lot of politicians have hyped it up.

Speaker 2

投资者也投了钱,结果却大失所望。

Investors have invested in it and been disappointed.

Speaker 2

这个行业里的大公司,多数都失败了。

The big companies in the space have often failed.

Speaker 2

Caterra 融资了二十亿美元,最后还是破产了。

Caterra raised 2,000,000,000 in private capital, went bankrupt.

Speaker 2

Vive 也垮了。

Vive failed.

Speaker 2

Entegra也倒闭了。

Entegra failed.

Speaker 2

Factory OS 是加州最大的一家,最近重新 branding 并完成了新一轮融资。

Factory OS, which is the biggest one in California, was recently rebranded and recapitalized.

Speaker 2

所以这对你思考住房问题的方式至关重要。

So this is pretty central to the way you think about housing.

Speaker 2

你为什么觉得这次会不一样?

Why do you think it will be different?

Speaker 2

你认为他们之前为什么会失败?你从中学到了什么,能让现在的情况有所不同?

Why do you think they failed, actually, and what have you learned that would make it different now?

Speaker 1

让我这么说吧。

Well, let me say this.

Speaker 1

他们失败是有原因的,大多数初创公司失败的原因也一样,Ezra,就是没有收入,也没有订单。

There is a reason they failed, and there's a reason that most startups fail, Ezra, which is they don't have revenues and they don't have orders.

Speaker 1

所以问题在于,第一,这项技术真的管用吗?

And so the question is, a, does the technology work?

Speaker 1

其次,它能不能降低成本?

B, does it drive down costs?

Speaker 1

第三,他们有没有足够的订单,能赚钱、维持运营,进而融资扩张成更大的企业?

And, c, do they have enough orders so that they're making money and able to sustain themselves and then to finance themselves into much bigger enterprises?

Speaker 1

答案是,加利福尼亚州可以修改建筑规范。

And the answer is the state of California can change the building codes.

Speaker 1

加利福尼亚州可以下订单,我们完全可以推动这个行业,让这些公司不仅做到他们承诺的事,还能实现规模效应,达到足够的体量,真正实现他们所说的目标。

The state of California can give those orders, and we can actually drive this business so that in fact, not only do they do what they say they can do, but they can get economies of scale going forward to get the kind of size that that needs so that we can really get what they say they can do.

Speaker 1

目前的估算显示,每平方英尺的成本能降低20%,但我跟他们聊过,那些公司负责人认为这只是一个起点,他们相信还能做得更好。

Because the estimates right now are we can drive down the cost per square foot by 20%, but I can tell you because I've talked to them that the people who run these companies see that as a first step, and they can think they can go much further than that.

Speaker 1

让我再说一点。

And let me say this.

Speaker 1

旧金山有四万个住宅项目,规划许可都批了,但就是没动工,因为建不起能让普通人买得起的价格。

There are 40,000 units in San Francisco, California that are permitted, that are zoned, that are not being built because they can't afford to build them to a price that people can afford to buy them.

Speaker 1

所以,降低成本的能力,是实现住房建设规模翻几倍的关键,也是真正解决住房危机、让普通劳动者和家庭买得起房的核心所在。

So this is actually the ability to drive down this cost is an absolutely critical part of building, you know, multiples of what we've been building for the last four years, and in fact, solving the housing crisis and putting it in a place where working people, working families can afford to buy.

Speaker 1

所以,把这件事做对,是整个方案中至关重要的环节。

So it's really getting this right is a critical part of the mix.

Speaker 2

谢谢您,斯泰耶先生。

Thank you, mister Steyer.

Speaker 2

贝塞拉先生,您昨天发布了一项全面的住房计划。

Mister Becerra, yesterday you released a comprehensive housing plan.

Speaker 2

您在计划中提到,加州建房的成本太高了。

You say in it that it costs too much to build a home in California.

Speaker 2

您还提到,希望在住房建设中更多使用工会劳工,并提高工资标准。

You also say in it that you want more union labor in home building and higher wage standards.

Speaker 2

对民主党来说,这里确实存在一个艰难的权衡。

For Democrats, there's a pretty wrenching trade off here.

Speaker 2

特纳中心的一项分析显示,像支付行业标准工资这样的措施,会使每套住房的成本增加约9.4万美元。

An analysis from the Turner Center found that those kinds of standards, notably paying prevailing wage, increase the cost per unit of housing by about $94,000.

Speaker 2

你们如何同时降低住房成本并提高相关劳动者的工资?

How do you both cut the cost of housing and increase the wages behind it at the same time?

Speaker 4

我认为州议会和威克斯议员已经采取了必要的第一步,让我们能够真正开始建房。

Well, I think the legislature and Assembly Member Wicks took the first measures that we need to get us to that point where we can do is make sure that we are building.

Speaker 4

我们用技术熟练的工人来建房,而且价格还在可承受范围内。

We're building with men and women who are skilled, and we're doing it at a price that we can afford.

Speaker 4

正如我们看到的,如果做填充式住房,把建筑高度控制在八层左右,那么开发商就应该有权自行招聘所需劳工,并争取合理的价格。

And so as we've seen, if you do infill housing and you make sure that if you have housing units that will be up to a certain height, up to usually about eight stories, if you're gonna do that, then you have the right to be able, as a developer, to try to get the the labor that you need and try to negotiate a good price.

Speaker 4

但如果超过这个高度,那就属于大型工程了,必须按行业标准支付工资。

If you go beyond that, you're talking about major construction, prevailing wage will be the standard.

Speaker 4

我觉得这个做法挺妥当的。

I think that's a good approach.

Speaker 4

对于那些低层住宅,我们还允许相关方采取私人行动,一旦发现劳工违法情况就可以追责。

And then what we do is provide to those that are in the lower height housing the opportunity to go out and do private actions if you find that there are violations of labor laws.

Speaker 4

但我得说清楚一点。

But I will tell you this.

Speaker 4

我们不该认为,只有让盖房子的木匠根本买不起房,才能把房子建出来。

We should not believe that we have to build homes by making it so it's impossible for the carpenter who builds a home to never be able to afford to buy it.

Speaker 4

我一定要确保那些盖房子的工人,也有能力买得起自己的房子。

I'm gonna make sure that those workers who are building those homes can actually think about buying those homes themselves.

Speaker 4

只要我们齐心协力,把成本降下来,就能做到。

And it all it takes is for us to work together to make sure we are dropping costs.

Speaker 4

这不仅仅是劳动力的问题。

It's far more than just labor.

Speaker 4

这里面牵涉到很多方面,我们都会一一解决。

There are a lot of things that are involved here, and we would we would tackle those.

Speaker 2

我明白你的意思。

So I take that point.

Speaker 2

但你能说说,怎么在成本上取得平衡吗?

But tell me then about how you balance the cost.

Speaker 2

因为你描述的这种情况,一旦实行标准工资,工资水平一提高,成本自然就上去了。

Because what you are describing here, if you begin paying prevailing wage, you begin paying higher wages, you do increase the cost structure.

Speaker 2

我们都希望工资能更高。

We all want to see higher wages.

Speaker 2

我非常理解你的意思。

I take your point very much.

Speaker 2

盖房子的人,理应买得起房子。

The people who build a home should be able to buy a home.

Speaker 2

这一点谁都不会有异议。

There's nothing there's nothing to disagree within that.

Speaker 2

但你得在某个环节把建筑成本降下来。

But you have to cut the cost of construction somewhere.

Speaker 2

融资是一块成本。

You got financing.

Speaker 2

人工是一块成本。

You've got labor.

Speaker 2

材料也是一块成本。

You've got materials.

Speaker 2

如果你抬高了某一项开支,那另一项又该砍多少呢?

If you are increasing a cost driver, what are you decreasing, and by how much?

Speaker 4

如果我们能取消特朗普时期那些现在被裁定为非法的关税,就能降低建筑材料的成本。

Well, if we could get rid of the Trump taxes, the tariffs that are now being found illegal, that would help us reduce the cost of building materials.

Speaker 4

如果我们能停止在海外发动战争,

If we could stop going to war in foreign loc

Speaker 2

但早在唐纳德·特朗普上台之前,加州的建筑成本就已经很高了。

But cost of construction in California was high before Donald Trump.

Speaker 4

确实很高,但没现在这么离谱。

It was high, but not as high as it is now.

Speaker 4

我们是可以把这些成本降下来的。

And we can lower those costs.

Speaker 4

运输和建筑材料的价格实在太贵了。

Transportation and building materials is very expensive.

Speaker 4

所以我们不能忽视,华盛顿方面也得帮我们一把。

And so let's not disregard that we need Washington DC to be helping us.

Speaker 4

不过你说得对,而且别忘了,大多数普通住宅的劳动力成本,不会像那些大型工程那样按最高价计算。

But to your point and remember, again, labor costs for most homes that are gonna be built will not be based on simply the highest rates that you have in the large mega projects.

Speaker 4

威克斯议员通过的法案提供了多种方式,能让开发商负担得起劳动力成本。

The legislation that was passed by assembly member Wicks provided different ways to do this, which would make the labor cost affordable for developers.

Speaker 4

我们还得解决融资问题。

We also have to deal with financing.

Speaker 4

必须有稳定可靠的融资渠道。

We have to have a stable force of financing source of financing.

Speaker 4

不能只靠一时的举措。

We can't just do it one time.

Speaker 4

我觉得威克斯议员打算提交公投的这项措施不错。

I think the the measure that assembly member Wicks is gonna try to put on the ballot is good.

Speaker 4

我觉得前议员卡恩提出的那个方案也值得考虑。

I think the measure that former assembly Can

Speaker 2

能不能给没跟进的人解释一下,这项措施具体是什么?

describe what that measure is just for people not following?

Speaker 4

十亿美元的债券融资,抱歉,是十亿美元,用来启动经济适用房的建设。

10,000 $10,000,000,000 billion dollars, excuse me, of bonding financing so that you could start building affordable housing.

Speaker 4

汤姆提到的那四万个单位,其实已经准备就绪,只差资金;这一千亿美元一旦到位,就能立刻启动这些随时可开工的项目,让正在找房的加州家庭更有信心。

The 40,000 units that Tom mentioned that are ready to go except the financing, that $10,000,000,000 would be readily available to get those shovel ready projects up and running, which helps give confidence to the California families that are looking to get into a place.

Speaker 2

但到底是什么在降低这里的建筑成本?

But but what is bringing the cost of construction down here?

Speaker 2

我听到的都是新的债券计划,但建筑成本还是太高了。

I'm hearing I'm hearing new bond programs, but the cost of construction is too high.

Speaker 2

你的方案里就是这么说的。

That's what your plan says.

Speaker 2

那到底是什么让成本降下来的?

What brings it down?

Speaker 4

首先,得清理那些繁琐的审批流程,我们正在努力简化程序。

So one, you you go after the red tape, so we try to streamline.

Speaker 4

再说一遍,去年州议会通过的那项法案,已经帮我们减少了州一级的一些繁文缛节。

And, again, the legislation that the legislature passed over this last year helps reduce some of the red tape that you have at the state level.

Speaker 4

但地方层面的费用太高了,我们也得着手解决这个问题。

We have to tack it at the local level because of the the high fees that are imposed.

Speaker 4

你还要确保他们不会利用地方条例来阻挠我们的建设。

You have to also make sure that they aren't trying to use their ordinances to try to prevent us from being able to build.

Speaker 4

要知道,如今盖的大部分住房都是独栋住宅。

Remember that most home most housing that's built today is reserved for single family homes.

Speaker 4

公寓和 condominium 的建设非常少。

Very little construction is done with apartments and condominiums.

Speaker 4

可供购买的住房几乎全是独栋住宅。

Very little to buy other than single family homes.

Speaker 4

如果我们只建独栋住宅,永远达不到我们需要的住房数量。

We're never gonna reach the number we need if we continue to only build single family homes.

Speaker 4

所以,那些允许我们在交通便利的区域进行填充式开发的法案,能帮助我们增加大量可负担的住房,满足需要购房或租房的人群。

And that's why the legislation that allows us to really build out, do the infill where we know we have transportation, will give us an opportunity to increase greater amounts of housing at affordable rates for people who need to either buy or rent.

Speaker 4

我认为,如果我们能这样做,同时建立一个长期稳定的资金来源,而不是只靠一次性住房债券,开发商就会更有信心,知道我们能为他们提供可预期的融资渠道,让项目真正可行。

And I think that if we do that and come up with a stable source of funding into the future, so it's not just a one time housing bond that people can count on, developer developers will begin to have confidence that we are looking to give them a predictable means of being able to finance these projects and have them pencil out.

Speaker 2

谢谢您,贝塞拉先生。

Thank you, mister Becerra.

Speaker 2

波特女士,您在竞选期间经常说,时间就是金钱。

Miss Porter, you've often said on the trail here that time is money.

Speaker 2

这一点,我也从开发商那里经常听到。

Something I hear from developers too.

Speaker 2

我提到的兰德研究发现,在德克萨斯州完成一个多功能住宅项目大约需要27个月,在科罗拉多州是37个月,而在加利福尼亚州则要49个月。

The RAND study I mentioned found that it takes about twenty seven months to complete a multi family housing project in Texas, thirty seven months to complete it in Colorado, and forty nine months in California.

Speaker 2

为什么在这里耗时这么长?您觉得该怎么解决?

Why does it take so long here and what would you do about it?

Speaker 3

首先,我很高兴您提到这项兰德研究,因为这已经是第二次在住房议题活动中,有人问我们到底是什么推高了建设成本。

So first, I love that you're talking about this RAND study because this is the second time that we've had a housing event where we were asked essentially what makes construction costs higher?

Speaker 3

我

And I

Speaker 2

我觉得

think

Speaker 3

有些人可能还没仔细看过这份报告,但我已经认真读过了。

some people still haven't read the study because what the I have read the study.

Speaker 3

这项研究明确指出,速度才是关键,之前我们也被问过,但没人认真看过。

What the study point and we we got asked about it before and nobody read it.

Speaker 3

看来到现在还是没人看。

It doesn't seem like they have since.

Speaker 3

研究清楚地表明,速度才是决定性因素。

The study is very, clear that the the speed is the driver.

Speaker 3

这并不是说那些影响进度的因素不重要,它们确实有影响。

Now that's not to say there aren't a lot of things that were mentioned that contribute to the speed.

Speaker 3

但如果加州能像科罗拉多那样快上二十二个月——科罗拉多既重视环保,又保障工人权益——那么据估算,房价能降低百分之十到二十,而且这还是市场价。

But if Colorado if we could be twenty two months faster, which is what Colorado does, which does care about the environment and does have good worker standards, then the estimates are we could take 10 or even 20% off the price and that was market rate.

Speaker 3

所以没错,我们需要更多住房,但更重要的是,增加供应本身就能让住房变得更便宜。

So yes, we need more housing, but we also need that more housing is a tool to less expensive housing.

Speaker 3

因此,我觉得必须全面考虑手头所有的解决方案。

And so I think it's really important to think about all the different tools in your toolkit.

Speaker 3

我全力支持正在审议的法案,它将推行全州统一的许可制度,让各地都适用同一套标准,也让州政府更容易追踪审批被拒的情况。

I strongly support the pending legislation that would create one uniform statewide permit, making it easier for locale everyone to have the same permit, easier for the state to monitor those denials.

Speaker 3

我觉得限制临最后才加的那些附加条件也很有必要。

I also think it's a really good idea to limit how many sort of last second add ons can come.

Speaker 3

所以现在如果一个城市拿到了许可,我觉得应该给它三十天的时间来确定所有费用。

So I think right now you ought to have to if you're a city and you get a permit, you have should have thirty days.

Speaker 3

这正是立法提案里的建议。

That's the proposal in the legislature.

Speaker 3

当然也有人觉得可以延长到四十五天或六十天,明确列出所有费用。

You could argue it could be forty five or sixty to say, this is what the fees are going to be.

Speaker 3

这是你对污水处理系统的分摊费用。

This is your contribution for sewer.

Speaker 3

这是你对教育系统的分摊费用。

This is your contribution for school.

Speaker 3

然后就不能像现在这样,一点一点地加码,今天加一点,明天再加一点,结果就是拖延越来越多,成本越堆越高,没多久项目就变得根本负担不起了。

And then you cannot do what we see now, is just a little bit more and a little bit more and a little bit more, which is a little bit more delay and then a little bit more cost until pretty soon the project is unaffordable.

Speaker 3

这些只是几个初步的想法。

So those are just a couple of ideas.

Speaker 3

我觉得建筑设计上其实也有不少创新空间,特别是针对小规模多户住宅,比如四户的建筑,现在却要和四百户的项目用完全一样的标准。

I also do think there are innovations in architectural design, particularly for multifamily that could be really helpful, especially smaller multifamily where we're seeing things that are four units have to apply the same standards essentially as something that's 400 units.

Speaker 3

这对小规模项目来说,白白增加了时间成本,却没带来多少实际好处,而我们恰恰最需要这类住房。

So that also adds to the time unnecessarily without providing much benefit of those smaller unit projects, which we need a lot of.

Speaker 3

当然,大规模的住房我们也需要,但加州各地情况差别很大。

Yes, we need all of the big units too, but we've got a lot of different geographies in California.

Speaker 3

每个地方解决这个问题的方式都会不一样。

They're going to solve this problem different ways.

Speaker 3

但不管哪里,都得加快速度,因为时间就是金钱。

But they all need to do it much faster because time is money.

Speaker 2

你有没有发现一个讽刺的现象?不仅在这项研究里,我在做住房报道时也一再遇到这种情况。

There's a difficult irony you see not only in that study, but it comes up again and again in my own housing reporting.

Speaker 2

民主党人最坚定支持、最一致认同的住房类型,就是经济适用房。

There is no form of housing the Democrats feel more strongly about, support more unanimously than affordable housing.

Speaker 2

但奇怪的是,经济适用房每平方英尺的建造成本,反而比市场价住房还高。

Affordable housing costs more to construct per square foot than market rate housing does.

Speaker 2

当你回头看我们在这儿大力宣传的那份研究时,会发现加州和德克萨斯州每平方英尺的市场价住房建造成本几乎是两倍。

When you look at that same study that we are hyping up here on the stage, what you see is that it costs about twice per it costs twice as much to construct a square foot of market rate housing in California's and Texas.

Speaker 2

而在德克萨斯州,每平方英尺的保障性住房成本是市场价住房的四倍。

Four times as much to do a square foot of affordable housing as market rate housing in Texas.

Speaker 2

现在,这些保障性住房有一部分是用公共资金建造的。

Now that affordable housing is being built partly on the public dime.

Speaker 2

那为什么在这里建保障性住房比建市场价住房贵这么多呢?

Why is it so much more expensive here to do affordable housing than market rate?

Speaker 2

没错。

Yep.

Speaker 2

那我们该怎么办?

What do do about it?

Speaker 3

这其实不奇怪,因为保障性住房项目总是面临更多延误。

This is not a surprise because, look, affordable housing projects face more delays.

Speaker 3

各种障碍。

Obstacles.

Speaker 3

他们还面临更多的社区反对。

They face more community resistance.

Speaker 3

zoning 方面的限制也更多。

They face more restrictions on zoning.

Speaker 3

很多人并不希望这类项目出现在自己的社区里。

People don't necessarily want them in a lot of our communities.

Speaker 3

所以另一个问题是,只要项目前景不确定,土地成本就会不断上涨。

And so the other piece of this is that land becomes more expensive every time you have uncertainty about whether something is going to happen.

Speaker 3

成本就这么上去了。

The costs go up.

Speaker 3

另外,经济适用房开发商得从七个不同的资金渠道里拼凑资金,每个都只能提供一部分支持。

The other issue is that affordable housing developers are piecing together financing from seven different pools of money that are all designed to make a contribution.

Speaker 3

好不容易凑齐了第七笔钱,准备开工了,结果第七笔资金却过期了,或者被取消了,又或者某个项目的条款改了。

And you just as soon get the seventh thing and you're ready to go, and then the seventh one expires or you lose that funding or someone changes the term of a program.

Speaker 3

所以,如果能有一个更集中、更大的资金池,像商品房那样,情况就会好很多。

So one consolidated bigger pot of money, which is more similar to what market rate's using.

Speaker 3

对吧?

Right?

Speaker 3

他们跑去华尔街融资了。

They're going to Wall Street.

Speaker 3

钱拿到了,也用上了。

They're getting the the money, and they're using it.

Speaker 3

要是能有个集中的资金池,会好很多。

One consolidated part of, spot of money would help.

Speaker 3

另外,州政府该拿出土地来建保障性住房。

The other thing is the state should be putting land up for affordable housing.

Speaker 3

这可是个关键因素。

That is the is one of the major factors.

Speaker 3

也是最难解决的问题之一。

It's one of the hardest ones to solve.

Speaker 3

只要不倒退住房与劳工政策,劳动力问题其实能解决——其他候选人却都在倒退。

You can actually solve labor by not going backwards on housing and labor policy, which the other candidates both have.

Speaker 3

我觉得我们该想办法降低建筑成本,但土地问题确实很棘手。

I think we ought to be trying to drive down the cost of construction, but the land is the a tricky piece.

Speaker 3

州政府应该提供土地用于保障性住房。

The state should contribute land for affordable

Speaker 2

住房。

housing.

Speaker 2

其他候选人反而在劳动力政策上开倒车。

The other candidates are going backwards on labor.

Speaker 2

你这话是什么意思?

What do you mean?

Speaker 3

我明确说过,现在不是在住宅项目中推行现行工资标准的时候。

So I have not I have said that I do not think today or now is the time to do prevailing wage in residential.

Speaker 3

之前在劳工联合会面前发言时,我是唯一一个这么讲的——你当时应该没在场,所以我得说清楚。

And when we were in front of the labor fed, I was the only candidate I don't believe you were in front of the labor fed, so I just wanna make it clear.

Speaker 3

但在场的那些候选人里,只有我明确表示:现在不该在住宅建设中强制要求使用熟练工人,因为这会推高成本。

But those of us who were in front of the labor fed, I was the only one who said, I'm not doing skilled and trained in full today for residential housing because it's going to drive up the cost.

Speaker 3

我顶住了

I took the

Speaker 2

来自工会的压力。

heat from labor.

Speaker 3

我敢于直面工会。

I stood up to labor.

Speaker 3

洛雷娜·冈萨雷斯当时就在现场,你知道的。

And I Lorena Gonzalez got, you know, it was right there.

Speaker 3

我不怕任何人,因为我有三个青少年孩子,我可不想让他们挤在我沙发上。

And I am not scared of anybody because I've got three teenagers that I do not want living on my couch.

Speaker 3

你们看起来都很不错,但我也不想让你们住在我家沙发上、街头角落,或者别人家的阁楼里。

And you all seem very lovely, but I don't want you living on my couch or a street corner or in someone's attic.

Speaker 3

我希望你们每个人都能拥有一个能安身立命、好好生活的住房。

I want you to all have housing where you can flourish.

Speaker 3

所以,我们必须找到一条路,持续培养这支劳动力队伍。

And so you cannot there is a pathway to keep building that workforce.

Speaker 3

现在迫切需要严格执法,打击劳工侵权和虐待行为,工会在这方面一直发挥着重要作用。

There is a big need, a huge need to enforce labor violations and abusive labor practice, which unions have often been very helpful at doing.

Speaker 3

你也可以通过政府加强对工资违规和用工问题的监管来实现,这正是我的做法。

You could also do that through actually having government oversight of wage violations and and workforce violations, and that would be my approach.

Speaker 2

谢谢您,波特女士。

Thank you, miss Porter.

Speaker 2

马汉市长,圣何塞已经批准了超过两万套新房的建设,但大多数因为经济原因没能动工。

Mayor Mahan, San Jose has been able to approve over 20,000 new homes for construction, most of which did not get built because economics didn't work out.

Speaker 2

萨克拉门托能做些什么,让这两万套房子真正建起来?

What could Sacramento do to get those 20,000 homes built?

Speaker 5

谢谢您组织这场对话,伊兹。

Well, thanks for doing this, Ezra.

Speaker 5

没有比这更重要的议题了。

There's no more important issue.

Speaker 5

跟大家打个招呼,晚上好。

Just wanna say good evening to everyone.

Speaker 5

能来奥克兰真是太好了。

It's great to be in Oakland.

Speaker 5

谢谢大家前来支持住房建设。

Thank you all for coming out and being pro housing.

Speaker 5

这个问题对我来说非常个人化。

This issue is very personal for me.

Speaker 5

我小时候在家长大,记得父母总为怎么还房贷发愁,但我们还算幸运,至少有房贷可还。

I grew up in a house remembering my parents argue about how we're gonna pay the mortgage, and we were lucky to have a mortgage.

Speaker 5

我姐妹们后来都搬出加州了,因为在这里实在负担不起生活开销。

My sisters have since moved out of state because they couldn't afford the cost of living here.

Speaker 5

你刚才问到了州政府层面的事。

So you asked about the state.

Speaker 5

首先,既然谈到整体解决方案,我想先说说我们在圣何塞做了些什么——我们批了两万两千套住房,可它们就是建不起来。

And first, let me, as I come around to what we can do across the board, let me just share what we've done in San Jose because I came in to this problem of we've approved 22,000 homes, and they're not getting built.

Speaker 5

我们一边点头说好,一边为设计图欢呼,新闻上到处都是好消息,大家都很兴奋,唯独邻居们说:我们不想要这个。

So we're saying yes, and we're celebrating the beautiful rendering, and it's in the paper, and everybody's excited except the neighbors who say we don't want it.

Speaker 5

但如果不破土动工,这些都白搭。

And then it doesn't matter because we don't break ground.

Speaker 5

如果你看看兰德公司的研究,时间跟费用是我们能掌控的两个关键点。

And if you look at the RAND study, it's time and its fees are the two big levers we have control over.

Speaker 5

州政府可以给各城市设定一些标准、要求和上限,让我们负起责任来。

And the state can impose upon cities some standards and requirements and caps that can hold us accountable.

Speaker 5

不过我们在圣何塞可没等这些政策出台。

Now we didn't wait for that in San Jose.

Speaker 5

过去两年,我们把市中心以及所有交通走廊沿线规划发展区的多户住宅审批,改成了行政核准制。

In the last two years, we have moved our multifamily housing approvals in our downtown, all of our planned growth areas along all of our transit corridors to what's called a ministerial approval.

Speaker 5

也就是说,只要符合规定,就自动获批。

I mean, it's essentially by right.

Speaker 5

不用再提交给规划委员会,也不用上市议会讨论。

Doesn't go to the planning commission, doesn't come to the city council.

Speaker 5

只需要每周去规划部门开个会,确认一下就能走了。

It's just a weekly hearing in the planning department, and you get told to go.

Speaker 5

它实际上豁免了CEQA的要求。

It actually exempts CEQA.

Speaker 5

只要你符合我们规划的用途,就可以直接建设,而这些区域我们已经规划为高密度的多户住宅。

So you're just you're building by right if you conform with what we've zoned, and we've zoned for dense multifamily housing in these areas.

Speaker 5

我们大大缩短了建设的审批周期。

We have dramatically reduced the timeline for building.

Speaker 5

作为一座大城市的市长,我现在正深度参与这件事。

So I am deep in this right now as a mayor of a big city.

Speaker 5

我们刚快速批准了一个560套住宅的项目。

We just had a 560 unit project get approved in no time.

Speaker 5

项目方一提交,马上就获批了,随时可以开工。

Came in, got the approval, they're ready to go.

Speaker 5

这就是效率。

So that's speed.

Speaker 5

现在,州政府可以设定这些标准和时限,通过法律手段直接赋予开发商‘按规建设’的权利——如果城市或县达不到这些审批时限,开发商依法就有权推进符合规划的项目。

Now the state can impose those standards and set deadlines and use its ability to basically impose effectively a builder's remedy by right and say, if you don't meet these turnaround times, city or county, the developer is going to, by law, have the right to build a conforming project.

Speaker 5

关于费用,我们积攒了太多,拿我所在的城市来说,光是收费项目就列了十多页,看着都挺合理。

On fees, we have accumulated I mean, I can tell you in my city over 10 pages worth of fees that look good on paper.

Speaker 5

每一种可能的影响都要补偿。

It's to mitigate every imaginable.

Speaker 5

交通费、公园费、保障性住房费,每项听起来都挺有道理。

It's traffic and and park fees and affordable housing fees, and they all sound good.

Speaker 5

单独看,每一项都有其合理性,初衷也都是好的。

On their own, they're all justifiable, and they're they're well intended.

Speaker 5

但把这些费用叠加起来,住房成本就增加了百分之十到二十。

But you stack them up, and they're adding 10 to 20% to the cost of housing.

Speaker 5

我们市议会曾经展开过一场非常艰难的讨论。

We had a really tough conversation on our city council.

Speaker 5

我跟议会说,要想让住房项目尽快落地,必须砍掉这些一次性收费。

I came to our council and said, we've gotta cut the onetime fees in order to get the housing in the ground.

Speaker 5

好消息是,只要把住房建起来,长期来看收入自然就补回来了。

And the good news is if we build the housing, we make up the revenue over time.

Speaker 5

我们会有更多的房产税、更多的销售税、更多的员工、更多的就业机会,以及更大的经济活力。

We have more property taxes, more sales taxes, more workers, more jobs, more dynamism.

Speaker 5

从长远来看,我们最终会受益更多。

We we eventually, in the long run, are better off.

Speaker 5

但做出这样的取舍很难,因为你总会遭到公园倡导者、保障性住房倡导者,以及所有你能想到的其他团体的指责。

But it's a tough trade off to make because you get yelled at by the park advocates, by the affordable housing advocates, by every other advocate you can imagine.

Speaker 5

不久前,圣何塞就有位市议员因此丢了席位,我们的上任市长也因削减收费而失去了市议会的多数支持,因为这事被说成是给开发商送好处。

We had a council member literally lose his seat not long ago in San Jose, and our last mayor lose his council majority over a fee reduction because it was framed as a giveaway to developers.

Speaker 2

但还是有不少大型项目因为经济上行不通,迟迟无法推进。

But but there's still a number of big of big projects that have not been able to go forward because the economics aren't working for you.

Speaker 4

那你们能做些什么呢?

So we just What could you

Speaker 2

作为州长,您能做些什么,来帮助像圣何塞这样的城市解决问题?

do as governor to make it work for cities like San Jose?

Speaker 5

最后总结一下,埃兹拉,我们把收费削减了三分之二以上,去年就有两千套住宅动工了。

So to finish the point, Ezra, we we cut the fees by over two thirds, and 2,000 homes got under construction last year.

Speaker 5

又有两千套住宅目前正在筹措资金,很快就要动工了。

Another 2,000 are securing financing as we speak, and we'll break ground.

Speaker 5

州政府能做的,就是限制地方收费。

And what the state can do is cap local fees.

Speaker 5

很多这些收费根本算不上真正的费用。

A lot of these fees are not really fees.

Speaker 5

我们允许那些牵强附会的关联性研究存在,催生了一大群顾问公司——当然,不是说在座的顾问们有问题,但这些关联性论证其实很牵强。

We allow these bogus nexus studies that employ a cottage industry of consultants, no offense to any of the consultants in the room, that the nexus is pretty loose.

Speaker 5

没人能从社区公园里获得六万五千美元的实际价值。

Nobody's getting $65,000 worth of value out of the neighborhood park.

Speaker 5

抱歉。

I'm sorry.

Speaker 5

我很爱我们的公园。

I love our parks.

Speaker 5

但我觉得我们该把收费上限定得更低,坚持自上而下的政策,要求任何想提高收费标准的城市,必须向州政府提交一份可行性报告,证明项目依然能算得过来账,因为这才是问题所在。

But I think what we ought to do is cap fees at a much lower level, stay at top down policy, and require that a city that wants to impose a higher fee actually produce to the state a feasibility study that shows that the project can still pencil because this is the problem.

Speaker 5

我们控制不了利率。

We don't control interest rates.

Speaker 5

我们控制不了木材的价格,但地方上的审批周期和这些费用,全都是我们能掌控的。

We don't control the cost of timber, but timelines at the local level and all these fees are completely levers within our control.

Speaker 5

我们找借口找了太久,这已经阻碍了成千上万套住房的建设。

And we've made excuses for far too long, and it's blocked tens of thousands of units in our cities.

Speaker 2

谢谢您,马汉先生。

Thank you, mister Mahan.

Speaker 2

维拉拉伊戈萨先生,您的竞选网站支持加州的财产税上限法案第13号提案。

Mister Villaraigosa, your campaign site defends Prop 13, California's cap on property taxes.

Speaker 2

您一直强调要守住财产税的底线。

You talk about holding the line on property taxes.

Speaker 2

第13号提案迫使城市提高新房的收费,因为它们从财产税里收不到足够的钱来支付开支。

Prop 13 pushes cities to raise fees on new housing because they aren't collecting enough in property taxes to pay the bills.

Speaker 2

这还让城市更倾向于发展商业和零售项目,而不是住宅项目。

It pushes them to prefer retail and commercial building over residential building.

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Speaker 2

它还让房主不愿意卖房,因为一旦出售,就会失去实际上的税收优惠。

It pushes against home owner selling because it sells to lose what is effectively a tax break.

Speaker 2

我知道Prop 13很受欢迎。

I know prop 13 is popular.

Speaker 2

我坐在这儿说这些当然容易。

It's easy for me to sit here and talk about it.

Speaker 2

但你说过愿意做那些不讨好的事来解决住房危机。

But you say you're willing to do the unpopular things to fix the housing crisis.

Speaker 2

那为什么Prop 13的改革不算一个?

Why isn't Prop 13 reform one of them?

Speaker 6

首先,我当初就没投Prop 13。

First of all, I didn't vote for Prop 13.

Speaker 6

自1978年起,我就公开反对Prop 13了。

I'm on record opposing Prop 13 since 1978.

Speaker 6

你去查一查就知道了。

Look it up.

Speaker 2

我是不是误解了你的竞选网站?

Am I misreading your campaign site?

Speaker 2

嗯,

Well,

Speaker 6

我确实认为我们应该控制房产税,但让我解释一下。

I do believe that we need to hold property taxes down, but let me explain.

Speaker 6

首先,斯泰耶说得对。

First of all, Steyer is right.

Speaker 6

他提到的这种现象叫做土地使用的财政化。

What he was talking about is called the fiscalization of land use.

Speaker 6

由于第13号提案,我们现在的情况是,对小型商场、沿街商铺的奖励,反而超过了对住宅的奖励。

And because of Prop 13, we have a situation where we reward a small mall, strip mall, more than we would housing.

Speaker 6

所以很多城市都在抵制这种做法。

So many cities push back against it.

Speaker 6

因此,就目前的法律而言,我会坚持维持房产税水平,但我认为我们应该像‘长远思考’倡议那样,彻底改革这个支离破碎的税收体系。

So with respect to, I'm saying with the laws we have today, hold the line on property taxes, but I think we need to fix the whole broken tax system along the lines of Think Long.

Speaker 6

Think Long 指出,当年通过13号提案时,商业地产承担了60%的税负。

Think Long has said that what we have today when we pass Prop 13, commercial properties were paying 60% of the freight.

Speaker 6

而住宅业主只承担了40%。

Homeowners were paying 40%.

Speaker 6

现在情况完全反过来了。

Now it's the other way around.

Speaker 6

房产是搬不走的。

Property can't move.

Speaker 6

但人可以。

People can.

Speaker 6

所以我反对对亿万富翁征税,因为我知道他们肯定会搬走。

It's why I've opposed the billionaire tax because I said they're just going to leave.

Speaker 6

但我确实认为13号提案得改,而且要彻底改革整个失衡的税收体系。

But I do believe we need to fix Prop 13, but fix the whole broken tax system.

Speaker 6

但在现行法律框架下,Ezra,房产税确实得稳住。

But within the laws that we have today, Ezra, yes, hold the line on property taxes.

Speaker 2

那你详细说说,你打算怎么改革这个税收体系?

So walk me through how you would fix that tax system.

Speaker 6

抱歉,你说什么?

Beg pardon?

Speaker 2

你详细说说,你打算怎么改革这个税收体系?

Walk me through how you would fix that tax system.

Speaker 6

我们该怎么

How do we

Speaker 2

改呢?

fix it?

Speaker 2

对,你的意思是,你想做的比只改提案13更全面。

Yeah, you're saying you want to do it more comprehensively than Prop 13 reform.

Speaker 6

我们确实得改提案13。

We need to fix Prop 13.

Speaker 6

我刚才不是说了吗,以前商业房产缴税占六成,现在只剩四成了。

I just told you we went from 60% commercial to now 40%.

Speaker 6

不好意思。

Sorry.

Speaker 6

我们以前说过,房主交40%的税,商业房产交60%,现在反过来啦。

We said back then, homeowners are paying 40%, commercial was paying 60%, now it's the other way around.

Speaker 6

这事儿得改。

We got to change that.

Speaker 6

这是第一点。

That's one.

Speaker 6

第二点,我确实觉得,1978年以前买房的人,缴的税跟今天买房的人完全不一样,这个问题得解决。

Two, I do believe that we have to address the fact that people that bought a home before 1978 don't have to pay the same taxes that people who buy a house today do.

Speaker 6

这也不公平。

And that's not fair either.

Speaker 6

我们当然希望降低负担,但也不能忽视,我们这一代能买得起房,是因为上一代人做出了巨大牺牲。

We want to keep those costs down, but we have to address the fact that my generation was benefited by the greatest generation that made sacrifices so we could buy a home.

Speaker 6

顺便说一句,我25岁就买了房。

And by the way, I bought a home at 25 years old.

Speaker 6

我当时在一家非营利组织工作。

I was working at a nonprofit.

Speaker 6

现在年轻家庭根本买不起,因为平均首付要高达十四万到十六万美元。要解决这个问题,我们必须改革扭曲的税收体系,因为我们根本没有服务税。

Today, young families can't buy that because the average down payment is 140,000 to $160,000 But fixing the broken tax system, we got to address the fact that we don't have a service tax.

Speaker 6

几乎每个州都有服务税。

Almost most states do.

Speaker 6

我们必须调整高收入群体的税率。

We got to fix the upper income tax.

Speaker 6

很多高收入人群正在离开,我们必须正视我们过度依赖他们的现状。

Those people are leaving and we've got to address the fact that we over rely.

Speaker 6

我是今天台上唯一一位当过加州州众议院议长的人。

I'm the only person on this stage that's actually been the speaker of the California State Assembly.

Speaker 6

我曾经两次平衡预算,而且都实现了财政盈余。

I had to balance two budgets with a surplus and I did both times.

Speaker 6

事实上,经济好的时候我们能做到,经济差的时候却做不到,因为最顶层的人承担了绝大部分税负。

The fact is we can do that in times of, you know, good times and bad times we can't because the people at the top are paying the vast majority of the taxes.

Speaker 6

所以,Think Long 提出了一项方案,把税负分散到整个经济体系中,减少对高收入群体税收的过度依赖,同时鼓励城市多建住房,而不是购物中心。

So, Think Long has put a proposal to spread them across the economy so that we're not over relying on the upper income tax so that we can tax more and incentivize cities to build housing, not strip malls.

Speaker 2

不错。

Great.

Speaker 2

听起来你是想调整房产税的征收方式。

So it sounds like you wanna move the line on property taxes.

Speaker 2

你觉得现在的制度根本行不通。

You think the system is not working as it currently

Speaker 6

是的。

says?

Speaker 6

制度确实出了问题。

The system's not working.

Speaker 3

对。

Yes.

Speaker 3

而且

And

Speaker 2

那这怎么才能推动费用方面的改变呢?

how then does that give you some movement on fees?

Speaker 2

对吧?

Right?

Speaker 2

我们听到几位候选人提到过各种附加费用,这些费用部分是因为房产税的运作方式造成的。

We've heard a couple of the candidates on stage talk about the various fees that are layered on in part because of the way property taxes work.

Speaker 2

你打算怎么处理这些问题?

How do you approach those?

Speaker 6

当马特和我上台时,我们常常意见一致,因为他讲得对。

When when Matt and I are on the stage, we tend to agree a lot because he's right.

Speaker 6

开发配套费快把我们压垮了。

Impact fees are killing us.

Speaker 6

大约十五万

About 150

Speaker 2

你能给不太了解的人解释一下什么是开发配套费吗?

Can you describe what impact fees are for people who are not No, asleep I'm in the weeds on

Speaker 6

他提到了。

He mentioned it.

Speaker 6

停车费,还有各种团体都说的那些费用,当然,这些都是好事。

Parking fees, all the fees that every group says, all good things by the way.

Speaker 6

你的书的核心观点是,民主党人现在不搞建设了,因为我们总想追求完美,而完美根本不存在。

And your book, the essence of your book is that Democrats don't build anymore because we're looking for perfect and perfect doesn't exist.

Speaker 6

这正是像我们这样有经验的人才会遇到的情况。

That's what happens when you have the kind of experience the two of us do.

Speaker 6

说到底,在经济衰退的八年里,我建成的市场化、工薪阶层可负担和无家可归者住房,比前任十二年加起来还多。

At the end of the day, I built more market rate, workforce affordable and homeless housing in eight years in the middle of a recession than they did in the in the twelve years before me.

Speaker 6

市中心的天际线,人口从两万增长到了六万。

The downtown skyline went from 20,000 people to 60,000.

Speaker 6

我是美国历史上第一位推行公交导向型发展区的市长,让住房围绕公共交通站点建设。

I'm the first person in The United States Of America, mayor, to do transit oriented development districts so that we're building housing along transit districts.

Speaker 6

所以,布菲·威克斯和鲍勃·赫什伯格正在做的这些事,正是我们降低房价、增加住房供给、让年轻人重新买得起房的关键。

So what Buffy Wicks and Bob Hershberger here are doing, these are the things that we need to do to drive down costs, to build housing and to make sure that young people can buy a home again.

Speaker 2

谢谢您,先生。

Thank you, Mr.

Speaker 2

比利亚拉伊戈萨。

Villaraigosa.

Speaker 7

我写的一些歌,都是从钢琴开始的。

Some songs that I've written, I started on the piano.

Speaker 7

《我想要的圣诞节》就是这样写出来的。

That happened with All I Want for Christmas Is You.

Speaker 8

如果你还没听出来,那就是玛丽亚·凯莉。

If you couldn't tell, that is Mariah Carey.

Speaker 8

我是约翰·卡拉蒙尼卡,纽约时报‘30位最伟大的在世美国词曲作者’项目的评审之一。

I'm John Karamonika, one of the critics behind the New York Times' 30 greatest living American songwriters project.

Speaker 8

我们采访了名单上的一些词曲作者,包括泰勒·斯威夫特——她已经很久没参与过这样的视频访谈了。

We interviewed some of the songwriters on our list, including Taylor Swift, who hasn't sat for a video like this in a long time.

Speaker 8

这些对话可不是普通的闲聊。

These are not ordinary conversations.

Speaker 8

你看了这些视频后,就能了解到一些很少人能接触到的创作方式。

You're gonna watch these videos and learn about intimate approaches to craft in ways that you rarely have access to.

Speaker 5

我妈妈给我买了一个笔记本,我写得特别小,就是不想让人看到我写的东西。

My mom had got me this notebook, and I was just writing it really small because I didn't want anybody to read what I was writing.

Speaker 8

明白了。

Okay.

Speaker 8

Jay Z 年轻时的笔记本。

Jay Z's teenage notebooks.

Speaker 8

我真想看看那些。

I need to see those.

Speaker 8

免费观看所有访谈视频,了解更多关于《纽约时报》‘30位最伟大的在世美国词曲作者’项目,请访问 nytimes.com/30greatest 或使用我们的 App。

Watch all the video interviews for free and check out the entire 30 greatest living American songwriters project at nytimes.com/30greatest or in the app.

Speaker 8

也欢迎告诉我们,你是否认同我们的选择。

And let us know if you agree with our picks.

Speaker 8

我猜你不会同意。

I bet you won't.

Speaker 2

我想聊聊很多住房项目都会遇到的一个难题,就是和地方政府之间的冲突。

I wanna talk a bit about one of the difficult fights that a lot of housing projects have run into, which is the conflict with cities and counties.

Speaker 2

贝塞拉先生,您当加州总检察长时,加州就开始对一些城市提起住房诉讼了。

And mister Becerra, you were state attorney general when California began suing cities over housing.

Speaker 2

您曾起诉过亨廷顿海滩市。

You sued Huntington Beach.

Speaker 2

您还主导了圣马特奥县的案件,扩大了住房问责法的管辖范围。

You led the San Mateo case that expanded the housing accountability act, zone of authority.

Speaker 2

如今,纽森州长已威胁要对另外15个拖延或反对州住房法规的城市和县提起诉讼。

Governor Newsom has now threatened lawsuits against 15 more cities and counties for dragging their feet or opposing state housing law.

Speaker 2

这些诉讼真的能推动更多住房建设吗?

Do these lawsuits work to build more housing?

Speaker 2

就拿亨廷顿海滩来说,打了好几年官司,可新房子一栋都没建起来。

I mean, Huntington Beach, it's been just years of legal wrangling, not new build.

Speaker 2

如果这些诉讼效果有限,作为州长,您会用什么其他手段,或者创造什么新工具,来让地方政府跟上州里的步伐?

And if they don't, what enforcement tools would you want to use or create as governor to align cities with the state?

Speaker 4

埃兹拉,你得把所有能用的手段都用上,诉讼肯定是其中之一。

Ezra, have to use every tool you have, and certainly litigation is one.

Speaker 4

谁也不想走到这一步。

You hate to have to go there.

Speaker 4

我们自然希望州政府和地方政府能相互配合。

You would hope that you would have cooperation between state and local government.

Speaker 4

地方政府出于各种原因,都想掌控自己辖区内住房建设的决定权。

Local governments have, for any number of reasons, decided they want to be able to control what happens when it comes to housing in their jurisdiction.

Speaker 4

他们确实有手段,比如分区法规。

And they do have tools, zoning laws.

Speaker 4

我们常提到那些他们试图收取的费用,说是用来支持基础设施建设。

We talk about these fees that they try to collect to help when infrastructure.

Speaker 4

但我想说的是,州和地方必须达成一致,明确加州在住房问题上到底会怎么做。

But what I would say is we have to have an agreement, a state local government agreement that there has to be a clear path on what the state of California will do when it comes to housing.

Speaker 4

每个地方政府都得配合,确保自己尽到应尽的责任。

Every local government must then fall in place to make sure they're doing their fair share.

Speaker 4

起诉亨廷顿海滩,是因为他们自己制定了住房规划方案。

The lawsuit against Huntington Beach was because Huntington Beach had its own housing element plan.

Speaker 4

他们明明承认需要建造几百套新房,结果却反悔了。

It itself had made the made it clear that they needed to build several 100 units of new housing, and then they reneged.

Speaker 4

我们起诉他们的时候就说,这可是你们自己定的计划。

And so when we sued them, we said, you it's in your own plan.

Speaker 4

你们就是不愿意落实。

You're just not willing to do it.

Speaker 4

我们赢了,是因为他们确实违反了法律。

The reason we won is because they were violating the law.

Speaker 4

起诉圣马特奥县,是为了明确一点:州政府在住房问题上必须发挥作用。虽然我们都是加州人,是洛杉矶人、奥克兰人,但大家都要能在加州生活、工作、生存下去。

The case against San Mateo County was simply to make it clear that the state has a role when it comes to housing because while we all are Californians and we're Angelenos or Oaklanders or whatever else, we all have to be able to live and and work and survive in California.

Speaker 4

所以州政府必须承担起责任。

So the state of California has a role to play.

Speaker 4

我曾为一项法律辩护,规定每个辖区都必须履行自己的住房义务,我们最终在法庭上胜诉,法院裁定这项法律合宪,这为我们后来推动立法、促成如今这项新法律奠定了基础,让更多的住房建设成为可能。

I defended the the law that said that every jurisdiction is accountable to meet its housing responsibility, and we prevailed in court and found that that law was constitutional, which set the foundation for us to now be able to push and see the legislation that has now become law that's gonna let us build more.

Speaker 2

但这项法律是否提供了足够的处罚手段来确保它真正生效?

But has that law given access to the kinds of penalties that are needed to make it work?

Speaker 2

比如亨廷顿海滩这个案子就很有趣,因为州政府和亨廷顿海滩之间来回拉扯了很久。

I mean, the Huntington Beach case is interesting because the state and Huntington Beach have gone back and forth.

Speaker 2

亨廷顿海滩后来换了新一届政府,反对声音反而更强了。

There was elections at Huntington Beach that led to more opposition.

Speaker 2

据我所知,到目前为止,住房项目还是没建起来。

And to my knowledge, it has not led to the housing being built.

Speaker 2

问题在于,对那些不愿配合的城市,目前的惩罚力度还不够,没法逼他们听从州政府的要求。

That there is some absence of sanction that is sufficient to make the cities that don't want to do it agree with the state.

Speaker 4

有两个问题,伊泽拉,我这么说,是因为我曾经担任过加利福尼亚州的首席执法官。

Two issues, Ezra, and and this I say as the former chief and law enforcement officer for the state of California.

Speaker 4

执法的难点在于,有时候罚款根本不够痛,根本起不到震慑作用。

The difficulty with enforcement is sometimes the penalties, the fines are never enough.

Speaker 4

对一些城市来说,违法反而像是一种运营成本。

It's almost a cost of doing business to violate the law.

Speaker 4

你宁愿交罚款,也不愿往那个方向走。

You're willing to pay the cost of the fines to not have to go in that direction.

Speaker 4

第二个问题是,这事儿拖得太久了。

The second problem is, of course, it takes forever.

Speaker 4

当我担任州总检察长,或者当卫生与公共服务部部长时,只要法律要求做某事,我第一反应是先给点空间。

And so I I take when I've been attorney general or or when I was secretary of health and human services on the health care side, the approach I took when there's a law in place that requires you to do something, I would first give you leash.

Speaker 4

我会说:先给你一些激励,让你主动按法律要求去做。

I'd say, I'm gonna give you incentives to do what you're supposed to do under the law.

Speaker 4

但过一段时间,这些激励就会减弱,到了某个节点,就得转向处罚了。

At some point, though, those incentives go down, and at some point, we cross over and now becomes penalties.

Speaker 4

拖延的时间越长,处罚就越重。

And the penalties grow the longer it takes you to conform to what the law says you have to do.

Speaker 4

先用激励引导他们主动配合,要是还不行动,再因不作为施加处罚。

Incent them to come forward, and if they don't, then start penalizing them for not coming forward.

Speaker 2

让我谈谈这些激励措施。

Let me pick up on the incentives.

Speaker 2

你计划里有一句话我觉得挺有意思,就是说我们会同时采用奖励的方式。

One of the lines I thought was interesting in your plan is, quote, we will use a carrot approach as well.

Speaker 2

那些履行了义务的城市,应该优先获得州里的资源支持。

Cities meeting their obligations should be first in line for state resources.

Speaker 2

具体是哪些州级资源呢?

Which state resources?

Speaker 4

目前确实有一些现成的住房和社区发展资金可以动用,但马上就要用完了。

Well, we do have some funding that would be available right now in existing housing and community development agency funding, but it's running out.

Speaker 4

我们确实需要一个稳定的资金来源。

We do need to have a a funding source.

Speaker 4

ballot 上那些设立发债授权的提案,能帮我们解决一部分资金问题,但前提是必须确保资金渠道真正建立起来。

The initiatives that are on the ballot to create bonding authority would help us have some of that funding that we would need, but we would have to certainly make sure we're generating the source of funding.

Speaker 4

州议会确实会给州政府拨一些钱。

The legislature does provide the state with some money.

Speaker 4

虽然远远不够,但至少还有改进的空间。

It's not nearly enough, but there is an opportunity to make it clear.

Speaker 4

州政府的资金会优先分配给那些遵守州法义务的地区。

The funding that the state has will first and foremost be allocated to those who are conforming to their state law obligations.

Speaker 4

那些不遵守的,原本可能拿到的钱,现在会转给真正履行住房义务的地区。

Those who aren't, the money that you could have gotten is going to those who are actually fulfilling their housing requirements.

Speaker 2

让我接一下另一边的问题。

And let me pick up the question from the other side.

Speaker 2

比如一些城市,我就拿亨廷顿海滩举例吧,他们根本不想做这件事。

So you have cities, you know, and again, I'll use Huntington Beach as an example to say, we don't want to do this.

Speaker 2

那里选出的代表,竞选时就是承诺不干这事儿的。

The representatives you're dealing with there are elected on a platform of not doing this.

Speaker 2

那为什么州政府有权力强迫他们这么做?

Why is it the state's prerogative to tell them what to do?

Speaker 4

这就像孩子非得吃西兰花一样,道理是一样的。

Well, state same reason kids have to eat their broccoli.

Speaker 4

说到底,我们都得遵守规则。

I mean, we all have to we have to live by rules.

Speaker 4

我向你保证,谁都希望过马路时不用怕红灯,但咱们得守规矩。

I I guarantee you, everyone would love to be able to cross through an intersection and not have to worry about the red light, but we have rules.

Speaker 2

我住在纽约。

I live in New York.

Speaker 2

那儿根本没人理红灯。

Nobody worries about the red light.

Speaker 4

幸好咱们在加利福尼亚。

Thank God this is California.

Speaker 4

你看,我们这个社会相信必须守规矩,也从小就教孩子要遵纪守法。

See, we're not look, we're a society that believes that we must and we teach our kids to follow rules.

Speaker 4

如果你是个城市,眼看着住房危机却还不守规矩,那就别怪我出手了。

And if you're a city and you see the housing crisis and you're not following the rules, then get ready because I'm gonna enforce.

Speaker 4

我会动用州政府的权力,联合总检察长、住房与社区发展部门,还有那些愿意推动变革的人,给你一个真正动工的理由。

I will use the powers of the state working with the attorney general, working with our housing and community development agencies, and working with those who are willing to push the envelope to say, I'm gonna give you a reason to do this building.

Speaker 4

我会给你实实在在的激励。

I'm gonna give you an incentive.

Speaker 4

我会让你优先办理。

I'll put you in the front of the line.

Speaker 4

但迟早你得付出代价,因为我们必须建房。

But at some point, you're gonna pay the price because we need to build.

Speaker 2

马汉市长,接着您刚才说的,我们确实一再看到这种现象:萨克拉门托通过了大型住房法案,但各城市和县却总能找到办法拖延或规避执行。

Mayor Mahan, building on that, we we do see repeatedly this dynamic where big housing bills passed in Sacramento, then cities and counties find ways to delay or evade them.

Speaker 2

您现在是市长,同时也在竞选州长。

You're a mayor right now, also running for governor.

Speaker 2

您会如何处理地方自治与州政府目标之间的这种矛盾?和纽森州长的做法有什么不同?

How would you handle this tension between local control and state goals differently than governor Newsom has?

Speaker 5

我觉得其实纽森州长在住房问题上一直是个坚定的支持者。

Well, I think actually, I think governor Newsom has been a champion for housing.

Speaker 5

虽然我和他在其他政策上公开有过分歧,但在住房方面,他比以往任何一位州长都更有魄力,我对此非常认可。

And and while I he and I have disagreed publicly on some other policy areas, I think he's been bolder on housing than than other past governors we've had, and I give him a lot of credit for that.

Speaker 5

我的理念是,应该通过住房规划和目标指标,明确告诉各城市和县他们该承担什么责任。

I mean, my philosophy is that we should use our housing element process and and the arena targets to tell cities and counties what is expected of them.

Speaker 5

相关政策、项目、分区规划,以及为住房预留的空间和快速审批的机制。

The the policies, the programs, and the zoning and the space they need to create for housing and the ability to approve it quickly.

Speaker 5

我之前提到过限制收费的问题。

I talked about capping fees.

Speaker 5

我们应该给予地方自主权,但前提是他们不能滥用这份权力。

And we should give local control up to the point where they lose the privilege of having that local control.

Speaker 5

根据我的经验,我们曾经也面临过这种情况。

We I can tell you from experience, we were on the receiving end of this.

Speaker 5

在我前任任内就开始了对住房规划的审查,等我上任时,这个问题还在持续。

We had a number of critiques of a housing element that started under my predecessor and then around the time I came into office.

Speaker 2

你能解释一下什么是住房规划吗?

Can you describe what a housing element is?

Speaker 5

住房规划是一项政策文件,城市和县都需要提交给州政府,证明我们已经通过分区规划为新建住房预留了空间,并且本地也有相应的政策和措施来推动住房建设。

This is a policy document that we as a city and counties as well have to submit to the state to basically show that we have zoned to create room for new housing and that we have programs and policies at the local level that will in fact enable that housing to get built.

Speaker 5

我们的规划曾受到一些批评,整个审批过程拖得很慢,来回反复了好几次。

And we had some critiques of our plan, and it was a slow back and forth, a slow process for getting it passed.

Speaker 5

和本州许多其他城市一样,我们没能按时通过审批,而州政府设有一套问责机制,我觉得这比诉讼有效得多。

And like most other many other cities in the state, we did not meet one of the deadlines for approval, and the state has an accountability mechanism that I would suggest is much more effective.

Speaker 5

被这套机制盯上当然不好受,但它比所谓的‘建房人救济’诉讼要有效多了。

It's not fun to be on the receiving end of it, but it's much more effective than lawsuits, which is what's called builder's remedy.

Speaker 5

我认为,诉讼应该是最后的手段。

And I think that the the a lawsuit should be the last resort here.

Speaker 5

我坚信,我们的下任州长绝不能用律师的思维来处理这个问题。

I I feel very strongly that our next governor cannot bring a lawyer's mindset to this problem.

Speaker 5

这是一个市场失灵的问题。

It is a market failure.

Speaker 5

这也是一个流程失效的问题。

It is a it is a process failure.

Speaker 5

问题出在成本叠加上。

It's the cost stack.

Speaker 5

问题出在效率上。

It's the efficiency.

Speaker 5

比如模块化这种创新方式。

It's innovation like modular.

Speaker 5

但当城市未能按时完成审批、试图用收费和地方建筑规范阻止住房建设、或未能真正推动住房落地时,我认为州政府应当介入,为开发商设立强制推进机制,哪怕城市不同意也能继续推进项目。

But in this case, when cities fail to meet permitting deadlines, when they try to use fees and local building codes to block housing, when they don't deliver on actually enabling housing to get built, I think the state should override and create buy right mechanisms for developers to move ahead projects whether or not the city likes it.

Speaker 5

说实话,我觉得这种问责机制更有效,因为我们看到这些诉讼往往拖上好几年,反复上诉,最后法院也许只是要求地方重新修订政策、更新总体规划或住房规划之类的。

I think that's an accountability mechanism that's more effective, frankly, because what we see with these lawsuits is they drag on for years, they get appealed, and eventually, maybe the court tells the locality, go back and update your policies, update your general plan, update your your housing element or whatever it is.

Speaker 5

但住房实际上根本没建起来。

And we're not actually seeing housing get built.

Speaker 5

就你提到的亨廷顿海滩,它确实没增加多少住房供应。

Huntington Beach is not building more housing to your point.

Speaker 5

圣地亚哥我记得是在贝塞拉担任总检察长时被起诉的,那个两千套的项目到现在还没开工。

San Diego, I think, was sued, I think, when mister Becerra was the AG, and one of the projects with 2,000 units still hasn't gotten built.

Speaker 5

所以如果真想建住房,光靠法律途径效果实在有限。

So I think the the legal path is not particularly effective if we actually wanna build housing.

Speaker 2

我想问问你,关于另一面的问题——说服力,以及州政府与城市之间的关系。

Let me ask you about the other side of this question, which is persuasion and the relationship between the state and the cities.

Speaker 2

显然,如果能达成一致,而不是非要靠法律救济或打官司,那就更好了。

Obviously, it is better if there is alignment rather than you have to go to builders remedies or litigation.

Speaker 2

那你觉得有没有办法让城市愿意配合呢?

So do you think there are ways to bring cities along?

Speaker 2

你显然是个大力支持住房建设的市长,但你肯定也认识其他市长,亲眼见过这些争执。

I mean, do you think there are you're obviously a very pro housing mayor, but you presumably know other mayors, and you have seen these fights up close.

Speaker 2

州长能做些什么?或者如果你当州长,会采取什么措施,来让州里的目标和城市的意愿更协调一些?

Are there things the governor could do or things that you would do as governor that would that you think could lead to more cohesion between the state goals and the city's preferences?

Speaker 5

是的。

Yeah.

Speaker 5

我觉得我们需要——我们之前也提到过,融资工具很重要。

I think we're going to need we've talked to we touched on financing tools.

Speaker 5

你们可能都知道,大衰退期间,加州的再开发项目被取消了。

And as you all probably know, during the Great Recession, redevelopment went away went away in California.

Speaker 5

我认为再开发项目当初提供的那种税收增量融资机制很有用,就是可以预估未来房产税的增长部分,把这部分预期收益提前打包成债券,用来支持本地改造。

And I think that what redevelopment offered was this tax increment financing, meaning you could project future property tax increases, the increment, and then pull that value forward and bond it to make local upgrades.

Speaker 5

我觉得我们需要有限度地重新启用这个工具。

And I think we need to revisit having that tool in a limited fashion.

Speaker 5

有些城市和县因为滥用导致债务高企,所以必须设置一些限制措施。

I think there some cities and counties got into trouble and racked up big debts, and so there need to be guardrails.

Speaker 5

但这种方式能让城市在不把所有新增成本都压在每个新项目上的情况下,建设所需的基础设施。

But that is a way for cities to build the infrastructure that they need without having to put all of that incremental cost on each new project upfront.

Speaker 5

我认为这可以成为推动更多保障性住房建设的手段,也能促进那些让城市和县更快看到住房建设财政收益的配套升级。

And I think it's a mechanism that could be used to unlock more affordable housing, more of the horizontal upgrades that would enable cities and counties to see the fiscal benefits of building housing faster.

Speaker 2

贝塞拉先生,您刚才提到了诉讼是否有效的这个问题。

Mister Becerra, you mentioned there over the question of whether or not the litigation is effective.

Speaker 2

您有一分钟时间进一步展开说明。

You have one minute to expand on that.

Speaker 4

我和马特一样,并没有具体点出这个项目,但这是发生在圣迭戈县山区、属于野火高风险区域的一个项目。

And I believe we, as Matt, didn't identify the project specifically, but this was a project in the San Diego County area that was in the hills in wildfire risky areas.

Speaker 4

这是一个规模相当大的开发项目,有好几千个单元。

It was a pretty large development, several thousand units.

Speaker 4

它只有一条逃生通道。

It had one route for egress.

Speaker 4

我们去找了开发商,也找了县政府,告诉他们:这有安全隐患。

And we went to the developer and we went to the county and said, this is a safety hazard.

Speaker 4

如果真发生山火,这可能会造成人员伤亡。

This is something that could lead to the loss of life if indeed we have a wildfire.

Speaker 4

那是我担任总检察长期间,2017到2021年的事,远在帕利塞兹和阿尔塔登那之前。

This was when I was AG between 2018 2017 and 2021, way before Palisades and Altadena.

Speaker 4

我们就跟他们说:你们要是建这么多住宅,让人住到山上,万一山火来了,总得让人有活命的出路吧。

And we simply said to them, if you're gonna build that many housing units and people are gonna be living up there and there's a wildfire that hits, you better have a way for these folks to be able to save their lives.

Speaker 4

只有一条逃生通道,根本不够。

Having one route of egress was not gonna do it.

Speaker 4

所以我们跟他们讲:要是你们不解决这个问题,会怎么样?

So we said to them, if you're not gonna take care of this, guess what?

Speaker 4

那我们只能告你们了。

We're gonna have to sue you.

Speaker 4

我们试过了。

We tried.

Speaker 4

我们本来不想走法律途径,但有时候,马特,确实需要有人懂得如何执行法律。

We tried not to do the litigation, but sometimes, Matt, it does help to have someone who knows how to enforce the law.

Speaker 2

维拉拉戈萨先生,您曾担任洛杉矶市长,这座城市对我来说意义非凡,我是加州大学洛杉矶分校的毕业生,小时候就住在离这儿一小时车程的地方。

Mister Villaraigosa, you were mayor of Los Angeles, a city very close to my heart as a UCLA graduate, and I grew up an an hour ago.

Speaker 6

我也是。

Me too.

Speaker 4

这不就对了。

There you go.

Speaker 2

最近,洛杉矶在住房政策上并没有树立什么好榜样。

LA has not exactly been a model of pro housing policy of late.

Speaker 2

市长凯伦·巴斯签署了81号法案,加快了经济适用房的建设,但后来因为地方反对,看到效果太好反而开始倒退。

Mayor Karen Bass signed 81 which expedited affordable housing then started rolling it back because of local opposition when it seemed to work almost too well.

Speaker 2

洛杉矶通过了ULA措施,对500万美元以上的房产交易征收转让税,结果似乎抑制了多户住宅项目的开发。

LA passed measure ULA, a transfer tax on the sale of properties over $5,000,000 which seems to have cut the development of multifamily properties.

Speaker 2

SB 79号法案本意是增加公共交通周边的住房密度,在萨克拉门托通过了,但洛杉矶市议会却通过重新分区来拖慢它的进度。

SB 79, which increases housing density around transit passed in Sacramento, and LA City Council passed a rezoning to slow it down.

Speaker 2

如果你当州长,会怎么让洛杉矶重新成为住房建设的推动力?

What would you do as governor to make Los Angeles an engine of housing progress again?

Speaker 6

正如我之前说的,我再重复一遍:在经济衰退期间的八年里,我建成的市场化、工薪阶层和无家可归者住房,比之前十二年的总和还多,市中心的人口从两万涨到了六万。

Well, as I said, and I'll say it again, I built more market rate, workforce affordable homeless housing in eight years in the middle of a recession than in the twelve years before me, the downtown skyline changed from 20,000 to 60,000 people.

Speaker 6

我同意。

I agree.

Speaker 6

说实话,我反对ULA法案。

Look, I'm opposed to the ULA.

Speaker 6

ULA就是一项房产转让税,大家要知道这一点。

The ULA is a transfer tax, everybody.

Speaker 6

听起来是挺不错的,条款写得也漂亮。

What it says, it sounds good.

Speaker 6

他们管这叫豪宅税。

They call it the mansion tax.

Speaker 6

它规定,售价超过五百万元的房产,要征收百分之五的转让税。

It says that homes over 5,000,000, you have to have a 5% transfer tax.

Speaker 6

首先,在洛杉矶,五百万元根本买不到一栋豪宅。

You can't buy a mansion in LA, number one, for 5,000,000.

Speaker 6

其次,这政策影响的不只是独栋住宅。

But number two, it doesn't just impact single family dwellings.

Speaker 6

它还波及多户住宅。

It impacts multifamily dwellings.

Speaker 6

连商业房产也一并受影响。

It impacts commercial.

Speaker 6

说到兰德公司和加州大学洛杉矶分校,我的母校,他们做过一项研究。

Speaking of RAND and UCLA, my alma mater, they did a study.

Speaker 6

这项研究显示,自从实施ULA以来,建筑开工量下降了百分之八十四。

And that study showed that we've had an 84% drop in construction since the ULA.

Speaker 6

我要明确一点,据我所知,在那八年里,我经手的住宅、机场、社区学院和学校的建设项目,使用的塔吊数量比谁都多。

And let me be clear, as I understand it, I had more cranes than anybody in that eight year period of time for housing, the airport, community colleges, schools.

Speaker 6

今天,我们终于实现了二十年前我提出的一个构想的第一步。

Today, we just opened up the first leg of something I said twenty years ago.

Speaker 6

我当时说,和我一起畅想一下。

I said, dream with me.

Speaker 6

我们要建一条通往海边的地铁,现在真的建成了。

We'll build a subway to the sea and we built it.

Speaker 6

顺便说一句,说到之前在休息室聊的那些事,我跟你们提过,我当时在推动资源充裕的计划。

And by the way, abundance, when we were talking in the green room or whatever that was, one of the things I told you, I was doing abundance.

Speaker 6

2012年,我去见了奥巴马,跟他说:奖励那些愿意自掏腰包投入建设的城市和县区,让我们能拿到低息贷款来修建公共交通。

In 2012, went to 10, I went to Obama and I said, reward cities and counties that are putting up their own money, allow us to access low cost loans to build transit.

Speaker 6

我还说,把国家环境政策法和加州环境质量法合并,缩短审批时间——你不是也说过吗?时间拖得越长,成本就越高。

And then I said, put NEPA and CEQUA together to cut time because you said it, drives up cost is time.

Speaker 6

我们的配套收费,还有加州环境质量法。

Our impact fees, our CEQUA.

Speaker 6

你知道吗?根据加州环境质量法,其实根本不需要……

Do you know that under CEQUA, you don't need to It's supposedly the California Environmental Quality Act.

Speaker 6

你没必要以环保为由去打官司。

You don't need to sue on environmental reasons.

Speaker 6

但根据《国家环境政策法》,你就得这么做。

NEPA, you do.

Speaker 6

你甚至可以从加利福尼亚州的里士满,或者弗吉尼亚州的里士满,对加利福尼亚州里士满的项目提起诉讼。

You can sue from Richmond, California, I mean Richmond, Virginia for a project in Richmond, California.

Speaker 6

没错,确实可以。

Yes, you can.

Speaker 6

这系统已经乱了。

It's broken.

Speaker 6

这事儿我全国范围内已经较了二十年的劲了,最近和巴菲这些人一起干,我特别欣赏他们的做法,因为这正是我们推进建设必须做的事。

I've been taking it on for twenty years nationally and lately that with Buffy and some of these people, I love what they're doing because this is what we have to do to build.

Speaker 2

但我得问你一下洛杉矶的政治情况,因为那里的议员和市长确实都在回应本地的具体诉求。

But let me ask you about the politics of Los Angeles because I do take the legislators there, the mayors there is responding to local local demands.

Speaker 2

我记得有一次跟加西亚蒂市长谈话,当时洛杉矶刚通过H号提案,压力就来了。

I remember speaking to mayor Garcetti at one point, and there was pressure after Los Angeles passed measure, HHH.

Speaker 2

他们确实拿到了建房的钱,但很多地方都不愿意让项目建在自己家门口。

Well, they got the money to build, but a lot of places didn't want it built where they were.

Speaker 2

所以,即使在房价高得离谱的城市,也照样有人反对。

And so there there is a a push here even in a city where housing is very expensive.

Speaker 2

你对这座城市了如指掌,比谁都清楚。

So, you know, you you know that city as well as anybody.

Speaker 2

你该怎么说服洛杉矶市长和市民,让他们相信你做的事对这座城市真正有利?

Like, how would you persuade both the mayor of Los Angeles and the people of it that the things you want to do are good for LA?

Speaker 6

其实大家在这点上意见挺一致的。

You There's know, a lot of agreement here.

Speaker 6

Xavier 提到过,要用胡萝卜加大棒的策略。

Xavier said something about using a carrot and a stick.

Speaker 6

我同意。

I agree.

Speaker 6

我就是这么做的。

That's what I did.

Speaker 6

我特别喜欢用奖励的方式。

I love using carrots.

Speaker 6

我喜欢走进各个社区,跟大家聊建住房或者收容所的必要性,不管具体是哪儿。

I loved going into neighborhoods, talking about the need to build a housing or a homeless facility or wherever it is.

Speaker 6

我喜欢和他们合作,也愿意妥协。

I love working with them and compromising with them.

Speaker 6

但最后我明白了一件事。

But in the end, I understood one thing.

Speaker 6

如果你想讨人喜欢,就养条狗吧。

If you want to be popular, get a dog.

Speaker 6

这些工作总得做些艰难的决定。

These are jobs where you got to make tough calls.

Speaker 6

我做了这些艰难的决定。

I made those tough calls.

Speaker 6

正因如此,犯罪率才下降了48%。

That's how crime went down 48.

Speaker 6

我到那儿的时候,那是全美最暴力的大城市。

It was the most violent big city in America when I got there.

Speaker 6

这就是为什么毕业率提升了60%。

That's how graduation rates went up 60%.

Speaker 6

我掀了桌子,做了那些艰难的决定。

I rocked the apple cart and I made the tough calls.

Speaker 6

当你当上州长的时候,就得这么做。

And that's what you have to do when you're governor.

Speaker 6

我们通过了这些法律,但关键是要落实到位。

We passed all these laws, but we got to implement them.

Speaker 6

我同意你的看法。

And I agree with you.

Speaker 6

加文毫无疑问是一位关注住房的州长。

Gavin has without question been a housing governor.

Speaker 6

法律是通过了,但现在更需要有人来真正推动执行。这就是为什么我主张在住房部门设立一个问责委员会,确保他们不仅写好了住房规划,更实实在在地建出规划里承诺的住房。

We passed the laws, but now we need the leadership to actually implement them, which is why I've said we need an accountability, a housing production accountability board within, the housing department to make sure they're meeting not just their housing element, but actually building the housing that they say that's in that element.

Speaker 2

谢谢您,维拉拉戈萨先生。

Thank you, mister Villaraigosa.

Speaker 2

斯泰耶先生,我在这一部分一直在问,如何应对来自体制内部的阻力,而加州的体系非常复杂,州长并不能完全掌控。

Mister Steyer, I've broadly been asking questions in this section about how to manage opposition coming from parts of the system, and California is a very complex system the governor does not control.

Speaker 2

在所有在场的候选人中,您对加州层层叠叠的政府机构、重叠的职权和利益相关方的了解最少。

Of all the candidates on stage, have the least experience dealing with California's many many layers of government, overlapping authorities, stakeholders.

Speaker 2

您之前从未担任过公职。

You've never held public office before.

Speaker 2

这是一个极度依赖人际关系的体系。

It's very relationship based system.

Speaker 2

我接触过很多欣赏您理念的人,但他们担心您会被这套体系压垮。

Many people I've talked to who like your ideas are worried you'll get overwhelmed by the system.

Speaker 2

就连对这套体系了如指掌的人,都容易被它压得喘不过气。

It overwhelms even people who know it very well.

Speaker 2

您怎么回应这些担忧?

What's your answer to them?

Speaker 1

你应该知道,过去十一年里,我们在萨克拉门托有二十个人一直在推动立法,全程参与这个体系,努力组建联盟、推进进步政策。

You should know that for the last eleven years, we've had 20 people in Sacramento working on legislation and being part of this system for the whole time to trying to put together coalitions and work for progressive policies.

Speaker 1

其次,我在加利福尼亚州主导过三项公投提案,每一项都需要联合立法者、工会、各种利益团体,很多时候还包括商会,比如在推动烟草税时,还得争取医疗协会的支持。

Second of all, I've done I've run three ballot initiatives in the state of California, all of which have required a coalition of legislators, of unions, of, you know, interest groups, including many times chambers of commerce, including, you know, in in in the case of getting a tobacco tax, getting the people in the medical associations.

Speaker 1

但我也想说一点。

But let me say this too.

Speaker 1

听你们在台上讨论,我们一直在谈怎么激励各城市和县区。

Listening on this stage, we're talking a lot about how we're going to incent cities and counties.

Speaker 1

在我看来,你们其实说的是两回事。

You're talking about, in my mind, two different things.

Speaker 1

一个是,我们该怎么重组州政府内部的各个机构?

One is how are we gonna organize the agencies within the state government?

Speaker 1

另一个是,我们该怎么跟加州各地的城市和县区打交道?

How are we gonna relate to the cities and counties around the state of California?

Speaker 1

这是两个完全不同的问题。

And those are two separate questions.

Speaker 1

首先,州长把所有住房事务集中到一个部门,这算是个不错的开端,但远远不够。因为住房在时间和成本上的问题,很大程度上源于多个机构职责重叠、目标不一致甚至相互冲突。

The first one, this the governor's step of bringing all of the housing into one place is a good first step, but not nearly enough because a large part about the problems in timing and cost of housing have to do with multiple overlapping agencies who have different goals and conflicting goals.

Speaker 1

所以,这确实是个好的开始。

So that is a good first step.

Speaker 1

但说到城市和县一级,舞台上总给人一种印象,好像他们做错了什么,纯粹是‘别建在我家后院’的心态。

But in terms of the cities and counties, there's been a sense on this stage that they're doing something wrong, that it's basically nimbyism.

Speaker 1

他们不想干,所以就阻挠。

They don't wanna do it, and therefore they obstruct.

Speaker 1

我第一次想说的是这个:

And what I was trying to say the first time is this.

Speaker 1

确实有这方面的原因,但更重要的是,他们根本负担不起。每一个住房项目对他们来说都是没有拨款的强制任务。

There is an element of that, of course, but there's also the element that they can't afford to do this, that they are getting every housing development is an unfunded mandate.

Speaker 1

而我是舞台上唯一一个提出要通过提案,为城市和县拨款超过200亿美元的人,让它们不再背负无资金支持的强制任务。

And I'm the only person on the stage who's saying, I'll pass a proposition to bring over $20,000,000,000 to the cities and counties so it's no longer an unfunded mandate.

Speaker 1

说到如何与人合作,很大程度上其实取决于关系。

And to a large extent, when you're asking how do you get along with people, a lot of it is about relationships.

Speaker 1

在我的政府里,我肯定会让一些长期在这里建立关系的人来负责,他们将组成我所说的政府间事务办公室的核心团队。

And I'm sure that we would have in my administration, I have particular people in mind who have long relationships here and would be part of what I would think of an office of intergovernmental affairs.

Speaker 1

但另一个问题是:

But the other question is this.

Speaker 1

你说的胡萝卜和大棒,总得有点胡萝卜才行。

When you talk about carrots and sticks, you gotta have some carrots.

Speaker 1

我说的胡萝卜,就是两千二百亿美元。

And I'm talking about $22,000,000,000 worth of carrots.

Speaker 2

关于这个胡萝卜,我有两点要说。

So two things on that carrot.

Speaker 2

比如说

Something like

Speaker 1

就是这个胡萝卜?

that that carrot?

Speaker 2

就是这个胡萝卜。

On that carrot.

Speaker 2

几年前 ballot 上有个非常相似的提案。

There's a very similar proposal on the ballot a few years ago.

Speaker 2

结果没通过。

It failed.

Speaker 2

是的。

Yes.

Speaker 2

220亿美元也远高于多数人对这项措施所能筹集资金的估算。

$22,000,000,000 is also higher than most estimates of how much money that would bring in.

Speaker 2

如果你把这项房产税改革,或者你所说的特朗普税漏洞关闭措施放上 ballot,支持它,但像很多初衷良好的加税提案一样,最终失败了,那当钱拿不到的时候,其他计划怎么办?

So if you put this Prop 13 reform or the closing of what you call the Trump tax loophole on the ballot, and you support it, and as often happens with well meaning ballot measures to increase taxes, it fails, then what happens to the rest of the plans when the money isn't there?

Speaker 1

让我来澄清一下。

So let me see this.

Speaker 1

听我说,伊扎。

Say this, Ezra.

Speaker 1

你知道,因为你做了研究,我也经历过三次,每次都有人问我问题,而那些问题涉及的提案,比现在这个分拆计税提案要难得多。

As you know because of you've done your research, I've done this three times, and three times people have asked me questions where this was a much tougher proposition than the one that is split roll.

Speaker 2

你是说公投提案吗?

You mean ballot measures?

Speaker 6

对。

Yes.

Speaker 1

是的。

Yeah.

Speaker 1

每当我考虑公投提案时,关键问题就在于有没有人出钱反对。

I've done it when you think about ballot measures, it's a question of, is there funded opposition?

Speaker 1

我曾经对抗过石油公司,它们在反对资金上可以说是倾尽所有了。

And I've done it against oil companies that are as funded in opposition as you're ever gonna get.

Speaker 1

大家都说我们疯了,根本不可能赢,结果我们拿到了70%的选票。

And people told me we were crazy to do it, and we got 70% of the vote.

Speaker 1

我们还在烟草问题上赢了,立法机构二十年都没做成的事,我们靠公投拿下了60%以上的支持。

We did it at the tobacco companies where the legislature had failed for twenty years to do it, and we got over 60% of the vote.

Speaker 1

我们还击败了那些逃避缴纳合理州所得税的外地公司。

And we also beat the out of state companies who weren't paying fair state income tax.

Speaker 1

所以回答你的问题,我在加利福尼亚州内已经成功推动过三次。

So in answer to your question, I've done it three times in the state of California in one.

Speaker 1

在加利福尼亚州外,我也同样成功推动过三次。

I've done it three times outside the state of California in one.

Speaker 1

我看着这种情况,觉得关键在于我们能不能让加州民众明白,这笔钱是必需的,是绝对必要的,而且势在必行。

I look at this and I say, this is a question is can we convince the people of California that this is something necessary, that the money is absolutely necessary, and that it's just.

Speaker 1

在这两种情况下,我都坚信这一点,而且我很有信心我们一定能做成。

And in both of these cases, I believe that to be true, and I'm overwhelmingly confident that we can do it.

Speaker 1

因为说实话,大家现在讨论的这个问题——也就是马特提到的重新开发,我觉得这个想法不错——每年十亿美元根本不够。

Because the truth of the matter is what everybody's talking about here, when we're talking about doing redevelopment, which is what Matt said, which I think is a good idea, that's a billion dollars a year, not enough.

Speaker 1

我们需要建大量的住房,而且必须让各城市和县市跟我们一起行动。

We're talking about we need to build a lot of houses, and we need the cities and counties to come along with us.

Speaker 1

归根结底,我们需要给他们提供足够的资金来实现这些目标。

Basically, we need to fund them to be able to do it.

Speaker 1

然后你问,那你们的手段是什么,对吧?

And then you're asking what's your, you know, what's your stick?

Speaker 1

Xavier刚才说,我们可以起诉他们。

And Xavier was saying, you know, well, we can sue them.

Speaker 1

他确实提到这是最后的手段,但说实话,这种方式赶不上时间要求。

And he did say it was last resort, but the truth of the matter is that doesn't get it done in the time frame.

Speaker 1

真正能推动这件事的,还是资金。

Money is actually how we're gonna get this done.

Speaker 1

因为道理很简单:你做了,就给钱。

Because the answer is gonna be, you do it, you get the money.

Speaker 1

你不做,就没钱。

You don't do it, you don't get the money.

Speaker 1

你多做一份,就多拿一份。

You do more than your share, you get more than your share.

Speaker 1

这真的需要我们有这个能力。

This is a real we need the ability.

Speaker 1

你是在说关系吗?

You're talking about relationship?

Speaker 1

我说的是激励机制。

I'm talking about incentive.

Speaker 1

我们该怎么真正激励大家呢?

How do we actually incent people?

Speaker 1

大家都觉得这些人做错了事,还存在邻避效应。

Everyone's assuming these guys are doing something wrong, and there is nimbyism.

Speaker 1

但说实话,我跟一些市长聊过,他们说:我不想做,是因为我负担不起。

But the truth is, when I've talked to mayors, they've said, I don't wanna do this because I can't afford to do this.

Speaker 1

只要你把钱带来,我一定全力支持你。

And if you bring the money, I'll be behind you all the way.

Speaker 2

波特女士,您和我都住在加利福尼亚州欧文市,相隔几个街区。

Miss Porter, you and I both lived a couple blocks away from each other in Irvine, California.

Speaker 2

欧文市是个很特别的城市。

Irvine's an unusual city.

Speaker 2

它是一个整体规划的社区。

A master planned community.

Speaker 2

欧文公司当年在十九世纪就集齐了那片土地,一直持有,并以如今几乎不可能的方式规划开发。

The Irvine company assembled the land of the nineteenth century and held it and then shaped it in this way that would be almost impossible today.

Speaker 2

我说‘几乎不可能’,是因为现在真有人在尝试类似的事——那就是加利福尼亚永续项目。

And I say almost because somebody's trying to do something similar right now, which is a California forever project.

Speaker 2

这位科技富豪——抱歉,是这位科技富豪支持的项目,计划在索拉诺县建一座四十万人的新城,土地收购方式跟当年的欧文有点像。

This tech billionaire, excuse me, tech billionaire backed effort to build a new master plan city of 400,000 in Solano County, in Solano County, I'm sorry, on land assembled somewhat like Irvine was.

Speaker 2

当地反对声音很大。

There's been a lot of local opposition.

Speaker 2

土地的取得方式相当特殊,而且一直很隐秘。

The way that land was acquired was sort of unusual and secretive.

Speaker 2

我这儿有两个问题想问你。

I have two questions for you here.

Speaker 2

作为州长,您对加利福尼亚永续项目怎么看?

As governor, what do you what would you think of California Forever?

Speaker 2

您会以什么样的态度来对待这个项目?

What would your what would be your relationship to that project?

Speaker 2

更广泛地说,您对像RIFF这样的总体规划项目有什么看法?

And more broadly, what do you think of the kind of master planning projects that led to RIFF?

Speaker 3

是的。

Yeah.

Speaker 3

我其实主动要求去见加州永恒公司的人,因为首先得认真听,得搞清楚情况,得深入研究细节,得读完报告,得提出尖锐的问题。

So I've actually asked to meet with the California Forever people because the first thing is gotta listen, you gotta find out, you gotta dig in the details, you gotta read the study, you gotta ask the hard questions.

Speaker 3

对吧?

Right?

Speaker 3

我觉得他们可能怕我带着白板去,所以一直不回我。

And I I think they might be scared I'm bringing a whiteboard and so they keep they keep not responding.

Speaker 3

但我真的是抱着想理解他们的态度去的。

But I'm really coming in in a place of wanting to understand it.

Speaker 3

我觉得其中一部分是邻避情绪。

So look, I think some of that is nimbyism.

Speaker 3

我想对那些认为邻避情绪没那么严重的人说,你们不妨亲自去亨廷顿海滩看看,因为我曾经代表过那里。

And I would just say to those on the stage who don't think there's very much nimbyism, I invite you to visit Huntington Beach for yourself because I used to represent Huntington Beach.

Speaker 3

你知道的,奥兰治县很多城市都特别反对建住房。

And a lot of those cities in Orange County, as you know, are very anti housing.

Speaker 3

但有趣的是,尔湾并不在其中。

Now Irvine, interestingly, is not one of them.

Speaker 3

他们到现在还在持续建设。

They are still building.

Speaker 3

从你住那儿到我住那儿,人口一直在增加。

We are adding people from when you live there to when I live there.

Speaker 3

人口翻了一倍甚至三倍,因为他们能掌控关键因素,不会被各种叠加问题压垮。

The population has doubled or tripled, and that is because they have they control enough of the factors that they don't get gobsmacked with all of these additive things.

Speaker 3

所以,全面统筹所有相关因素确实有它的优势。

And so there is something to having that kind of, like, bigger bigger reach around all of the factors.

Speaker 3

但让我再举个反例,说明这种模式并不总有效——这就是特哈翁牧场,我猜你可能也想到了这儿。

But let me give you another example of where this doesn't work, and this is where I thought you were going with California forever, which is Tejon Ranch.

Speaker 3

这个案例特别有意思,你熟悉吗?

Now this is a really interesting are you familiar?

Speaker 3

这是一个非常有意思的案例。

This is a really interesting example.

Speaker 3

这曾是,我想现在也还是,加州面积最大的连续私人土地。

This was, like, one of the largest I think it's still today, the largest contiguous private landholding in California.

Speaker 3

真的很了不起。

Pretty pretty amazing.

Speaker 3

它位于洛杉矶之外。

And it's outside of Los Angeles.

Speaker 3

他们一直试图在这里开发住宅,三十多年来都在努力建设面向工薪阶层的住房。

They have been trying to develop, and I went and I visited and I saw it, they have been trying to develop housing there, workforce priced housing for thirty some years.

Speaker 3

他们拥有这片土地。

And they own the land.

Speaker 3

根本没人能批准他们,没有任何机构能管这事。

Like, there's no there there there's not anybody to permit them.

Speaker 3

对吧?

Right?

Speaker 3

他们一直被起诉。

They just keep getting sued.

Speaker 3

他们因为CEQA被起诉了。

They got sued on CEQA.

Speaker 3

33项反对意见里,他们解决了29项,然后还是上了法庭。

They resolved 30 29 of the 33 objections, and then they went to court.

Speaker 3

结果其中一项他们输了。

And they lost on one of them.

Speaker 3

你知道后来怎么样了吗?

And do you know what happened?

Speaker 3

所有33项反对意见又全回到了起点。

Back to zero on all 33 objections.

Speaker 3

所以,是的,说能掌控局面确实有点道理,但我们还得用上很多别的办法。

So, yes, there's something to sort of saying you can get your arms around it, but we we have to do a lot of a lot of other tools.

Speaker 3

我一直在想总体规划这件事,它其实可以用来应对一些配套费用问题。比如尔湾——你知道的,在尔湾的任何一条商业街,你要是刚走进一家店,走出来心想:糟了,我还得去拿另一样东西。

One thing I do think about master planning is that it can be a way to deal with some of that impact fees because Irvine, as you know, in any given strip mall in Irvine, if you're standing there and you've just walked into one store and you walk out and you think, shoot, I need to go get that other thing.

Speaker 3

欧文公司,那个大老板,已经在购物中心对面的停车场把那东西建好了。

Irvine Company, big brother, will have put that thing across the parking lot in the strip mall.

Speaker 3

这事儿真有点吓人。

It's, like, actually scary.

Speaker 3

这并不是适合每个人的做法。

And it's not for everybody.

Speaker 3

真的不适合大多数人。

It is really not for everybody.

Speaker 3

但我认为,我住在橙县,还在这里抚养孩子,这种生活模式跟别处很不一样——这里既有全州最顽固的反对开发派,也有增长最快的亲住房城市,这种视角当州长其实很有价值。

But I think the fact that I live in and I'm raising my family in a very different model of housing and living in a place like Orange County, which has got everything from the worst NIMBY in the state to some of the fastest growing pro housing cities in the state is a really good perspective as governor.

Speaker 3

我前几天跟人说,他们还问我,你又不是那种典型的加州大人物,像有些人那样。

I mean, I said the other day to someone, you know, well, they're like, well, you're not really from, like, a big thing in California, like, you know, some people.

Speaker 3

我就说,橙县可是全州人口第六多的县。

And I said, well, Orange County is the sixth most populous county.

Speaker 3

他们问:在加州?

And they said, in in California?

Speaker 3

不是。

No.

Speaker 3

在美国,人们。

In The United States, people.

Speaker 3

圣地亚哥县是美国第五大人口县,他们在住房方面已经取得了一些进展。

San Diego County is the fifth most populous county in The United States, and they're making some progress on housing there.

Speaker 3

所以,没错,你说得完全对。

So, yes, you're absolutely right.

Speaker 3

我觉得总体规划能发挥的作用确实有限,但住房创新确实很重要。

Like, I think there are limits to what you can expect from master planning, but I do think innovation in housing is important.

Speaker 3

如果从他们自己的说法出发——这我会作为起点,虽然不一定是我最终的立场,但这是我和加州持续对话的起点。

And at its core, if you take them at their word, which is where I would start, might not be where I'd end, but it's where I'd start the conversation with California forever.

Speaker 3

他们说的是:让我们去创新。

What they're saying is, let us innovate.

Speaker 3

让我们向人们展示一种全新的生活、工作和休闲方式是什么样子。

Let us show people what a different model of living and working and recreating can look like.

Speaker 3

我觉得我们需要对住房的可能形态展开更多想象,别老是纠结在40层公寓和独栋房子之间。

And I think we need imagination about what housing could be so that we're not just fighting about 40 story apartment buildings and single family.

Speaker 3

住房的形式其实有太多其他可能性。

There are so many other permutations of housing.

Speaker 3

长期租赁这种模式,欧洲有,我们却没有,我当年参选参议员时就一直在推动这个。

Long term leases, which is something Europe has that we don't have, that I've I campaigned on this in my senate race.

Speaker 3

我现在依然在推动这个议题。

I'm campaigning on it now.

Speaker 3

我们需要更多的住房创新。

We need more housing innovation.

Speaker 3

说到底,我觉得这些项目恰恰提供了这样的可能性。

And at its heart, that's what I think some of these projects offer.

Speaker 7

你知道吗?印度是全球加密货币使用最多的国家,而爱沙尼亚已经在所有选举中实行在线投票了。

Did you know that India is the biggest adopter of crypto globally and that Estonia offers online voting in all its elections?

Speaker 7

我是凯瑟琳·本霍尔德,《纽约时报》全新每日简报《世界》的主持人。

I'm Catherine Benhold, host of The World, a new daily newsletter from The New York Times.

Speaker 7

我花了二十年时间在十几个国家做报道,有一天突然想到,我到底想读什么样的新闻简报呢?

I spent twenty years reporting from more than a dozen countries, and it occurred to me one day, you know, what kind of newsletter would I like to read?

Speaker 7

我不住在美国。

I don't live in The US.

Speaker 7

我希望有一份专门为全球读者打造的简报,能帮我理解发生了什么,以及为什么重要,最好还能让人不那么沮丧。

I want something that's written especially for a global audience, something that helps me understand what's going on and why it matters, and ideally something that doesn't just get me down.

Speaker 7

《The World》就是这样一份简报。

The world is just that.

Speaker 7

每个工作日早上,我们会为你呈现最重要的新闻、同事从现场发回的报道,还有一两个令人惊喜的视频彩蛋。

Each weekday morning, we bring you the biggest stories, dispatches from my colleagues on the ground, and a few delightful surprises with video too.

Speaker 7

《The World》新闻简报,来自《纽约时报》。

The World Newsletter from The New York Times.

Speaker 7

现在就去 nytimes.com/theworld 订阅,每天早上直接送到你的邮箱。

Sign up now at nytimes.com/theworld to get it in your inbox each weekday morning.

Speaker 2

贝塞拉先生,作为卫生与公共服务部部长,您曾主管联邦政府中与无家可归问题最直接相关的机构。

Mister Becerra, as secretary of HHS, you oversaw one of the federal agencies is most directly involved in homelessness policy.

Speaker 2

拜登政府基本采纳了‘住房优先’作为联邦层面的主要策略。

The Biden administration largely embraced Housing First as the dominant federal framework.

Speaker 2

从2018年到2023年,加州在无家可归问题上投入了大约240亿美元,大部分都用在这个框架里。

California spent something like $24,000,000,000 on homelessness from 2018 to 2023, mostly within that framework.

Speaker 2

但露宿街头的人数却还在持续增加。

And the unsheltered population has continued to grow.

Speaker 2

问题出在哪里?

What went wrong?

Speaker 4

我们没把重点放在实际效果上。

We didn't focus on outcomes.

Speaker 4

当时根本缺乏问责机制。

There the accountability wasn't there.

Speaker 4

240亿美元是花了,但结果根本没出来。

$24,000,000,000 was there, but the outcomes didn't result.

Speaker 4

我们没看到有多少人能迅速离开街头。

We didn't see that people were moved off the street fast enough.

Speaker 4

我们没有提供他们真正需要的服务。

We didn't provide the services they needed.

Speaker 4

在我看来,无家可归危机不仅是缺个住处的问题,更是一场心理健康危机。

To me, the homelessness crisis is as much a mental health crisis as it is someone needing a place, a shelter.

Speaker 4

我们也没提供足够的资源,来帮这些人真正站起来,防止他们再次流落街头。

And we didn't provide the types of resources to make sure we could stand people up and make sure they wouldn't go back to the streets.

Speaker 4

我还相信,我们必须做更多工作,防止人们一开始就不陷入无家可归的境地。

I I also believe that we have to do far more to prevent people from ever becoming homeless.

Speaker 4

作为州长,我管不了洛杉矶、奥克兰这些地方的街头,也管不了各个县。

I don't have control of the streets of Los Angeles, of Oakland, or the counties as governor.

Speaker 4

我能掌控的,是我们拨出去的钱,以及能不能要求问责。

What I can control is the monies that we send and try to demand accountability.

Speaker 4

但我认为最重要的是,作为州长,我要重点关注那些正站在失去住所边缘的人——不管是自己的房子,还是租的公寓。

But the most important thing I believe, and this is where I will focus as governor, is trying to help that person that is on the very edge of losing their housing, whether it's their home or their apartment that they're renting.

Speaker 4

因为有些人会因为突发状况,比如突然失业,就陷入困境。

Because there are people who under some circumstances, you lose your job unexpectedly.

Speaker 4

你正努力重新找工作,但过程比预期慢了一些。

You're trying to get back to work, and it's taking you a little longer.

Speaker 4

你的积蓄已经用光了。

You've used up your savings.

Speaker 4

你现在眼看就要租不起房子,要被赶出去了。

You're on the verge now of losing your apartment that you're renting.

Speaker 4

你突然遭遇了医疗紧急情况。

You have a medical emergency.

Speaker 4

你把存钱罐砸了,把所有钱都掏空了,还是不够,账单依然压得你喘不过气。

You break your piggy bank open, you use it all up, it's not enough, you still have a big bill.

Speaker 4

突然间,你必须做个选择。

All of a sudden, you have to make a decision.

Speaker 4

你是先付账单,还是先保住你的住处?

Do you pay the bill or do you stay in your home?

Speaker 4

我认为,这些人最需要帮助。我会设立一个稳定基金,专门支持那些住在家里、正面临失房风险的加州人,让他们不至于无家可归。

And I believe those are the folks that if we provided more support and I would create a stabilizing fund that would be there for to help those Californians who are in a home, make sure they don't lose their home.

Speaker 4

与其把人从街头拉回来,帮他们站起来,提供服务,安置到临时 shelters,再协助他们重新就业,不如直接投资帮助他们保住住房,这样成本低得多。

It will cost us far less to invest in someone maintaining their housing than trying to pull them off the street, get them to stand up, provide them the services, get them to temporary shelter, and then help them get reemployed.

Speaker 4

所以我们应该先投资于预防,而不是一上来就想着怎么从街头把人拉回来。

And so let's invest in prevention before we start talking about just trying to pick people off the street.

Speaker 2

不好意思,打扰一下。

You excuse me.

Speaker 2

请等说到最后再说。

Hold it till the end.

Speaker 2

你提到,你认为无家可归很大程度上是个心理健康问题。

You you mentioned that seeing you mentioned seeing much of homelessness as a mental health question.

Speaker 2

在这个讨论中,一个棘手的问题是强制干预的角色。

One of the difficult questions within that conversation is the role of coercion.

Speaker 2

当有人在街头出现心理问题,却拒绝接受治疗时,你该怎么办?

What do you do when people are on the street having mental health problems and they don't want to go in for treatment?

Speaker 2

他们也不愿意进收容所,你怎么办?

They don't want to go into a home?

Speaker 2

你对这个问题会怎么处理?

What would your approach to that be?

Speaker 4

首先,我认为每个人都应该有机会找到出路。

First, I think we have to give everyone an opportunity to have an out.

Speaker 4

当我推动建立988热线时,希望你们中有些人了解这个项目,它类似于911,但专门应对心理危机和自杀预防。

And when I established the nine eighty eight program, and I hope some of you are familiar with it, it's like nine eleven, but for mental health crisis and suicide prevention.

Speaker 4

只要你拨打988,或者发短信、在线聊天,就会有人来帮你,不是警察,而是能提供专业支持的人。

And if you dial 988 or actually text or chat, you'll get someone who'll help you, not as a police officer, but as someone who can provide you services.

Speaker 4

我们确实做了这件事。

We do that.

Speaker 4

我们还专门为有困扰的退伍军人设立了专线。

We have a dedicated line for veterans who are hurting.

Speaker 4

以前我们也有过一条面向LGBTQI群体的专线,让他们能跟理解自己处境的人交谈,但这一届政府把它取消了。

We had we had, but this administration took it away, a line for LGBTQI who wanted to be able to speak to somebody who would understand their concern.

Speaker 4

我们必须给人们提供一条出路,一个选择的机会。

We have to give people an out, an opportunity.

Speaker 4

但很多时候,我们既没有这么做,也没告诉人们:我们会守护你。

But what happens too often is we don't do that, and then we don't do the second thing is to make sure that we tell folks, we are your keeper.

Speaker 4

我是我兄弟姐妹的守护者。

I am my brother and my sister's keeper.

Speaker 4

我们不会任由你们在街头自生自灭。

We will not let you languish in the streets.

Speaker 4

如果你一直拒绝帮助,而情况又明显说明你需要支援,那作为有文明素养的人,我们就有责任为你的兄弟姐妹提供帮助。

And if you keep saying no and it's clear that you need help, then it's really our responsibility as civilized people to make sure we provide our brother or sister some assistance.

Speaker 4

所以我认为,我们必须达到这个境界。

And so I think we have to get to that point.

Speaker 4

当一个人明显在做出对自己不利的决定时,我们不能任由他自行其是。

We don't let people make that decision when it's clear they're not making the right decisions for themselves.

Speaker 2

你说你希望掌声停下来的时候,是指什么?

When you say that you want to see hold the hold the applause.

Speaker 2

你说希望在无家可归者项目中加强问责,这种说法,领导者们早就不是第一次提了。

When you say that you want to see more accountability in the homelessness programs, that's not a new thing to hear from leaders.

Speaker 2

对吧?

Right?

Speaker 2

并不是说纽森州长不希望他推行的无家可归政策有问责机制。

It's not like governor Newsom doesn't want accountability in the homelessness policies that he puts forward.

Speaker 2

我跟一些大城市的市长聊过,他们也都在谈这个问题。

When I've talked to mayors of major cities, they talk about this.

Speaker 2

那么具体来说,你打算做哪些别人还没做过的事?

So very specifically, what would you do that has not already been done?

Speaker 4

就像我在卫生与公众服务部常用的奖惩并举的方式一样,我们当时得帮医生们从纸质记录、手写处方转向电子病历,最终融入数字化时代。

Very similar to the carrot and stick approach, which I use, by the way, at HHS, we had to help doctors switch from paper record keeping, prescriptions, their medical records, to digital to finally join the electric electronic world.

Speaker 4

很多人说,我们负担不起。

A lot of folks said, we can't afford it.

Speaker 4

所以我们采取了分步推进的办法。

And so what we did was we scaled it.

Speaker 4

我们说,你看——

We said, look.

Speaker 4

我们会给你激励,让你的诊疗方式转向电子化,不断给激励、激励、激励,但到了某个节点,如果你还不跟上现实,那就变成惩罚、惩罚、惩罚了。

We're gonna give you incentives to change your practice into one that can function electronically, and we're going to give incentive, incentive, incentive, but at some point, it's going to become penalty, penalty, penalty if you don't join the real world.

Speaker 4

我们也会用同样的办法。

We would do the same thing.

Speaker 4

每个地方情况都不一样。

There's a locality.

Speaker 4

如果你的项目一直在推行,却没见到成效,那我们就得终止这些项目,或者停掉拨款。

You're not you have programs, but they're not resulting in success, then we have to terminate those programs or stop the funding.

Speaker 4

我会扩大那些真正有效的项目。

I will then scale those programs that are working.

Speaker 4

我会把不奏效项目的资金挪到那些见效的项目上,让它们做得更大。

I'll take the money from the programs that aren't working, and I'll scale those programs that are working.

Speaker 4

你必须软硬兼施,但归根结底我会用硬的一手,因为纳税人的钱是用来帮流浪者脱离街头的。

And that's what you have to do is you have to carrot the stick, but I will use the stick at the end of the day because taxpayers are paying for folks to be pulled off the street.

Speaker 2

斯泰耶先生,您说我们能做的最富有同情心的事,就是恢复临时住房,帮助人们回到他们想待的地方。

Mister Steyer, you said the most compassionate thing we can do is revive the interim housing to get people where they wanna be.

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