毫不留情 / 毫无恶意：对年轻人的战争

本节目由以下赞助支持：经营企业不该像应付一个软件小组作业那样疲于奔命。

Support for the show comes from Running a business shouldn't feel like surviving a software group project.

一个软件管财务，一个管库存，一个管销售，结果它们全都不互通。

One app for accounting, another for inventory, another for sales, and somehow none of them talk to each other.

这时候就轮到Odoo登场了——一套集成了销售、财务、库存、营销等所有业务模块的一体化管理平台。

That's where Odoo comes in, an all in one business management software that brings every part of your business together from sales and accounting to inventory and marketing all in one powerful platform.

不用再折腾各种系统对接。

No messy integrations.

不用在不同页面之间来回切换。

No bouncing between tabs.

最重要的是，再也不用跟表格死磕了。

And best of all, no spreadsheets.

别再花时间管理软件了，用一个统一的系统，专心经营你的生意。

Stop managing software and start managing your business with one unified system.

立即免费试用，访问 o d o dot com slash profg。

Try for free today at o d o dot com slash profg.

这就是 odoo.com/profg。

That's odoo.com/profg.

本节目由 Northwest Registered Agent 赞助。

Support for the show comes from Northwest Registered Agent.

你的企业身份，决定了企业是否正规、专业。

Your business identity is everything that makes your business legitimate and professional.

通过 Northwest Registered Agent，你不仅注册公司，更建立起一套专为隐私、信誉和成长设计的完整基础。

With Northwest Registered Agent, you don't just form a business, you start a complete foundation built for privacy, credibility, and growth.

包括注册代理服务、企业地址、运营协议、域名、网站、专业邮箱、电话号码，以及内置隐私保护。

That includes registered agent service, a business address, operating agreement, domain, website, professional email, phone number, and built in privacy.

换句话说，你的家庭住址、私人邮箱和电话号码都会得到保护。

In other words, your home address, personal email, and phone number stay private.

别花几百甚至几千美元去买那些 Northwest 免费提供的服务。

Don't pay hundreds or thousands of dollars for what you can get from Northwest for free.

访问 northwestregisteredagent.com/profgfree，用这些免费资源打造属于你的非凡事业。

Visit northwestregisteredagent.com/profgfree and start using free resources to build something amazing.

更多服务，请访问 northwestregisteredagent.com/profgfree，选择西北注册代理。

Get more with Northwest Registered Agent at northwestregisteredagent.com/profgfree.

我是斯科特·加洛韦，欢迎收听《毫不留情，毫不恶意》。

I'm Scott Galloway, and this is No Mercy, No Malice.

我们爱自己的孩子吗？

Do we love our children?

我们嘴上说爱，但整个社会的行为却表明并非如此。

We say we do, but as a society, our actions suggest otherwise.

《对年轻人的战争》，由乔治·哈恩朗读。

War on the Young, as read by George Hahn.

这周，我参加了TED 2024，这是这个标志性活动的第四十周年盛会。

This week, I spoke at TED twenty twenty four, the iconic program's fortieth anniversary event.

我在温哥华的舞台上，和鲁保罗、凯莎，还有两位天体物理学家同台演讲。

I joined RuPaul, Kesha, and two different astrophysicists on the stage in Vancouver.

我原本有十五分钟，结果用了十七分钟，翻完了四十七页幻灯片，讲清楚了我认为美国当前面临的最大挑战。

I was given fifteen minutes and took 17 to rifle through 47 slides, articulating what I believe is the greatest challenge facing The US.

不是贫富差距，不是气候变化，也不是中东的战争，而是一个贯穿这些危机的核心问题——美国对年轻人的战争，一场相互毁灭的战争。

It's not inequality, climate change, or war in The Middle East, but an issue that threads these threats together, America's war on the young, a war of mutually assured destruction.

衡量一个社会是否成功的合理标准，是它如何对待孩子，不是看个别父母怎么做，而是看那些负责避免公共悲剧的制度、激励机制和领导层是否有效。

A decent proxy for the success of a society is how it treats children, not how individuals parent, but the success of the structures, incentives, and leadership charged with preventing a tragedy of the commons.

简单来说，我们能回答一个问题吗？

In sum, can we answer a simple question?

我们真的爱自己的孩子吗？

Do we love our children?

在2024年的美国，答案令人沮丧。

In 2024 America, the rejoinder is disheartening.

我们已经毁掉了维系美国社会的那份契约。

We've broken the social contract that binds America.

以前人们相信，只要努力工作、遵守规则，下一代就能比父母过得更好。

Work hard, play by the rules, and you'll be better off than your parents were.

但这是美国历史上第一次，这句话不再成立了。

For the first time in our nation's history, this is no longer true.

如今25岁的年轻人，收入比他们父母和祖父母同龄时还低，却背负着上一代人根本无法想象的学生贷款。

Today's 25 year olds make less than their parents and grandparents did at the same age, yet they carry student debt loads unimaginable to earlier generations.

无论是最低工资还是中位数工资，都没跟上通胀和生产率的增长，而房价却远远超过了这些指标。

Neither the minimum nor median wage has kept pace with inflation or productivity gains, while housing costs have outpaced them.

关于儿童和年轻人福祉的数据，令人震惊。

The statistics on children's and young adults' well-being are staggering.

年轻人对这一切心知肚明，社会契约的崩塌让他们感到愤怒和羞耻。

None of this is lost on young people, and the shattering of the social contract has left them feeling rage and shame.

超过55岁的美国人中，有一半表示他们为自己是美国人感到无比自豪。

Half of Americans older than 55 say they are extremely proud to be American.

而在18到34岁的人群中，这个比例降到了18%。

That number drops to eighteen percent among eighteen to thirty four year olds.

这削弱了美国社会的免疫力，让原本微小的裂痕演变成致命的系统性危机。

This weakens the immunity system of America, allowing minor cuts to US society to bring on deadly opportunistic infections.

就像你生活中有人突然对你发火，表面上看是为了一件事，其实根本不是那回事。

Just as when someone in your life blows up at you, it's about the issue at hand, and it isn't.

尽管在这些社会正义议题上已经取得了显著进展，美国年轻人的担忧却自然而然地演变成了愤怒。

American youth's warranted concern on social justice issues, despite remarkable progress on all these issues, turns seamlessly into rage.

我们并不缺乏资源来提升年轻人的处境，重现我们那一代人曾享有的机会，但那些从二十世纪战后经济繁荣中获益最多的人，却把梯子抽走了。

We don't lack the resources to level up young people and present the opportunities afforded my generation, but the cohorts who benefited most from the extraordinary postwar economic boom of the twentieth century have pulled the ladder up behind them.

1989年，40岁的成年人拥有家庭总财富的12%，而70岁的人则拥有19%。

In 1989, adults 40 held 12% of household wealth, while those 70 held 19%.

如今，40岁的人只掌握家庭总财富的7%，而70岁的人却控制着30%。

Today, those 40 command just 7% of household wealth, while those 70 control 30%.

高等教育是弥合代际差距最有效的途径。

Higher education is the most effective means of closing the generation gap.

但既得利益者人为限制了准入，把机会牢牢锁在富裕家庭手中，只让极少数来自后90%的天才儿童挤进来，好给高等教育的门槛抹点润滑剂。

But the incumbents have artificially constrained access, sequestering opportunity largely to wealthy households peppered with a few freakishly remarkable kids from the lower 90% to smear Vaseline over the casting of higher ed.

顶尖学校总在宣传自己的助学政策，强调中等收入家庭的学生几乎不用交学费。

Elite schools tout their financial aid, emphasizing that students with median household incomes pay little or no tuition.

但这其实是个幌子。

But it's a head fake.

对少数低收入学生多给点资助，不过是用贴纸掩盖排他性，真正的目标应该是彻底消除这种排他。

Being more generous with a select few low income students only wallpapers over exclusivity when the goal should be to eliminate it.

我们只是重新洗牌了精英阶层。

We have simply reshuffled the elites.

半个世纪以来，哈佛本科生人数一直维持在1600人左右，而它的捐赠基金却增长了近五倍。

Harvard's undergraduate class size has been static at 1,600 for half a century, while its endowment has grown nearly 500%.

当你的收入涨了六倍，却故意不扩大招生规模，你就不再是公共服务者，而变成了一只香奈儿手袋。

When your top line revenue is up sixfold, but you purposefully do not increase production, you are no longer a public servant, but a Chanel bag.

个位数的录取率，根本就是最浮夸的虚荣指标。

Single digit admissions rates are the ultimate vanity metric.

这些校长和捐款人聚餐时拿来自豪的事，其实应该让他们感到羞愧。

Something deans and donors brag about at cocktail parties when they should be a mark of shame.

正如我之前提出的，我们应该和高等教育达成一项重大协议：把原本用于补贴三分之一上过大学的美国人的钱，转用来增加新生名额、降低学费。

As I've proposed before, we should offer higher ed a grand bargain, redirect the money earmarked for bailing out the one third of America that has attended college to increasing freshman seats and reducing costs.

拜登政府提出的助学方案只是暂时压住了肿瘤，却没有根治根本问题——教育越来越买不起、越来越难进去。

The Biden administration's proposed student bailouts shrink the tumor but don't address the underlying cancer, declining affordability and accessibility.

我们把资本看得比汗水更重要。

We have elevated capital over sweat, I.

劳动才是根本。

E, labor.

公众早已对这套神话麻木了，而它只让既得利益者从中获益。

The public is numb to this mythology, benefiting the incumbents who've created it.

2008年市场崩盘时，像我这样刚步入收入黄金期的年轻人，正好能以低价买入成长型股票。

Back in 2008, when the market crashed, young ish people, like me, coming into our prime income earning years, were able to buy growth stocks at low valuations.

我经济安全的基石，是当年以7美元买下亚马逊（今天值179美元），7美元买下苹果（今天值1067美元），还有12.61美元买下奈飞（今天值11美元）。

The foundation of my economic security was buying Amazon at $7 (one hundred and seventy nine dollars today), and Apple at $7 (one hundred and $67 today), and Netflix at $12.611 dollars today.

但从那以后，我们通过低企业税率和由年轻人买单的救助政策，给资产价格打了大量兴奋剂和刺激针，把价格推得越来越高。

Ever since, however, we've inflated asset prices by pumping them full of steroids and stimulus using low corporate tax rates and bailouts that are financed on the backs of young people.

每个50岁以上的美国人，都在对更年轻的人说：用你的信用卡继续养着我吧。

Keep me rich on your credit card, said every American over the age of 50 to citizens younger than them.

总而言之，自1974年以来，实际中位劳动收入只涨了40%，而标普500指数却涨了4000%。

In sum, real median income from labor is up 40% since 1974, while the S and P 500 is up 4000%.

我们通过税法保护了资本带来的财富，却牺牲了劳动所得，因为税制偏爱投资收益。

We've protected the wealth created by ownership at the expense of income earned by labor through the tax code, which favors gains from investments.

股票交易的收益适用更低的资本利得税率。

Gains from stock sales are taxes at lower capital gains rates.

房产可以免税增值，卖了之后还能把收益再投资到其他资产里。

Real estate holdings can appreciate tax free, and once sold, the gains can be rolled into another investment.

这又是一轮从劳动者、年轻人向所有者、老年人转移财富的过程。

Again, a series of transfers of wealth from earners, youth, to owners, seniors.

征收上来的税，越来越多地流向了最不需要这些钱的那一代人。

And what taxes are collected are increasingly redistributed to the generation who needs them least.

1985年，联邦政府人均在老年人身上的支出是儿童的三倍。

In 1985, the federal government spent three times more per capita on seniors than it did on kids.

到2019年，这个比例已经涨到了八倍。

By 2019, that ratio has risen to eight times.

我们把老年人的贫困率从上世纪70年代的17%降到了现在的9%，这确实值得肯定。

We've cut senior poverty from 17% in the 1970s to 9% today, which is admirable.

但同一时期，儿童贫困率却从16%上升到了19%。

But child poverty has risen over that same period, from 16% to 19%.

民主党的运作正在失效——老年人投票选出老年人，而这些人又为自己争取更多资源。

The demo in Democratic is failing us, as seniors vote seniors into office who then vote themselves more money.

没有年龄限制，也没有任期限制，加上现任议员连任率超过九成，国会席位已经变成了终身职位。

With neither age limits nor term limits, and incumbent reelection rates over 90%, congressional seats have become lifetime appointments.

南希·佩洛西或许是国会里最聪明的83岁老人，但她的时代已经过去了。

Nancy Pelosi may be the sharpest 83 year old in congress, but her time has passed.

她女儿出生在约翰逊总统时期，那时候全美不到三分之一的家庭有彩色电视机。

She has a daughter who was born during the Johnson administration when less than one third of homes had a color TV.

我们的领导人，真的能理解一个15岁女孩正被Meta推送极端节食信息，或者年轻男性沉迷手机赌博APP的危机吗？

Does our leadership really relate to the challenges facing a 15 year old girl being sent messages on extreme dieting by Meta or the budding addiction crisis of young men on phone based gambling apps?

我们需要新陈代谢来重新调整财富分配，但现在这些机制却被各种拖后腿的政策拖住了，代价高达数万亿美元。

We need churn to recalibrate and transfer wealth, but it's been dampened with retardants that cost trillions.

华盛顿已经变成了《行尸走肉》和《黄金女孩》的混合体。

DC has become a cross between the walking dead and the golden girls.

他们把年轻人看作是养料，而不是未来。

Its denizens see the living, young, as nutrition versus the future.

为了取悦克里特岛的米诺斯国王，古雅典每年都要献上七名少年和七名少女，供他养在宫殿下的弥诺陶洛斯吞噬。

To appease king Minos of Crete, ancient Athens sacrificed seven young men and seven young women to the minotaur he kept under his palace.

后来，忒修斯杀死了这只怪兽。

Then Theseus slew the minotaur.

如今在美国，我们正把整整一代人献给科技巨头这些弥诺陶洛斯，而我们的忒修斯——国会——却只能袖手旁观，发表空谈。

Today in America, we're offering an entire generation to the minotaurs of big tech, and our theseus, Congress, can only stand by and make speeches.

自从社交媒体全天候缠上青少年以来，抑郁、自残、欺凌、孤独和肥胖问题急剧上升。

Teen depression and self harm, bullying, loneliness, and obesity have shot up since social media began haunting them twenty four seven.

自2017年以来，国会就儿童与社交媒体问题举行了40场听证会，却未通过任何实质性的应对措施。

Since 2017, Congress has held 40 hearings on children and social media and passed nothing to address the problem.

民主党和共和党都提出过法案，比如设置年龄门槛、改革第230条——该条款让互联网平台免于大多数诉讼——但始终一事无成。

Democrats and Republicans have introduced legislation, including to age gate social and to reform section two thirty, which immunizes Internet platforms from most litigation, but nothing gets done.

在上一次《我们的问题何在》的戏剧性演讲中，参议员迪克·德宾承认了失败。

At the last dramatic reading of What Ails Us, Senator Dick Durbin admitted to failure.

有人说，光是科技行业不该为当前的局面负全责。

Quote, the tech industry alone is not to blame for the situation we're in.

我们这些国会议员也该照照镜子。

Those of us in Congress need to look in the mirror.

这话没错。

Unquote.

我们必须让科技平台对其造成的伤害承担责任。

We need to make tech platforms liable for the harms they cause.

我们应该取消第230条对算法推荐内容的免责保护。

We should eliminate section two thirty's liability shield for algorithmically elevated content.

言论自由不是免费的。

Freedom of speech isn't free.

在美国，60岁以上的人群幸福感排在全球第10位，而30岁以下的人群却排在第60位。

The US is the tenth happiest country in the world for people 60 and the 60 happiest for people 30.

年轻人经济上处于劣势，面临气候危机的威胁，又因我们政治体系的失灵而无人倾听。

Young people are economically disadvantaged, threatened by climate change, and voiceless thanks to our dysfunctional politics.

他们从小就被一种由原始本能、中世纪制度和近乎神力的技术混合而成的有毒环境所操控。

And they've been manipulated from childhood by a toxic cocktail of paleolithic instincts, medieval institutions, and godlike technology.

我们破坏了社会契约，年轻一代不会再履行他们的那份责任。

We have broken the social contract, and younger generations aren't going to fulfill their end of it.

1993年，60%的30至34岁人群至少有一个孩子。

In 1993, sixty percent of thirty to thirty four year olds had at least one child.

如今，这个比例降到了27%。

Today, that number is twenty seven percent.

年轻人既不社交也不恋爱，后果将十分严重。

Young people aren't meeting or mating, and the consequences will be dire.

年轻人的劳动支撑着经济，他们的税收则用来支付老年人享受的各种服务。

Young people's labor powers the economy, and their taxes pay for the services consumed by old people.

如果青年就业没有起色，社会保障将破产，债务利息将吞噬整个联邦预算，国家体系也会崩溃。

Without robust youth employment, Social Security will go bankrupt, debt service will consume the federal budget, and the Commonwealth will collapse.

我们创造的未来如此黯淡，年轻人干脆选择退出。

We've created a future so unappealing, youth is opting out.

那些在位者只会像八岁小孩一样摊手，拒绝承担责任。

The incumbents will throw their arms up like an eight year old who refuses to take responsibility.

说什么问题太复杂，这不过是自欺欺人。

The plea of complexity is an illusion.

我们给年轻人带来的每一个问题，其实都有办法解决。

Every problem we have levied on young people can be addressed.

最难的部分我们已经搞明白了——如何实现经济的持续增长，来支撑那些可能扭转局面的项目。

We have the hard part figured out, how to grow the economy at a sustained rate to pay for programs that might turn things around.

只要在经济、科技、社会政策和心理健康这几个领域，推行几项切实可行的措施就够了。

There are just a few programs and fixes we could try in economics, technology, social policy, and mental health.

我四十二岁才生下第一个孩子，那彻底改变了我的人生。

I had my first child at 42, and it changed my life.

我变得更负责任、更专注、更关心未来，也更有同理心。

I became more responsible, focused, concerned about the future, and empathetic.

总的来说，我成了一个更好的美国人。

In sum, I became a better American.

孩子让我们变得更好。

Children make us better.

我们照顾自己的孩子。

We care for our kids.

但我们真的爱孩子吗？

But do we love children?

不知从什么时候起，整个社会都丢了方向。

Somewhere along the way, we lost the script as a society.

如果我们有资源解决这些问题——而我们确实有，比如英伟达在财报发布后五分钟就为经济增加了整整一万亿美元。

If we have the resources to address these issues, and we do, NVIDIA added a quarter of 1,000,000,000,000 to the economy in five minutes post earnings.

可我们却继续视而不见。

But continue to look the other way.

那我们就得问了：美国还值得投资吗？

Then we have to ask, is America worth investing in?

我们到底爱不爱自己的孩子？

And do we really love our children?

孩子？

Children?

生活真丰富。

Life is so rich.

你好。

Hi.

我是瑞安·雷诺兹，为Mint Mobile代言。

And Ryan Reynolds here for Mint Mobile.

今年夏天想找本轻松的书读吗？

Are you looking for a beach read this summer?

我建议你看看你的手机账单。

May I suggest your big wireless bill?

里面有悬疑、神秘感，情感线稍微平淡，结局还来个惊人反转——你发现自己一直被多收钱了。

It's got suspense, mystery, a slightly flat emotional arc, and a shocking twist where you realize you've been over paying the entire time.

不过幸运的是，Mint的故事要好得多。

Fortunately, though, Mint's story is better.

所有套餐每月仅需15美元，甚至包含无限流量。

Every plan, $15 a month, even unlimited.

就这么简单。

That's it.

圆满结局。

Happy ending.

一滴眼泪都不用流。

Zero tears.

马上去 mintmobile.com/switch 试试吧。

Give it a try at mintmobile.com/switch.

初始套餐若超过50GB，网络繁忙时可能会限速。

Initial plan term only greater than 50 gigabytes may slow when network is busy.

详情请见条款。

See terms.

本节目由圣日耳曼接骨木花利口酒赞助。

Support for this show comes from Saint Germain Elderflower Liqueur.

没有什么比在阳光洒满的后院闲逛更像夏天了。

Nothing says summer like a sunny backyard hang.

到处是浅色亚麻布，嘴里说着轻松愉快的闲聊。

Think light colored linens everywhere and an easy conversation on your lips.

一只手拿着最爱的小食，另一只手握着清爽提神的圣日耳曼气泡酒。

Your favorite hors d'oeuvre in one hand and the bright refreshing taste of a Saint Germain spritz in the other.

正是这些细节让人久久难忘。

Those are the details that stick with us.

而圣日耳曼气泡酒，是对雨果气泡酒的升级版，做法却最简单。

And the Saint Germain spritz, an elevated take on the Hugo spritz, is the simplest part.

只需把气泡水、葡萄酒和圣日耳曼混合，就是你的夏日必备鸡尾酒。

Just mix sparkling water, wine, and Saint Germain for your go to summer cocktail.

访问 saintgermainliqueur.com 购买并探索更多配方。

Visit saintgermainliqueur.com to shop and explore recipes.

请适量饮用。

Enjoy responsibly.