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这是对抗通货膨胀的一种对冲手段。
It is a hedge against inflation.
我觉得人们这么想也是合情合理的。
I think that people are are rightfully thinking of it that way.
而且我觉得它也是一种全球性的价值储存方式,从任何地方到任何地方都很容易获取,在这方面它确实非常强大。
And then I think it's also a global store of value, and it's sort of easily accessible from anywhere to anywhere, and that it is just incredibly powerful on in that way.
所以,你知道,一旦它被接受为标准,一旦有足够多的人说,好吧。
And so, you know, once it became, you know, accepted as a standard, once enough people said, okay.
这能行,验证者网络也能正常工作,等等,它就成为了标准的价值储存方式。
This is gonna work and the validator network works and everything else, it it became, you know, the the standard store of value.
大家好,最近怎么样?
What's going on, guys?
今天,和克里斯·凯利进行了一次很棒的对话。
Today, have a great conversation with Chris Kelly.
他是萨克拉门托国王队的共同所有者。
He's a co owner of the Sacramento Kings.
他是凯利投资公司的创始人,也是前Facebook高管。
He's the founder of Kelly Investments, and he's a former Facebook executive.
在这次对话中,我们聊了他为什么持有比特币,为什么看好人工智能,为什么拥有体育球队,以及他正在推向市场的一个全新想法——收购少数体育球队的股权,并将其带到公开市场。
In this conversation, we talk about why he owns Bitcoin, why he likes artificial intelligence, why he owns sports teams, and a brand new idea that he's bringing to the market to go and take minority sports ownership stakes and bring them to the public market.
这次对话内容非常丰富。
There's a lot packed into this conversation.
克里斯在科技行业摸爬滚打了很多年。
Chris is someone who's been around the technology industry for a very long time.
他对正在发生的事情了解很多,无论是趋势还是底层技术本身。
He understands a lot of what's happening, both in terms of the trends, but the underlying technology itself.
他在很多不同的领域和行业都做了投资。
And he has made investments in a whole multitude of different areas and industries.
我觉得你会从他身上学到很多东西。
And I think that you're gonna learn a lot from him.
下面是我和克里斯的对话。
Here's my conversation with Chris Kelly.
好的,克里斯。
Alright, Chris.
你是萨克拉门托国王队的共同所有者。
You are the co owner of the Sacramento Kings.
是的。
Yep.
而且你也喜欢比特币,这会让大家都非常兴奋。
And you also like Bitcoin, which is gonna get everyone very excited.
那能不能稍微讲讲你和比特币的故事,以及你为什么这么喜欢这个资产?
So explain a little bit maybe your journey with Bitcoin and why you like this asset so much.
我觉得它是一种对冲通胀的工具。
So, I mean, I think that it it is a hedge against inflation.
我认为人们这样想是合理的。
I think that people are are rightfully thinking of it that way.
而且我觉得它也是一种全球性的价值储存手段,从任何地方到任何地方都很容易获取,在这方面它真的非常强大。
And then I think it's also a global store of value, and it's sort of easily accessible from anywhere to anywhere, and that it is just incredibly powerful on in that way.
所以,你知道,一旦它被接受为标准,一旦足够多的人说,好吧。
And so, you know, once it became, you know, accepted as a standard, once enough people said, okay.
这行得通,验证者网络也运作正常,等等,它就变成了标准的价值储存方式,就像以太坊那样,当Vitalik深入研究比特币后,觉得它可能需要一些额外的功能。
This is gonna work and the validator network works and everything else, it it became, you know, the the standard store of value the same way that, you know, Ethereum turned out to be a a you know, when Vitalik, you know, went deep on Bitcoin, decided that there are some extra features that it might need.
这就是以太坊的由来。
That's where Ethereum comes from.
然后,你知道,我觉得从那以后人们一直在其他币种上围绕这些主题进行各种发挥。
And then, you know, I think people have been kind of riffing on themes in those areas ever since with other coins.
但比特币和以太坊在当今世界已经相当确立了。
But but Bitcoin and Ethereum are are kinda well established throughout the world at this point.
我觉得有趣的是,你肯定有这种杠铃式的投资组合。
What I find interesting is, like, you must have this barbell stretch.
我不知道你是否这样想过,但比特币是能从通胀中受益的。
I don't even know if you thought about it this way, but, like, Bitcoin is something that benefits from inflation.
所以它是稀缺的。
And so it is scarce.
它是数字化的。
It is digital.
它是去中心化的。
It is decentralized.
它是非主权的,所有这些资产属性,而且多年来表现非常好。
It is non sovereign, all those asset aspects, and it's done very well over the years.
萨克拉门托国王队或者任何四大联盟的职业体育队,都不是去中心化的。
The Sacramento Kings or any professional sports team of the at least four major leagues, it's not decentralized.
实际上它们是高度中心化的。
It's actually highly centralized.
高度中心化。
It's highly centralized.
它们不是数字化的。
It's not digital.
比如,有房地产、球队、人员,还有商品等等,但它是非常稀缺的。
Like, there's real estate and teams and humans and, you know, merchandise, etcetera, but it is super scarce.
所以这几乎就像你在做杠铃策略,一边是数字化的价值储存。
And so it's almost like you're barbelling in, like, you have a digital store value.
另一边是实体化的价值储存。
You've got an analog store value.
一边是中心化的,一边是去中心化的。
You've got a centralized and decentralized.
你有没有认真想过这些,还是只是觉得拥有球队很酷才这么做的?
Like, did you think through that, or you're just like, that's why I own the team because it's cool.
所以,我的意思是,稀缺性和可获得性固然重要,但我觉得球队在人们生活中占据着巨大的心智份额,这是一件非常非常强大的事情。
So, I mean, again, the the scarcity and the availability, although I think that there's unbelievable mindshare that teams have in people's lives, and that is a powerful, powerful thing.
而且这也是一个让人们聚在一起的领域,尤其是在政治分歧很大的时候,我们在相处方面面临各种挑战。
And it's also an area where people come together at a time that our politics can be very divisive, and and and there are all these challenges that we have in terms of the way that we get along.
人们会在体育中找到健康、有时激烈但又不失风度的竞争方式。
People figure out how to have useful and sometimes heated but but but also decent rivalries around sports.
所以,你知道,我从小看着巨人队和道奇队的比赛长大,在湾区长大,但从来没真正成为勇士队的球迷,因为我小时候他们打得不太好。
And so, you know, for growing up with Giants, Dodgers, and and all that and seeing you know, growing up in in the Bay Area, never really become a Warriors fan because they just weren't very good when I was when I was young.
当布鲁克林篮网队的球迷。
To be a Brooklyn Nets fan.
那是纽约。
That's New York.
没错。
Exactly right.
别杀我。
Don't kill me.
别,其实国王队的交易挺容易谈成的。
Don't It was was pretty easy to do the Kings deal.
对我们来说,关键是把球队留在萨克拉门托。
And for us also, was keeping it in Sacramento.
当时有个西雅图的团队,包括史蒂夫·鲍尔默,想买下球队然后搬到西雅图去。
There was a Seattle based group that included Steve Ballmer that was gonna buy the team and move them to Seattle.
我们就说,听着。
And we said, look.
我们认为西雅图应该有一支NBA球队。
We think Seattle should be an have an NBA team.
但他们不能拿走我们的。
They just can't have ours.
这挺
It's pretty
好的。
good.
买下快船后,球队的企业价值大幅提升,我们也觉得这是好事。
Bought the Clippers and drove the enterprise value of teams up markedly, which we thought was good too.
那真是太好了,太好了。
That's that's a great, great great thing.
现在当你考虑这类投资时,你知道,我觉得大多数人把比特币看作投资组合中的长期资产,但它每天都有价格波动。
Now when you're thinking about these types of investments, you know, I think most people look at Bitcoin as a long term investment in their portfolio, but it has a day to day price to it.
它是流动的。
It's liquid.
你今天就可以按卖出按钮。
You could go hit the sell button today.
持有需要很大的自律。
There's a lot of discipline that it takes in holding.
体育球队就非常不同了。
Sports teams are very different.
你知道,我们现在真的看到职业体育所有权领域有个人需要现金,他正在经历整个过程,然后他说,嘿。
You know, we we literally are seeing someone right now in the professional sports ownership world who needs cash, and, you know, he's going through a whole process, and he's like, hey.
加快点速度,但这已经花了几个月了。
Speed this up, and it's taking months.
他说,好吧,切尔西那事倒是办完了。
He said, well, they got the Chelsea thing done.
所以那是在湖人队之上的。
So that's on on top of the Lakers.
但话说回来,流动性差,这几乎感觉像是一个特点,因为人们被迫长期持有,而且我们看到那些球队长期表现非常好。
But then, like, illiquidity, it almost feels like that is a feature here because people are forced to hold for long periods of time, and we've seen those teams do really, really well over time.
我觉得这绝对是因为稀缺性,因为它是标志性资产,所有这些因素都推动了价值的增长。
I I think it's definitely been you know, in in part because of the scarcity, because it's a trophy asset, all these different things contribute to the increase in value.
而且,要真正成为球队老板,无论是多数股权还是控制权,这个过程都很艰难。
And and it's it's a hard process to go through to actually become an owner, whether majority or control Mhmm.
这些球队,无论是球队本身还是联盟,还有所有相关的,你永远不知道这些事情什么时候会发生,怎么发生。
In these teams, both the teams themselves and the leagues and, you know, all of the it's it's it's never clear when these things are gonna come up and how.
所以一旦出现机会,你必须迅速行动。
And so you have to act quickly when they do.
幸运的是,在我们国王队的案例中,我们遇到了一些对我们团队组建非常有利的情况。
And luckily, in our Kings case, we, you know, we had a a set of dynamics that were very favorable to our group being put together.
而且当时我们的市长是前NBA球员,他非常想把球队留在萨克拉门托。
And we had a mayor at the time who was a former NBA player and very much wanted to keep the team in Sacramento.
联盟对我们施加了很大的压力,要求我们承诺在三年内建成新球馆。
And we had to the the league held our feet to the fire quite aggressively and said we had to commit to getting a new arena done in three years.
而且,
And,
否则,我们就得把球队按原价卖回给NBA。
otherwise, we had to sell the the team back to the NBA at cost.
那是最后的要求之一。
That was one of the demands at the end.
我们做到了。
And we met it.
我们两年内就把球馆建好了。
We got the arena done in two years.
而且ESPN至今仍把它评为NBA排名第一的球馆,我们为此非常自豪。
And it's still rated the number one arena in the NBA by, by ESPN, which we're very proud of.
所以我去看了一场比赛。
So I went to a game.
这是
This is
大概2019年左右。
probably 2019 or so.
你的合伙人维韦克,他也是
Your partner, Vivek, who is also
共同所有者。
a co owner.
他是控股所有者。
He's the he's the controlling owner.
这点我们得说清楚。
We should be clear.
他是……我是小合伙人,但实际上他是我老板。
He's he's he's I'm I'm a smaller partner, but he he and he is effectively my boss.
但他是个好朋友。
But he's a good friend.
我觉得他会说你们是合伙人。
I think I think he would say you guys are partners.
但我去了,我有机会去看了那个体育场,我完全被震撼了。
But I I went and I I had the opportunity to go out and see the stadium, and I was blown away.
我去过很多体育场馆。
I've been in a of sports stadiums.
我觉得我最大的感受就是场馆里整合的那些科技。
And I think that my takeaway was basically the technology that was integrated into the stadium.
还有可持续性,但不是那种表面功夫的、光说不练的所谓环保。
The sustainability, but not like, kinda like the woke sustainability stuff that's kind of like all, appearance and no substance.
这个几乎是没什么表面功夫,全是实打实的东西。
This was almost no appearance and, you know, all substance.
我们是第一个获得LEED白金认证的场馆。
We we were the first lead platinum arena.
所以我们当时就是想要这个认证。
So we wanted the certification.
我们费了好大劲才拿到这个认证。
We and we jumped through the hoops that you have to do to get that.
我们在场馆里建了一个四级数据中心,因为我们知道我们还要运营旁边正在建的酒店公寓楼,还有我们正在翻新的商场。
We put a tier four data center in the arena because we also knew we needed to run the hotel condo tower that we were building next door and the mall that we were refurbishing.
而且我们很早就开始在数据中心里挖以太坊了。
And we we started mining Ethereum in the data center on the early side of that.
这可能就是我被邀请去那里的原因吧。
That may or may not be why I was invited out there.
就是说,嘿。
It was hey.
我们要不要做这种活动?
Should we do this type activity?
嗯,我们有个很有远见的首席技术官,布莱恩·蒙托亚,是他推动我们这么做的。
Well, we had a great visionary CTO in Brian Montoya who pushed for us to do that.
但我们的老板团队也非常懂技术。
But we had an ownership group that was very technologically oriented.
所以,结合我在Facebook的经历,维韦克在TIBCO的经历,还有雅各布斯家族在Qualcomm的背景。
So with my history at Facebook, with Vivek's at TIBCO, the Jacobs family at Qualcomm.
所以我们有一群非常喜欢技术、甚至几乎痴迷于技术的老板。
So we had a bunch of very tech friendly and tech almost obsessive owners.
所以我们当时想,你知道,搞点那种容易升级的东西,在球馆里建数据中心就是其中一部分。
So we wanted to have, you know, something that would, you know, sort of be easily upgradable, and building a data center in the arena was part of that
我也觉得,当你的老板团队在做这些事,比如投资比特币、建球场、拥有球队,他们给球员做了很多教育和知识传递,我觉得这挺有意思的。
It it I also think that there was this element of, like, when you have an ownership group that is doing this, like investing in Bitcoin, building a stadium, owning the team, there was a lot of education and, like, knowledge transfer to the players, which I thought was pretty interesting.
然后我老婆会讲这个故事,我们当时在参观,走着走着,Vladivak出现了。
And, my wife would tell the story that, we were walking through and getting a tour, and, Vladivak Mhmm.
她就说,你看起来像东欧来的。
Showed up, and she was like, you look like you're from Eastern Europe.
我老婆是保加利亚人。
My wife's from Bulgaria.
她完全不知道他是谁。
She had no clue who he was.
后来她看了一部纪录片。
And, then she watched a documentary.
她就说,我爱上那家伙了。
She's like, I love that guy.
你知道吗?
You know?
他的故事特别精彩。
He's got this amazing story.
弗拉德现在还是经常和我们合作,他真的是个特别讨人喜欢的人。
Vlad still works with us pretty extensively, and he's just a delightful human being.
他很有趣。
He's funny.
有他在身边,真的很好。
He's, you know, great to have around.
嗯,我觉得我从中得到的一个启发就是,基本上是一群技术人员在运营这支球队,而且从……来看似乎进展得不错。
Well, and and I think one of my takeaways from this was you basically have technologists that are running this team, and it seems to be going pretty well in terms of the
从公司层面来看,还不错,但球场上就不太如人意了。
the corporate Not so not so as we would like on the court.
不过……
But
嗯,那个,我们本来要说的就是——
Well, that that was gonna be We're
回到那个话题。
getting back to that.
就是如果你想想,比如说纽约尼克斯队。
Is if you think about, let's take the New York Knicks as maybe an example.
我觉得詹姆斯·多兰当时被媒体骂得很惨,各种批评和攻击什么的。
I think James Dolan got a ton of, you know, bad press and and, a lot of attacks and critiques, etcetera.
结果他们拿了NBA总冠军,股价直接翻了一倍。
Just They won the NBA championship, stocks up, you know, two x.
我现在听到很多人说詹姆斯·多兰的坏话。
I hear a lot of people talking bad about James Dolan right now.
当然还是有一些铁杆尼克斯球迷,就是那种永远不会原谅他说过的某些疯话的人。
Now there's still the hardcore Knicks fans that are, like, never forgive him for some crazy thing he said or whatever.
但大多数情况下,赢球能解决很多问题。
But for the most part, winning solves a lot of this stuff.
是的。
Yes.
我觉得有意思的是,NBA特别擅长在球场内赚钱,但还有房地产这块。
What I do think is interesting is the NBA, in particular, has really gotten good at there's money made inside of the arena, but then there is the real estate.
还有数据集。
There is, you know, the data set.
就是所有这些其他的部分。
Like, all of these other components.
我住过跟体育场连着的酒店。
I stayed in the hotel that was attached to stadium.
对。
Yep.
我当时特别震撼。
And I was blown away.
我就想,哇,这太疯狂了。
I was like, oh, this is crazy.
所以如果你再这么看,就会觉得,等等,先别急。
And so if you then look at this as like, okay, hold on a second.
比特币,算是硬资产,能从通胀中获益。
Bitcoin, kinda hard asset, benefits from inflation.
球队,稀缺资产,能从货币贬值中获益不少。
Team, scarce asset, benefits from a lot of the debasement stuff.
房地产。
Real estate.
说起来有点奇怪,像我这种从Facebook早期过来的人,你对硬资产的敞口其实非常大,这些资产能在一定程度上保护你和你的合伙人免受通胀和货币贬值的影响。
In a very weird way, somebody who comes from the early days of Facebook, you got a hell of a lot of exposure to, like, hard assets that are kind of insulating you and your partners from, from from the inflation and debasement.
而且,我们当时也想过,房地产这块,如果球队本身不产生现金流,结果它却因为各种原因表现得很好。
And, well and we thought that, you know, the the real estate side of things, if the if the team itself was not generating the cash, it's turned out to generate as well for a variety of different reasons.
房地产一直是个稳妥的选择。
The the real estate was always a safety play.
我不得不问自己的一个问题是,这会不会只是一笔虚荣投资?
One of the questions I had to ask myself was, is this just a vanity investment?
其他方面呢?
Is everything else?
但从纯粹的经济角度来看,这是合理的。
But it made sense from a hardcore economic perspective.
房地产一直是个有用的对冲工具。
The the real estate was always a useful hedge.
现在说到房地产,在AI行业里,这已经成了一个热门话题。
Now if we think of real estate, in the AI industry, this has become a huge hot topic.
你知道,你以前在Facebook工作,我去的时候比你晚多了。
You know, Facebook where you worked, I worked there much later than you did.
他们正在投入巨额资本支出,而且相当激进地进入
They are making immense amount of CapEx investments and going, you know, pretty hard into
这个领域。
this.
这曾一度让股价承压,现在又不知道了。
And it hit the stock hard for a while, and now it's not don't know.
对。
Correct.
大家都开始意识到,哦,这些其实是有用的投资,能轻松产生现金流,因为
Everyone's realizing, oh, those are actually useful investments that you can generate cash off of easily because
而且,我觉得这其中的一部分是,做这些东西需要的资本开支,简直是天文数字。
And and, well, I think that's part of this is, like, the CapEx investments that were required for this stuff were I mean, they were bonker numbers.
人们当时就说,你要干什么?
And people were like, you're gonna do what?
你要把资本开支从400亿提高到600亿?
You're gonna take CapEx from 40,000,000,000 to 60,000,000,000?
没错。
Exactly.
哦,好吧。
Oh, okay.
顺便说一句
By the way
如果你一个季度能赚200亿美元,那当然可以做到。
If you're making 20,000,000,000 a quarter, you can do that.
没错。
Correct.
不过,我觉得很多人都有疑问。
Well, but I think a lot of people have questions.
这些投资能带来回报吗?
Is there going to be an ROI off of this?
现在看起来,其实有两件事在同时发生。
Now it seems like there's really two things happening.
第一,像Muse这样的产品发布了。
One, things like Muse get released.
可能有些人不知道,这是Facebook推出的个人助理。
And, for those that don't know, it's like a personal assistant that Facebook has released.
从各方面来看,大家都普遍认为它是最好的个人助理之一,甚至可以说就是最好的。
By all accounts, I think pretty widely accepted as, you know, one of the best, if not the best personal assistant.
发布后两三个星期内。
In in two, three weeks of release.
就像
Like
太疯狂了。
Crazy.
太疯狂了。
Crazy.
我们之前聊过,我在Facebook期间有两件事印象很深。
And we were talking, before this that, there are two things I took away from my time at Facebook.
Facebook在增长和分析方面做得非常出色,而且在打造消费产品方面也很厉害。
Facebook is amazing at doing all the growth and analytics work, and they are amazing at building consumer products.
而这两方面的结合,最终就体现在了这个产品上。
And this is the, you know, kind of culmination of those two activities shows up in this.
但看看行业里的其他公司,谷歌、亚马逊,还有SpaceX,它们都在做这些投资。
But if you go through the rest of the industry, Google, Amazon, you know, and SpaceX and, you know, they're all making these investments.
是的。
Yes.
而且我觉得现在市场开始意识到了,嘿。
And I think now the market is starting to realize, hey.
他们都会从中获得回报。
They're all gonna get an ROI off this.
之所以能这样,是因为需求非常旺盛,而人工智能在很大程度上推动了这一点。
It it it is available because the demand is intense, and AI has driven a lot of that.
不过,实际上,随着时间推移,它必须变得更加高效。
Although, actually, it's gonna have to get a lot more efficient over time.
你这话是什么意思?
What do mean by that?
我现在投资的一家公司,正在利用基础脑科学研究,试图更好地理解如何更高效地处理你提到的人工智能数据中心里的计算,同时提高人工智能出问题时的可解释性,比如出现幻觉或者某些功能失效的时候。
One of the companies that I'm backing now is using, you know, fundamental brain research to try to understand better how to both more efficiently do the processing that you're talking about in AI data centers and also increase the explainability of what go when things go wrong with AI, when there's hallucinations and stuff just doesn't work.
我们怎样才能更好地理解哪里出了问题?
What what how do we understand better what went wrong there?
而且,你知道,它运作的核心观点是,我们正在建设两吉瓦的数据中心来做所有这些AI工作。
And it it's you know, the the key insight that it operates from is we're building, you know, two two gigawatt data centers to to do all this AI work.
而人脑运行只需要20瓦的功率。
The human brain runs on 20 watts of power.
就是说,你得在电力使用和所有投入上变得更高效,并且随着时间推移让成本更低。
Like, it's the you you gotta get more efficient with the way that you're using the power and all of the the inputs that go into it over time and to make it more cheap over time.
所以所有这些都会有回报,因为对计算的需求虽然不是无限的,但现在差不多接近无限了。
So there will be ROI on all of these things because the the, you know, demand for compute, it's not infinite, but it's, you know, kinda close to infinite right now.
我觉得最难的部分是我们不知道上限在哪里。
I I think the hardest part is we don't know what the, like, upper limit is.
所以这种所谓的无限,我不确定,越多上线,消耗就越多,几乎成了一种自我循环的现象。
And so this, like, kinda sorta infinite, I don't know, the more that it comes online, the more it gets consumed, and it almost is this, like, reflexive thing.
我们在代币成本上也看到了这一点。
Where we've also seen on the token costs.
比如,我最近分享了一个图表。
Like, I I shared a chart recently.
Grok推出了他们最新的模型,然后他们,你知道,画了个图。
Grok came out with their, like, latest model, and they, you know, plot out.
但你可以在图表上切换成本、效率,对。
But you can toggle on the chart between cost, efficiency Yes.
你知道,有点像算力,对。
You know, kind of like compute power Yes.
或者令牌数。
Or tokens.
每个模型,如果你看的话,都是往右下角走,就像价格战已经打起来了。
Every single model, if you look, is just down into the right, and it's just like the price war is on.
确实如此。
It is indeed.
而且当你像大公司那样投入了那么多资本支出,你就能做到这一点。
And when you've, you know, invested the type of CapEx that the big companies have, you can do that.
这就是这个市场未来的走向。
And that's the way that this market's gonna go.
你觉得token成本会一直降下去吗?
Did you think token costs just continue
成本会继续下降。
costs continue to fall.
我觉得,你知道,各种前沿模型的使用会更广泛,而且,我不觉得任何人的收入会下降,因为使用量会大幅上升。
I think that, you know, you you have more widespread usage of the the various frontier models, and and, you know, I don't think that that, you know, anyone's revenue is gonna go down because the usage is gonna go up so much.
但是,总会有一个点,收入会达到顶峰。
But, there will be a point at which, you know, revenue peaks.
今天的节目由Arch Public赞助播出。
Today's episode is brought to you by Arch Public.
Arch Public刚刚将其代理交易平台扩展到加密货币之外,所以请注意了。
Arch Public has just expanded its agentic trading platform beyond crypto, so pay attention.
这可是个大新闻。
This is a big one.
现在他们正在自动化股票、大宗商品和ETF的策略,我觉得这将会非常了不起。
Now they are automating strategies across stocks, commodities, and ETFs, and I think that this is gonna be huge.
现在,当一个市场创下历史新高时,你可以自动获利了结,并将资金轮动到其他更有机会的市场。
You can now automatically take profits when one market hits new all time highs and rotate that capital into other markets showing more opportunity.
无论你是把资金轮动到AI股票、黄金,还是投资标普500,或者积累比特币,Arch Public都能为你的投资策略带来真正的纪律和自动化。
Whether you're rotating capital into AI stocks, gold, if you're investing in the S and P 500, or you're accumulating Bitcoin, Arch Public brings real discipline and automation to your investment strategy.
此外,他们还推出了一款强大的新税务亏损收割工具。
Additionally, they've launched a powerful new tax loss harvesting tool.
由于加密货币波动性大,且不受洗售规则约束,Arch Public可以用亏损抵消收益,同时不影响你的长期持仓。
With crypto being so volatile and its exemption from the wash sale rule, Arch Public can offset gains with losses without compromising your long term positions.
这正是每个严肃投资者都会做的事情。
It's exactly what every serious investor does.
机构级的自动化,适用于所有主要资产类别。
Institutional grade automation that works across every major asset class.
不再有情绪化交易,不再错过税务机会,只有更智能、更省心的策略执行。
There's no more emotional trading, no more missing tax opportunities, just smarter, hands free execution of your preferred strategies.
现在就访问archpublic.com。
Go to archpublic.com right now.
联系他们的团队,安排个时间,如果你愿意的话带上你的账户,然后你就能了解自动化交易能为你做些什么。
Connect with their team, set up a time, bring your account if you'd like, then you can learn what automated trading can do for you.
Archpublic.com。
Archpublic.com.
那关于我们还没看到财务数据这一点呢?
What about in terms of we haven't seen the financials yet.
但如果让我猜的话。
But I I had to guess.
OpenAI和Anthropic有两类不同的客户群体。
OpenAI and Anthropic have two different customer cohorts.
有些客户采用他们的模型。
There are customers who adopt their models
使用量持续上升,而且每个令牌的成本,你知道的,会下降。
And usage continues to go up, and the cost, you know, per token, if you will, falls.
但这类客户的净美元留存率,简直高得离谱。
But the, like, net dollar retention of that customer is, like, through the roof.
没错。
Exactly.
不过还有另一类客户。
There's another cohort of customer, though.
比如,我们做了一个AI CFO产品,我们更倾向于自己掌控智能的阵营。
Like, we have a AI CFO product that we've built, and we are much more in the, like, own your own intelligence camp.
所以我们一开始用的是前沿模型,但后来我们真的自己开发了很多技术。
And so we started off using the frontier models, and then we've really built a lot of our own technology.
我们训练了自己的模型。
We've trained our own stuff.
所有东西都针对我们的具体用例进行了统一和定制。
Everything is kind of unified and customized for our specific use case.
我们的token消耗量,比如token的数量,可以
Our token consumption, like, number of tokens can
明显下降了。
It's just got down, markedly.
完全同意。
Completely.
因为经济上的动力在于,我们做计算的花费比用前沿模型少了97%。
Because the economic incentive is, like, we can do computations for 97% less than we could with the Frontier.
没错。
Exactly.
只要在特定场景下能达到相似或更好的智能水平,你肯定会这么做。
As long as you have similar or better level of intelligence for your specific use case, you would do it.
所以AI的垂直化是对的。
So the verticalization of AI is Correct.
事情就是这样发展的。
Exactly the way that things
没错。
are done.
所以那些用户,比如净美元留存率,其实看起来很差。
And so those users, like the net dollar retention actually looks horrible Mhmm.
对于这些大型语言模型来说,从数量上看,那个群体其实还在增长。
For these large language models, but they're probably from a volume perspective, that cohort is still growing.
没错。
That's right.
因为他们签下了很多新用户。
Because they're signing so many people up.
完全正确。
That's exactly right.
所以有点奇怪的是,虽然每个客户的实际使用量或处理的token数在下降,但总体数量弥补了这一点。
So in a weird way, whether your actual usage of or processing of tokens is growing or on a per customer basis, it's decreasing, but your volume is making up for it.
这些业务似乎还有不少
These businesses still seem to have quite a bit
发展空间。
of runway.
我觉得他们还有不少路可以走,但说到底,总有个限度。
I think they've got a fair amount of runway to go still, but but there is a limit, at the end of the day.
大家都在说,什么时候会转向公开呢?
Everyone's saying, well, when when does it turn publish?
答案可能是还没到时候,但我们能确切知道什么时候会吗?
And the answer is probably not yet, but will we know exactly when it does?
而且那会是现在的三倍、五倍还是十倍的增长呢?
And and is that at a, you know, three x, a five x, a 10 x, you know, uptick from here?
我觉得我们还不清楚,但我觉得还没到那个点。
And, well, I I I don't think we know yet, but I don't think we've hit there yet.
回到2021年,尤其是对很多年轻投资者来说,那可能是第一次真正意义上的市场风格转变,从零利率环境突然变成,嘿。
So if you go back to 2021, which is probably for especially a lot of the younger investors, that was the first really, like, regime shift from 0% interest rate environment to all of a sudden, hey.
市场崩了。
Market is crashing.
怎么回事?
What goes on?
好。
K.
可能最明显的一点就是美联储加息了。
And probably the one thing you could point to is the Fed raised interest rates.
而且他们提前放出了信号。
And they telegraphed it.
2021年11月,他们就开始讨论这件事了。
In November 2021, they started talking about it.
2022年3月,他们开始行动了。
In March '22, they started.
对。
Yep.
而且他们动作非常激进,基本上说到做到,但很多人就是不信。
And they did it very aggressively, and and they kinda did what they said they were gonna do, which a lot of people just didn't believe them.
回到1999年、2000年,情况也差不多。
If you go back to ninety nine, two thousand, kind of similar story.
虽然不是完全一样,但利率确实是故事里很重要的一部分。
Not perfectly, but still, like, interest rates were a huge piece of the story.
美联储刚刚加息了25个基点。
The Fed just raised interest rates 25 basis points.
而且他们还提前放出了风声,说他们打算这么做,这就有意思了,Contra,任命这位新美联储主席的总统可没这么做。
And and and telegraphed they telegraphed that they were going to too, which is the interesting part of this, Contra, the president who appointed the new Fed had.
所以,我也看过那些图表。
So, also, I've seen the charts.
商业周期和全球流动性通常大约每四年一个周期。
The business cycle and the global liquidity tend to be about every four years.
嗯,四年前,五年前是我们上一次达到顶峰的时候。
Well, four years ago, five years ago was the last time that we kind of peaked.
你
Are you
一点都不担心吗?
worried at all?
有点担心,但算不上忧虑,我会这么说。
Concerned, but not worried is the way that I would put it.
区别在于,你知道,我不认为我们会有一场激进的反通胀战争,导致利率从这里真正飙升。
What is the difference in that there's a you know, I don't think that we're gonna have a radical war on inflation that, you know, causes a true a real spike in interest rates from here.
我觉得可能还会再加一次息,然后就会稳定下来。
I think that there might be another hike, and then it sort of settles in.
其中一部分是平衡作用,你知道,总统试图压低它。
And some of that is the counterbalancing that that, you know, the president trying to job on it down.
但我也认为,支撑大量投资的经济基本面是健康的,你知道,不会引发太多通胀。
But I also think that the fundamental health of the economy that sits underneath a lot of the investment that's been driven will will, you know, not cause too much inflation.
而且上次的通胀主要是由疫情驱动的。
And we had this very COVID driven inflation last time.
我觉得现在没有那个因素了,不过,你知道,战争可能会取代疫情,这对谁都不是好事。
I don't think we have that factor at this point, although, you know, war could substitute for COVID, and that that's not a good thing for anyone.
现在如果你具体看人工智能领域,确实好像一些大公司采取了非常不同的方法。
Now if you think in the AI field specifically, it does seem like also some of these large players are taking very different approaches.
有些是真正的闭源,类似美国模式的做法。
Some are truly closed source kind of American model approach.
Facebook Meta 则更偏向开源一些,嗯。
Facebook Meta taking more of a little bit of an open source Mhmm.
你知道,就是那种开源的方式。
You know, type approach.
而且,而且,在某种程度上重新启动之后,说我们也要做前沿模型,但之后我们会开源它们,这挺有意思的。
And and and and after sort of doing a restart to say we're gonna do frontier models too, but then we're gonna open source them, which is interesting.
你觉得这个策略怎么样?
What do you think about that strategy?
我觉得这看起来不错。
I think it's been look.
我,我认为开源策略从公司一开始我们就相信开源。
I I think open source strategies from the very beginning of the company, we believed in open source.
而且,而且,在开源方面,我们做了很多事,用来提高互联网上的性能表现。
And and in open sourcing, a lot of the things that we were doing in terms of performing improving performance on the Internet.
我们认为这是一种健康的方式,可以确保成本合理。
We think that that's a a healthy way to make sure that, you know, costs are reasonable.
而且你看,Linux、Apache这些技术栈,到现在还是全球网络服务器的骨干。
And if you look at I mean, Linux, Apache, Stack still run the backbone of web servers everywhere.
开源是互联网成功的关键部分。
It's open source is a critical part of Internet success.
但你要找到自己在这之上的独特优势。
But you figure out what your secret sauce on top of that is.
对Facebook来说,那就是个性化,还有人际联系,以及对社交图谱的洞察——虽然他们有一阵子可能有点偏离这个,去谈元宇宙什么的。
And for Facebook, it was personalization and and, you know, and personal contact and having a view of the social graph that, you know, they may have gotten away from a little bit for a while in talking about the metaverse and things like that.
但我认为他们现在很坚定地回到了个性化AI,以及AI如何与你的社交圈结合。
But I think they're pretty firmly back to personalized AI and then AI as it relates to your social group.
我觉得这让他们现在处于一个很令人兴奋的阶段。
And that's think that makes it an exciting time for them.
但开源主要还是推动整个生态系统价值的方式,你依然可以在这些环境中找到巨大的盈利机会,同时支持你所运行的软件周围的社区。
But mostly open source is is a way that drives value throughout the ecosystem, and you can still find ways to be, you know, immensely profitable in those in those contexts while supporting a a community around around the software that you're running.
Facebook的另一个方面,我觉得人们可能忘了,就是多年前——对。
The other aspect of Facebook that I think people maybe forget is years ago Mhmm.
他们能在移动端赚钱吗?
Can they make money on mobile?
当然能。
Absolutely.
这是个巨大的问题。
Massive question.
就在IPO的时候,这影响了股价和市场对公司的看法。
Just at the time of the IPO and and sort of, you know, affected the stock and the marketplace view of the company.
2012年他们最终上市的时候,我记得是2012年。
For when 2012 when they went I think it was 2012 when they went public finally.
然后,显然,移动端变成了巨大的赚钱来源,而且,还收集了另一组数据,关于人们在哪里、他们如何操作、如何与其他人以及企业互动,在那个生态里。
And then, you know, obviously, mobile turned into this massive monetization and and, you know, another, you know, set of data that gets collected about where people are and and how they're operating, how they're interacting with, you know, other people and businesses in that in that stack.
当时的问题是,他们能在移动端变现吗?
Now the question at the time was, can they monetize mobile?
现在我觉得人们不再质疑Facebook能不能赚钱了。
Now I think that people don't question whether Facebook can make money.
他们并没有向消费者收取个人助理的订阅费。
They don't charge a consumer subscription for the personal assistant.
因为我觉得他们明白硅谷传奇人物都明白的一件事:消费者不喜欢为东西付费。
Because I think they understand the one thing that Silicon Valley legends understand, Consumers don't like paying for stuff.
没错。
That's right.
而Facebook是一家广告公司。
And Facebook is an advertising business.
是的。
Yes.
而且他们在这方面非常擅长。
And they're real good at it.
是的。
Yes.
如果你把邮箱、日历、Uber、DoorDash、你的名字,以及人们在这里绑定的各种账户都交出来,这简直就是Facebook梦寐以求的。
And if you're handing over your email, your calendar, your Uber, your DoorDash, your name, whatever accounts people are putting into here, I mean, this is like Facebook's, you know, dream
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嗯,我是说从定向投放的角度来看。
Well, the way I mean from targeting.
谷歌在推出Gmail的时候就想到了这一点,大概是什么时候来着?
Google figured that out with Gmail, sort of when they when they launched that, you know, well back in what?
我记得是2001年吧。
Was 2001, I think it was.
所以,你知道,这是硅谷一个屡试不爽的故事,主要还是靠广告业务。
So, you know, this is a a tried and true Silicon Valley story, still primarily an advertising business.
当我们开始从谷歌挖人的时候,我觉得那是个明智的做法。
And when we started to recruit a number of people from Google at Facebook, I thought that was a smart thing to do.
我觉得他们当时就明白,这会建立一个非常有价值的业务,而且会运作得很好。
I think that there was an understanding there that was gonna be you know, build a very valuable business and one that worked very well.
我也觉得,尤其是在人工智能领域,有一个巨大的机会,可以同时涉足技术栈的多个层面。
It it feels to me also like there is this, really big opportunity in AI in particular to play multiple aspects of the stack.
所以,你有电力、数据中心,还有芯片之类的,但还有应用层。
And so you've got, you know, kind of power land, data centers, you got the chips and all that, but then you've got the applications.
你怎么看待在这个技术栈上的投资?
How do you think about investing across that stack?
你是不是就像,嘿,
Are you just like, hey.
我想尽可能多地拥有各个层面的东西,还是你会有所选择?
I wanna own as much across as I can, or do you kind of pick
我觉得基础设施仍然是一类很好的业务,你可以在技术栈的各个部分找到那些能最大化价值的公司。
I think infrastructure is is still a a great, you know, set of businesses that you can find that are are maximizing, you know, value in parts of the stack.
所以我很乐意做主要投资,我管理的基金专注于区块链相关的业务,因为我投资了Alchemy,它是这个领域里一个巨大的基础设施提供商。
And so I've been happy to to do the the main investment, the fund that I run is focused on blockchain based businesses because I angeled Alchemy, is a huge infrastructure provider in the space.
我非常相信区块链相关的业务会逐渐接管基础设施技术栈的某些部分。
And I believe very much in the way that blockchain based businesses will be, you know, sort of taking over aspects of the infrastructure stack over over time.
每个企业都需要分布式信任,而区块链是实现这一目标的最佳方式。
You need to have distributed trust in the numbers of of every enterprise, and blockchains are the best way to do that.
你需要确保AI生成的内容有来源验证,并且能够追溯回去,比如,这是不是人类做的?
You need to make sure that you have provenance checked of of what AI is generating and and that you can trace it back to, you know, is it a human doing it?
是AI吗?
Is it AI?
是代理吗?
Is it an agent?
所有这些不同的东西。
All of these different things.
区块链是一种简单的追踪方式。
Blockchains are an easy way to trace that.
所以我觉得那些基础设施项目都会发展得很好。
So I think that those infrastructure plays are all gonna do great.
我觉得会有面向消费者的垂直应用,也会有面向企业的垂直应用,针对各种AI和特定领域的玩家,比如金融智能之类的。
I think that there will be consumer you know, verticalized consumer plays, and there will be verticalized business plays for each of the AIs and specialty, you know, players in in whether it's finance intelligence or things like that.
你知道,我最看重的还是优秀的创始人。
You know, I I look for I look for great founders, more than anything else.
所以我也做了一些稍微跨界一点的投资,偶尔也投点硬件。
And so I've done some things that are a little bit further field over and a little bit of hardware here and there.
你知道,ETCHED那帮人做芯片做得特别棒。
You know, the guys at ETCHED who've done a fantastic job building chip.
现在成公司了?
Company now?
没错。
That's exactly right.
所以我投了ETCHED的种子轮。
So I'm in the seed round of ETCHED.
这可是炫耀的资本。
That's the flex.
确实。
Exactly.
而且,你知道,看到这么多企业,我真的非常高兴。
And and, you know, just very, very happy to see a lot of these businesses.
我还投了Zipline的种子轮,虽然还没公开,但它在给世界送好东西这件事上做得特别出色。
I'm also in the seed round of zipline, you know, which hasn't gone out yet, but it's done extraordinarily well in delivering amazing things to the world.
所以,物理基础设施和实际的配送,是这些东西运作方式中很重要的一部分。
So that that physical infrastructure and actual deliveries is is is is a is a big part of the way that these things work.
你之前提到区块链会逐渐接管一切。
When you mentioned earlier blockchains are gonna kinda take over.
那是什么意思呢?
What what does that mean?
你对那个世界的愿景是什么样的?
Like, what is your vision of that world?
就是说,要有一个独立可信的网络,用来验证交易,并且以不可篡改的方式追溯它们。
So it's it's a it's having a independent trusted, you know, network that works to validate transactions and and works to trace them back in an immutable format.
这就像是一个审计追踪,记录所有事情的经过,因为它承载着关于系统信任度的重要信息。
It's an audit trail for the way that everything went on because, you know, it says it carries important information about the the trust level of a system.
而且,你确实需要这个。
And, you know, you need that.
我们之所以有审计公司、上市公司等等这些东西,就是为了逐步建立对系统的信任,确保你得到的信息是真实可靠的,是你做判断所需要的。
And the reason that we have, you know, audit, you know, audit firms and public companies and all these different things is to build trust in the system over time, that you're actually getting the information that you want and that you need in order to make a judgment about it.
所以区块链是一种非常高效的方式来实现这一点。
And so blockchains are a very efficient way to do that.
短期内它们效率不高,因为你需要做所有的记录和验证,而且建立一个网络需要时间。
They're inefficient in the short term and that you have to do all the the writing and the validation, and you had it takes a while to get a network up and running for that.
但一旦运行起来,你就有比特币、以太坊,还有其他一些已经脱颖而出的,它们达到了理论上的水平。
But once it's up and running, you have Bitcoin and Ethereum and and all of these and and, you know, other ones that have escaped, you know, so they're they're theoretical levels.
还有Solana、XRP等等,这些基于区块链的选项,它们使用的代币各有不同的用途,如果它们用代币的话。
And Solana and XRP and all all of these options are blockchain based that have various purposes for the token that they use if they use a token.
还有很多企业使用区块链但没有自己的代币,这种基础设施也是值得投资的一个强大方向。
There are a whole bunch of businesses that use blockchains that don't have their own token too, and that infrastructure, you know, is a is a powerful one to invest in.
当你想象那个未来世界时,有一个方面,如果有人批评这个播客,他们会说,嘿。
When you think of that future world, one aspect that if people were to critique this podcast, they'd be like, hey.
你谈了很多关于比特币和加密货币在那个世界里的情况。
You talked a lot about Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in that world.
现在你又谈了很多AI相关的东西。
Now you talk a lot about the AI stuff.
而且我其实觉得这两件事是紧密相连的。
And I actually think these two things are very intertwined.
我同意。
I agree.
然后一些比较基础的分析可能会说,机器需要一种货币。
And some of the like, the the elementary analysis would be like, the machines need a currency.
没错。
Exactly.
这就是起点。
That that is that is where you start.
对。
True.
但感觉区块链,这个数字网络,我是说,AI群体是什么?
But it feels like the blockchain, the digital network, I mean, what is an AI swarm?
这是另一种形式,嗯。
It's a different version Mhmm.
但是,就像是一堆所谓的“节点”,对。
But, like, it is a bunch of, quote unquote, nodes Yes.
一起协作,对。
Working together Yes.
去完成任务,验证。
To get things done, validate.
你开始几乎看到这种融合,然后你会想,这两者是不是其实是一回事?
You start to almost see this convergence, and you're like, are these two things, like, actually the same thing?
它们肯定随着时间推移紧密相关。
They're they're definitely closely related over time.
所以你有这些代理,当它们能成群结队时,它们可以创建自己的多个实例。
And so you have these agents when they can swarm, they can build multiple instantiations of themselves.
正如我们在Hugging Face黑客松和其他类似活动中看到的,它们可以随时间思考。
And as we've seen in the hugging face hack and other things like that, they can think over time.
说“思考”有点夸张,但它们可以随时间运作,就像在执行一个策略来达成结果。
Think is a little bit strong there, but they can operate over time as if they are executing a strategy to get to a result.
而且这个系统可能会违反各种规则,这些规则可能是别人告诉它的、教给它的,或者试图硬编码进系统里的。
And one that may transgress a variety of rules that they're that they're told or taught or that are tried to be hardwired in the system.
所以这就是监管问题开始出现并且变得更加活跃的地方。
And so this is where some of the the regulatory questions start to come up and get more active.
我觉得我们也看到行业方面承担了一些责任,他们说,嘿。
And I think we've seen some responsibility on the part of the industry to say, hey.
我们得想办法让独立于我们之外的人来做这些判断,这些人要受过训练,而且是技术专家,能够随时说,嘿。
We've gotta figure out how to get independent people other than us making these judgments over time and people who are trained in the and and they're technical experts and available to, you know, say, hey.
这里风险有点太大了。
This is where risk gets a little bit too big.
我觉得这是有帮助的,但必须以不本质上反创新的方式来做。
And I think that's a helpful thing, but it has to be done in a way that's not, you know, inherently anti innovation.
所以我觉得,一直以来对此有很多担忧是合理的。
And so I think that there's been rightfully a lot of worry about that over time.
我们在设计保护儿童安全的系统时,尤其是在网络环境中,也面临过很多这样的问题。
We faced a lot of these questions in the design of systems around safety for kids, you know, in the online environment.
而且,你知道,在很多方面,很多人会说Facebook在这些事情上有点失控了。
And, you know, in a variety of ways that, you know, a lot of people would argue that Facebook sort of went off the rails on on a number of these things.
而且我觉得,他们最终采取了一些行为上的补救措施,这在我看来是相当正确的,这些措施更积极地限制孩子们接触那些可能非常强大的技术、社交技术,但方式上更像是教育和媒体素养教育,而不是那种‘嘿’的态度。
And they've, I think, quite rightfully in my view, settled out on some conduct remedies that are, you know, are more active in restricting kids' access to, you know, what can be very powerful technology, social technologies, but doing it in a way that that's that's, you know, teaching and and and sort of a a like a media literacy approach to things instead of a, you know, hey.
‘你只是太危险了。’
You just it's too dangerous for you.
我们早期在扩展到高中时也尝试过这种做法。
We've always tried it in the early days as we expanded into high school.
所以我加入Facebook的时候,它还叫‘The Facebook’,而且都是通过邮箱地址来验证身份的。
So when I joined Facebook, it was still called calling, and it was all validated based on the email address.
当我们扩展到高中时,我们尝试与执法部门的很多人合作,讨论如何确保孩子们确实是他们加入的那个社区的成员,他们能接触到其他孩子,以及如何处理假账号。
When we expanded into high schools, tried to work with a lot of folks in the particularly in the law enforcement community around how were were we gonna make sure that people the kids were actually members of the community that they were joining, that they had access to other kids in, you know, how we were going to deal with fake accounts.
我觉得我们在这方面做得还不错。
And I think we did a reasonably good job of that.
而且,你知道,这也是Facebook能够击败Myspace和其他一些竞争对手的原因之一。
And, you know, that's one of the reasons that Facebook sort of won over Myspace and a number of other, you know, sort of people who had approaches there.
这些东西会随着时间慢慢变差,那份投入也会慢慢消退。
You that can deteriorate over time, and the dedication to that can deteriorate over time.
我觉得可能就是这样,现在公司也做了一些调整,跟监管机构的合作我觉得挺有成效的。
And I think that that that's what may have happened, and now there's been a bit of a reset in the company engaging, I think, very productively with regulators.
我觉得在人工智能领域也会看到很多类似的情况。
I think we'll see a lot of the same things in AI.
我不觉得说“我们就该完全放任不管”这种说法是成立的。
I I don't think that that there's a I don't think it's it's valid to say, we should just have a free for all.
说我们没法监管,这根本说不过去。
There's no way for us to regulate that.
这种说法根本不准确。
It's it's just not accurate.
你明白吗?
You know?
但监管可以做得聪明,也可以做得愚蠢。
But you can have smart regulation or dumb regulation.
而且我觉得我们正在朝着一些主张愚蠢监管的人的方向发展,不幸的是,这种情况在这个领域确实会发生。
And I think we're moving towards some people who call for dumb regulation, unfortunately, and that's, you know, that happens in the space.
而且抨击科技公司很容易,你现在看到的一些数据中心遭到反对,就是因为这成了某种替罪羊,好像在说:嘿。
And it's easy to crusade against technology companies, and you're seeing some of the data center backlash happen right now because it's proxy for, hey.
我不喜欢那种失控的感觉,或者我的孩子可能在使用这些技术,而我却无法控制。
I I don't like the fact that I feel out of control or my kids may be on this technology, and I don't and I can't control it.
如何让人们在其中有更多发言权,以及如何以明智的方式进行监管,是我们未来几年面临的关键问题之一。
How we give people more of a say in that and how we regulate in an intelligent way is one of the key questions that we've got for the next couple of years.
幸运的是,有很多人做过这方面的工作,并且对此思考很多,我们也都参与了这场对话,而且我认为大多数时候是很有意义的。
Luckily, there are a lot of people who've done this, you know, and and who think about it a lot, and we're, you know, we're all engaged in that dialogue, I think, in mostly a meaningful way.
双方都有一些作秀的成分。
There's some postery stuff that goes on and on both sides.
但我认为,现在这些公司,尤其是AI领域的,以及更广泛的科技公司,都深度参与其中了。
But I think that, the companies are deeply engaged in this now in in AI and and the broader technology companies too.
我们最近听到一些AI领袖说,有10%的可能性这可能会让我们所有人都完蛋。
We recently heard some of the, AI leaders say that, you know, 10% chance this could, like, kill us all.
把我们全干掉。
Kill us all.
就是那个天网问题。
The the Skynet problem.
我一直把这叫做天网问题。
I always refer to this as the Skynet problem.
嗯,对我来说,感觉说这种话的都是那些新公司。
Well, to me, it just feels like, the people who are saying that seem to be the new companies.
我没听到马克·扎克伯格说,多管管我吧。
I don't hear Mark Zuckerberg saying, regulate me more.
我也没听到他说,我们需要放慢脚步。
I don't hear him saying, we need to slow down.
不过,有意思的是。
Although, I mean, interesting.
我是说,他们公司确实同意了很多限制,特别是对Instagram的访问限制。
I mean, they did the company did agree to a lot of, restrictions on on, you know, access to Instagram in particular.
抱歉。
Sorry.
我说的是人工智能。
I'm talking about the AI.
不是。
No.
不是。
No.
但我觉得,归根结底,它们其实挺相似的。
And but I'm I'm I'm saying that they're they're somewhat similar at the end of the day.
就是说,你知道的……
That that, you know
因为你说的是由人工智能驱动的算法。
because you're saying the AI powered algorithms
这些算法驱动了很多所谓的成瘾机制,对吧。
powers a lot of the the things that are allegedly addictive mechanisms Mhmm.
就这个方面来说。
For this.
所以我觉得,当你在谈监管所有这些的时候,AI领域有一些更具体的问题,每个问题都有各自的特点,但AI也触及了其他领域,而那些领域里,我觉得已经有一些相当合理的共识去重新设计。
And so I think that when you're talking about regulating all of this, you're it's it's a there are more particular problems in the AI space that that have their own individual parts, but the AI is touching these other ones where there's some been been some, I think, quite reasonable consent to redesign Mhmm.
并且重新思考这些系统是如何与人类协作的。
And some rethinking about how how those systems work with with humans.
这说到底都是关于人类来监管技术,最终掌控技术,而不是让技术反过来主导对话。
It it it is all a talk about humans regulating the technology and ultimately having control of the technology rather than letting it letting the technology take over the the conversation.
自从我在网上看到一个演示,有人做了一个类似Chrome浏览器的东西,某种工具,他们在浏览X平台。
Ever since I saw a demo online, somebody had built a, like, it was something like a Chrome browser or something, some sort of, like, you know, thing where they were going through x.
当他们滚动的时候,它会自动静音或者淡化。
And as they were scrolling, it would basically, mute or, like, a kind of dull
某些帖子。
Certain posts.
比如如果是广告,滚动到那里时,它就会直接显示“广告”。
So if it was an ad, as they were scrolling, it would just you'd get to it, it would just say, ad.
但是你看不到那个
But you couldn't see the
广告。
ad.
把它模糊掉。
Blur it out.
对。
Correct.
或者就像垃圾内容。
Or it would be like slop.
你知道吗?
You know?
就像,你不需要读这个。
And, like like, you don't need to read this.
在演示中,大概每四五个帖子才有一个是真正值得人看的。
As it was going, it was like, maybe one every four posts, five posts, you know, in the demo was, like, actually worth consuming for the human.
而且,这个演示挺可爱的。
And again, like, cute demo.
他们是想展示实时处理的能力,我记得好像是跟JEV有关,就是能实时合成内容的那种。
They were trying to show how, you know, real time I think it was, like, something related to JEV and the ability to kinda do this, you know, synthesizing, in real time.
但这让我想到,如果你没开那个功能,你就是在直接消费这些内容,我的大脑就是在直接接收。
But it got me thinking, like, if you don't have that turned on, you're you and my brain is just consuming it.
说到底,最稀缺的资源就是时间和人的注意力。
And this is like the ultimately, the scarce resource is time and human attention.
所以问题就是,你怎么能用AI来帮你,让你的时间和注意力更高效,让你得到有用的信息。
And so the question of how can you use AI on your on your behalf to make your time and your your attention more efficient to get you good information.
当然,问题在于,它可能被操纵,用来展示坏信息,或者假信息,或者可疑的信息,还可能用来推动一些分裂性的论点。
You know, the problem, of course, is that it can be manipulated to present bad information or or, you know, false information or questionable information and to advance, you know, arguments that that might be, divisive.
所以这些都是让人担心的地方。
And so all of these are concerns.
而且,看事实,看谁有动机去传播假信息,这是所有这些网络的关键部分,也是怎么让信息更有效地呈现出来,让人们自己做选择的关键。
And looking at facts and who has incentives to present disinformation is a critical part of all of these networks and how it gets surfaced more effectively for people to make their own choices.
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当我想到网络时,再回到比特币这个例子,它是一个开放的网络。
When, when I think of networks, again, going back to this example of, like, Bitcoin is an open network.
任何能上网的人,抱歉,任何在世界任何地方能上网的人,都可以上线,买一些比特币。
Anyone with an Internet connect, excuse me, anyone with an Internet connection anywhere in the world, they can get online, they can buy some Bitcoin.
对。
Yep.
这正是它的美妙之处。
And that's part of the beauty.
就是开放获取,谁都能用。
It's just like open accessibility.
体育队嘛,嗯。
Sports teams Mhmm.
可没那么容易。
Not exactly so easy.
对。
No.
对。
No.
确实不容易。
It's not.
这也是我在新项目里想传达的一个见解,就是我现在正在做的那个基金项目。
And that's part of the the insight that I think, you know, we're trying to take in the new project that I'm working through on the fund So
我刚才
I was
想让你解释一下。
gonna have you explain one.
对。
Exactly.
这个想法就是,你几乎想把比特币那种开放获取的精神,用到这个资产类别上,对吧。
Is this idea of, like, you're almost trying to take some of the, like, Bitcoin ethos of open accessibility and say, well, this asset class of Right.
你知道,冠军赛或者职业体育队,普通人很难接触到。
You know, championship, or professional sports teams are so hard to access.
是的。
Yes.
如果我们能以某种方式让这种获取变得民主化,对吧。
If we could somehow democratize Right.
那可能会有很多人感兴趣。
That access, there's probably a of people who'd be interested.
对。
Exactly.
那你讲讲你的策略吧,我觉得你的做法跟我听过的其他人都不太一样。这个基金是不是叫Sports One?
And so describe kind of your strategy, because I think it's a little bit different than anyone else I've heard with this I think the fund is called Sports One.
Sports One
Sports One
就是我们为这个项目成立的公司,目标就是持有多个球队的少数股权,然后把这些资产打包成一个体育资产的组合,人们可以买这家公司的股票,它将来会上市,或者买跟它挂钩的代币。
is the exact exactly the company that we've founded to focus on this, and the goal is to own multiple minority stakes in teams and use that as a as an effective sort of basket of, you know, of of of sports assets that people can either buy the equity in the company of it will be a public company or buy a token that's associated with that.
这个代币是给那些比较随性的用户设计的,他们想要一个门槛更低的入场方式。
And the token is designed for people who may be more casual users who want a cheaper access point.
我们认为,持有多个球队的少数股权,因为球队经常会有公开估值和讨论,所以这本身就能提供一个不错的入场点。
The the we think that the multiple minority stakes in the teams because there are regular public valuations and discussions about the teams that that, you know, will provide enough of an access point.
这真的很了不起。
It it is incredible.
这里面的稀缺性和挑战性都非常大。
There is incredible scarcity and incredible challenge.
有很多人在其他行业赚了很多钱,经营着家族办公室,这些人已经富裕多年,现在他们把体育球队看作一种资产类别。
There are a lot of people who have made a lot of money in other businesses and who run family offices, you know, where folks have have have been wealthy for years and they're looking at this as an asset class.
实际上,要进入这个领域真的很难,因为你必须得到批准,
It's it's actually really hard to access because you have to get the approval of
双方
both
球队的批准。
the team.
你知道,必须有人愿意出售。
Know, somebody has to be selling something.
而且联盟也有相当严格的审批流程。
And then the leagues also have a pretty extensive approval process.
另外,正如我们最近看到的,联盟里也有很多规则需要注意,有些东西有时被视为良性竞争,有时被视为试图规避规则,有时会被联盟严厉打击。
Then also, as we're seeing recently, there are a lot of rules you need to pay attention to in the league too, where some things that have been sometimes are seen as just healthy competition and attempts to evade the rules that sometimes get cracked down on quite extensively by the leagues.
这是有道理的,因为你要保持竞争平衡。
And for good reason because you're trying to preserve competitive balance.
你要确保这个生态系统运转良好。
You're trying to make sure that this ecosystem works well.
所以,我们进入体育这个生态系统的方式是,我们最终会收购大概三到五支球队的少数股权,这样就能为持有这些球队的公司股权以及相关的代币提供一个基础价值。我们会持有大约10%到15%的代币。
So our approach to access to sports as an ecosystem is we'll acquire sort of somewhere between ultimately sort of we we target three to five teams to start, minority stakes in teams, and that'll provide a floor value of both the equity in the company that owns them and of for the token that's associated with it, where we'll hold about 10% of the token, 10 or 15% of the token in the company.
这样你就可以据此推算出一个基础估值。
And you can back into a a floor valuation from that.
从那里开始,我们计划做很多非常支持运动员的事情,比如允许他们发行个人代币来支持自己的职业生涯,这样可以筹集资金,让他们能够参与其中,并且从中受益。我们真的希望那些正在崛起的、有抱负的运动员能够被他们身边的粉丝群体资助。
From there, we plan to do a lot of stuff that's very pro athlete over time, allowing people to issue their individual coins to support their own careers, that will raise the money, that will allow them to, you know, participate and and get from their you know, we we really wanna, you know, have the the, you know, striving athlete who's up and coming be able to be financed by a set of fans around them.
显然,一些知名运动员也会想参与其中,我们认为这很棒。
And obviously, some famous athletes will wanna participate in that too, and we think that's great.
而且,他们可以把这作为粉丝俱乐部的基础,或者作为与粉丝长期沟通的方式。
But, you know, when they can use that as the basis for their fan club or how to communicate with people over time.
但是,我们需要一个外部价值来源来支撑这个生态系统。
But we needed an extrinsic source of value to, you know, think about that ecosystem.
即使你和一个知名运动员一起推出一个代币,如果它没有关联任何实际价值,最终还是会崩盘的。
If you even if you launch with a famous athlete, a coin that doesn't have something associated with it, you know, it's it's it's ultimately gonna crash.
所以,已经有过几个这样的例子了。
So and there have been a couple examples of that.
所以我们决定,如果有一个关联公司,跟代币挂钩,实际持有多个球队的少数股权,这样你就不用担心控制权的问题了。
So we decided that if we had an associated company that tied to the token that actually owned multiple minority stakes in teams, and that way you don't have there's not a control factor that you're worried about.
你不需要深入参与这些球队的日常运营,但是有Sportico、Forbes和CNBC的估值,这些都会发布出来,给投资者提供这些资产类别的估算。
You're not, you know, sort of deep in the day to day of any of these teams, but there's, you know, the Sportico and the Forbes and the CNBC valuations that all come out and and provide these estimates that investors can, you know, have access to the to the to the asset class.
同时也能支持那些包含在组合里的球队。
And and and, you know, and support the teams that are part of the basket too.
当你考虑这个策略时,你是怎么选择球队的?
When you think about this strategy, how do you go about which teams?
如果我想买一个不太热门联赛的球队,可能我对那个球队了解不多,这跟Apollo最近据报道想买洋基队16%的股份是不同的情况。
It's different if I wanna buy a team in, you know, one of the less popular leagues that maybe I don't even know that much about the team versus, you know, Apollo recently wants reportedly 16% of the Yankees.
对。
Exactly.
我是洋基队的球迷。
I'm a Yankees fan.
我知道它们肯定会很值钱。
That I know they're gonna be valuable.
虽然都是职业体育,但你怎么
It's all professional sports, but how do
去考虑选择呢?
you kinda think through selection?
我们会和各种现任老板进行多种讨论,看看我们在哪些地方能成为好的合作伙伴。
We're gonna have a variety of discussions with, you know, the variety of current owners and where we think we can be a good partner.
因为我们在这一领域有经验,我有参与国王队收购过程的经验,也有在棒球大联盟的经验。
Because of our experience in the space, my experience with both the Kings process, but also in Major League Baseball.
所以我们五年前,或者说六年前,买下了巨人队在萨克拉门托的三A球队。
So we bought the Giants triple a team in Sacramento five years ago, six years ago now.
然后我们利用这一点,在一些讨论中,也帮助了奥克兰运动家队应对困境。
And and and then we've leveraged that in in some discussions and and helping out, you know, a a challenging situation for the Oakland A's.
所以他们在搬到拉斯维加斯之前,以及他们的球场在建期间,一直在我们位于西萨克拉门托的球场打球。
So they've been playing in our ballpark before they in West Sacramento before they move to Las Vegas eventually and while while their ballpark is constructed.
而且,你知道,显然现在还有很多东湾的球迷还能看到运动家队的比赛,因为他们暂时在西萨克拉门托打球。
And while, you know, we we obviously, you know, there are a lot of East Bay fans that can still have access to the a's for now, playing in West Sacramento.
最终,那边的老板决定把球队搬到拉斯维加斯,这件事谁也改变不了。
Ultimately, the ownership there decided to move the team to Vegas, and there's not much that anyone can do about that.
我们觉得这对他们和我们来说都是一个挺不错的过渡。
We, you know, think that that that's been a a pretty good transition for them and for us.
而且,我们还必须经过美国职棒大联盟的审批流程,这是收购三A球队必须要走的程序。
And and, you know, we think that there's just and what we also had to go through the Major League Baseball approval process, which you have to do for for triple a teams.
所以,既然我们在四大联盟中的两个都经历过这个过程,而且我们的合作伙伴也经历过NFL和NHL的流程,我们认为我们很有希望成功收购这些球队的股份,并得到联盟的批准。
So having been through the process in two of the four major leagues, having partners of ours that have been through the NFL process, they've been through the NHL process, we think we have a likelihood of success in getting pieces of these teams and getting approved by the leagues.
同时,我们也觉得,凭借我们的经验,我们能给这些合作带来很多价值。
But also, we think that we have a lot to offer those partnerships in terms of our experience.
现在,联盟对机构投资者有限制,他们不能进入董事会。
Now the leagues have set restrictions on institutional owners such that they can't take board seats.
他们不能直接参与日常运营,但这并不意味着我们不能成为好的顾问和合作伙伴。
They can't, you know, be, you know, involved directly in the day to day operations, but that doesn't mean that we can't be good advisers and good partners.
你提到公司里有股权。
You mentioned that there's equity in the company.
我记得你宣布了一个公开交易计划。
I think you've announced a public transaction that you are planning
我们计划合并进一个公开壳公司。
public shell that we are planning to merge into.
好的。
Okay.
然后从那里开始,我们会在这个公司里购买球队。
And and then from there, we'll be, you know, sort of purchasing the teams within that company.
好的。
Okay.
然后你还提到了代币。
And then you mentioned that there's a token as well.
股权和代币之间有什么区别?
What is the difference between the equity and
代币?
the token?
所以股权和代币,代币是一种与公司以及我们正在构建的生态系统建立关联的另一种方式。
So the equity and the token so the token will be a, you know, sort of a separate way to have association with the company and with the ecosystem that we're building.
股权则是传统的公开上市,在公开交易所交易,我们认为主要面向较大的持有者。
The equity will be a classic publicly traded, you know, on public exchanges and and available largely for, we think, larger holders.
而代币则是普通消费者参与系统的一种购买方式。
Whereas, you know, the token will be a way to buy in for for average consumers and a way to participate in the system.
而且感觉这两者正在融合。
And it also feels like those two things are converging.
比如,我们看到很多代币化的证券。
Like, we see a lot of tokenized securities.
这些东西现在开始逐渐出现了。
All that stuff is now starting to to kinda show up.
你觉得最终这两者之间会没有区别吗?
Do you think eventually there's no difference between the two?
我觉得你会看到两者之间有一些交易,因为人们喜欢的不同方面,代币可能会有一些正式的关联,比如访问底层团队福利,而股权可能没有。
I think that you'll you'll see some trading, you know, between one and the other for various, you know, aspects of what people like, the the token may have, you know, some formal associations with it in terms of access to the underlying, you know, team benefits that that the equity might not.
但我们最终可能会同时向股权持有者和代币持有者提供这些福利。
But we might end up offering it both to equity holders and token holders.
我的意思是,我们认为这会随着时间慢慢演变。
I mean, we think that that'll just evolve over time.
我们会观察市场对交易方式的反应,以及人们如何看待它作为一种价值储存手段。
And we'll watch the way that marketplaces react to the way that it trades and the way that that that people think about it as a store of value.
看起来国内市场非常注重股权。
It also seems like domestic markets are very equity focused.
国际市场开始更注重代币。
International markets start to be more token focused.
这些联盟肯定在努力扩张。
These leagues are definitely trying to expand.
比如,NFL最近在澳大利亚打了一场比赛。
Mean, NFL's got games, you know, where where they recently played a game in Australia.
没错。
Exactly.
所以墨尔本有49人队对公羊队的比赛。
So Melbourne 49ers Rams in in Melbourne.
哦,对。
Oh, yeah.
49人队打了比赛。
49ers played.
49人队对公羊队在墨尔本,而且我觉得今年柏林也会有一场比赛。
49ers Rams in Melbourne, and there will be, I think, a game in Berlin this year.
接下来还有墨西哥城的比赛。
There's a Mexico City game coming up.
你知道的,对吧?
There's you know?
而且NBA在季前赛也经常在菲律宾和中国打比赛。
And the and the NBA has largely in preseason done, you know, games in The Philippines, in in China.
我们和国王队一起去了中国。
We went with Kings, we went to China.
我们和合作伙伴一起去了印度,其中两位合作伙伴是第一代印度移民,包括我们的主要合伙人维韦克。
We went to India with our partners, you know, two of our partners being first generation Indian immigrants, including Vivek, our lead partner.
我们去了孟买,打了NBA在孟买的首场比赛。
We went to Mumbai and played the first NBA games in Mumbai.
这里正在进行大量的国际化进程。
There's a whole bunch of different internationalization that's going on here.
我们还会关注Sports One、英超联赛,以及其他各种欧洲足球运营,看看有没有可能把它们纳入我们的投资组合。
And we'll look at Sports One at the English Premier League, at a variety of of your you know, other European soccer operations and the possibility of of having those in our basket.
我们也会关注印度板球以及其他一些项目。
We'll look at Indian cricket and a number of others.
我还参与了一个与巴塞罗那足球俱乐部相关的1899创新基金,和一群朋友一起,他们大多来自美国,当然也有不少来自欧洲。
I've also I'm I'm part of a of a group that's there's a $18.99 innovation fund associated with FC Barcelona that I'm participating in with a bunch of friends, mostly from The States, but but a number obviously from Europe as well.
所以
So
这感觉就像我小时候的体育。
It feels like sports when I grew up.
那时候人们买球队几乎是因为热爱球队。
It was almost like people bought teams for the love of the team.
你知道有商业运作,但没那么明显。
You knew there was a business, but it wasn't as obvious.
而且我也不太清楚体育老板们到底赚了多少钱。
And I don't know how much money the sports owners really made.
他们确实赚钱,但不像现在这样。
You know, they made money, but, like, it wasn't what it is now.
感觉这已经变得非常专业化了。
It feels like this has been professionalized.
感觉竞争激烈多了,甚至有点残酷,尤其是私募股权公司介入之后。
It feels like it has become much more competitive and and almost, like, a level of, ruthlessness to it, especially when the private equity firms are getting involved.
比如大学体育,你肯定能看到这种情况。
Like, college sports, you're definitely seeing this happen.
这个演变过程挺有意思的。
It's been an interesting evolution.
是正面还是负面的?
Like, positive or negative?
或者说,你怎么看体育本身正在发生的变化?
Or, like, how do you evaluate how sports themselves are changing?
我们也都看到了。
And we see it.
比如,现在大学里的球员都在转学。
Like, the players now are transferring teams in college.
这个周末的莱恩·吉芬。
Lane Giffen this weekend.
我是说
I mean
那真是一系列有趣的对话。
That was an interesting set of conversations.
你知道,摩根·弗里曼都会点名批评你。
You get, you know, Morgan Freeman calling you out.
说你是叛徒。
Calling you a rat.
这真的是非常厉害的事情。
It's a it's a it's a very powerful thing.
所以,你怎么看待,也许大学体育更纯粹,或者曾经更纯粹。
So, like, how do you just think about and maybe college is, like, a more pure thing or it was.
我觉得曾经是的。
It was, I would say.
比起职业体育,这一点更明显。
You see it more obviously versus professional sports.
我觉得人们都听说过这些故事。
I think people, you know, they've heard the stories.
你可能今年是明星,明年就被裁掉了。
You can be the star one year, you're cut the next year.
这其实有点商业化的味道。
It's kind of a business to it.
但我认为,我们通过Sports One和运动员币,希望最终能让运动员在这个过程中更有话语权。
And I but I think that we have aspirations through Sports One and and the, you know, athlete coins that we think will be affiliated with it over time at at returning to, you know, both making athletes more powerful in that process.
但长远来看,我们认为这为个人提供了另一种参与方式,不是赌博。
But over time, you know, we think that that allowing another access point for individuals that's not necessarily it's not betting.
不是那些乱七八糟的东西。
It's not all these different things.
而是用其他方式来表达你对运动员和球队的兴趣和热爱。
It's other ways to express, you know, your interest and your love for the athletes and the teams that you're you're around.
而且我们认为这有一定的经济基础。
And, you know, we think that that has some financial basis to it.
人们花钱买票,花时间在体育场,还有买纪念品,所有这些都包含在内。
You know, people spend their money on tickets, the time that they spend at at stadiums, and then the on memorabilia, on all of those things that that go into this.
我们认为这最终是大家会正面看待的事情,即使有竞争关系,比如那种深仇大恨,如果你是洋基队的球迷,那对手是红袜队,而不是大都会队,但你知道,道奇对巨人,所有这些经典的对决。
We think that that ultimately is a thing that people positively associate, even when there's a rivalry associated with it, where there's there's, you know, a deep enmity, you know, going on for, you know, for if if if you're if you're a Yankees fan, not so much the it's the Red Sox, not the Mets, in town, but, you know, the dodgers, giants, and all of these kind of classic rivalries.
我之前跟你说过,你知道,布鲁克林篮网队,我说,没人会生气。
I told you earlier, you know, the Brooklyn Nets, and I said, no one get mad.
我能这么说是因为,你会说,不。
The reason I can say that You're you're gonna no.
因为真的没那么多人在为他们加油。
Because no one really cheering for them as much.
但如果我说大都会队和喷气机队,
Now if I was to say the Mets and the Jets,
你知道,
you know,
不仅会被我们旁边的马特揍一顿,而且会有很多人不高兴。
not only would I get beat up by our friend Matt over here, but but, there'd be plenty of people mad.
但最终,我们认为这些竞争是良性的,而且,你知道,这是体验它的另一种方式。
But but ultimately, we think that the those rivalries are are healthy ones and that, you know, this is another way to to experience it.
我也觉得反过来也一样。
I also think the reverse is true.
就像金融市场变得有点像体育比赛一样。
Like, financial markets have become somewhat like sports.
人们为自己喜欢的公司加油。
And people cheer for their favorite company.
他们穿着公司的周边产品。
They wear the company swag.
我经常看到人们在推特上发布图表,比如这个打败了那个。
They are, I see people all the time tweeting out charts of, like, this beat this.
而且,你知道,这确实挺有意思的。
And, you know, I mean, it it is kinda interesting to
看,投资中确实有一种支持的性质,人们有自己的选择偏见,他们想显得聪明,想证明自己是对的,这是一种
see There is definitely a a rooting nature that goes into investments, and that people have, you know, their own selection bias that they wanna be they wanna be smart, and they wanna be right, and that's a
完全正确。
100%.
非常人性化的东西。
Very human thing that
体育般的热情在金融市场兴起,同时也伴随着体育博彩的兴起。
The rise of sports like enthusiasm and financial markets is also meeting the rise of sports betting.
是的。
Yes.
而且人们希望他们的钱和他们认为的娱乐能一致。
And it's like people want their money and the things they deem entertainment Right.
对。
To be aligned.
现在我要说,虽然我认为股市就像赌场一样,但赔率更好。
Now I would argue that, you know, although I believe the stock market is just as much of a casino, the odds are better.
你知道吗?
You know?
哦,好多了。
Oh, much.
还有体育博彩。
And sports gambling.
而且这些数据的公开性也是一个很重要的方面。
And then the and the public nature of that data is a significant part.
这也是我们Sports One业务的另一部分,我们正在努力收集更好的数据,并以智能的方式应用AI,给大家提供对运动员和球队更深入的洞察,既包括商业方面,也包括现场表现方面。
And this is another part of our Sports One business is that we're trying to gather better data and apply AI in a smart way to, you know, give people deeper insights into individual athletes and teams and both their biz on the business side, but also on the on the live performance side.
让我觉得很有意思的是,之前居然没有人做过这件事。
It's fascinating to me that, no one's done this yet before.
我记得我们第一次聊的时候,我就跟你说过这个。
I I think at the first time we talked, I told you this.
当然,人们肯定想接触这些资产。
Like, of course, people want exposure to these assets.
比如,Fenway Sports One是什么?
There are things like, what is, Fenway Sports One.
他们,他们
They They
他们拥有一些球队,通过
they own some teams by
像Archos和Dial这些玩家,都已经以封闭式基金的形式,积累了一些球队的少数股权。
the Archos and Dial, the all of these players have have amassed certain minority stakes in teams as sort of closed end funds
没错。
Correct.
这些主要是面向那些已经投入其中的富裕投资者。
For, you know, largely the wealthy investors who are already putting into that.
我们希望这能更加大众化,我们认为这对球队、联盟以及各地的球迷都是有益的。
We we want that to be much more democratized, and we think that that's healthy for the teams, for the leagues, and for and for fans everywhere.
我觉得这很有道理。
I mean, it makes makes a lot of sense.
那么,对于对Sports One感兴趣的人,我们应该让他们去哪里了解呢?
Where for people who are interested in Sports One, where where should we send them
去那边吗?
to up there?
目前,我们,你知道的?
Right now, we're you know?
所以,我们已经宣布了计划,要和这家上市公司合并。
So we we've, you know, announced that we plan to to merge with this public company.
这家公司原本叫Sono,我们预计这件事能完成,但需要一些时间。
It was originally called Sono that's out there, and we we expect that we will, you know, get that done, and and it'll take some time.
不过现在大家就可以去公开渠道了解一下。
But But they can go read, like, publicly read about it right now.
我们在Google上搜过Sports One。
We've done a Google Sports One.
如果大家去Google搜Sono,就能看到基本信息。
If they Google, you know, Sono, they'll see the basic Information.
这是我们目前已经公布的计划。
Plan from here that we've announced so far.
当然,随着我们推进,还会有更多公告。
And, obviously, there will be further announcements as we move down down that road.
然后从那里开始,我们希望能在短时间内获得多个股份,虽然你不想设定太具体的时间表,但凭借我们的经验、知识和正在进行的对话,我们认为可以很快实现。
And then from there, you know, we'll we'll achieve the the, you know, hopefully multiple stakes in in a in a matter of you know, you never wanna put a you know, too much of a time frame on it, but we think we can get that done quickly given our experience and our knowledge and the conversations that we're having.
所以从那里开始,我们最终会推出代币,然后我们想为运动员和他们的粉丝提供投资单个运动员的能力。
So from there, that you know, we'll we'll launch the token eventually, and then, we we wanna provide, for athletes and for their fans, the ability to invest in individual athletes too.
我们会以正确的方式来实现这一点。
We'll we'll get to that in in the right way.
幸运的是,美国证券交易委员会在哪些是证券、哪些不是证券方面已经明确了很多,这让我们能够思考并设计这些产品,以提供尽可能广泛的访问。
And, luckily, the SEC has been a lot clearer in terms of what what are securities and what are not, and that's enabled us to think about that and design these in a way that that will provide the broadest access that we can.
我认为,这是人们在比特币世界、人工智能世界、体育世界和Facebook世界所学到的东西的融合。
I I think, I I think that this is a convergence of things that people learned in the Bitcoin world, in the AI world, in the sports world, in the Facebook world.
比如,你处于一个独特的位置,考虑到所有这些
Like, you you are kind of uniquely positioned given all of
你的兴趣。
your interest.
我们想把这一切整合在一起。
We're trying to bring it all together.
我们想把这一切整合在一起。
We're trying to bring it all together.
这种做法很独特,但我觉得,顺便说一句,政府永远不会停止印钱。
Very unique way to do it, but but I think that by the way, the government's never gonna stop printing money.
所以我也觉得这些资产将来可能会更值钱。
So I do think these assets will probably be worth more in the future too.
我觉得
I think
我觉得没错。
I think that's right.
没错。
That's right.
太棒了。
Amazing.
好的。
Alright.
好,谢谢
Well, thank
非常感谢你
you very much for
来做这个,Chris。
doing this, Chris.
我们以后
We'll do
一起做。
it together in the future.
这太棒了。
This is fantastic.
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