Big catalyst week for SpaceX

欢迎来到 Seeking Alpha 的华尔街周日早午餐，这里是您每周日了解本周市场大事、周末重磅新闻与深度分析的地方。

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's market moving events along with the weekend's top news and analysis.

大家好。

Hello.

今天是7月5号，星期天，我是您的主持人金·汗。

Today is Sunday, July 5, and I'm your host, Kim Khan.

这周SpaceX将迎来两大关键节点，期权市场显示交易员们预期股价会有显著甚至惊人的上涨。

SpaceX gets two major catalysts this week, and the options market suggests traders are expecting a solid and possibly spectacular move.

周二，IPO静默期结束，分析师可以自由发布评级和目标价了。

On Tuesday, the IPO quiet period ends, freeing analysts to publish ratings and price targets.

同时，这只股票也将被纳入纳斯达克100指数。

The stock will also join the Nasdaq 100.

7月10日的期权数据表明，交易员们正在为这两个事件做准备，其中180美元和190美元的看涨期权最受追捧。

The July 10 options change shows traders position for those twin catalysts, with the one eighty and one ninety calls attracting the strongest bullish interest.

周四SpaceX收盘价为162美元，本周期权暗示到周五到期前，股价波动幅度大约在正负9%之间。

SpaceX closed at one sixty two on Thursday with weekly options implying a move of about plus or minus 9% by Friday's expiration.

180和190的看涨期权分别代表约1117%的涨幅。

The one eighty and ninety calls represent gains of roughly 1117%, respectively.

空头布局相对清淡，期权链上几乎没有迹象显示强烈的看跌情绪。

Downside positioning is relatively light with little in the options chain pointing to strong bearish conviction.

还有330的看涨期权。

Then there's the three thirty call.

在股价162美元的情况下，有超过10.6万份合约成交，未平仓合约达36,131份。

On a stock trading at a $162, a 106,000 plus contracts changed hands with open interest at 36,131.

每份期权价格约20美分，这简直就是散户的彩票，赌的是SpaceX到周五股价能翻一倍以上。

And at about 20¢ each, they represent retail lottery tickets in the purest form, a wager that SpaceX more than doubles by Friday.

百事可乐周四将公布财报，分析师预计每股收益2.21美元，营收约240亿美元。

PepsiCo headlines the earnings calendar on Thursday with analysts expecting EPS of two twenty one on revenue of about $24,000,000,000.

持有中性评级的分析师蒙特·萨皮尔表示，百事需要在北美市场展现出饮料和零食的明确增长、真实的正向自由现金流，以及控制成本的能力，才能重新吸引看涨者。

Analyst Monte Sapir, who rates a stock a hold, says PepsiCo needs to show clear growth in North America for both drinks and snacks, real positive free cash flow, and proof it can control costs for the bulls to return.

但给予买入评级的科迪认为，百事依然是个兼具价值和收益的优质选择，未来几年也有望维持稳健的恒定汇率核心每股收益增长。

But Cody's dividends, which rates the stock a buy, argues Pepsi remains an attractive value and income play and also looks like it can sustain respectable constant currency core EPS growth in the years ahead.

此外，乐事牛仔裤公司将在周三公布财报，达美航空则定于周五发布。

Also on the earnings calendar, Levi Strauss reports on Wednesday, while Delta Airlines reports on Friday.

经济方面，美联储FOMC将在周三公布基文·沃尔什担任主席后的首次会议纪要。

Looking to the economy, the FOMC will release the minutes from its first meeting under chairman Kevin Walsh on Wednesday.

花旗经济学家表示，他们会关注委员会内部是否有任何迹象表明，原本立场分歧的成员正转向支持加息。

Wells Fargo economists say they'll be watching for any signs of what could shift a divided committee from a whole toward rate hikes.

他们提到，我们会留意多数与会者是否认为近期通胀上升是持续性的，足以需要进一步收紧政策，还是仅仅属于暂时性的供给冲击。

We will be looking at whether a majority of participants view the recent pickup in inflation as persistent enough to warrant additional tightening or as primarily a temporary supply shock, they said.

我们也会关注委员会成员如何看待劳动力市场和经济需求端是否构成了通胀压力。

We will also be interested in the extent to which committee members view the labor market and the demand side of the economy as an inflationary problem.

本周末的新闻：得克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克顿已启动调查，指控StubHub涉嫌通过‘幽灵票务’方式取消或未能交付世界杯门票。

In the news this weekend, Texas attorney general Ken Paxton has launched an investigation into allegations that StubHub canceled or failed to deliver World Cup tickets in a practice known as ghost ticketing.

全美各地的球迷抱怨，他们的门票在比赛前几天甚至几小时前被取消。

Soccer fans across the country complained that their tickets were canceled days or sometimes hours before matches.

StubHub将问题归咎于国际足联票务系统的传输故障，但帕克顿表示，消费者普遍认为，这些取消行为其实是‘幽灵票务’——卖家出售根本不存在的门票，收款后再取消交易。

StubHub blamed the issue on transfer problems with FIFA's ticketing platform, but Paxton said consumers instead attribute the cancellations to ghost ticketing in which sellers collect payment for tickets they don't possess and later cancel the sale.

从周一开始，特斯拉将限制员工每周在AI产品上的消费额度为200美元。

And starting Monday, Tesla will cap employees' spending on AI products at $200 a week.

报道称，这一限额不适用于xAI。

The information reported that the limit will not apply to x AI.

今年早些时候，埃隆·马斯克曾表示，得益于公司内部对AI和Optimus人形机器人的应用，每位特斯拉员工的产出将大幅提升。

Earlier this year, Elon Musk said output per Tesla employee is gonna get nutty high thanks for the company's internal use of AI and its Optimus humanoid robot program.

这周对于收益型投资者来说可是个忙季。

And it's a busy week for income investors.

周一，AI领域的风向标公司美光、通用电气航空、摩根大通和思科都将除息。

On Monday, AI bellwether Micron, GE Aerospace, JPMorgan Chase, and Cisco Systems all go ex dividend.

美光的股息将在7月21日发放，通用电气航空是7月27日，摩根大通是7月31日，思科则是7月22日。

Micron pays on July 21 to GE on July 27, JPMorgan on July 31, and Cisco on July 22.

周二，Dollar General也将除息，股息发放日为7月21日。

On Tuesday, Dollar General goes ex dividend with a July 21 payout.

《纽约时报》将在周三除息，股息支付日为7月23日。

The New York Times goes ex dividend on Wednesday and will pay shareholders on July 23.

埃森哲和万事达卡将在周四除息。

Accenture and Mastercard both go ex dividend on Thursday.

埃森哲的股息将在8月14日发放。

Accenture pays out on August 14.

万事达卡的股息支付日是8月7日。

Mastercard's payout is August 7.

周五，AT&T、威瑞森、Marvel科技、Toll兄弟、甲骨文和Lennar都将除息。

On Friday, AT and T, Verizon, Marvel Technology, Toll Brothers, Oracle, and Lennar all go ex dividend.

AT&T和威瑞森的股息在8月3日发放，Marvel是7月30日，Toll兄弟、Lennar和甲骨文则都是7月24日。

AT and T and Verizon payout on August 3, with Marvel on July 30, and Toll Brothers, Lennar, and Oracle all on July 24.

今天的华尔街早餐就到这里。

That's all for today's Wall Street brunch.

节目说明里有相关文章的链接，记得去看看。

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